Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.76K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

3.5%

Resolved

5,622

Trades

19,296

lifetime

Volume

$166.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-12

last 08-24 18:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 96 days

Categories

Other

85% 6% -$4,756

Politics

9% 3% -$557

Sports

3% 4% -$250

Tech

2% 3% -$138

Crypto

1% 7% -$33

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 907 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	24	$446	562	562	+0	No	-$9	07-29 19:26
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	18	$422	434	434	+0	Yes	-$13	07-30 14:32
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	18	$370	383	383	+0	Yes	-$8	07-30 02:57
Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?	20	$343	341	341	+0	Yes	-$4	07-30 12:25
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	14	$313	350	350	+0	No	-$9	08-12 08:43
Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?	16	$290	291	291	+0	No	-$11	07-23 05:09
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?	35	$269	280	280	+0	No	$0	08-10 23:59
Will John Larson be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?	17	$261	295	295	+0	No	-$4	08-10 17:46
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?	17	$246	197	197	+0	Yes	-$1	08-09 12:55
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	8	$242	178	178	+0	No	-$14	07-29 19:48
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	10	$236	221	221	+0	Yes	-$6	07-30 13:11
Will David Crowley win Kenosha County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?	6	$229	150	150	+0	No	-$3	08-11 10:09
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	11	$229	206	206	+0	Yes	-$3	07-29 00:23
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 13?	37	$226	224	224	+0	No	-$3	08-13 11:15
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	12	$216	171	171	+0	open	—	08-01 00:15
iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	10	$215	222	222	+0	Yes	-$2	07-18 06:13
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 30?	26	$213	208	208	+0	No	-$2	07-30 06:53
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	14	$209	170	170	+0	Yes	-$2	08-05 01:13
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	19	$208	214	214	+0	Yes	-$4	08-03 10:04
will diogo dalot attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000827858	8	$206	140	140	+0	No	-$2	08-09 17:22
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 11?	34	$206	223	223	+0	No	-$1	08-10 13:42
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in July?	16	$205	211	211	+0	Yes	-$11	08-12 10:20
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 13?	40	$201	199	199	+0	Yes	-$1	08-12 00:37
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	8	$190	154	154	+0	Yes	-$1	07-21 21:02
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	6	$190	150	150	+0	Yes	$0	08-01 02:56
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	10	$188	132	132	+0	No	-$2	08-11 02:25
iran full airspace closure by august 15	18	$188	180	180	+0	No	-$3	07-30 06:36
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	6	$186	150	150	+0	No	-$5	07-29 15:18
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?	18	$184	182	182	+0	Yes	-$1	08-08 13:25
Will the next Claude Opus model not be released by July 31, 2026?	6	$180	150	150	+0	No	-$1	07-23 23:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-24 18:40:09	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x25745c…
08-20 15:02:52	Will There be 10+ Knife Kills at CS2 EWC 2026?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x2f3308…
08-13 15:44:21	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2d2475…
08-13 15:39:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5d7c4d…
08-13 15:27:19	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xfe0a21…
08-13 15:18:39	Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xf295cb…
08-13 15:18:10	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xbd4640…
08-13 15:08:27	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x21418c…
08-13 15:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xd72c7e…
08-13 15:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on August 14?	No	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0x2b11bd…
08-13 15:04:37	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 15?	No	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xf93b36…
08-13 15:04:09	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 14?	No	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0x86dcdb…
08-13 15:01:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc69bb5…
08-13 15:00:31	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x1ae0fb…
08-13 15:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xf4ec17…
08-13 15:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc7cb77…
08-13 15:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x3d8e13…
08-13 15:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 14?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x35cf28…
08-13 14:58:51	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 14?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x5d89b8…
08-13 14:51:36	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 14?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe15be3…
08-13 14:50:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 14?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x0feb5f…
08-13 14:49:25	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 14?	No	BUY	10	34¢	$4	0x5b64de…
08-13 14:47:57	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 15?	No	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x5b7f4a…
08-13 14:47:18	Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x65fbbc…
08-13 14:36:49	will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xff174a…
08-13 14:33:15	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x39029a…
08-13 14:29:22	will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xd39454…
08-13 14:29:07	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xae67d7…
08-13 14:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 14?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8a0968…
08-13 14:19:18	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 14?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xb4b2aa…
08-13 14:16:34	Walmart (WMT) Q2 US comp sales (ex-fuel) growth 3%-4.5%?	No	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x38cb62…
08-13 14:15:43	will trump say oil gas or gasoline during remarks in new york 20260811183234689	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x0bc044…
08-13 14:10:46	Will There be 10+ Knife Kills at CS2 EWC 2026?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x6d3772…
08-13 14:10:09	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 14?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x06ff10…
