Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.45K

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

4.3%

Resolved

3,013

Trades

12,347

lifetime

Volume

$123.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-06-29

last 10-28 09:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 123 days

Categories

Other

71% 6% -$3,283

Politics

16% 4% -$771

Sports

6% 5% -$233

Tech

3% 8% -$93

Crypto

2% 12% -$45

Pop-Culture

1% 6% -$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 774 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+0	$0	58¢	$0	$0	07-03 15:09
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	No		+0	$7	88¢	$0	-$7	07-17 15:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	13	$764	816	816	+0	open	—	07-15 06:29
Will Team Vitality win the EWC Valorant Tournament	8	$695	557	557	+0	No	-$23	07-10 12:03
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	38	$540	529	529	+0	No	-$11	07-05 04:10
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	15	$479	516	516	+0	No	-$12	07-04 14:29
will ng reach 3 40 in july 2026	12	$459	411	411	+0	No	-$14	07-11 09:38
iran military action against a gulf state on july 29 20260708212322954	10	$446	422	422	+0	No	-$8	07-21 11:46
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	26	$434	476	476	+0	Yes	-$6	07-12 05:14
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	20	$428	347	347	+0	No	-$2	08-07 08:58
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	17	$422	396	396	+0	Yes	-$14	07-10 21:00
laso finance fdv above 5m one day after launch	16	$386	488	488	+0	Yes	-$12	07-05 10:02
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	2	$368	200	200	+0	Yes	-$6	10-16 19:32
Will T1 win MSI 2026?	8	$321	263	263	+0	No	-$3	07-04 08:36
gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534	13	$320	474	474	+0	Yes	-$5	07-01 17:04
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026	9	$318	328	328	+0	Yes	-$1	07-02 06:41
will xagusd dip to 56 in july 2026	8	$304	303	303	+0	Yes	-$15	07-14 02:01
Will M80 Win North America ACE Stage 3	16	$293	282	282	+0	Yes	-$3	07-10 06:55
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?	16	$286	305	305	+0	No	-$8	07-11 09:38
Will Ricardo Ferraço win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?	12	$281	276	276	+0	No	-$22	07-18 02:03
Will Efraim Filho win the Governor of Paraíba election?	13	$278	240	240	+0	No	-$5	07-03 22:41
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$275	221	221	+0	No	$0	07-03 22:58
will ng dip to 2 80 in july 2026	7	$273	251	251	+0	Yes	-$5	07-18 16:25
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?	4	$268	192	192	+0	No	-$2	07-04 10:50
Will Bryce Dettloff win Love Island USA Season 8?	8	$262	226	226	+0	Yes	-$2	07-09 16:19
will spy dip to 730 in july 2026	9	$260	263	263	+0	Yes	-$11	07-22 18:26
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	17	$255	262	262	+0	Yes	-$4	07-14 12:44
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?	10	$250	220	220	+0	No	-$8	07-14 01:44
will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	10	$249	302	302	+0	No	-$8	07-17 23:47
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?	15	$244	307	307	+0	No	-$7	07-04 06:29
israel military action against greater beirut by july 31 20260708204650550	6	$241	420	420	+0	No	-$5	07-19 22:16
will wti reach 70 by july 6 2026	4	$240	155	155	+0	Yes	-$3	07-06 08:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 09:06:13	Will Lamar Jackson have 3,499.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	1	61¢	$1	0x1d8595…
10-28 08:21:10	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x2b5b6b…
10-27 23:19:41	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.55 and $0.60 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x70bf1c…
10-27 11:44:09	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x6fc606…
10-27 09:34:47	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%?	No	SELL	11	68¢	$7	0xad3bfc…
10-27 09:34:47	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%?	No	SELL	8	68¢	$5	0x478530…
10-27 09:00:32	Will Sato play for G2 Esports in 2027?	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x8e9163…
10-27 09:00:32	Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x4effc8…
10-27 09:00:30	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x632028…
10-27 09:00:29	Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x3e84e8…
10-27 09:00:27	Will Post Malone perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x482c20…
10-27 09:00:27	Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x2fbcb0…
10-27 09:00:26	Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	No	SELL	50	75¢	$37	0x47977f…
10-27 09:00:14	Will Lamar Jackson have 3,499.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	19	71¢	$13	0x91cb20…
10-27 08:53:48	Will Lamar Jackson have 3,499.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xe86566…
10-27 08:53:02	Will Lamar Jackson have 3,499.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xa6cb4f…
10-27 08:48:08	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x24b5e4…
10-27 08:42:39	Will Post Malone perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x11fb8e…
10-27 08:08:42	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	100	11¢	$11	0xe820a5…
10-27 08:08:26	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x5e8739…
10-27 07:55:33	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0xcca5db…
10-27 07:39:57	Will Sato play for G2 Esports in 2027?	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x15bf32…
10-27 07:21:41	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x382300…
10-27 07:16:12	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0xceaeb1…
10-27 07:06:05	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xfe1d1d…
10-27 06:48:32	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	12	62¢	$8	0xc17167…
10-27 06:43:50	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	12	61¢	$8	0x48691f…
10-27 06:43:03	Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xda2090…
10-27 05:42:09	Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	82¢	$30	0x9cc4d5…
10-27 05:31:42	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0xc7b05d…
10-27 04:01:00	Will Claude go down 8-10 times in October?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x9578c2…
10-27 03:45:15	Will Claude go down 8-10 times in October?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xb11047…
10-27 03:44:51	Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?	Yes	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0x257446…
