Whimsical-Paint — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$52

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,898

lifetime

Volume

$135.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$71

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-07 16:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

43% 0% $-2

Politics

41% 100% +$30

Crypto

14% 100% +$25

Sports

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us invade iran by march 31	53	$7.8K	4,476	4,502	-27	open	—	03-26 08:01
maduro mugshot released by january 9	16	$7.0K	3,578	3,578	+0	open	—	01-09 11:54
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	1	$6.1K	0	6,499	-6,499	open	—	06-27 18:26
will canada strike iran by march 31	14	$3.6K	2,265	1,400	+865	open	—	03-15 21:42
another critical cloudflare incident by january 31	134	$3.5K	3,605	3,849	-243	open	—	01-31 14:03
will france strike iran by march 31	87	$3.4K	4,436	4,543	-107	open	—	03-31 21:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	36	$3.3K	2,300	1,700	+600	open	—	04-27 17:33
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	51	$3.0K	2,600	2,600	+0	open	—	03-26 07:31
spl njm ett 2026 01 08 draw	10	$3.0K	1,072	1,972	-900	open	—	01-08 19:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	12	$2.9K	1,800	2,000	-200	open	—	05-10 20:13
cfb ore txtech 2026 01 01	8	$2.5K	1,280	1,280	+0	open	—	01-01 19:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	12	$2.1K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	06-27 18:38
will germany strike iran by march 31	13	$1.9K	1,495	1,200	+295	open	—	03-18 17:59
will bitcoin dip to 67k on march 13	6	$1.7K	842	842	+0	open	—	03-14 00:22
us strikes iran by february 2 2026	3	$1.6K	1,550	50	+1,500	open	—	02-03 09:28
will iran strike cyprus in march	24	$1.6K	1,979	1,400	+579	open	—	04-01 21:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$1.5K	800	800	+0	open	—	05-29 20:14
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	4	$1.5K	200	1,400	-1,200	open	—	07-15 14:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	10	$1.3K	2,100	500	+1,600	open	—	06-16 20:12
US strike on Cuba by January 31?	4	$1.3K	1,300	0	+1,300	open	—	02-02 11:57
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	9	$1.3K	300	1,006	-706	open	—	06-27 18:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	7	$1.3K	900	400	+500	No	+$13	05-09 00:07
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	10	$1.2K	700	700	+0	open	—	06-14 12:56
will bitcoin dip to 62k on march 27	10	$1.2K	620	620	+0	open	—	03-27 21:48
will ukraine join the board of peace	43	$1.2K	1,763	1,846	-83	open	—	03-16 02:01
was ilhan omar sprayed with bacon grease 146	7	$1.2K	615	615	+0	open	—	02-24 07:26
will germany join the board of peace	35	$1.2K	791	844	-53	open	—	03-29 01:58
will zelenskyy talk to putin by january 31	13	$1.1K	1,254	1,189	+66	open	—	01-26 09:31
spl njm kha 2026 01 02 njm	6	$1.1K	80	1,040	-960	open	—	01-02 15:28
es2 mir cad 2026 03 13 draw	2	$1.1K	1,086	0	+1,086	open	—	03-13 21:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-07 16:19:51	Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x2c7864…
07-27 07:24:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	400	52¢	$208	0xf93fe9…
07-24 19:25:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x448d13…
07-24 19:25:24	Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?	No	SELL	200	97¢	$193	0x6de4dd…
07-23 20:39:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x98c2f9…
07-19 17:36:40	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x4fe64a…
07-18 17:24:06	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 penalty shootout	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x8ade60…
07-17 18:06:51	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	200	97¢	$194	0x72dde5…
07-15 14:26:01	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	90¢	$180	0x88ebf3…
07-06 08:50:01	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 penalty shootout	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x758a02…
07-04 15:13:13	Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x8eeee5…
07-04 15:11:14	Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?	No	SELL	95	99¢	$93	0x473348…
06-27 19:25:14	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	388	97¢	$377	0x7f0b24…
06-27 18:42:05	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x9ea978…
06-27 18:40:43	Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	No	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0xf2c59c…
06-27 18:39:58	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0xbf06db…
06-27 18:39:29	EU dissolves before 2027?	No	SELL	200	97¢	$193	0xd7bacb…
06-27 18:38:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0x527336…
06-27 18:36:50	Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	SELL	544	0¢	$1	0x5083b0…
06-27 18:36:26	Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	SELL	282	100¢	$281	0x2d64ec…
06-27 18:36:10	Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	SELL	177	0¢	$0	0x78a273…
