Strict-Squeegee — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$281

Unrealized P&L

-$184

Hit rate

67.8%

Resolved

Trades

364

lifetime

Volume

$9.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

$301

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-24 01:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Other

54% 58% +$176

Politics

45% 39% +$163

Tech

1% 0% -$5

Crypto

0% 0% -$32

Sports

0% 0% -$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,341	$343	16¢	$215	-$128	10-24 01:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	+102	$60	54¢	$55	-$5	09-05 15:04
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	-24	-$23	96¢	$-23	$0	07-19 19:58
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	+59	$10	6¢	$3	-$7	05-09 18:46
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?	Yes	+62	$10	3¢	$2	-$8	05-11 19:12
Databricks IPO before 2027?	Yes	+62	$10	2¢	$1	-$9	05-11 19:13
Discord IPO before 2027?	Yes	+18	$10	6¢	$1	-$9	05-11 19:11
russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	Yes	+86	$18	1¢	$1	-$17	06-04 01:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	10	$1.3K	2,522	2,522	+0	open	—	08-22 20:44
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	4	$739	405	420	-15	Yes	-$6	01-20 21:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?	1	$483	894	0	+894	Yes	+$411	04-10 12:19
will joo cotrim figueiredo win the 2026 portugal presidential election 643	11	$454	286	286	-0	No	+$23	01-15 13:33
will henrique gouveia e melo win the 2026 portugal presidential election	26	$445	9,912	9,912	+0	No	-$155	01-18 11:04
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 20 million 836	8	$419	230	230	+0	No	+$8	02-16 05:40
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	8	$345	250	510	-260	Yes	+$188	01-12 17:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	4	$343	1,341	0	+1,341	open	—	10-24 01:11
spx up or down on february 13 2026	23	$341	346	346	+0	Up	+$69	02-13 20:54
spx up or down on february 17 2026	7	$303	244	265	-22	Up	+$39	02-17 19:23
spx up or down on february 20 2026	3	$256	181	181	+0	Up	+$36	02-20 15:44
spx up or down on january 15 2026	6	$251	200	150	+50	Up	+$15	01-15 20:45
spx up or down on january 30 2026	9	$201	370	370	+0	Down	-$98	01-30 19:18
us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946	2	$189	100	100	+0	No	+$1	01-09 12:56
spx up or down on february 27 2026	8	$181	360	0	+360	Down	-$181	02-27 03:06
spx up or down on january 2 2026	10	$178	135	135	+0	Up	+$34	01-02 17:12
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 18 million 565	4	$174	125	100	+25	No	+$16	02-16 05:52
spx up or down on january 13 2026	6	$156	240	230	+10	Down	+$34	01-13 18:15
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	11	$126	1,020	1,020	+0	No	+$11	01-19 00:43
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	2	$116	1,537	0	+1,537	No	-$116	02-11 01:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$114	93	93	+0	Yes	+$71	05-09 18:43
spx up or down on march 19 2026	1	$106	200	0	+200	Down	-$106	03-18 19:47
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$104	200	200	+0	No	+$8	01-09 12:57
tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	3	$98	0	160	-160	Yes	+$98	01-15 18:45
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 6 million	4	$86	610	610	+0	Yes	+$9	01-12 10:53
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	1	$75	0	4,975	-4,975	No	+$75	05-12 10:02
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be between 400m and 440m by january 31	2	$74	100	100	+0	No	+$6	01-02 05:39
will avatar fire and ash 3rd weekend box office be less than 40m	6	$71	200	200	+0	No	+$9	01-04 11:20
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 595	10	$67	110	110	+0	Yes	+$8	01-26 16:54
spx up or down on february 10 2026	3	$65	67	67	+0	Down	+$25	02-10 19:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 01:11:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	21¢	$9	0x45b5a9…
10-24 01:10:53	Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xbf0a1f…
10-24 01:10:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x8643fe…
10-24 01:09:29	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	81¢	$13	0xd96a58…
10-24 01:09:18	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	13	91¢	$12	0x7f18ec…
10-24 01:08:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	21¢	$9	0xf5b0b5…
09-05 15:04:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	102	59¢	$60	0xdfeee7…
08-25 11:19:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,136	26¢	$300	0x8c7f03…
08-22 20:44:12	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2,522	14¢	$361	0x39f38a…
07-19 19:59:16	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xfbffde…
07-19 19:58:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	24	94¢	$23	0x7b9b6e…
07-03 21:01:55	Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?	Yes	BUY	57	4¢	$2	0x77d455…
07-03 21:01:26	Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x2b9da4…
07-03 21:01:19	Will Trump pardon Roger Ver before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x52c4ce…
07-03 21:01:04	Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd0982c…
07-03 20:59:58	Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?	Yes	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0xa6c726…
07-03 20:59:34	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	Yes	BUY	217	2¢	$5	0xe55ab9…
07-02 21:36:28	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xe8b53c…
06-17 06:32:08	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xc8b115…
06-04 01:45:33	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	86	21¢	$18	0xe33c59…
06-04 01:45:16	russia x ukraine ceasefire by june 30 2026 631	Yes	BUY	174	2¢	$4	0x0b7f2f…
06-04 01:43:43	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	75¢	$23	0xe95bce…
05-15 18:43:53	Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x81daba…
05-12 19:03:14	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	789	38¢	$300	0x3249bd…
05-12 12:39:22	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0xd9c6ac…
05-12 10:59:11	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	890	37¢	$329	0x4e9a02…
05-12 10:44:55	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x68f1d1…
05-12 10:39:12	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	35	37¢	$13	0x87b7d2…
05-12 10:30:52	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	45	37¢	$17	0x15d9fa…
05-12 10:18:21	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	37¢	$9	0xaceb18…
05-12 10:02:57	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	SELL	4,975	2¢	$75	0x8b707f…
05-12 01:57:26	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x22b9f1…
05-11 23:29:36	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0x84fad2…
05-11 22:27:25	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	32	64¢	$21	0x345ee4…
05-11 22:20:46	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0xdfc093…
05-11 19:35:55	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	468	37¢	$173	0x3aff2a…
