Concrete FDV above $200M one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$753
Trades
54
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$350
Latest YES mid
49¢
Latest NO mid
51¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-31
last 07-15 20:44
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $31 | $83 | $53 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $185 | $78 | +$107 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $34 | $51 | $17 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $96 | $25 | +$71 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $59 | $15 | +$43 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $78 | $78 |
| Median | 5 | $234 | — | +$234 |
| Below median | 1 | $35 | — | +$35 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $10 | $51 | $41 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $68 | $68 |
| unranked | 3 | $8 | $25 | $17 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x03ba…77d6 | Yes | +199 | $83 | $83 | 5 | 07-15 05:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xf22b…7eab | No | +190 | $78 | $78 | 4 | 07-15 03:48 |
| Scented-Marxism 0x69dc…0cf5 | Yes | +162 | $123 | $153 | 4 | 06-24 13:22 |
| Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | +100 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 06-25 05:59 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +60 | $31 | $31 | 2 | 06-16 22:31 |
| Profitable-Punishment 0x5739…b180 | No | +48 | $2 | $99 | 7 | 07-15 03:48 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +39 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 05-31 14:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x06dc…32b7 | No | +30 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 07-15 01:47 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-03 10:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-15 20:44 |
| Gorgeous-Goat 0xf0f6…f699 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-24 22:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-15 03:48 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 20:44:08 | (anonymous) 0x72f3…92d6 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 41¢ | $0 | 0x54e7a0… |
| 07-15 20:44:08 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 41¢ | $0 | 0x54e7a0… |
| 07-15 05:51:34 | (anonymous) 0x03ba…77d6 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 40¢ | $12 | 0xe98aec… |
| 07-15 05:51:34 | (anonymous) 0x72f3…92d6 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 40¢ | $12 | 0xe98aec… |
| 07-15 03:48:58 | (anonymous) 0xf22b…7eab | No | BUY | 30 | 60¢ | $18 | 0x87dd27… |
| 07-15 03:48:58 | (anonymous) 0x03ba…77d6 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 40¢ | $12 | 0x87dd27… |
| 07-15 03:48:56 | Profitable-Punishment 0x5739…b180 | No | BUY | 30 | 38¢ | $11 | 0x93ad3a… |
| 07-15 03:48:56 | (anonymous) 0x72f3…92d6 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 62¢ | $19 | 0x93ad3a… |
| 07-15 03:48:47 | (anonymous) 0x72f3…92d6 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 41¢ | $10 | 0xfa7094… |
| 07-15 03:48:47 | Profitable-Punishment 0x5739…b180 | No | SELL | 24 | 59¢ | $14 | 0xfa7094… |
| 07-15 03:48:46 | (anonymous) 0x72f3…92d6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x853264… |
| 07-15 03:48:46 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x853264… |
| 07-15 01:47:01 | (anonymous) 0x06dc…32b7 | No | BUY | 30 | 45¢ | $13 | 0xb8dc04… |
| 07-15 01:47:01 | (anonymous) 0x72f3…92d6 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 55¢ | $16 | 0xb8dc04… |
| 07-13 09:46:02 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 41¢ | $0 | 0x47f608… |
| 07-13 09:46:02 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 41¢ | $0 | 0x47f608… |
| 07-12 04:23:44 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x2f129c… |
