(anonymous) 0x9dc2e5…ef0727
bot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$125
Unrealized P&L
+$48
Hit rate
49.6%
Resolved
3,773
Trades
51,848
lifetime
Volume
$94.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$146
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 09-01 11:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 184 days
Categories
Other
49% 30% +$81
Politics
23% 40% +$170
Crypto
14% 34% -$72
Sports
12% 21% -$82
Tech
1% 50% -$9
Pop-Culture
0% 16% +$37
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -53 -$18 97¢ $-51 -$33 04-30 13:38
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes -179 -$9 18¢ $-32 -$23 05-01 01:24
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -41 -$2 45¢ $-19 -$16 04-30 11:52
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? Yes -98 -$6 8¢ $-8 -$3 05-11 06:17
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes -100 -$2 3¢ $-3 -$2 05-11 16:36
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -100 -$5 3¢ $-3 +$2 04-30 15:45
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -100 -$9 3¢ $-3 +$6 04-30 14:05
China coup attempt before 2027? Yes -100 -$9 3¢ $-3 +$6 05-03 06:20
StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes -100 -$2 2¢ $-2 $0 05-22 12:58
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? Yes -126 -$11 2¢ $-2 +$9 05-04 05:05
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? Yes -100 -$7 2¢ $-2 +$5 05-03 11:52
Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -100 -$2 2¢ $-2 +$0 05-29 11:41
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes -100 -$3 2¢ $-2 +$1 05-22 07:53
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -101 -$2 2¢ $-2 +$0 05-13 21:42
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? Yes -44 -$4 3¢ $-1 +$3 05-04 03:09
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? Yes -100 -$3 1¢ $-1 +$2 05-04 06:34
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? Yes -36 -$4 4¢ $-1 +$2 05-01 15:05
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Yes -100 -$11 1¢ $-1 +$10 04-30 16:24
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? Yes -100 -$57 1¢ $-1 +$56 05-05 13:46
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? Yes -100 -$2 1¢ $-1 +$1 05-04 02:48
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? Yes -100 -$15 1¢ $-1 +$14 05-03 09:01
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -100 -$1 1¢ $-1 +$0 05-01 08:44
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? Yes -70 -$2 1¢ $-1 +$1 04-30 15:58
Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026? Yes -103 -$2 1¢ $-1 +$1 05-09 20:20
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -100 $0 1¢ $-1 $0 05-01 15:07
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -100 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$0 05-02 14:59
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027? Yes -15 -$1 3¢ $-0 +$1 06-01 03:52
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes -10 -$1 3¢ $-0 +$0 05-04 10:51
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? Yes -72 -$2 0¢ $-0 +$1 04-30 20:02
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? Yes -111 -$4 0¢ $-0 +$4 04-30 11:49