Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.52K

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

9.1%

Resolved

1,336

Trades

6,276

lifetime

Volume

$45.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-07-18

last 08-11 07:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 82 days

Categories

Other

78% 10% -$2,040

Politics

14% 7% -$293

Sports

3% 18% -$54

Tech

2% 10% -$85

Pop-Culture

2% 0% -$32

Crypto

1% 11% -$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 124 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	+7	$6	99¢	$7	+$0	08-05 17:34
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	No	+20	$5	13¢	$3	-$3	08-08 16:32
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	+7	$0	1¢	$0	$0	08-10 01:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran full airspace closure by august 15	110	$874	908	790	+119	No	-$9	08-10 01:21
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	87	$714	706	706	+0	No	-$4	07-31 21:31
will madonnas monthly listeners figure hit 58m by august 31 20260723155541884	51	$477	480	480	+0	No	-$21	07-25 03:46
iran full airspace closure by july 24	54	$455	446	446	+0	No	-$4	07-23 10:50
israel closes its airspace by july 24	53	$401	457	457	+0	No	$0	07-20 16:54
Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 1?	32	$313	258	258	+0	Yes	-$7	07-21 08:31
will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	23	$210	220	220	+0	Yes	-$9	08-01 05:03
zelenskyy meets with netanyahu by thursday 20260727212337638	32	$208	278	258	+20	Yes	-$6	07-28 18:17
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 24?	34	$202	213	213	+0	Yes	-$6	07-23 11:31
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	37	$198	204	204	+0	Yes	-$2	07-22 23:55
us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	23	$195	220	220	+0	Yes	-$4	08-02 10:12
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	23	$187	191	191	+0	No	-$5	08-01 16:50
will trump speak to andy burnham in july 20260720151658724	27	$177	200	200	+0	Yes	-$1	07-20 23:23
will mu dip to 810 by july 20 2026	24	$177	223	223	+0	No	-$8	07-23 00:03
will wti dip to 90 in july 2026	14	$171	140	140	+0	Yes	-$1	07-24 08:06
over 35m committed to the ripcars public sale	20	$163	160	160	+0	No	-$6	07-22 16:21
Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?	14	$161	155	115	+40	Yes	$0	08-05 05:16
cbre quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 1pt32	14	$158	140	140	+0	No	-$9	07-25 03:46
Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?	17	$156	142	142	+0	open	—	07-21 17:09
Will Liquid Win the Stake Pulse Beat 1 tournament?	20	$152	191	134	+56	No	-$11	08-05 18:47
Will Tadej Pogačar be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?	16	$152	141	141	+0	No	-$3	07-22 07:16
will xagusd reach 60 by july 20 2026	18	$150	160	160	+0	Yes	-$6	07-22 12:24
will wti reach 85 by july 20 2026	20	$149	158	158	+0	Yes	-$5	07-20 22:38
kimi k4 released by december 31 2026 20260722184115885	15	$145	110	110	+0	open	—	07-27 09:05
will meta dip to 630 by july 20 2026	14	$144	140	140	+0	Yes	-$2	07-21 17:41
will googl dip to 345 by july 20 2026	12	$140	106	106	+0	Yes	-$1	07-22 13:49
Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool?	12	$137	120	120	+0	Yes	-$5	08-05 05:15
usfd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 06 2026 1pt36	11	$128	100	100	+0	Yes	-$4	07-26 22:22
will abnb reach 148 by july 20 2026	13	$125	113	113	+0	No	-$10	07-22 13:25
will nvda dip to 200 by july 20 2026	14	$120	140	140	+0	No	-$3	07-22 14:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 07:16:40	Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	65¢	$7	0xa17ece…
08-11 07:04:52	Will Mariana Rodríguez Cantú win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x0fc384…
08-11 06:31:30	Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0xe67bbe…
08-11 06:03:15	Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x3b18b1…
08-11 05:37:36	Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xc764fe…
08-11 03:17:03	Will Alfredo Gaspar be the VP candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro?	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xa15545…
08-11 01:22:39	grok 4pt6 released by august 12 2026	Yes	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x24535c…
08-11 01:00:24	grok 4pt6 released by august 13 2026	Yes	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x702682…
08-11 00:57:39	grok 4pt6 released by august 13 2026	Yes	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0x907dd0…
08-11 00:57:37	grok 4pt6 released by august 13 2026	Yes	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xf8c7ef…
08-11 00:52:46	grok 4pt6 released by august 13 2026	Yes	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0x1c445e…
08-11 00:52:16	grok 4pt6 released by august 13 2026	Yes	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x838557…
08-11 00:52:13	grok 4pt6 released by august 13 2026	Yes	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0xc36510…
08-11 00:51:37	grok 4pt6 released by august 13 2026	Yes	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x485b2e…
08-11 00:51:19	grok 4pt6 released by august 13 2026	Yes	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x911517…
08-11 00:49:00	grok 4pt6 released by august 13 2026	Yes	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x017a04…
08-11 00:47:43	grok 4pt6 released by august 13 2026	Yes	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x1916cd…
08-11 00:36:06	Will Botond Fülöp be the next President of Hungary?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x6a5fb4…
08-11 00:36:04	Will Peggy Flanagan win Ramsey County in the Minnesota Democratic Senate primary?	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x8428ef…
08-11 00:36:03	Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xa8e236…
08-11 00:36:03	Will "New Religion - Bebe Rexha & Faithless" be the song of the summer?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x535ee2…
08-11 00:36:00	Will Alfredo Gaspar be the VP candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro?	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xd137e8…
08-11 00:35:58	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x6f2315…
08-11 00:35:58	Will BNK FEARX Win the Shortest Game in LCK 2026 Rounds 3-4?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x42955c…
08-11 00:35:57	Will Pat McFadden be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x3a7931…
08-11 00:35:55	Will Marianne Alto win the 2026 Victoria mayoral election?	No	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x6b3de1…
08-11 00:35:54	will rio ferdinand attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806201203759	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0xa037e5…
08-11 00:35:52	will nininho vaz maia attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000540828	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x6f306f…
08-11 00:35:51	Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x51b32a…
08-11 00:35:49	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x03fab9…
08-11 00:35:48	Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $5.50 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0xa021b9…
08-11 00:35:46	Will Estral Esports Win Circuito Desafiante 2026 Split 2	No	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0xb96a71…
08-11 00:35:46	Will Alfred Cannan be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x0cefa3…
