Realized P&L
-$8.51K
Unrealized P&L
-$110
Hit rate
0.4%
Resolved
6
Trades
2,658
lifetime
Volume
$505.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$190
Open exposure
$5.17K
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 11:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
74% 0% $-8,521
Other
26% 50% +$6
Pop-Culture
0%
Tech
0%
Crypto
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30? No +1,021 $956 99¢ $1.0K +$59 06-30 11:28
Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by June 30, 2026? No +909 $888 100¢ $907 +$20 06-27 10:11
Will Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30? No +532 $519 100¢ $530 +$12 06-25 11:16
Meek Mill gets Y Combinator funding by June 30? No +522 $517 99¢ $519 +$2 06-22 13:57
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30? No +323 $305 98¢ $319 +$13 06-26 11:32
Will s1mple retire by June 30? No +300 $292 100¢ $300 +$8 06-22 18:30
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No -295 $-231 80¢ $-235 $-3 06-17 12:33
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? No +220 $210 100¢ $219 +$9 06-17 18:32
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +196 $189 100¢ $196 +$7 05-29 08:51
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No -247 $-173 69¢ $-170 +$3 06-27 18:12
Another US debt downgrade before 2027? No +165 $132 80¢ $132 $-0 06-22 15:17
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +308 $114 34¢ $103 $-11 06-26 11:31
US recession by end of 2026? No -100 $-88 88¢ $-88 $-0 06-22 18:29
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -301 $-136 29¢ $-86 +$51 06-20 10:11
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? No +94 $61 77¢ $72 +$11 06-22 14:01
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +71 $69 100¢ $71 +$2 06-09 18:53
Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by June 30? No +49 $48 100¢ $48 +$1 06-10 16:59
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No -54 $-44 87¢ $-47 $-3 06-11 17:43
Will Malaysia recognize Israel by June 30? No +43 $43 100¢ $43 +$1 06-10 16:59
Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30? No +24 $24 100¢ $24 +$0 06-25 20:23
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No -24 $268 95¢ $-23 $-292 06-28 13:47
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? No -29 $-23 78¢ $-22 +$1 06-11 17:43