Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?
open
Total volume
$510
Trades
60
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$15
Latest YES mid
40¢
Latest NO mid
60¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-07-18
last 07-23 19:06
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+46.9¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $43
vs crowd: 53% YES on $444)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $28 | $23 | +$4 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $88 | $180 | $91 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $39 | — | +$39 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $80 | $5 | +$75 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $43 | — | +$43 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $28 | $23 | +$4 |
| Below median | 5 | $58 | $0 | +$58 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $33 | — | +$33 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $180 | $180 |
| unranked | 10 | $71 | $5 | +$66 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dear-Acoustics 0x90f7…2501 | No | +314 | $180 | $180 | 4 | 07-23 19:06 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +108 | $33 | $33 | 3 | 07-23 19:06 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +105 | $28 | $28 | 6 | 07-23 19:06 |
| Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | +80 | $43 | $43 | 4 | 07-22 09:54 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +63 | $23 | $23 | 2 | 07-22 07:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x3fb5…6d39 | Yes | +50 | $31 | $31 | 2 | 07-22 09:22 |
| Rapid-Precipitation 0x24e8…4546 | Yes | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-22 09:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-23 09:43 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $24 | 8 | 07-23 09:43 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 19:06:34 | Dear-Acoustics 0x90f7…2501 | No | BUY | 105 | 69¢ | $73 | 0x8bae7c… |
| 07-23 19:06:34 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 31¢ | $17 | 0x8bae7c… |
| 07-23 19:06:34 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 31¢ | $16 | 0x8bae7c… |
| 07-23 09:43:57 | Dear-Acoustics 0x90f7…2501 | No | BUY | 68 | 68¢ | $46 | 0xb45d49… |
| 07-23 09:43:57 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | BUY | 8 | 33¢ | $2 | 0xb45d49… |
| 07-23 09:43:57 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 34¢ | $3 | 0xb45d49… |
| 07-23 09:43:57 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 32¢ | $16 | 0xb45d49… |
| 07-22 19:56:13 | (anonymous) 0xd6df…d71d | Yes | SELL | 0 | 21¢ | $0 | 0xe9f790… |
| 07-22 19:56:13 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 21¢ | $0 | 0xe9f790… |
| 07-22 19:46:54 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xb263b6… |
| 07-22 19:46:54 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 20¢ | $3 | 0xb263b6… |
| 07-22 19:46:54 | (anonymous) 0x7928…6c26 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xb263b6… |
| 07-22 19:40:49 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | SELL | 6 | 78¢ | $5 | 0x115183… |
| 07-22 19:40:49 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x115183… |
| 07-22 19:40:49 | (anonymous) 0x7928…6c26 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 21¢ | $3 | 0x115183… |
| 07-22 19:36:54 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 23¢ | $6 | 0xddc088… |
| 07-22 19:36:54 | (anonymous) 0xf057…ab54 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 23¢ | $6 | 0xddc088… |
| 07-22 19:26:54 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x20b0cb… |
| 07-22 19:26:54 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | BUY | 6 | 78¢ | $5 | 0x20b0cb… |
| 07-22 19:18:57 | (anonymous) 0x7928…6c26 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x7dd863… |
| 07-22 19:18:57 | (anonymous) 0x0479…8177 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x7dd863… |
| 07-22 16:46:33 | (anonymous) 0xfcc4…f3da | Yes | SELL | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x523fee… |
| 07-22 16:46:33 | (anonymous) 0x0479…8177 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x523fee… |
| 07-22 16:00:31 | (anonymous) 0xae7a…25ea | Yes | SELL | 0 | 24¢ | $0 | 0xcb9b85… |
| 07-22 16:00:31 | (anonymous) 0xd6df…d71d | Yes | BUY | 0 | 24¢ | $0 | 0xcb9b85… |
| 07-22 16:00:27 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x6497b8… |
| 07-22 16:00:27 | (anonymous) 0xae7a…25ea | Yes | BUY | 0 | 24¢ | $0 | 0x6497b8… |
| 07-22 16:00:27 | (anonymous) 0xfcc4…f3da | Yes | BUY | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x6497b8… |
| 07-22 15:45:39 | (anonymous) 0x018a…9522 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0xdbc9e0… |
| 07-22 15:45:39 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 24¢ | $4 | 0xdbc9e0… |
| 07-22 15:45:39 | (anonymous) 0x7928…6c26 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xdbc9e0… |
| 07-22 10:47:21 | (anonymous) 0x3c18…32c3 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x039b5b… |
| 07-22 10:47:21 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 8 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x039b5b… |
| 07-22 10:47:13 | (anonymous) 0x3c18…32c3 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xf644da… |
| 07-22 10:47:13 | (anonymous) 0xbeb5…69d3 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xf644da… |
| 07-22 10:45:12 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x248008… |
| 07-22 10:45:12 | (anonymous) 0xbeb5…69d3 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x248008… |
| 07-22 09:54:48 | Dear-Acoustics 0x90f7…2501 | No | BUY | 20 | 65¢ | $13 | 0xd9e825… |
| 07-22 09:54:48 | Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | BUY | 20 | 35¢ | $7 | 0xd9e825… |
| 07-22 09:46:57 | Rapid-Precipitation 0x24e8…4546 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 49¢ | $10 | 0x2bcfc3… |
| 07-22 09:46:57 | (anonymous) 0xbeb5…69d3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 49¢ | $10 | 0x2bcfc3… |
| 07-22 09:25:10 | Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | BUY | 20 | 55¢ | $11 | 0x230fa0… |
| 07-22 09:25:10 | (anonymous) 0x4b07…7912 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 55¢ | $11 | 0x230fa0… |
| 07-22 09:22:36 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 32¢ | $3 | 0xad46e1… |
| 07-22 09:22:36 | (anonymous) 0x4b07…7912 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 62¢ | $12 | 0xad46e1… |
| 07-22 09:22:36 | Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | BUY | 20 | 61¢ | $12 | 0xad46e1… |
| 07-22 09:22:36 | Dear-Acoustics 0x90f7…2501 | No | BUY | 121 | 40¢ | $48 | 0xad46e1… |
| 07-22 09:22:36 | (anonymous) 0x018a…9522 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 63¢ | $13 | 0xad46e1… |
| 07-22 09:22:36 | (anonymous) 0xbeb5…69d3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 63¢ | $13 | 0xad46e1… |
| 07-22 09:22:36 | (anonymous) 0x3fb5…6d39 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 63¢ | $4 | 0xad46e1… |
| 07-22 09:22:36 | (anonymous) 0xf057…ab54 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 62¢ | $15 | 0xad46e1… |
| 07-22 07:15:40 | (anonymous) 0x3fb5…6d39 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 63¢ | $27 | 0x6d226c… |
| 07-22 07:15:40 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 43 | 37¢ | $16 | 0x6d226c… |
| 07-22 07:04:55 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 37¢ | $7 | 0x161d69… |
| 07-22 07:04:55 | Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | BUY | 20 | 63¢ | $13 | 0x161d69… |
| 07-21 07:23:36 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xd8dd32… |
| 07-21 07:23:36 | Naughty-Conditioner 0x7047…31b3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xd8dd32… |
| 07-18 03:53:55 | Naughty-Conditioner 0x7047…31b3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x8e7db6… |
| 07-18 03:53:55 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x8e7db6… |
| 07-18 03:53:55 | Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | BUY | 0 | 22¢ | $0 | 0x8e7db6… |