Realized P&L
-$0
Unrealized P&L
-$17
Hit rate
27.7%
Resolved
24
Trades
51,381
lifetime
Volume
$93.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$135
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 10:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
49% 25% +$1
Politics
23% 50% +$4
Crypto
14% 0% $-1
Sports
12% 55% $-4
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-75 80¢ $-80 $-5 06-07 12:50
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? Yes -100 $-16 26¢ $-26 $-10 05-30 10:00
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.7m barrels per day in 2026? Yes -100 $-2 $-7 $-4 05-28 07:17
Felix Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -91 $-6 $-6 +$0 06-08 17:14
Anthropic acquired before 2027? Yes -78 $-3 $-4 $-0 05-31 15:27
Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes -32 $-3 $-3 +$0 05-30 03:21
Will Ubisoft announce bankruptcy by June 30? Yes -61 $-1 $-2 $-1 06-05 16:23
Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes -12 $-4 14¢ $-2 +$2 06-09 10:24
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes -31 $-2 $-2 +$0 06-08 18:01
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? No -88 $-1 $-1 $-0 06-01 10:18
Will s1mple retire by June 30? Yes -37 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-03 08:12
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027? Yes -15 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-01 03:52
Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-01 13:50
Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes -15 $-0 $-0 $-0 05-27 21:30
Will Chelsea Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -15 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-03 16:58