Realized P&L
+$7.19K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.10K
Hit rate
80.9%
Resolved
1,276
Trades
7,715
lifetime
Volume
$352.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$46
Open exposure
$4.33K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 08:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 165 days
Categories
Other
51% 43% +$4,331
Crypto
23% 49% +$2,561
Politics
12% 48% -$2,789
Tech
9% 62% +$1,232
Sports
5% 45% +$1,849
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +665 $461 93¢ $620 +$159 10-12 10:42
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? No +409 $297 83¢ $339 +$42 09-29 11:09
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +562 $256 59¢ $332 +$76 10-01 20:14
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +279 -$16 94¢ $264 +$280 09-23 15:26
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B? No +264 $185 93¢ $245 +$60 08-09 06:16
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +286 $140 78¢ $225 +$85 10-19 05:22
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +216 $206 97¢ $210 +$5 08-22 20:13
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +203 $144 90¢ $183 +$39 08-13 08:24
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +178 -$26 98¢ $175 +$200 10-08 03:53
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026? No +170 $138 96¢ $164 +$26 08-02 07:48
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +304 $178 47¢ $143 -$35 08-22 14:42
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +145 $120 94¢ $136 +$16 10-06 07:39
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +142 $109 86¢ $123 +$14 06-22 12:30
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No +136 $97 86¢ $118 +$21 08-14 19:45
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +600 $66 18¢ $105 +$39 09-07 11:02
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +120 $94 86¢ $103 +$9 09-22 07:30
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +985 $134 10¢ $99 -$34 10-12 10:42
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +77 $54 98¢ $76 +$22 09-17 09:44
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +77 $71 94¢ $73 +$2 09-08 14:18
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +79 $54 92¢ $73 +$19 08-06 10:13
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +72 $62 82¢ $60 -$2 10-06 05:46
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes +72 $14 81¢ $59 +$44 08-18 12:33
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? No — +61 -$5 93¢ $57 +$62 09-24 10:02
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +60 $49 88¢ $53 +$4 09-13 09:28
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes +93 $39 55¢ $51 +$12 08-17 22:02
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +66 -$1,894 77¢ $51 +$1,945 09-28 05:33
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +51 $42 96¢ $49 +$6 08-21 22:59
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797 Yes +50 $46 96¢ $48 +$2 08-18 23:57
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +108 $66 44¢ $48 -$18 08-22 20:10
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? No +48 $46 97¢ $47 +$1 08-18 12:49