Realized P&L (7d)
+$402
Unrealized P&L
+$82
Hit rate
95.8%
Resolved (7d)
3
Trades (7d)
84
3,690 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$13.6K
$647.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$176
Open exposure
$12.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 20:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 143 days
Categories
Politics
70% 70% +$33
Other
29% 73% +$3,011
Crypto
1% 17% -$342
Sports
0% 75% +$8
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$37
Tech
0% 67% +$224
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,280 72¢ $1.4K +$150 10-25 09:32
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No -1,369 -$1,130 97¢ $-1331 -$200 08-02 11:15
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,300 $1,209 96¢ $1.2K +$32 10-25 09:48
Kash Patel out by December 31? No -1,376 -$275 82¢ $-1135 -$860 04-28 13:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,150 $901 82¢ $949 +$48 10-25 11:38
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +963 $720 96¢ $919 +$199 10-24 21:16
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? No +775 $367 88¢ $681 +$313 10-26 17:44
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? No +1,157 $206 42¢ $481 +$275 10-30 20:52
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? No +453 $415 94¢ $426 +$11 10-30 13:00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +1,000 $279 33¢ $330 +$51 10-30 13:10
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +300 $258 92¢ $278 +$20 10-25 19:27
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +1,000 $300 28¢ $275 -$25 10-30 18:45
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? No +300 $276 92¢ $274 -$2 10-30 19:49
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? No +537 $533 51¢ $274 -$258 09-30 18:01
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +300 $261 70¢ $208 -$53 09-26 17:20
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +500 $230 41¢ $205 -$26 10-22 17:10
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No -231 -$308 88¢ $-202 +$106 08-07 16:57
saudi houthi ceasefire agreement announced by october 31 No +200 $150 98¢ $197 +$47 09-26 17:10
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +200 $150 98¢ $195 +$45 10-22 17:14
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -200 -$190 96¢ $-191 -$1 10-01 20:44
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -222 -$209 86¢ $-190 +$19 10-30 20:26
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +200 $156 86¢ $171 +$15 07-12 09:47
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No -158 -$335 95¢ $-151 +$185 07-04 17:05
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? No +135 $110 90¢ $122 +$12 04-28 15:36
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? No -118 -$114 97¢ $-114 +$0 08-20 13:36
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -100 -$91 97¢ $-97 -$6 05-15 17:45
US recession by end of 2026? No -100 -$88 94¢ $-94 -$6 06-22 18:29
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +100 $92 92¢ $92 +$0 08-25 21:59
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes +93 $86 93¢ $86 +$0 10-27 16:26
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +100 $72 63¢ $63 -$9 10-26 17:35