Will Trump pardon Roger Ver before 2027?
open
Total volume
$95
$1 in 24h
Trades
45
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$303
Latest YES mid
10¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-16
last 07-20 07:28
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+60.8¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $1
vs crowd: 39% YES on $70)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $2 | $1 | +$1 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $3 | $1 | +$1 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $7 | $40 | $33 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $16 | — | +$16 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| Median | 3 | — | $41 | $41 |
| Below median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $2 | $1 | +$1 |
| unranked | 5 | $17 | — | +$17 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Untried-Budget 0xdd28…374a | No | +44 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 07-20 07:28 |
| Junior-Production 0x2bfb…5c9e | Yes | +33 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-28 22:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-20 07:28 |
| Tough-Garter 0x03c8…0e01 | Yes | +19 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 06-22 02:16 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-20 07:28 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-20 07:28 |
| Strict-Squeegee 0xc3be…0e17 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-03 21:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 07-06 21:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +4 | $-0 | $4 | 7 | 07-04 15:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xc986…da9a | Yes | +1 | $3 | $7 | 8 | 07-04 15:16 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 07:28:28 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x7e521b… |
| 07-20 07:28:28 | Untried-Budget 0xdd28…374a | No | BUY | 44 | 92¢ | $40 | 0x7e521b… |
| 07-20 07:28:28 | (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x7e521b… |
| 07-20 07:28:28 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x7e521b… |
| 07-06 21:19:16 | (anonymous) 0xc8d5…32a1 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x5f677f… |
| 07-06 21:19:16 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 0 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x5f677f… |
| 07-04 15:16:34 | (anonymous) 0xc986…da9a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x24f709… |
| 07-04 15:16:34 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xd8b739… |
| 07-04 15:16:34 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x24f709… |
| 07-04 15:16:34 | (anonymous) 0xc986…da9a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xd8b739… |
| 07-04 14:16:20 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x7ec965… |
| 07-04 14:16:20 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xc84cca… |
| 07-04 14:16:20 | (anonymous) 0xc986…da9a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x7ec965… |
| 07-04 14:16:20 | (anonymous) 0xc986…da9a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xc84cca… |
| 07-04 13:16:07 | (anonymous) 0xc986…da9a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xc2013f… |
| 07-04 13:16:07 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xc2013f… |
| 07-04 13:16:07 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x1cff7a… |
| 07-04 13:16:07 | (anonymous) 0xc986…da9a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x1cff7a… |
| 07-04 08:15:38 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xa5b66d… |
| 07-04 08:15:38 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 22 | 16¢ | $4 | 0x538487… |
| 07-04 08:15:38 | (anonymous) 0xc986…da9a | Yes | BUY | 9 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xa5b66d… |
| 07-04 08:15:38 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 4 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xa5b66d… |
| 07-04 08:15:38 | (anonymous) 0xc986…da9a | Yes | BUY | 22 | 16¢ | $4 | 0x538487… |
| 07-03 21:01:19 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x52c4ce… |
| 07-03 21:01:19 | Strict-Squeegee 0xc3be…0e17 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x52c4ce… |
| 06-28 22:26:01 | Junior-Production 0x2bfb…5c9e | Yes | BUY | 33 | 18¢ | $6 | 0xffddc8… |
| 06-28 22:26:01 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 18¢ | $6 | 0xffddc8… |
| 06-28 00:28:34 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 15¢ | $5 | 0x68287b… |
| 06-28 00:28:34 | (anonymous) 0xc8d5…32a1 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 15¢ | $5 | 0x68287b… |
| 06-27 02:31:25 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xbf71ad… |
| 06-27 02:31:25 | (anonymous) 0xc8d5…32a1 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 9¢ | $3 | 0xbf71ad… |
| 06-27 02:31:25 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xbf71ad… |
| 06-22 02:16:04 | Tough-Garter 0x03c8…0e01 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x61010d… |
| 06-22 02:16:04 | (anonymous) 0x18f0…3101 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x61010d… |
| 06-22 02:09:44 | (anonymous) 0x9dc2…0727 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x673e85… |
| 06-22 02:09:44 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x673e85… |
| 06-22 02:09:44 | (anonymous) 0x18f0…3101 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x673e85… |
| 06-21 05:32:46 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x74d411… |
| 06-21 05:32:46 | (anonymous) 0x9dc2…0727 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x74d411… |
| 06-21 05:31:55 | Tough-Garter 0x03c8…0e01 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x2f3a7b… |
| 06-21 05:31:55 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x2f3a7b… |
| 06-16 03:09:48 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x3e8bf7… |
| 06-16 03:09:48 | (anonymous) 0x9dc2…0727 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x3e8bf7… |
| 06-16 03:06:54 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x6d29a8… |
| 06-16 03:06:54 | Tough-Garter 0x03c8…0e01 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x6d29a8… |