Scarce-Cormorant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6.25K

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

71.9%

Resolved

16,975

Trades

80,650

lifetime

Volume

$33.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-31 03:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 304 days

Categories

Other

58% 26% +$4,008

Crypto

33% 53% +$1,151

Sports

6% 27% +$782

Politics

3% 49% +$275

Tech

0% 65% +$36

Pop-Culture

0% 20% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 219 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No		-0	$0	88¢	$-0	+$0	06-07 02:56
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?	No		-1	-$1	5¢	$-0	+$1	05-04 01:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?	66	$349	347	347	+0	Yes	+$339	10-30 23:46
2026 arnold palmer invitational presented by mastercard top10 rickie fowler	17	$210	307	221	+86	Yes	+$272	03-08 21:42
Exact Score: Villarreal CF 1 - 0 Levante UD?	8	$182	181	181	+0	No	+$178	05-02 13:18
nba den mem 2026 01 25 spread home 12pt5	52	$149	452	322	+131	Nuggets	+$129	03-19 03:02
HYPE Up or Down on May 19?	3	$121	122	122	+0	Up	+$120	05-23 05:09
si hit 90 high jan 2026 157 295 494	184	$117	3,541	3,483	+58	Yes	+$30	01-15 06:06
spx opens up or down on january 29 2026	77	$115	556	753	-197	Down	-$149	01-29 16:02
wta zidanse kuderme 2026 03 13 first set total 9pt5	5	$115	259	121	+138	Under	+$118	03-13 10:33
Will Chris Gotterup finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?	16	$113	339	181	+159	Yes	+$104	05-17 22:42
Chidekh vs. Hijikata: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5	3	$101	200	100	+100	Under	+$97	04-29 09:46
Sher-E-Punjab T20: Jalandhar Warriors vs Amritsar Soormas - Who wins the toss?	4	$93	108	108	+0	Jalandhar Warriors	+$91	09-07 18:49
bitcoin up or down january 18 12am et	8	$91	44	173	-129	Up	+$56	01-17 19:42
Shandong Taishan FC leading at halftime?	18	$91	420	90	+330	No	+$179	05-30 12:22
Serdiuk Ihor vs. Ziakun Viktor	8	$82	82	82	+0	Serdiuk Ihor	+$80	09-06 16:45
Timberwolves vs. Heat: 1H Moneyline	20	$78	112	112	+0	Timberwolves	+$75	10-22 00:43
Will Chris Kirk finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?	8	$68	1,174	70	+1,104	No	+$88	05-17 22:05
Donte DiVincenzo: Assists O/U 0.5	5	$67	43	67	-24	Yes	+$49	04-26 02:56
rl twis vit 2026 02 20 game1	6	$67	205	66	+139	Vitality	+$97	02-20 17:18
O/U 2.5 Rounds	8	$66	217	115	+102	Over	+$64	05-10 02:11
cl above 70 jan 2026	5	$66	23	82	-59	No	+$70	01-15 11:16
spx opens up or down on february 4 2026	71	$66	306	286	+20	Up	+$5	02-04 14:26
lol lll red 2026 03 01 game2 first blood	7	$66	230	64	+166	LOUD	+$62	03-01 17:31
spx opens up or down on february 2 2026	167	$64	747	623	+124	Down	+$1	02-02 17:18
fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 shots jamal musiala gte1	9	$62	111	62	+49	Yes	+$60	06-25 20:42
Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 2.5	9	$61	45	64	-19	No	+$43	04-26 01:02
si hit 150 high jan 2026	219	$60	2,052	2,511	-459	No	+$8	01-16 11:36
will israel strike lebanon on march 1 2026	196	$60	1,464	3,196	-1,731	No	+$35	03-04 21:59
2026 rbc heritage top5 patrick cantlay	7	$58	1,091	100	+991	No	+$54	04-19 22:07
gc up or down on january 29 2026	25	$55	77	116	-39	Up	+$51	01-29 16:04
ethereum above 2040 on march 29 2026 8am et	21	$54	283	52	+231	No	+$109	03-29 11:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 03:44:52	Will Club Atletico La Paz win on 2026-10-31?	No	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0x320299…
10-31 03:22:22	Will Club Atletico La Paz win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x04a154…
10-31 02:54:28	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-18 House election by 30% or more?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xe0598a…
10-31 02:54:28	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-18 House election by 0%-5%?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x59667b…
10-31 00:13:10	Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0xf68edd…
10-30 23:46:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0xe48948…
10-30 23:17:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0cc86e…
10-30 23:08:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf34fa8…
10-30 23:00:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x981953…
10-30 21:13:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x1f28cb…
10-30 20:32:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xa2d608…
10-30 20:27:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb0991b…
10-30 20:26:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x4b2b8b…
10-30 20:24:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x81f9e0…
10-30 20:23:25	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x61c31a…
10-30 20:18:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x8a270d…
10-30 20:15:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x734703…
10-30 20:11:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xbc12c0…
10-30 20:07:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x9d800a…
10-30 20:01:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x3f61e8…
10-30 19:45:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0xcc1569…
10-30 18:29:19	Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0xd56838…
10-30 18:01:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x08030b…
10-30 18:01:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x08030b…
10-30 16:24:07	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0xe64f2b…
10-30 16:20:46	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-04 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x51b232…
10-30 16:02:09	Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x34fa67…
10-30 15:53:37	Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0xe9a7da…
10-30 15:37:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x02deb9…
10-30 14:02:30	Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x0e92ea…
10-30 14:02:00	Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xfcff7b…
10-30 14:01:55	Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x9e5185…
10-30 14:01:55	Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x93ca04…
10-30 12:46:21	Will the match end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x2c4542…
10-30 12:41:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x5a2919…
10-30 12:13:31	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa5252d…
10-30 12:13:31	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x98c8fa…
10-30 12:13:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xde94af…
10-30 12:11:34	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x4011a5…
10-30 12:09:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xcf9b84…
10-30 12:03:21	Will PP win the most seats in Álava in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xfa2bda…
