Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.72K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

2.8%

Resolved

8,046

Trades

28,119

lifetime

Volume

$214.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-12

last 08-26 09:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 105 days

Categories

Other

87% 5% -$6,454

Politics

8% 3% -$864

Tech

2% 2% -$169

Sports

2% 6% -$186

Crypto

1% 3% -$31

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 1764 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 30?	38	$280	284	284	+0	No	-$2	07-30 06:53
Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?	19	$277	287	287	+0	Yes	-$6	08-01 09:29
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?	25	$277	326	326	+0	Yes	-$7	07-30 10:54
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	8	$257	200	200	+0	No	-$5	08-04 00:26
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	8	$249	200	200	+0	No	-$1	08-13 07:16
israel closes its airspace by august 15	8	$235	169	169	+0	No	$0	07-26 22:06
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?	11	$226	172	172	+0	Yes	-$1	08-09 12:55
Will John Larson be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?	15	$223	251	251	+0	No	-$4	08-10 17:46
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	12	$215	221	221	+0	Yes	-$4	07-30 03:21
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 8?	26	$212	213	213	+0	No	-$2	08-07 12:00
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 9?	20	$208	135	135	+0	No	-$1	08-09 14:11
Will David Crowley win Kenosha County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?	6	$204	150	150	+0	No	-$2	08-11 10:09
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?	12	$201	190	190	+0	Yes	-$5	08-10 01:20
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?	24	$200	135	135	+0	No	-$1	08-08 17:50
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 8?	39	$197	193	193	+0	Yes	-$2	08-08 02:04
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?	14	$196	181	181	+0	No	-$4	07-30 11:25
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	12	$190	222	222	+0	No	-$2	07-30 11:57
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 10?	29	$190	198	198	+0	Yes	-$1	08-09 16:19
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	11	$189	179	179	+0	Yes	-$10	07-30 15:41
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	11	$188	180	180	+0	open	—	08-05 00:51
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 31?	22	$188	182	182	+0	No	-$3	07-30 12:00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 31?	28	$184	175	175	+0	No	-$2	07-30 16:04
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 11?	44	$182	203	203	+0	No	-$2	08-10 13:42
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 10?	28	$182	189	189	+0	Yes	-$1	08-09 10:37
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?	12	$180	132	132	+0	No	-$1	08-04 22:40
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 31?	18	$179	173	173	+0	Yes	-$2	07-30 22:21
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	8	$177	200	200	+0	Yes	-$2	07-30 14:32
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 31?	24	$176	191	191	+0	No	-$2	07-30 20:58
Will Rodri stay at Manchester City?	8	$174	124	124	+0	No	-$1	08-06 12:41
will diogo dalot attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000827858	16	$172	219	219	+0	No	-$2	08-09 17:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-26 09:50:52	Jacob Elordi and Kendall Jenner engaged in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xa3ebc1…
08-13 15:27:19	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xfe0a21…
08-13 15:18:51	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 14?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf0c02e…
08-13 15:18:12	Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x834199…
08-13 15:18:01	will esmail qaani attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221275	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xabe829…
08-13 15:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 15?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x9a11f8…
08-13 15:10:09	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 15?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x78794d…
08-13 15:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xd72c7e…
08-13 15:04:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0x85833d…
08-13 15:04:09	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 14?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x86dcdb…
08-13 15:04:01	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 15?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x68e5d7…
08-13 15:02:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x0adf30…
08-13 15:01:52	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3635ad…
08-13 15:01:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xfe7b69…
08-13 15:01:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$2	0x3e09bc…
08-13 14:58:34	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 14?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd26b32…
08-13 14:49:45	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 14?	No	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x667f5e…
08-13 14:49:25	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 14?	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x5b64de…
08-13 14:46:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xa64f9a…
08-13 14:43:03	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on August 14?	No	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xee2dc2…
08-13 14:37:03	will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x54f4f7…
08-13 14:30:30	will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x6d683c…
08-13 14:30:19	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x747cdc…
08-13 14:19:18	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 14?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xb4b2aa…
08-13 14:12:13	will trump say oil gas or gasoline during remarks in new york 20260811183234689	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xf09d7c…
08-13 14:12:13	will trump say oil gas or gasoline during remarks in new york 20260811183234689	Yes	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x5651b6…
08-13 14:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xfdae7a…
08-13 14:10:46	Will There be 10+ Knife Kills at CS2 EWC 2026?	No	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0x6d3772…
08-13 14:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 15?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x22d8fe…
08-13 14:03:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on August 14?	No	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x800427…
08-13 14:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 14?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x353c11…
08-13 14:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 14?	No	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0xbd9b74…
08-13 13:56:49	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x7d5239…
08-13 13:56:31	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x363b3a…
08-13 13:56:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x67eb27…
08-13 13:56:27	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x9be594…
