Realized P&L
+$2.97K
Unrealized P&L
+$186
Hit rate
69.8%
Resolved
448
Trades
3,645
lifetime
Volume
$641.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$176
Open exposure
$12.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 21:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 143 days
Categories
Politics
70% 70% +$33
Other
29% 73% +$3,011
Crypto
1% 17% -$342
Sports
0% 75% +$8
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$37
Tech
0% 67% +$224
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,280 66¢ $1.3K +$50 10-25 09:32
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No -1,369 -$1,130 96¢ $-1311 -$181 08-02 11:15
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2,000 $956 62¢ $1.2K +$277 10-27 11:11
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,300 $1,209 92¢ $1.2K -$6 10-25 09:48
Kash Patel out by December 31? No -1,376 -$275 80¢ $-1101 -$826 04-28 13:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,150 $901 82¢ $949 +$48 10-25 11:38
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +963 $720 95¢ $914 +$194 10-24 21:16
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,000 $740 74¢ $735 -$5 10-26 10:52
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? No +775 $367 90¢ $694 +$327 10-26 17:44
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? No +537 $533 89¢ $479 -$53 09-30 18:01
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -336 -$305 86¢ $-288 +$17 06-15 11:55
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +300 $258 86¢ $256 -$2 10-25 19:27
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +500 $230 44¢ $222 -$8 10-22 17:10
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +300 $261 72¢ $214 -$46 09-26 17:20
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No -231 -$308 84¢ $-196 +$113 08-07 16:57
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -200 -$190 96¢ $-192 -$2 10-01 20:44
saudi houthi ceasefire agreement announced by october 31 No +200 $150 96¢ $192 +$42 09-26 17:10
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +200 $150 94¢ $187 +$37 10-22 17:14
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +200 $156 86¢ $172 +$16 07-12 09:47
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No -158 -$335 96¢ $-151 +$184 07-04 17:05
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? No +135 $110 90¢ $121 +$11 04-28 15:36
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? No -118 -$114 97¢ $-114 +$0 08-20 13:36
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -100 -$91 96¢ $-96 -$5 05-15 17:45
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +100 $92 94¢ $94 +$2 08-25 21:59
US recession by end of 2026? No -100 -$88 92¢ $-92 -$4 06-22 18:29
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +100 $72 74¢ $74 +$2 10-26 17:35
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +50 $46 94¢ $47 +$2 07-05 12:23
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? Yes +125 $37 34¢ $42 +$4 10-26 18:16
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +59 $36 64¢ $37 +$1 10-26 18:18
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? No -29 -$23 90¢ $-26 -$2 06-11 17:43