Realized P&L
+$4.38K
Unrealized P&L
-$202
Hit rate
70.0%
Resolved
460
Trades
3,791
lifetime
Volume
$657.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$174
Open exposure
$13.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-10 14:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 149 days
Categories
Politics
70% 70% +$1,447
Other
29% 73% +$3,007
Crypto
1% 17% -$342
Sports
0% 75% +$8
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$37
Tech
0% 67% +$224
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +1,386 $1,347 97¢ $1.3K -$1 11-08 20:45
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No -1,369 -$1,130 98¢ $-1339 -$209 08-02 11:15
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +2,425 $1,286 48¢ $1.2K -$110 11-10 13:37
Kash Patel out by December 31? No -1,376 -$275 81¢ $-1115 -$840 04-28 13:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,150 $901 92¢ $1.1K +$151 10-25 11:38
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +963 $720 97¢ $932 +$212 10-24 21:16
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? No +863 $446 94¢ $813 +$367 11-05 14:04
Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027? No +748 $451 96¢ $718 +$266 10-26 18:24
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +500 $455 90¢ $452 -$2 11-10 14:00
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? No +431 $331 96¢ $412 +$81 11-08 18:41
Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027? No +421 $371 91¢ $383 +$12 11-10 14:22
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? No +542 $536 62¢ $334 -$201 11-06 18:21
Elon Musk meets with Putin by December 31, 2026? No +360 $338 90¢ $322 -$16 11-06 22:55
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +2,000 $579 16¢ $310 -$269 11-04 17:42
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? No +300 $251 97¢ $292 +$41 11-08 17:06
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026? No +300 $258 84¢ $250 -$8 11-10 14:37
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +500 $230 45¢ $226 -$4 10-22 17:10
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No -231 -$308 90¢ $-209 +$99 08-07 16:57
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -222 -$209 94¢ $-208 +$1 10-30 20:26
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -200 -$190 98¢ $-197 -$7 10-01 20:44
Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" before 2027? No +196 $178 97¢ $190 +$11 10-30 09:58
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +200 $156 92¢ $185 +$29 07-12 09:47
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by November 30, 2026? No +219 $112 75¢ $164 +$52 11-04 21:18
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No -158 -$335 96¢ $-151 +$184 07-04 17:05
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +500 $215 30¢ $148 -$68 11-04 21:32
Will Nicki Minaj be the next White House Press Secretary? No +130 $118 99¢ $129 +$11 10-26 18:25
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? No +135 $110 94¢ $127 +$16 04-28 15:36
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? No -118 -$114 95¢ $-112 +$2 08-20 13:36
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -100 -$91 98¢ $-98 -$7 05-15 17:45
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +100 $92 96¢ $96 +$4 08-25 21:59