Realized P&L
+$211
Unrealized P&L
+$220
Hit rate
61.5%
Resolved
242
Trades
1,476
lifetime
Volume
$32.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$1.25K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-10
last 10-27 11:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 52 days
Categories
Other
54% 58% +$318
Crypto
30% 58% -$3
Sports
9% 40% -$78
Politics
4% 50% -$32
Tech
2% 100% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +102 $92 93¢ $95 +$3 10-27 07:31
will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31 No +102 $79 82¢ $84 +$5 10-15 19:09
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +103 $61 79¢ $82 +$21 07-17 07:36
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +87 $29 75¢ $66 +$36 10-20 23:45
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? Yes +66 $11 99¢ $65 +$54 10-24 09:13
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +73 $54 86¢ $63 +$9 08-03 07:34
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +66 $55 90¢ $59 +$4 10-21 03:27
Will Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? No +52 $47 94¢ $48 +$2 08-18 04:34
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +88 $49 53¢ $47 -$3 10-25 03:37
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +74 $34 60¢ $44 +$10 10-26 19:01
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +50 $47 86¢ $43 -$4 09-25 08:19
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? No +45 $41 93¢ $42 +$1 10-24 05:28
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +47 $42 87¢ $41 -$1 07-12 00:53
Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +40 $37 98¢ $39 +$2 07-13 10:43
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +40 $33 94¢ $38 +$5 09-10 11:03
Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP? No +37 $28 96¢ $35 +$7 09-21 21:21
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +37 $17 89¢ $33 +$16 10-26 18:30
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +41 $19 80¢ $32 +$13 07-18 11:17
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? No +45 $32 68¢ $30 -$2 10-12 19:55
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +30 $23 98¢ $29 +$6 09-09 12:46
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +30 $19 94¢ $28 +$9 10-24 17:55
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +26 $21 98¢ $25 +$5 10-15 04:23
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +28 $24 88¢ $25 +$1 10-24 01:57
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T? No +30 $18 82¢ $25 +$7 10-26 14:05
Discord IPO before 2027? No +26 $16 93¢ $24 +$8 10-02 00:22
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes +45 $30 51¢ $23 -$7 10-26 12:00
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +59 $22 38¢ $23 +$1 10-19 18:41
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? No +23 $15 96¢ $22 +$7 09-03 20:40
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? No +24 $23 90¢ $22 -$1 10-22 05:14
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? No +28 $17 78¢ $22 +$4 10-25 20:02