Realized P&L
-$118
Unrealized P&L
+$58
Hit rate
31.7%
Resolved
36
Trades
334
lifetime
Volume
$8.87K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$411
25 positions
First seen
2026-02-26
last 10-30 01:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 25 days
Categories
Other
46% 47% -$35
Crypto
40% 67% +$31
Sports
6% 14% -$132
Tech
5% 33% -$22
Politics
3% 50% +$40
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +80 $50 93¢ $74 +$24 10-16 15:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -70 -$66 99¢ $-69 -$2 09-03 16:18
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +80 $60 82¢ $66 +$6 09-17 11:49
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +60 $40 93¢ $56 +$16 10-02 13:47
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +80 $21 47¢ $38 +$17 08-16 14:20
US recession by end of 2026? No +29 $19 94¢ $27 +$8 09-15 20:08
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +80 $34 29¢ $23 -$11 09-15 18:00
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +80 $35 29¢ $23 -$12 09-15 17:20
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +80 $16 16¢ $13 -$3 09-28 13:19
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? Yes +43 $8 17¢ $7 $0 09-27 20:27
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes -70 -$5 8¢ $-5 $0 10-22 05:29
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -89 -$31 4¢ $-3 +$27 06-19 15:49
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +87 $10 3¢ $2 -$8 08-08 03:25
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No +60 $22 3¢ $2 -$20 09-30 12:39
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -50 -$21 3¢ $-2 +$19 05-11 16:49
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +2 $1 13¢ $0 -$1 05-21 10:25
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -5 $0 3¢ $-0 +$0 10-18 18:58
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +0 -$5 94¢ $0 +$5 06-25 09:59
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$7 96¢ $0 +$7 06-21 15:54
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +0 -$1 44¢ $0 +$1 07-25 00:17
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +0 -$2 18¢ $0 +$2 05-15 03:11
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? Yes +0 $13 4¢ $0 -$13 08-10 06:09
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +0 $0 3¢ $0 $0 06-03 13:10
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +0 $0 6¢ $0 $0 07-01 11:22
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +0 $2 1¢ $0 -$2 07-11 14:26