08-13 13:55:45	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 15?	No	SELL	18	42¢	$7	0xc69ae6…
08-13 13:55:40	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 15?	No	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x40db0e…
08-13 13:54:27	wti closes above 81 on august 13 2026	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x6e536a…
08-13 13:54:22	wti closes above 81 on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x9dde4d…
08-13 13:41:46	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 15?	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xc50df1…
08-13 13:41:40	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xbb8c63…
08-13 13:30:04	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 14?	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x7c918c…
08-13 13:30:01	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 14?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x19dc70…
08-13 13:25:40	will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0xf7df62…
08-13 13:25:36	will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x81f024…
08-13 13:23:09	will anyone say god 5 times during president curtis e4 s1 20260810170150853	No	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x02043c…
08-13 13:23:06	will anyone say god 5 times during president curtis e4 s1 20260810170150853	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x88dd69…
08-13 13:21:31	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on August 15?	No	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x0be749…
08-13 13:21:28	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on August 15?	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x1f339f…
08-13 13:16:33	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	43	13¢	$5	0xea267f…
08-13 13:16:28	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xce6646…
08-13 13:16:28	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x706605…
08-13 13:16:28	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	13	13¢	$2	0x6b326b…
08-13 13:16:28	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x2b4ebf…
08-13 13:13:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0xebece3…
08-13 13:13:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x54bfed…
08-13 13:13:01	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 14?	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xdfd148…
08-13 13:12:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 14?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb6cabe…
08-13 13:12:15	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 14?	No	SELL	15	34¢	$5	0x90294c…
08-13 13:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 14?	No	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x8f6fd2…
08-13 13:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 15?	No	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0xeaf67d…
08-13 13:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 14?	No	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0xa93ca3…
08-13 13:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 15?	No	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x1be9ff…
08-13 13:10:25	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 14?	No	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0xc8fe4b…
08-13 13:10:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 14?	No	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0x3c8b14…
08-13 13:10:15	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 14?	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x388ae5…
08-13 13:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 14?	No	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xef3e83…
08-13 13:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x844ca4…
08-13 13:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 15?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6d6886…
08-13 13:10:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x457d7a…
08-13 13:09:03	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 13?	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x9b217d…
08-13 13:09:00	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 13?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xebc2ec…
08-13 13:06:46	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 15?	Yes	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xbd0483…
08-13 13:06:40	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xa5303e…
08-13 12:57:36	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 14?	No	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0xbcd126…
08-13 12:57:28	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 14?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x596391…
08-13 12:57:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0x6e3f81…
08-13 12:57:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x1c7f98…
08-13 12:56:18	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xf0cfd2…
08-13 12:55:57	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x9ad077…
08-13 12:46:48	Will Magnus Carlsen Win EWC 2026 Chess?	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x6cc912…
08-13 12:46:45	Will Magnus Carlsen Win EWC 2026 Chess?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x4270a5…
08-13 12:38:54	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 15?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x61a94a…
08-13 12:38:48	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 15?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xcd7594…
08-13 12:37:21	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 14?	No	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xdf7597…
08-13 12:37:12	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 14?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x6a56fa…
08-13 12:36:58	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 13?	No	SELL	14	73¢	$10	0x87b013…
08-13 12:36:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 13?	No	BUY	14	77¢	$11	0x3a1595…
08-13 12:33:07	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 15?	No	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x8b9bc8…
08-13 12:33:03	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 15?	No	SELL	17	48¢	$8	0x7b0b55…
08-13 12:32:54	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	17	49¢	$8	0x512230…
08-13 12:30:13	spy closes above 770 on august 13 2026	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x0347ce…
08-13 12:30:13	rklb up or down on august 13 2026	Down	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x01631a…
08-13 12:30:12	xauusd up or down on august 13 2026	Down	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xa0876a…
08-13 12:30:10	spy closes above 770 on august 13 2026	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xca4189…
08-13 12:30:09	rklb up or down on august 13 2026	Down	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x00410a…
08-13 12:30:06	xauusd up or down on august 13 2026	Down	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xea6aa1…
08-13 12:29:52	will fresno state have more than 5pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194017351	No	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x8f9aaf…
08-13 12:29:43	will fresno state have more than 5pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194017351	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x8728a4…