Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

44.4%

Resolved

342

Trades

9,659

lifetime

Volume

$7.00K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$20

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-29 21:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 47% +$26

Other

5% 8% -$34

Politics

3% 20% -$8

Sports

0% 25% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes		+20	$14	88¢	$18	+$4	08-19 08:14
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	No		+20	$13	12¢	$2	-$10	08-19 07:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
solana up or down january 10 11am et	190	$147	147	117	+30	Down	+$23	01-10 17:04
bitcoin up or down january 10 7am et	216	$146	150	112	+39	Up	+$7	01-10 13:05
xrp up or down january 10 7am et	218	$136	184	102	+81	Down	-$6	01-10 13:15
bitcoin up or down january 9 3pm et	186	$135	122	120	+2	Down	+$20	01-09 21:48
solana up or down january 9 5pm et	203	$135	131	107	+24	Up	+$10	01-09 23:06
ethereum up or down january 9 5pm et	146	$129	109	106	+3	Up	+$37	01-09 23:05
ethereum up or down january 8 5pm et	46	$122	310	95	+215	Up	+$38	01-08 23:02
solana up or down january 10 3am et	237	$116	153	101	+52	Up	-$7	01-10 09:12
solana up or down january 9 3pm et	213	$112	110	91	+19	Down	-$4	01-09 21:48
bitcoin up or down january 10 8am et	206	$108	165	84	+81	Down	-$12	01-10 14:05
bitcoin up or down january 10 12pm et	181	$108	134	98	+36	Down	$0	01-10 18:01
solana up or down january 10 12pm et	163	$106	155	116	+40	Down	-$2	01-10 18:01
bitcoin up or down january 9 5pm et	181	$105	244	78	+165	Up	-$12	01-09 23:06
solana up or down january 8 6pm et	60	$104	185	85	+100	Down	-$9	01-08 23:48
bitcoin up or down january 10 11am et	198	$100	96	89	+8	Up	+$6	01-10 17:04
bitcoin up or down january 10 3am et	213	$98	226	85	+141	Down	-$10	01-10 09:12
xrp up or down january 10 12pm et	140	$93	111	75	+37	Down	+$7	01-10 18:01
solana up or down january 10 7am et	170	$90	110	77	+33	Up	-$4	01-10 13:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 09:30 UTC	77	$87	186	110	+76	Up	+$33	01-10 09:45
xrp up or down january 9 5pm et	173	$80	86	66	+20	Up	-$10	01-09 23:06
ethereum up or down january 10 12pm et	162	$76	89	74	+15	Down	+$2	01-10 18:01
xrp up or down january 10 11am et	150	$73	123	60	+63	Up	-$9	01-10 17:06
xrp up or down january 9 2pm et	123	$71	100	48	+51	Down	-$7	01-09 20:03
bitcoin up or down january 10 9am et	123	$68	70	58	+13	Down	+$2	01-10 15:30
ethereum up or down january 8 9pm et	32	$67	39	39	+0	Up	$0	01-09 02:20
ethereum up or down january 10 11am et	144	$66	102	61	+40	Down	+$0	01-10 17:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 12:15 UTC	68	$66	210	46	+164	Down	+$6	01-10 12:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 22:30 UTC	55	$61	105	46	+59	Down	+$16	01-09 22:46
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	6	$61	95	14	+81	Yes	-$6	08-20 06:49
ethereum up or down january 9 3pm et	98	$61	55	46	+9	Down	+$1	01-09 21:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 21:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6eaba3…
10-29 21:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x6600e0…
10-29 20:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x89b024…
10-29 20:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x93f8e5…
10-29 16:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf44e6c…
10-29 16:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x24290f…
10-29 12:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9b85e8…
10-29 12:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x5125d5…
10-29 09:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x04ba1a…
10-29 07:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x84533c…
10-29 07:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xe0c0cc…
10-29 07:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf3c3b7…
10-29 07:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x6a26a4…
10-29 04:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x0c7069…
10-29 02:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf4b346…
10-29 02:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x2989d0…
10-28 23:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x99d953…
10-28 23:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xcf4d6c…
10-28 23:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1c2248…
10-28 23:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xf0093c…
10-28 21:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x3c498d…
10-28 21:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xa5f3cc…
10-28 20:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1e1a72…
10-28 20:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x48b0ff…
10-28 12:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x53a803…
10-28 12:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x35ed6c…
10-28 11:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xdd2668…
10-28 10:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xaf1130…
10-28 10:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xb28817…
10-28 09:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x01dadd…
10-28 09:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x932b90…
10-28 04:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1a59a8…
10-28 04:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x3f44a5…
10-28 02:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc27b1d…
10-28 02:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x97fcf2…
10-28 00:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x42e7f5…
10-28 00:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb9a3b0…
10-28 00:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa1483e…
10-28 00:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x20ff09…