| 07-12 04:23:44 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x2f129c… |
| 07-03 10:41:34 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 49¢ | $10 | 0x63d354… |
| 07-03 10:41:34 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | No | SELL | 20 | 52¢ | $10 | 0x63d354… |
| 07-03 10:41:34 | Profitable-Punishment 0x5739…b180 | No | BUY | 40 | 51¢ | $21 | 0x63d354… |
| 06-26 08:55:11 | (anonymous) 0x03ba…77d6 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 40¢ | $1 | 0x04bd77… |
| 06-26 08:55:11 | (anonymous) 0xc46d…7668 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 40¢ | $1 | 0x04bd77… |
| 06-25 05:59:07 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | BUY | 100 | 56¢ | $56 | 0xef5c05… |
| 06-25 05:59:07 | (anonymous) 0x03ba…77d6 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 44¢ | $44 | 0xef5c05… |
| 06-24 22:59:56 | Gorgeous-Goat 0xf0f6…f699 | No | BUY | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0x5e045d… |
| 06-24 22:59:56 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0x5e045d… |
| 06-24 13:23:13 | (anonymous) 0xfc23…5a3d | No | SELL | 20 | 58¢ | $12 | 0xbd8c6b… |
| 06-24 13:23:13 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | No | BUY | 20 | 58¢ | $12 | 0xbd8c6b… |
| 06-24 13:23:10 | (anonymous) 0xfc23…5a3d | No | BUY | 20 | 60¢ | $12 | 0x9182e4… |
| 06-24 13:23:10 | Profitable-Punishment 0x5739…b180 | No | SELL | 20 | 60¢ | $12 | 0x9182e4… |
| 06-24 13:23:07 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 40¢ | $8 | 0x879b8a… |
| 06-24 13:23:07 | Profitable-Punishment 0x5739…b180 | No | SELL | 20 | 60¢ | $12 | 0x879b8a… |
| 06-24 13:22:29 | Scented-Marxism 0x69dc…0cf5 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 39¢ | $15 | 0x6b36bd… |
| 06-24 13:22:29 | (anonymous) 0x03ba…77d6 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 39¢ | $15 | 0x6b36bd… |
| 06-24 13:22:26 | Profitable-Punishment 0x5739…b180 | No | SELL | 18 | 60¢ | $11 | 0x47fd96… |
| 06-24 13:22:26 | (anonymous) 0xfc23…5a3d | Yes | SELL | 18 | 40¢ | $7 | 0x47fd96… |
| 06-24 13:22:16 | Fixed-Eaglet 0xe53c…e569 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 40¢ | $15 | 0xf274bb… |
| 06-24 13:22:16 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 40¢ | $8 | 0xf274bb… |
| 06-24 13:22:16 | (anonymous) 0xfc23…5a3d | Yes | BUY | 18 | 40¢ | $7 | 0xf274bb… |
| 06-16 22:31:04 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 51¢ | $13 | 0x926af0… |
| 06-16 22:31:04 | (anonymous) 0xf22b…7eab | No | BUY | 26 | 49¢ | $13 | 0x926af0… |
| 06-15 14:53:06 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 51¢ | $17 | 0x021565… |
| 06-15 14:53:06 | (anonymous) 0xf22b…7eab | No | BUY | 34 | 49¢ | $17 | 0x021565… |
| 05-31 14:44:39 | Scented-Marxism 0x69dc…0cf5 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 69¢ | $69 | 0x729f5f… |
| 05-31 14:44:39 | (anonymous) 0xf22b…7eab | No | BUY | 100 | 31¢ | $31 | 0x729f5f… |
| 05-31 14:44:39 | Scented-Marxism 0x69dc…0cf5 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 69¢ | $41 | 0x7c5bb7… |
| 05-31 14:44:39 | Profitable-Punishment 0x5739…b180 | No | BUY | 60 | 31¢ | $19 | 0x7c5bb7… |
| 05-31 14:44:37 | Scented-Marxism 0x69dc…0cf5 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 69¢ | $28 | 0xcd5235… |
| 05-31 14:44:37 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 69¢ | $28 | 0xcd5235… |
| 05-31 14:44:30 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 2 | 32¢ | $1 | 0x9ddd6a… |
| 05-31 14:44:30 | (anonymous) 0xc46d…7668 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 68¢ | $1 | 0x9ddd6a… |
| 05-31 14:44:28 | Fixed-Eaglet 0xe53c…e569 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 68¢ | $26 | 0x52633a… |
| 05-31 14:44:28 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 38 | 32¢ | $12 | 0x52633a… |