Dear-Acoustics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8.51K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.4%

Resolved

Trades

3,063

lifetime

Volume

$561.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$183

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 09:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

72% 0% $-8,521

Other

27% 50% +$6

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	86	$36.6K	18,469	19,136	-668	open	—	02-28 23:57
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	19	$22.7K	12,662	12,662	+0	open	—	04-10 17:50
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	6	$22.3K	11,248	11,248	+0	open	—	04-08 16:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	30	$19.4K	32,628	28,972	+3,656	open	—	05-29 08:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	21	$18.3K	13,457	6,710	+6,748	Yes	$-5,577	05-08 19:26
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	15	$16.5K	12,000	4,525	+7,475	open	—	01-03 23:50
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	60	$14.4K	10,144	9,744	+400	open	—	03-22 14:40
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	43	$14.1K	8,155	8,209	-53	open	—	03-09 20:13
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	30	$11.8K	24,100	14,475	+9,625	open	—	06-16 20:58
will germany strike iran by march 31	27	$11.0K	5,560	6,002	-442	open	—	03-12 21:19
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	29	$10.2K	12,100	12,100	+0	open	—	04-10 19:50
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	44	$9.5K	7,025	4,559	+2,466	open	—	03-03 10:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	15	$8.0K	4,770	3,553	+1,217	open	—	04-29 13:29
Will UK strike Iran by April 30?	21	$7.8K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	04-28 07:48
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	8	$7.3K	4,729	2,800	+1,930	open	—	01-28 13:58
Kash Patel out by April 30?	38	$7.2K	4,242	4,299	-58	open	—	04-28 16:03
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	7	$6.9K	4,137	4,137	+0	open	—	04-26 10:51
netanyahu out by march 31 854	12	$6.5K	3,370	3,370	+0	open	—	03-23 16:18
will bahrain strike iran by march 31	54	$6.3K	4,419	3,366	+1,054	open	—	03-30 13:30
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	28	$6.2K	3,494	3,494	+0	open	—	01-14 02:16
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	29	$6.2K	7,864	7,864	+0	open	—	04-29 21:41
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?	30	$5.9K	5,299	2,366	+2,932	open	—	08-09 04:30
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	63	$5.5K	4,706	1,672	+3,033	open	—	02-23 16:57
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	78	$5.1K	4,028	4,113	-85	open	—	04-16 09:07
ukraine election called by march 31 2026	29	$4.8K	2,473	2,825	-352	open	—	02-11 18:53
Will Bahrain strike Iran by April 30?	13	$4.7K	2,604	2,217	+386	open	—	04-28 14:08
andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	20	$4.7K	2,397	2,397	+0	open	—	07-28 04:02
russia x ukraine ceasefire by june 30 2026 631	2	$4.7K	3,193	1,597	+1,597	open	—	06-28 11:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	12	$4.7K	10,000	11,099	-1,099	open	—	05-11 10:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	15	$4.6K	12,496	17,855	-5,359	open	—	05-26 07:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 15:08:21	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	700	78¢	$546	0xa1e518…
08-11 09:34:49	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	1,000	81¢	$810	0x58861b…
08-11 09:33:04	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	338	98¢	$330	0xff3087…
08-11 09:32:40	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	No	SELL	453	99¢	$447	0xa33b71…
08-11 08:26:19	Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?	No	SELL	125	85¢	$106	0xa4fde2…
08-11 06:39:30	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	300	83¢	$249	0x96ba8a…
08-10 13:01:49	Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?	No	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x07edc7…
08-09 08:24:33	Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?	No	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0xf9f3d9…
08-09 04:30:39	Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?	No	BUY	60	52¢	$31	0x13cc4d…
08-08 19:59:27	will m0nesy attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260805173412154	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xe15704…
08-08 19:50:04	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	Yes	SELL	894	30¢	$268	0x6143ae…
08-08 19:26:39	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xe94203…
08-08 19:24:57	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xd73a51…
08-08 19:19:34	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	Yes	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x7c3754…
08-08 19:19:33	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	Yes	SELL	46	30¢	$14	0xc305c1…
08-08 17:20:31	will iran target a arab country on august 30 2026 20260801004719147	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xb07be8…
08-07 19:35:01	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	216	95¢	$205	0x0acf51…
08-07 17:23:03	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0xecd0d2…
08-07 17:22:27	Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	No	SELL	527	89¢	$469	0xba8d2d…
08-07 16:57:19	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	SELL	803	85¢	$682	0x2555c8…
08-07 16:49:37	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	338	94¢	$318	0xb68796…
08-07 16:19:33	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	460	95¢	$437	0xfdba43…
08-07 11:31:43	Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?	No	BUY	594	81¢	$479	0x38a4d9…
08-07 11:15:48	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	SELL	71	95¢	$67	0xa9f66b…
08-07 08:20:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	500	59¢	$295	0x520d49…
08-07 08:20:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	440	26¢	$114	0x56bdcf…
08-07 07:14:54	will m0nesy attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260805173412154	No	BUY	49	97¢	$48	0xf1ed86…
08-07 07:14:51	will m0nesy attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260805173412154	No	BUY	66	97¢	$64	0xe17c6c…
08-06 18:18:20	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	35	55¢	$19	0xe6b3bf…
08-06 16:13:53	icelandic european union membership negotiations referendum passes 20260609135241589	Yes	BUY	96	61¢	$59	0xc45c28…