10-30 12:03:21	Will PP win the most seats in Álava in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x518b58…
10-30 12:03:21	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Álava in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0x17a027…
10-30 12:03:19	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Álava in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0xad6ef3…
10-30 12:03:19	Will PNV win the most seats in Álava in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x7b1cf5…
10-30 11:26:34	Will Republicans win the Texas and Michigan Senate seats, and Democrats win Maine?	Yes	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0xe13b81…
10-30 08:01:04	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x55183d…
10-30 07:50:04	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x57ae87…
10-30 06:58:42	Will PP win the most seats in Álava in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xeea26a…
10-30 06:58:42	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Álava in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa149c3…
10-30 05:51:13	Will Shas win less than 6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xa78449…
10-30 04:55:42	Bitcoin above 78,200 on October 30, 1AM ET?	No	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0x0676d1…
10-30 04:55:18	Bitcoin above 78,200 on October 30, 1AM ET?	No	SELL	9	6¢	$0	0x6af284…
10-30 04:51:42	Bitcoin above 78,600 on October 30, 1AM ET?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x3804b3…
10-30 04:51:34	Bitcoin above 78,200 on October 30, 1AM ET?	No	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x346e81…
10-30 03:51:18	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x5f1e92…
10-30 02:45:43	Will PP win the most seats in Álava in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xe1e7ab…
10-29 21:31:27	Counter-Strike: Ducks vs prodigy (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #10 Playoffs	Ducks	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xdd7820…
10-29 19:46:51	Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?	No	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0x900ee6…
10-29 19:24:28	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Álava in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xe59d1c…
10-29 19:24:28	Will PP win the most seats in Álava in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xc5be83…
10-29 19:08:16	Will Vox win the most seats in Álava in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0x549338…
10-29 17:40:56	Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?	No	BUY	32	1¢	$0	0x5d4959…
10-29 17:19:13	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Álava in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0xf49edc…
10-29 15:19:56	Will Shas win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x27b0fa…
10-29 14:11:53	Will Shas win 7-8% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0xad9124…
10-29 14:04:49	Will Republicans win the Texas and Maine Senate seats, and Democrats win Michigan?	Yes	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0xe8b552…
10-29 12:42:47	Will Republicans win the Texas and Michigan Senate seats, and Democrats win Maine?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xb4e8e1…
10-29 12:42:47	Will Republicans win the Texas and Maine Senate seats, and Democrats win Michigan?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x79da72…
10-29 12:15:32	Will Republicans win the Texas and Michigan Senate seats, and Democrats win Maine?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd3d2ef…
10-29 12:14:13	Will PP win the most seats in Álava in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xeb7268…
10-29 09:39:34	WTT Champions: Tomokazu Harimoto vs Simon Gauzy	Simon Gauzy	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xf5efc5…
10-29 08:45:31	Will Viktor Orbán be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	SELL	13	5¢	$1	0x1b2b04…
10-29 07:50:05	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x33f8b8…
10-29 05:55:01	Will Viktor Orbán be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	BUY	34	0¢	$0	0x3e70ea…
10-29 05:38:28	Will Shas win less than 6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa09a1b…
10-29 05:16:23	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xbc405a…
10-29 01:54:59	Will Elizabeth Peltola be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kronoberg?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x17e7f2…
10-29 01:54:47	Will Elizabeth Peltola be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kronoberg?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x011f01…
10-29 01:27:08	Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)	Wizards	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x3ef7af…
10-29 01:27:04	Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)	Wizards	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x697160…
10-29 01:27:02	Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)	Wizards	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xcb310d…
10-29 01:26:31	Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5	Under	BUY	70	0¢	$0	0xbb03db…
10-29 00:36:34	nba was cle 2026 10 28 points bilal coulibaly 14pt5	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xc95444…
10-28 23:56:49	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-04 House election by 12% or more?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x695acd…
10-28 23:13:41	James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x160f7f…
10-28 23:13:07	Spread: Cavaliers (-30.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xcb3eba…
10-28 23:12:20	Wizards vs. Cavaliers: Team to Score First	Cavaliers	BUY	56	1¢	$1	0x64a089…
10-28 23:01:31	Tre Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	56	1¢	$1	0x4150c3…
10-28 23:01:29	Tre Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5	Yes	BUY	56	1¢	$1	0x291494…
10-28 23:00:59	Tre Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5	Yes	BUY	55	1¢	$1	0x167984…
10-28 22:15:11	Tre Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xd85fe2…
10-28 22:15:11	Tre Johnson: Points O/U 4.5	Yes	BUY	68	1¢	$1	0xa97e82…
10-28 22:15:11	Tre Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5	Yes	BUY	82	1¢	$1	0x6ad217…
10-28 22:15:11	Tre Johnson: Points O/U 4.5	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x394ab6…
10-28 22:15:11	Tre Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x258c84…
10-28 22:15:11	Tre Johnson: Points O/U 9.5	Yes	BUY	59	1¢	$1	0x20e3c1…
10-28 22:15:10	Tre Johnson: Points O/U 19.5	Yes	BUY	96	1¢	$1	0xd2f652…
10-28 21:25:35	Will Arsenal WFC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x7783e4…
10-28 20:29:50	cs2 gl1 envy 2026 10 28 game2	Envy	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0x6d11f9…