05-11 19:29:02	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	32	37¢	$12	0xc79bcc…
05-11 19:13:25	Databricks IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x36f87d…
05-11 19:12:45	Waymo IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	164	6¢	$10	0x26522b…
05-11 19:12:36	Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x5dd6ef…
05-11 19:12:21	Mistral AI IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x8103a8…
05-11 19:12:08	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xc76062…
05-11 19:12:03	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x272545…
05-11 19:11:56	Discord IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x5dd926…
05-11 19:11:07	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x5169b3…
05-10 02:24:35	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	No	BUY	29	18¢	$5	0xe1b9b9…
05-09 22:51:09	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xcb44d0…
05-09 18:46:26	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x2773b7…
05-09 18:43:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x269873…
05-09 18:43:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0x958bc7…
04-10 12:19:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?	Yes	BUY	894	54¢	$483	0x993564…
03-18 19:47:53	spx up or down on march 19 2026	Up	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0x4c71b0…
03-06 11:29:33	spx up or down on march 6 2026	Up	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x5f509e…
03-04 17:17:49	spx up or down on march 4 2026	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x281163…
03-04 14:54:13	spx up or down on march 4 2026	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x99008a…
02-27 03:06:26	spx up or down on february 27 2026	Up	BUY	80	45¢	$36	0x871f4e…
02-27 02:42:28	spx up or down on february 27 2026	Up	BUY	70	45¢	$31	0xc4fbeb…
02-26 22:44:50	spx up or down on february 27 2026	Up	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x5762e4…
02-26 20:53:20	spx up or down on february 27 2026	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x38b856…
02-26 20:14:00	spx up or down on february 27 2026	Up	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0xdd1852…
02-26 18:40:32	spx up or down on february 27 2026	Up	BUY	67	55¢	$37	0x641c6f…
02-26 17:46:14	spx up or down on february 27 2026	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x4e1da7…
02-26 17:04:02	spx up or down on february 27 2026	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x826f55…
02-20 15:44:50	spx up or down on february 20 2026	Up	SELL	181	81¢	$146	0xecb6ef…
02-20 05:55:40	spx up or down on february 20 2026	Up	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x5e2a92…
02-20 01:56:08	spx up or down on february 20 2026	Up	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0x272c61…
02-19 17:23:20	spx up or down on february 19 2026	Up	BUY	102	30¢	$30	0xbfb389…
02-18 05:17:28	spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	Up	SELL	15	65¢	$9	0xb24846…
02-18 05:17:06	spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xf74205…
02-17 19:23:55	spx up or down on february 17 2026	Up	SELL	48	87¢	$42	0xf1ba2f…
02-17 16:26:17	spx up or down on february 17 2026	Up	SELL	97	65¢	$63	0xa984f7…
02-17 14:36:59	spx up or down on february 17 2026	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7440c5…
02-17 14:31:59	spx up or down on february 17 2026	Up	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0xa309a1…
02-17 14:30:43	spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x9067f3…
02-16 08:47:31	spx up or down on february 17 2026	Up	SELL	13	64¢	$8	0xd57f1a…
02-16 05:52:45	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 18 million 565	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xa417f2…
02-16 05:40:43	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 20 million 836	No	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x42f38e…
02-16 05:39:01	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 20 million 836	No	SELL	14	85¢	$12	0x003d38…
02-16 05:34:59	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 18 million 565	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x36dce2…
02-16 05:31:45	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 17 million 669	No	SELL	58	46¢	$27	0xa91d0c…
02-16 05:30:33	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 20 million 836	No	SELL	24	85¢	$20	0x263236…
02-16 05:06:59	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 17 million 669	No	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xefcbd6…
02-16 05:06:55	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 17 million 669	No	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x1cbb2b…
02-16 04:51:13	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 20 million 836	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x364bfe…
02-16 04:45:41	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 20 million 836	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xc93a21…
02-16 04:34:27	will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 1pt4m 416	Yes	SELL	49	30¢	$15	0x8bb98f…
02-16 04:22:21	will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 1pt4m 416	Yes	BUY	49	10¢	$5	0x30db3e…
02-16 04:21:19	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 20 million 836	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x9400b3…
02-16 04:19:29	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 16 million 278	No	SELL	80	38¢	$31	0x40b88c…
02-16 04:13:49	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 16 million 278	No	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xe5d537…
02-16 04:12:37	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 17 million 669	No	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0xbdf880…
02-16 04:03:05	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 17 million 669	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x07fd6d…
02-16 04:02:41	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 16 million 278	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xc08c29…
02-16 03:42:29	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 16 million 278	No	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0x5fd98a…
02-16 03:42:01	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 16 million 278	No	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0xa9d15a…
02-16 03:37:15	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 18 million 565	No	SELL	100	82¢	$82	0x638ce5…
02-16 03:31:27	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 18 million 565	No	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x32f3d3…
02-16 03:21:51	spx up or down on february 17 2026	Up	SELL	107	64¢	$68	0x92f187…
02-16 03:21:05	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 15 million 268	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd0ee8f…
02-16 03:07:19	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 15 million 268	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x581826…