10-28 00:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5923a3…
10-28 00:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x62c809…
10-27 22:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xfb9c1e…
10-27 22:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x499b20…
10-27 22:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd09363…
10-27 22:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$5	0xa75358…
08-27 14:47:06	Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xd9a3dd…
08-27 12:27:40	Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x0fe1fa…
08-26 01:27:33	will egypt join the mecca agreement by december 31 2026	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xf75a25…
08-26 01:26:40	will egypt join the mecca agreement by december 31 2026	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x46d0a8…
08-25 01:09:46	Will Samanda de Lula win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x410cb2…
08-25 00:59:40	Will Samanda de Lula win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xb1f9a9…
08-21 13:13:39	dell quarterly earnings nongaap eps 09 01 2026 4pt9	No	SELL	40	21¢	$8	0x038ca1…
08-21 12:31:16	dell quarterly earnings nongaap eps 09 01 2026 4pt9	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xbef6b7…
08-21 12:31:15	dell quarterly earnings nongaap eps 09 01 2026 4pt9	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xfe3157…
08-20 16:22:28	Will MLSTP win the second-most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xfde399…
08-20 16:20:01	Will MLSTP win the second-most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xf4c685…
08-20 12:44:01	Will Databricks have the greatest valuation growth in August 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x53de38…
08-20 12:43:13	Will Databricks have the greatest valuation growth in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x14455d…
08-20 08:08:25	Will Janaina Riva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xc4b3ea…
08-20 08:04:03	Will Janaina Riva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x985539…
08-20 08:02:46	Will Janaina Riva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xcce3f3…
08-20 08:00:04	Will Janaina Riva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x9bd236…
08-20 07:46:55	Will Helio Bolsonaro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?	No	SELL	19	41¢	$8	0x3dd4ac…
08-20 07:41:33	Will Helio Bolsonaro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xae12f7…
08-20 07:38:22	Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	5¢	$1	0xe7ecf3…
08-20 07:31:42	Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x04dfe8…
08-20 07:31:39	Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x408db9…
08-20 06:49:03	Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	Yes	SELL	14	51¢	$7	0xcf103c…
08-20 06:40:45	Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xcfa1ef…
08-20 06:38:12	Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x876a58…
08-20 06:32:27	Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	Yes	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0xaa65b5…
08-20 06:31:55	Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xeb2df0…
08-20 06:31:48	Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xece827…
08-20 01:44:27	Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	Yes	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x028fb3…
08-20 00:34:40	Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xafa4fc…
08-19 22:43:28	Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	No	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x598a2b…
08-19 21:11:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xb2c89a…
08-19 21:11:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x2e9753…
08-19 21:02:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x092e5a…
08-19 20:26:58	Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	No	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x1c57e7…
08-19 19:57:42	Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xb83bbc…
08-19 19:53:55	Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?	No	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0x8b4e3b…
08-19 19:53:03	Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?	No	BUY	19	34¢	$7	0x999bfd…
08-19 19:52:10	Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xab0930…
08-19 19:25:51	Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xd118c2…
08-19 15:55:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x904d06…
08-19 15:35:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xeee230…
08-19 15:30:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb41cdf…
08-19 15:30:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x5aaacd…
08-19 08:14:48	Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xec9324…
08-19 08:11:54	Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x621b74…
08-19 08:03:37	Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xf0ab79…
08-19 07:59:58	Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xb544f4…
08-19 06:33:57	Will Connor Burbridge be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x7f2f4e…
08-19 05:53:57	Will Connor Burbridge be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x711959…
08-18 00:10:18	Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x4ab373…
08-17 22:47:58	Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	19	59¢	$11	0xfdeac6…
08-17 22:44:43	Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	1	59¢	$1	0x16379b…
08-17 11:15:34	Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0xfa0b0c…
08-17 11:15:33	Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	Yes	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x7a7dbc…