Realized P&L
-$8.51K
Unrealized P&L
+$519
Hit rate
0.4%
Resolved
6
Trades
2,814
lifetime
Volume
$524.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$186
Open exposure
$7.98K
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 01:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
74% 0% $-8,521
Other
26% 50% +$6
Pop-Culture
0%
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027? No +3,358 $2,282 84¢ $2.8K +$555 07-16 06:22
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? No +749 $728 94¢ $704 $-24 07-04 09:56
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +600 $546 90¢ $537 $-9 07-14 12:03
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +527 $463 88¢ $467 +$4 07-05 10:01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +600 $506 72¢ $435 $-71 07-09 13:28
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +397 $310 82¢ $326 +$16 07-08 10:45
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No -402 $-326 80¢ $-321 +$6 07-04 17:05
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? No +330 $297 92¢ $305 +$8 07-05 11:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +500 $341 55¢ $272 $-68 07-07 08:38
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +282 $247 90¢ $253 +$6 07-05 10:01
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +224 $204 90¢ $202 $-1 07-04 14:21
Will MrBeast get married by December 31? Yes +200 $191 100¢ $200 +$9 07-11 20:10
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +200 $172 92¢ $183 +$11 06-30 15:31
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +200 $156 76¢ $151 $-5 07-12 09:47
Another US debt downgrade before 2027? No +165 $132 82¢ $135 +$3 06-22 15:17
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +118 $110 92¢ $108 $-1 07-07 09:16
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +308 $114 34¢ $106 $-8 06-26 11:31
US recession by end of 2026? No -100 $-88 88¢ $-88 +$0 06-22 18:29
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? No +94 $61 80¢ $75 +$14 06-22 14:01
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -301 $-136 22¢ $-65 +$72 06-20 10:11
Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027? No +56 $33 88¢ $49 +$16 07-13 05:32
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No -54 $-44 84¢ $-46 $-1 06-11 17:43
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +50 $46 90¢ $45 $-1 07-05 12:23
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? No -29 $-23 84¢ $-24 $-0 06-11 17:43
Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz before 2027? No +41 $32 54¢ $22 $-10 07-20 16:07
Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny before 2027? No +23 $13 52¢ $12 $-1 07-12 08:33
Will Finland recognize Palestine before 2027? No +11 $10 88¢ $10 +$0 07-04 17:49