10-27 03:43:38	Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xec519f…
10-27 03:40:26	Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0xbcd784…
10-27 03:37:39	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xfdcb06…
10-27 03:18:57	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	17	87¢	$15	0xfc86e8…
10-27 03:18:44	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	13	87¢	$11	0x2cedf4…
10-27 03:04:15	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0xb60c4f…
10-27 03:01:45	Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x01a39b…
10-27 02:56:29	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	15¢	$4	0x1f484b…
10-27 02:56:21	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	15¢	$4	0x456059…
10-27 02:56:12	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xf57625…
10-27 02:52:03	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xfc564a…
10-27 02:29:14	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x173201…
10-27 02:29:05	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x614a6f…
10-27 02:05:57	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	11	87¢	$9	0xde9031…
10-27 02:05:30	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xd14b6e…
10-27 01:55:05	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	16¢	$3	0x0eecd9…
10-27 01:54:54	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0x1ed4e0…
10-27 01:11:21	Will The Odyssey win Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x5b5c4f…
10-27 01:08:44	Will The Odyssey win Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xf2bfb6…
10-27 00:00:54	Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xaee74e…
10-26 23:40:36	Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x04a141…
10-26 23:40:26	Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xd08c19…
10-26 23:36:15	Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xb1f200…
10-26 23:13:32	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.55 and $0.60 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x5f2cbb…
10-24 12:45:02	Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026?	No	SELL	17	19¢	$3	0x5ff7e3…
10-24 12:00:23	Yum! Brands (YUM) Q3 worldwide same-restaurant sales growth -0.5% to 0.5%?	No	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x1a3020…
10-24 12:00:21	Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026?	No	SELL	33	20¢	$7	0x2a6a08…
10-24 11:22:35	Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	SELL	29	66¢	$19	0xaf3318…
10-24 11:18:00	Will Peyz win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x8c2d9d…
10-24 11:13:30	Will the biggest earthquake on October 25, 2026 be under 5.3?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xf63cd8…
10-24 07:59:36	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?	No	SELL	44	82¢	$36	0x2b2fef…
10-24 07:56:38	Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0x6bc098…
10-24 07:45:02	Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026?	No	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x92ae2c…
10-24 07:41:11	Yum! Brands (YUM) Q3 worldwide same-restaurant sales growth -0.5% to 0.5%?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xe705c0…
10-24 07:23:59	Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0xfcd1a3…
10-24 07:03:47	Will the Atlanta Hawks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x92370f…
10-24 06:22:33	Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	BUY	29	71¢	$21	0x5dcc77…
10-24 06:17:59	Will Peyz win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x2f2186…
10-24 06:13:32	Will the biggest earthquake on October 25, 2026 be under 5.3?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x3efa4d…
10-24 05:07:15	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x6c1eac…
10-24 04:56:12	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?	No	BUY	44	82¢	$36	0x51950d…
10-24 04:53:05	Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	47¢	$0	0xc13b52…
10-24 04:46:42	Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x3104fd…
10-24 04:28:20	Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 46% to 48%?	Yes	SELL	16	35¢	$6	0xa26b66…
10-24 04:13:42	Will Joakim Nilsson win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x21f657…
10-24 03:10:29	Will Peyz win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0x6985e8…
10-24 03:10:17	Will Peyz win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0xca6cc0…
10-24 02:56:36	Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x2524b7…
10-24 02:49:20	Will Target Q3 comparable sales growth be between 3% and 5%?	Yes	SELL	36	44¢	$16	0xf7d5ac…
10-24 02:47:23	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-01 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	SELL	16	23¢	$4	0x13661f…
10-24 02:23:27	Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	0	68¢	$0	0x4da612…
10-24 02:18:33	Will Octane (Don Toliver) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	SELL	11	74¢	$8	0x19f2cd…
10-24 02:17:32	Will Octane (Don Toliver) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x07b1ae…
10-24 02:03:47	Will the Atlanta Hawks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x6b56d9…
10-24 01:29:36	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?	Yes	SELL	50	85¢	$42	0x551e2b…
10-24 00:15:27	Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0x766fa1…
10-24 00:07:14	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?	No	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xa133d8…
10-24 00:07:14	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x7bb2f5…
10-24 00:03:41	Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x8d7450…
10-23 23:46:08	Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	44¢	$8	0x5b5772…
10-23 23:45:56	Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x72396b…
10-23 23:45:47	Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0xf9dda3…
10-23 23:45:47	Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0xf0f801…
10-23 23:45:47	Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xa4bea7…
10-23 23:42:08	Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 46% to 48%?	Yes	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xc7a202…
10-23 23:42:08	Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 46% to 48%?	Yes	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x5d6f42…
10-23 23:42:06	Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 46% to 48%?	Yes	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xdd8c77…