08-13 14:07:31	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x5c4f2a…
08-13 14:07:31	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x24b4b7…
08-13 14:04:27	Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xfb7457…
08-13 14:03:33	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 14?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6d442d…
08-13 14:02:58	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x9d0ec3…
08-13 14:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xa23be9…
08-13 14:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 13?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xe174e6…
08-13 14:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 14?	No	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x353c11…
08-13 13:56:31	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x039a84…
08-13 13:56:27	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x9be594…
08-13 13:52:39	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 14?	No	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0x292144…
08-13 13:52:33	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 14?	No	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xc84ca5…
08-13 13:52:24	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 14?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x6456b5…
08-13 13:44:30	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 14?	No	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0xe7de5e…
08-13 13:44:27	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0x7ee79f…
08-13 13:39:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xfa3972…
08-13 13:38:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x1ad437…
08-13 13:35:12	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on August 14?	No	SELL	10	55¢	$5	0x70cdd7…
08-13 13:35:09	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on August 14?	No	BUY	10	55¢	$5	0x9be1e4…
08-13 13:31:27	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 15?	No	SELL	1	47¢	$0	0xba0c24…
08-13 13:31:24	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0xf07ebe…
08-13 13:26:43	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xf99211…
08-13 13:26:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xdd6766…
08-13 13:25:45	will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$9	0xddeee2…
08-13 13:25:36	will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x81f024…
08-13 13:24:21	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 14?	No	SELL	14	36¢	$5	0x30e69e…
08-13 13:24:15	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 14?	No	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x77da83…
08-13 13:23:58	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 14?	No	SELL	1	52¢	$1	0x35f8b7…
08-13 13:23:55	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 14?	No	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0xf218ef…
08-13 13:14:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0xdfd029…
08-13 13:13:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x54bfed…
08-13 13:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 13?	No	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0x52a68b…
08-13 13:13:13	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 13?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x105be0…
08-13 13:11:55	will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	Yes	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x3dc054…
08-13 13:11:45	will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xeaa78c…
08-13 13:10:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xc5cf93…
08-13 13:10:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x457d7a…
08-13 13:09:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 13?	No	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x4854d1…
08-13 13:09:00	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 13?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xebc2ec…
08-13 13:06:49	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 15?	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x23ba5e…
08-13 13:06:40	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xa5303e…
08-13 13:00:40	Will Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?	No	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0x0090c2…
08-13 13:00:25	Will Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?	No	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xa7895c…
08-13 12:57:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0x8091ed…
08-13 12:57:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x1c7f98…
08-13 12:51:25	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 15?	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xfafbb0…
08-13 12:51:19	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x7eb276…
08-13 12:46:51	Will Magnus Carlsen Win EWC 2026 Chess?	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x50c048…
08-13 12:46:45	Will Magnus Carlsen Win EWC 2026 Chess?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x4270a5…
08-13 12:45:30	will trump say oil gas or gasoline during remarks in new york 20260811183234689	Yes	SELL	9	78¢	$7	0xce12c6…
08-13 12:45:21	will trump say oil gas or gasoline during remarks in new york 20260811183234689	Yes	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x0281de…
08-13 12:43:55	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 14?	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xe801bf…
08-13 12:43:45	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 14?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x60f640…
08-13 12:42:27	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	12	49¢	$6	0xbd66dc…
08-13 12:42:13	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x32d908…
08-13 12:39:40	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x2df155…
08-13 12:39:34	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x9f133b…
08-13 12:38:54	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 15?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x666ea1…
08-13 12:38:49	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	SELL	15	61¢	$9	0x8f5073…
08-13 12:38:48	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 15?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xcd7594…
08-13 12:38:46	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	15	62¢	$10	0x2ef9d6…
08-13 12:37:00	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 13?	No	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0xe3e932…
08-13 12:36:51	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 13?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xb7b208…
08-13 12:34:12	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 15?	Yes	SELL	12	57¢	$7	0xd08d63…
08-13 12:34:03	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xaf48bc…
08-13 12:30:15	spy closes above 770 on august 13 2026	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x01dff2…