Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny before 2027?
open
Total volume
$368
Trades
50
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$40
Latest YES mid
31¢
Latest NO mid
69¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-04
last 07-23 19:06
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $12 | $20 | $9 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $15 | $33 | $18 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $1 | $92 | $90 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $25 | $29 | $4 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $13 | $5 | +$8 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $0 | $10 | $10 |
| Median | 2 | — | $10 | $10 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $20 | $20 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $15 | $48 | $33 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $17 | $17 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $21 | $21 |
| unranked | 6 | $25 | $42 | $17 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +43 | $7 | $17 | 5 | 07-22 00:08 |
| Dear-Acoustics 0x90f7…2501 | No | +29 | $16 | $16 | 3 | 07-23 19:06 |
| Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | +23 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 07-12 08:33 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +21 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-22 00:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xc37d…b48c | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-21 23:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xc37d…b48c | No | +20 | $18 | $38 | 3 | 07-21 23:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xb84c…e169 | No | +13 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 07-22 19:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x56d3…e307 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-21 23:05 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-04 18:38 |
| Untimely-Fresco 0xc972…dcd9 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-22 00:05 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 19:06:00 | Dear-Acoustics 0x90f7…2501 | No | BUY | 6 | 62¢ | $4 | 0xd70774… |
| 07-23 19:06:00 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 6 | 62¢ | $4 | 0xd70774… |
| 07-22 19:39:49 | (anonymous) 0xb84c…e169 | No | BUY | 13 | 81¢ | $11 | 0xe1f322… |
| 07-22 19:39:49 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xe1f322… |
| 07-22 19:39:49 | Wet-Event 0x6236…6881 | No | SELL | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0xe1f322… |
| 07-22 08:07:16 | 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | No | SELL | 26 | 85¢ | $22 | 0xed9bf3… |
| 07-22 08:07:16 | Wet-Event 0x6236…6881 | No | BUY | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0xed9bf3… |
| 07-22 08:07:16 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0xed9bf3… |
| 07-22 03:15:10 | (anonymous) 0x018a…9522 | No | SELL | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0x73c64e… |
| 07-22 03:15:10 | Bewitched-Auditorium 0x721a…9295 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x73c64e… |
| 07-22 00:08:54 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xcb4967… |
| 07-22 00:08:54 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xcb4967… |
| 07-22 00:08:54 | 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | No | BUY | 26 | 85¢ | $22 | 0xcb4967… |
| 07-22 00:05:03 | Bewitched-Auditorium 0x721a…9295 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 74¢ | $15 | 0x13fb56… |
| 07-22 00:05:03 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 21 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x13fb56… |
| 07-22 00:05:03 | Untimely-Fresco 0xc972…dcd9 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x13fb56… |
| 07-21 23:16:51 | (anonymous) 0x018a…9522 | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0xc01653… |
| 07-21 23:16:51 | (anonymous) 0xc37d…b48c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xc01653… |
| 07-21 23:16:49 | 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | No | SELL | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x3d9b20… |
| 07-21 23:16:49 | (anonymous) 0xc37d…b48c | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x3d9b20… |
| 07-21 23:05:22 | (anonymous) 0x56d3…e307 | No | BUY | 3 | 88¢ | $3 | 0x31a2e8… |
| 07-21 23:05:22 | (anonymous) 0x018a…9522 | No | SELL | 3 | 88¢ | $3 | 0x31a2e8… |
| 07-21 23:05:19 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xefe274… |
| 07-21 23:05:19 | (anonymous) 0xc37d…b48c | No | SELL | 11 | 89¢ | $10 | 0xefe274… |
| 07-21 23:05:19 | (anonymous) 0x018a…9522 | No | BUY | 3 | 88¢ | $3 | 0xefe274… |
| 07-21 23:05:18 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | No | SELL | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0xbf0706… |
| 07-21 23:05:18 | (anonymous) 0xc37d…b48c | No | BUY | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0xbf0706… |
| 07-21 23:05:15 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | No | BUY | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0xfe8be1… |
| 07-21 23:05:15 | 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | No | SELL | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0xfe8be1… |
| 07-21 22:11:52 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 18¢ | $6 | 0xd16493… |
| 07-21 22:11:52 | 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | No | BUY | 31 | 82¢ | $26 | 0xd16493… |
| 07-12 08:33:11 | Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | BUY | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x04a5c1… |
| 07-12 08:33:11 | Stained-Aluminium 0x8ca3…1f0b | Yes | SELL | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x04a5c1… |
| 07-12 08:33:08 | Dear-Acoustics 0x90f7…2501 | No | BUY | 12 | 57¢ | $7 | 0x4b4036… |
| 07-12 08:33:08 | Stained-Aluminium 0x8ca3…1f0b | Yes | BUY | 12 | 43¢ | $5 | 0x4b4036… |
| 07-12 08:32:58 | Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | BUY | 11 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9a71c5… |
| 07-12 08:32:58 | Stained-Aluminium 0x8ca3…1f0b | Yes | SELL | 11 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9a71c5… |
| 07-12 08:32:52 | Stained-Aluminium 0x8ca3…1f0b | Yes | BUY | 11 | 45¢ | $5 | 0x80d191… |
| 07-12 08:32:52 | Dear-Acoustics 0x90f7…2501 | No | BUY | 11 | 55¢ | $6 | 0x80d191… |
| 06-29 03:34:34 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | SELL | 20 | 76¢ | $15 | 0xa83903… |
| 06-29 03:34:34 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0xa83903… |
| 06-22 00:07:20 | (anonymous) 0xa883…bab7 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 27¢ | $5 | 0x2f9ce2… |
| 06-22 00:07:20 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 27¢ | $3 | 0x2f9ce2… |
| 06-22 00:07:20 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x2f9ce2… |
| 06-21 18:38:47 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0xb14dd5… |
| 06-21 18:38:47 | (anonymous) 0xa883…bab7 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0xb14dd5… |
| 06-04 18:38:04 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | BUY | 2 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x201fd4… |
| 06-04 18:38:04 | Sweaty-Tulip 0x7b1f…c6c9 | No | SELL | 2 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x201fd4… |
| 06-04 18:37:51 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x8ac90d… |
| 06-04 18:37:51 | Sweaty-Tulip 0x7b1f…c6c9 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x8ac90d… |