08-11 00:35:45	Will JavierLoL Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xae6bd2…
08-11 00:35:43	Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?	Yes	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x41b65c…
08-11 00:35:42	will russia capture shevchenko by august 31 20260805162837388	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x6b0b2f…
08-11 00:33:18	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0xf69159…
08-11 00:33:18	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	16	84¢	$14	0xd5700d…
08-11 00:12:30	Will "THIS & THAT - Stray Kids" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 22?	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xf54349…
08-10 23:07:40	Will "THIS & THAT - Stray Kids" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 22?	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x77811b…
08-10 23:02:30	grok 4pt6 released by august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xb8d442…
08-10 22:58:30	grok 4pt6 released by august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x133a62…
08-10 22:50:13	Will "THIS & THAT - Stray Kids" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 22?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x848802…
08-10 22:43:42	grok 4pt6 released by august 21 2026	Yes	SELL	40	91¢	$36	0xb61970…
08-10 22:43:13	grok 4pt6 released by august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x62d2d6…
08-10 22:43:06	grok 4pt6 released by august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x9e2c3c…
08-10 22:29:33	Will White House post 200+ posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x01a42d…
08-10 22:19:34	grok 4pt6 released by august 13 2026	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xeaf70c…
08-10 22:16:30	grok 4pt6 released by august 21 2026	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x2d53de…
08-10 21:45:42	Will GIANTX Win the Shortest Game in LEC 2026 Summer Split?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xcc7248…
08-10 20:17:01	Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x42fc86…
08-10 20:16:52	Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xb4be69…
08-10 20:03:01	grok 4pt6 released by august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x5daf0a…
08-10 19:24:19	will there be at least 20000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by august 31 2026 20260727151618911	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x36c6f6…
08-10 19:05:25	grok 4pt6 released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xe1a0a1…
08-10 19:02:39	Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0xa891f1…
08-10 18:15:27	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x21c918…
08-10 18:03:42	Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x541459…
08-10 15:04:10	Will Marianne Alto win the 2026 Victoria mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x3bffeb…
08-10 14:46:51	Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x9d5d56…
08-10 13:16:46	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xc29ad6…
08-10 13:06:13	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x74f964…
08-10 12:15:52	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x1f0e6f…
08-10 12:14:46	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xb546cc…
08-10 11:22:33	Will the 2026 Guinea-Bissau constitutional referendum pass?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x108d38…
08-10 10:28:19	Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?	No	SELL	12	39¢	$5	0xa3332a…
08-10 10:10:27	Will White House post 160-179 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xf515d3…
08-10 09:34:06	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0xcf40ff…
08-10 09:23:01	Will "Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy" be the #1 song this week?	Yes	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xd2ef48…
08-10 08:52:45	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x13f9bd…
08-10 08:17:39	Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?	No	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0x2cd029…
08-10 08:14:00	Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x20eda6…
08-10 08:03:09	Will Alfonso Sánchez García win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x09ce95…
08-10 07:29:27	Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xd623fb…
08-10 07:24:09	Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x3337f3…
08-10 07:13:21	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	51¢	$5	0xe37134…
08-10 07:01:37	Will "Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy" be the #1 song this week?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xc6e0c4…
08-10 06:26:13	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	52¢	$1	0x83221c…
08-10 06:23:19	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x68a66d…
08-10 06:10:01	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 25°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x522c82…
08-10 05:26:51	Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x82c985…
08-10 04:45:09	Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xa98b14…
08-10 04:31:34	Will Francesca Hong win Kenosha County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x08e44c…
08-10 04:18:25	Will BBL Esports Win VCT EMEA Stage 2 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x8732b7…
08-10 03:39:58	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xfd3767…
08-10 03:13:36	Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xe36f10…
08-10 03:09:24	Will United Russia win the next Murmansk Oblast Parliament elections?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x3ef05d…
08-10 03:07:43	Will United Russia win the next Murmansk Oblast Parliament elections?	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xc5fb04…
08-10 03:02:04	Will United Russia win the next Murmansk Oblast Parliament elections?	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xf84559…
08-10 02:54:15	Will United Russia win the next Murmansk Oblast Parliament elections?	Yes	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x724f92…
08-10 02:47:06	Will United Russia win the next Murmansk Oblast Parliament elections?	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x6f420f…
08-10 02:31:40	Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $5.50 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xc2735c…
08-10 02:30:03	Will LØS Win the Shortest Game in CBLOL 2026 Split 2?	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xdce782…
08-10 02:28:03	Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xf24d05…
08-10 02:27:22	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x54872f…
08-10 01:21:46	Will LDPR win the next Pskov Oblast Parliament elections?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xe13676…
08-10 01:21:43	Will Bruno Fernandes stay at Manchester United?	No	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x15ad72…
08-10 01:21:42	will ice cream man score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805011213739	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xc08917…
08-10 01:21:42	Will "Be Her - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 22?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x519b57…
08-10 01:21:40	will ice cream man score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805011213740	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x2497b3…