Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 11?
open
Total volume
$116
$901 in 24h
Trades
29
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$1,987
Latest YES mid
28¢
Latest NO mid
72¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 08:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 21 | $46 | $43 | +$3 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $11 | $11 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $14 | $8 | +$5 |
| Median | 7 | $11 | $14 | $3 |
| Below median | 4 | $2 | $6 | $5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $6 | $6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $20 | — | +$20 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precious-Kingdom 0x256b…f607 | Yes | +63 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-10 02:21 |
| These-Blackboard 0xb6fc…ac1e | Yes | +21 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-10 05:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xc484…c9d1 | Yes | +17 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 06:01 |
| Tremendous-Kitten 0xbd6c…1e6d | Yes | +16 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-09 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xa820…2dce | No | +14 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 02:35 |
| Icky-Bower 0x746d…2db5 | No | +13 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-10 02:33 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | +9 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 02:32 |
| Angry-Anywhere 0x724f…a426 | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 17:25 |
| Illustrious-Oxford 0x558b…f41b | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 17:09 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 04:57 |
| Instructive-Enclosure 0x29bc…e100 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 08:11 |
| Broken-Need 0xbf43…66f5 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 23:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xdc08…71d7 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 06:01 |
| Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 01:41 |
| Juicy-Temporariness 0xd2c1…5b62 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 00:00 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 07:24 |
| Unsung-Instant 0x34bb…db52 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 01:00 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 19:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xe2a1…0455 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 02:21 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 08:11:51 | Instructive-Enclosure 0x29bc…e100 | No | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0xde13af… |
| 05-10 07:31:29 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x23349d… |
| 05-10 07:28:58 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xe548bf… |
| 05-10 07:28:44 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x7425eb… |
| 05-10 07:28:15 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x714c44… |
| 05-10 07:24:11 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0xfdd62a… |
| 05-10 06:02:35 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 28¢ | $3 | 0x6999c1… |
| 05-10 06:01:55 | (anonymous) 0xdc08…71d7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x176f1f… |
| 05-10 06:01:55 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x4cadd4… |
| 05-10 06:01:55 | (anonymous) 0xc484…c9d1 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 29¢ | $5 | 0xf56500… |
| 05-10 05:56:40 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xc80944… |
| 05-10 05:53:06 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x9d1768… |
| 05-10 05:36:23 | These-Blackboard 0xb6fc…ac1e | Yes | BUY | 21 | 34¢ | $7 | 0xce9b09… |
| 05-10 04:57:38 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xa0f549… |
| 05-10 04:57:38 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xc31872… |
| 05-10 04:57:27 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 7 | 69¢ | $5 | 0xc5b254… |
| 05-10 02:35:04 | (anonymous) 0xa820…2dce | No | BUY | 14 | 72¢ | $10 | 0xc614cc… |
| 05-10 02:33:57 | Icky-Bower 0x746d…2db5 | No | BUY | 13 | 72¢ | $9 | 0x3bd878… |
| 05-10 02:32:19 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 9 | 71¢ | $6 | 0x202314… |
| 05-10 02:21:35 | (anonymous) 0xe2a1…0455 | No | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0x1abc5f… |
| 05-10 02:21:33 | Precious-Kingdom 0x256b…f607 | Yes | BUY | 63 | 32¢ | $20 | 0xfd85dd… |
| 05-10 01:41:10 | Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x67882b… |
| 05-10 01:00:56 | Unsung-Instant 0x34bb…db52 | No | BUY | 2 | 70¢ | $1 | 0xcac267… |
| 05-10 00:00:29 | Juicy-Temporariness 0xd2c1…5b62 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x1d5c3b… |
| 05-09 23:45:38 | Broken-Need 0xbf43…66f5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x7ded81… |
| 05-09 19:37:11 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 2 | 70¢ | $1 | 0xd6f822… |
| 05-09 17:25:02 | Angry-Anywhere 0x724f…a426 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 33¢ | $3 | 0xe08e2b… |
| 05-09 17:09:49 | Illustrious-Oxford 0x558b…f41b | No | BUY | 7 | 70¢ | $5 | 0xff8655… |
| 05-09 12:18:35 | Tremendous-Kitten 0xbd6c…1e6d | Yes | BUY | 16 | 37¢ | $6 | 0x234272… |