Naughty-Conditioner — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$508

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

32.1%

Resolved

639

Trades

2,913

lifetime

Volume

$3.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-29 14:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 117 days

Categories

Other

75% 15% -$564

Politics

19% 53% +$41

Sports

5% 44% +$17

Crypto

1% 43% -$2

Pop-Culture

0% 50% +$1

Tech

0% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or below on June 5?	48	$233	710	707	+3	No	-$26	06-05 03:26
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on June 9?	2	$135	125	125	+0	Yes	-$4	06-09 06:22
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	40	$133	131	110	+21	No	+$10	07-10 17:38
will the communist party of india marxist cpim win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	14	$128	130	130	+0	No	+$25	04-08 08:50
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 11?	55	$87	793	0	+793	No	-$87	05-11 00:36
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 10?	22	$74	779	779	+0	No	-$33	05-09 18:32
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	28	$74	667	667	+0	open	—	10-29 14:10
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 6?	3	$58	174	81	+93	No	-$42	06-06 16:32
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	8	$50	66	66	+0	open	—	07-21 07:23
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	7	$44	60	60	+0	open	—	07-21 07:23
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	2	$39	46	46	+0	open	—	07-24 10:36
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	2	$39	51	51	+0	open	—	07-21 08:35
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	2	$39	44	44	+0	open	—	07-21 08:36
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$37	41	41	+0	Yes	-$3	07-17 04:20
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or below on June 11?	14	$32	161	161	+0	No	-$3	06-09 18:07
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 9?	7	$32	16	16	+0	Yes	$0	06-09 09:28
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 6?	26	$28	935	0	+935	No	-$28	07-06 02:37
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	6	$26	20	20	+0	open	—	07-25 01:49
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 9?	31	$23	194	0	+194	No	-$23	05-09 05:06
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 10?	20	$23	94	0	+94	Yes	+$71	05-09 04:49
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?	3	$22	12	12	+0	Yes	+$2	07-02 07:09
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	9	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	07-21 07:23
Will Hong Kong have between 220-230mm of precipitation in May?	3	$21	20	20	+0	Yes	+$18	06-01 00:59
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	7	$20	15	15	+0	open	—	08-20 03:01
qqq up or down on april 10 2026	4	$20	7	17	-10	Up	+$1	04-11 00:53
highest temperature in shanghai on april 15 2026 18c	3	$20	42	40	+2	Yes	+$12	04-15 04:53
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	11	$19	20	20	+0	open	—	07-19 19:19
val ah rzn 2026 04 11 game2	4	$19	15	30	-15	RIZON	+$4	04-10 13:03
Military action against Iran ends by April 19, 2026?	2	$18	5	15	-10	Yes	+$1	04-10 23:02
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 10?	15	$18	82	0	+82	No	-$18	05-10 02:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 14:12:44	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb3ac30…
10-29 14:10:34	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	103	3¢	$3	0xba9bd3…
10-15 16:00:53	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x117d9d…
10-15 16:00:52	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	69	3¢	$2	0xe4ea63…
10-15 06:13:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x660950…
10-15 06:08:56	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xac55fd…
10-15 05:58:41	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x192602…
10-14 09:27:01	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x285620…
10-14 09:26:32	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x26a952…
10-14 09:26:29	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x2304af…
10-14 06:18:47	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x5d9612…
10-14 02:40:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xc80a22…
10-14 02:40:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	4	13¢	$1	0x604f3c…
10-13 21:31:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0xa5e1d8…
10-13 18:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x907377…
10-13 17:45:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x67177f…
10-13 16:32:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x768eeb…
10-13 05:14:02	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xd68754…
10-12 20:04:35	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0xac59ee…
10-12 20:04:35	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xa41629…
10-12 15:52:42	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x175995…
10-12 15:52:30	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	SELL	3	19¢	$1	0x12f707…
10-12 15:44:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x6c4b73…
10-12 05:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x8541cc…
10-12 04:05:47	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3c0014…
10-12 00:48:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0xff2b2e…
10-12 00:46:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x826392…
10-11 16:03:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x607de9…
10-11 16:03:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x12c072…
10-11 03:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x328210…
10-11 00:25:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x644fed…
10-10 14:18:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa3f0ef…
10-10 08:17:21	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 11?	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0xbf9c5e…
10-10 08:16:51	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 11?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xafc998…
09-24 04:22:14	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	166	4¢	$7	0x6d60b2…
08-20 05:36:12	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x561b53…
08-20 05:29:40	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	47	4¢	$2	0x8a7936…
08-20 05:29:36	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	47	4¢	$2	0x9b962f…
08-20 05:29:36	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	47	4¢	$2	0x216f41…
08-20 05:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xacd507…
08-20 05:09:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xfe74e3…
08-20 05:09:31	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x8ce802…
08-20 05:09:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x95ab1e…
08-20 05:09:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xcd37f5…
08-20 05:07:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xb43dbb…
08-20 05:07:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x4dee60…
08-20 05:06:10	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xcac302…
08-20 05:06:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xbc294d…
08-20 05:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x26a366…
08-20 05:04:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x0cc3aa…
08-20 05:01:46	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xcfcdca…
08-20 05:01:39	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	190	4¢	$8	0x89b893…
08-20 03:35:55	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	48	4¢	$2	0xf04c99…
08-20 03:35:49	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	48	4¢	$2	0x10610b…
08-20 03:35:48	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	48	4¢	$2	0x1568f3…
08-20 03:35:48	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	48	4¢	$2	0x08e58a…
08-20 03:12:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x2c67fc…
08-20 03:12:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xf80607…
08-20 03:12:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xca3d5f…
08-20 03:12:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xb1a502…
08-20 03:10:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xcef93b…
08-20 03:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xbe19e1…
08-20 03:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x0bd68b…
08-20 03:10:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x0833f0…
08-20 03:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x1aa072…
08-20 03:09:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xfbd6f3…
08-20 03:09:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x763864…
08-20 03:09:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xf84367…
08-20 03:09:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x14d573…
08-20 03:09:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xa91c7a…
08-20 03:07:27	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xd7fc26…
08-20 03:07:27	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xbc558e…
08-20 03:07:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xf5fbe2…
08-20 03:07:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x1e2016…
08-20 03:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x5e65a9…
08-20 03:05:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x45a0b7…
08-20 03:05:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x4cc3b4…
08-20 03:05:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xdcf95e…
08-20 03:05:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x219e53…
08-20 03:05:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x129379…
08-20 03:04:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xed3982…
08-20 03:04:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x5f8974…
08-20 03:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C or below on August 20?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xfef44a…
08-20 03:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xdb90b0…
08-20 03:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x7a08d3…
08-20 03:01:34	Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x7044c9…
08-20 03:01:27	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$1	0xc81e1c…
08-20 03:01:19	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xc4ffdc…
08-20 03:01:04	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	89	4¢	$4	0xbbfddd…
08-18 12:03:34	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	44	4¢	$2	0x5f6754…
08-18 12:03:34	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	44	4¢	$2	0x5dd124…
08-18 12:03:33	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	109	4¢	$5	0x277cd2…
08-18 03:14:58	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xdaacf1…
08-18 03:14:58	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0xd56c41…
08-18 03:14:58	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x9c1da7…
08-18 03:14:57	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x33c5a7…
08-18 00:27:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x93101d…
08-18 00:27:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0xbc997e…
08-18 00:26:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xc371c5…
08-18 00:26:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x6595ee…