Realized P&L
-$0
Unrealized P&L
-$28
Hit rate
27.7%
Resolved
24
Trades
51,405
lifetime
Volume
$93.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$172
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-16 02:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
49% 25% +$1
Politics
23% 50% +$4
Crypto
14% 0% $-1
Sports
12% 55% $-4
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-75 90¢ $-90 $-15 06-07 12:50
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? Yes -65 $-6 36¢ $-23 $-17 07-10 01:14
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? Yes -100 $-16 14¢ $-14 +$2 05-30 10:00
Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes -48 $-5 27¢ $-13 $-7 06-28 01:27
Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026? Yes -56 $-4 $-4 $-0 06-20 06:28
Felix Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -91 $-6 $-4 +$2 06-08 17:14
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.7m barrels per day in 2026? Yes -100 $-2 $-4 $-1 05-28 07:17
Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes -32 $-3 $-2 +$0 05-30 03:21
Anthropic acquired before 2027? Yes -78 $-3 $-2 +$1 05-31 15:27
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver before 2027? Yes -19 $-1 10¢ $-2 $-1 06-22 02:09
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027? Yes -100 $-2 $-2 +$0 06-11 01:40
Will Chelsea Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -100 $-2 $-2 +$0 06-27 14:32
Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -12 $-2 12¢ $-1 +$1 07-01 00:22
Will George Clooney announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -20 $-1 $-1 +$0 07-16 02:02
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes -32 $-2 $-1 +$0 06-12 03:59
OpenAI acquired before 2027? Yes -28 $-2 $-1 +$0 06-21 17:40
Felix Protocol FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes -25 $-1 $-1 $-0 06-20 16:50
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027? Yes -15 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-01 03:52
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -53 $-4 $-1 +$4 06-11 19:15
Ventuals FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? Yes -25 $-1 $-1 $-0 06-25 01:03
Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes -16 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-17 13:30
Will Mike Pence announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes -37 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-17 16:24
Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes -15 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-27 21:30
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? No -88 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-01 10:18