Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$73
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
0
51,848 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$94.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$271
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 09-01 11:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 187 days
Categories
Other
49% 30% +$91
Politics
23% 43% +$198
Crypto
14% 34% -$72
Sports
12% 21% -$82
Tech
1% 50% -$9
Pop-Culture
0% 16% +$37
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026? No -100 -$75 94¢ $-94 -$19 06-07 12:50
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes -100 -$50 92¢ $-92 -$42 07-16 10:31
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -41 -$2 46¢ $-19 -$16 04-30 11:52
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes -179 -$9 4¢ $-7 +$3 05-01 01:24
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? Yes -65 -$6 8¢ $-5 +$1 07-10 01:14
Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -26 -$4 20¢ $-5 -$1 07-01 00:22
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? Yes -100 -$16 5¢ $-5 +$11 05-30 10:00
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? Yes -98 -$6 4¢ $-4 +$1 05-11 06:17
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes -100 -$2 3¢ $-3 -$2 05-11 16:36
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? Yes -126 -$11 2¢ $-3 +$8 05-04 05:05
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027? Yes -99 -$10 3¢ $-3 +$7 05-03 20:39
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -100 -$6 2¢ $-2 +$3 05-04 08:05
Will Chelsea Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -100 -$2 2¢ $-2 $0 06-27 14:32
Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes -39 -$4 6¢ $-2 +$2 05-30 03:21
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison? Yes -100 -$21 2¢ $-2 +$19 05-28 07:52
China coup attempt before 2027? Yes -100 -$9 2¢ $-2 +$7 05-03 06:20
Anthropic acquired before 2027? Yes -100 -$7 2¢ $-2 +$5 05-31 15:27
Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -100 -$2 2¢ $-2 $0 05-29 11:41
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.7m barrels per day in 2026? Yes -100 -$2 2¢ $-2 +$1 05-28 07:17
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -100 -$5 2¢ $-2 +$3 04-30 15:45
StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes -100 -$2 2¢ $-2 +$0 05-22 12:58
Will Trump resign before 2027? Yes -100 -$8 2¢ $-2 +$7 05-21 08:41
Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026? Yes -100 -$6 1¢ $-1 +$5 05-20 13:39
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? Yes -100 -$57 1¢ $-1 +$56 05-05 13:46
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? Yes -44 -$4 3¢ $-1 +$3 05-04 03:09
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes -100 -$3 1¢ $-1 +$2 05-22 07:53
Will George Clooney announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -45 -$3 3¢ $-1 +$2 07-26 08:21
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -101 -$2 1¢ $-1 +$1 05-13 21:42
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? Yes -100 -$7 1¢ $-1 +$6 05-03 11:52
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -53 -$4 2¢ $-1 +$3 06-11 19:15