08-06 16:07:05	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x088028…
08-06 13:52:53	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	436	60¢	$261	0x196452…
08-06 13:22:41	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x99ab1a…
08-06 13:07:05	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x30fecf…
08-06 13:06:29	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	479	36¢	$172	0x45293d…
08-06 12:46:29	Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz before 2027?	No	SELL	272	90¢	$245	0x6b365c…
08-06 12:28:57	andrew tate released from custody by august 31 2026 20260728183326903	No	BUY	275	96¢	$264	0x7bb53e…
08-06 10:59:44	will m0nesy attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260805173412154	No	BUY	1,345	97¢	$1,311	0x90e91f…
08-06 10:52:45	us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223	Yes	SELL	150	18¢	$27	0x0385a4…
08-06 10:45:17	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	300	93¢	$279	0x2a9b03…
08-06 08:34:53	Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?	No	BUY	124	75¢	$93	0x6c81bf…
08-05 20:14:45	will m0nesy attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260805173412154	No	BUY	1,552	95¢	$1,478	0xfef4d5…
08-05 20:11:24	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xa55b36…
08-05 20:10:41	Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?	No	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x33fc5d…
08-05 20:02:57	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	64	92¢	$59	0x52857d…
08-05 16:52:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	16	68¢	$11	0xdec98f…
08-05 16:52:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	16	68¢	$11	0x1c9b67…
08-05 16:52:20	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	27	68¢	$18	0x017ee3…
08-05 16:52:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	22	68¢	$15	0x3fa55e…
08-05 16:52:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	536	67¢	$359	0x126617…
08-05 16:51:11	us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223	Yes	SELL	834	16¢	$133	0xd9824a…
08-05 16:50:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	71	68¢	$48	0x400afb…
08-05 16:49:59	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	296	44¢	$129	0xeeab16…
08-05 14:43:50	us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223	Yes	SELL	30	19¢	$6	0xbd7f97…
08-05 14:35:45	us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0xd71d0a…
08-05 14:33:18	us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0x8bf935…
08-05 08:13:08	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	215	49¢	$104	0x66153e…
08-04 16:44:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	364	65¢	$238	0xd4d265…
08-04 13:46:26	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	806	52¢	$416	0xc66346…
08-04 13:37:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	119	60¢	$71	0x55611c…
08-04 13:36:23	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	488	60¢	$293	0x04762e…
08-04 13:34:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	25	67¢	$17	0x8d90ba…
08-04 13:33:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x067bbe…
08-04 13:33:32	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	99	68¢	$67	0xd153a8…
08-04 13:32:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	19	69¢	$13	0xfb8d34…
08-04 13:32:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x55119d…
08-04 13:31:50	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x02ef9e…
08-04 13:31:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	18	71¢	$13	0xa8907d…
08-04 13:25:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	1,613	50¢	$800	0xb7ded7…
08-04 12:28:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	2,019	54¢	$1,090	0x409076…
08-04 12:27:41	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	300	53¢	$159	0xef611e…
08-04 12:22:05	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	279	87¢	$243	0x96c5e6…
08-03 20:29:45	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	400	93¢	$372	0x3d72d0…
08-03 20:27:42	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	BUY	251	92¢	$231	0xbfb8d7…
08-03 19:47:23	UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	SELL	128	95¢	$121	0x3b2b4a…
08-03 19:42:05	will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	590	49¢	$292	0x3b369a…
08-03 16:05:17	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	1,043	16¢	$164	0x42eb81…
08-03 16:04:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x5abce4…
08-03 16:03:59	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	55	16¢	$9	0x1a02af…
08-03 15:16:24	Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?	No	SELL	185	82¢	$152	0x40d582…
08-03 14:19:50	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	195	21¢	$41	0x65744e…
08-03 14:19:44	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	205	19¢	$39	0xac7e74…
08-03 13:28:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	119	16¢	$19	0x90e7d3…
08-03 13:28:02	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	82	16¢	$13	0x58e7a7…
08-03 13:14:02	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	SELL	79	88¢	$69	0x183741…
08-03 04:29:08	Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz before 2027?	No	SELL	96	84¢	$80	0x4403d8…
08-02 11:24:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	450	80¢	$360	0x0c6356…
08-02 11:15:32	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	No	SELL	113	87¢	$98	0x367c5d…
08-02 11:15:24	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	No	SELL	226	87¢	$196	0x02f2fc…
08-02 11:14:48	ukraine election called by august 31 2026	No	SELL	1,007	98¢	$987	0x8dc49f…
08-02 09:36:47	Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xb899fa…
08-02 09:36:44	Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x3fb87d…
08-02 09:09:56	Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?	No	BUY	369	80¢	$295	0x0930c8…
08-02 07:23:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	310	98¢	$304	0x618b2a…
08-02 07:23:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	SELL	292	96¢	$281	0x0eeb85…
08-02 02:10:57	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	Yes	BUY	208	59¢	$123	0x70b92c…
08-02 01:42:53	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x4c602d…
08-02 00:57:36	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	Yes	BUY	102	59¢	$60	0xbf9857…
08-01 20:47:54	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	Yes	BUY	90	59¢	$53	0xdd1c23…
08-01 17:50:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x087932…