06-27 18:35:49	Will Bill Cosby be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x42cd7c…
06-27 18:35:25	Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	SELL	143	1¢	$1	0x8689b9…
06-27 18:26:25	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	6,499	94¢	$6,118	0xb17699…
06-27 06:40:22	Will Noam Chomsky be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x96cf4f…
06-26 05:38:17	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0xa43a13…
06-25 17:43:38	Will Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	SELL	197	100¢	$196	0x094b7b…
06-25 17:29:43	Will Marco Rubio be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xf2c16e…
06-25 10:43:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x5ce832…
06-23 19:05:28	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	600	92¢	$552	0x2c0c19…
06-23 14:50:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	200	97¢	$194	0x3d7aad…
06-23 11:19:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0xd383c4…
06-22 11:58:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0xb94f38…
06-22 11:18:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x055f08…
06-21 23:53:08	Obama divorce before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x69828b…
06-21 13:15:46	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$8	0x471997…
06-21 13:12:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$8	0xcf3b2f…
06-21 13:10:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x53054c…
06-21 13:10:32	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0x188ce7…
06-21 13:08:43	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	39	96¢	$37	0xf0d2e6…
06-21 13:06:40	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x8cfcd7…
06-21 12:58:04	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	81	96¢	$78	0xc1004e…
06-20 14:56:25	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	172	90¢	$154	0xfd50bc…
06-20 13:32:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	200	91¢	$182	0x32ea56…
06-19 20:01:58	Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x58ceeb…
06-19 18:18:53	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x14e842…
06-19 17:49:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x646c33…
06-19 16:23:58	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x7ddfbc…
06-19 10:31:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0x6bb5be…
06-19 09:07:59	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xbb07c6…
06-19 09:05:01	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x1828f0…
06-19 07:10:11	Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	SELL	402	99¢	$397	0x6bf1c1…
06-17 22:56:07	Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0x0e63af…
06-17 04:58:32	Obama divorce before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x9b8529…
06-17 03:12:12	Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0x49dbce…
06-17 02:07:12	Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xbcb773…
06-17 01:47:47	Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	BUY	39	1¢	$1	0x5a608c…
06-16 20:12:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0x095864…
06-16 12:37:46	Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xb657ed…
06-16 10:07:33	Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0x3a5baa…
06-15 15:36:03	Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x888277…
06-14 19:48:13	Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xfa8bf6…
06-14 18:05:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	200	42¢	$84	0x069d66…
06-14 12:56:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	200	92¢	$183	0x583767…
06-14 12:38:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	200	87¢	$174	0x244696…
06-13 14:41:28	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	600	92¢	$552	0x37ba32…
06-13 13:49:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0xcac361…
06-13 13:38:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	200	87¢	$174	0x46a33c…
06-13 02:46:33	Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	SELL	83	99¢	$83	0xa91f16…
06-12 16:43:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	45	84¢	$38	0xebe352…
06-12 16:34:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	45	83¢	$37	0x30ee94…
06-12 16:34:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	55	83¢	$46	0x3f8da9…
06-11 17:21:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x3cbb0b…
06-11 17:10:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xc62798…
06-11 16:02:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0xa37f35…
06-11 15:13:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	66	72¢	$47	0x75263e…
06-11 15:10:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	134	72¢	$97	0x8f29e7…
06-11 06:10:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0x6cdc54…
06-11 02:24:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	300	72¢	$216	0x12c7a0…
06-10 23:29:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0xd6b9c0…
06-10 22:01:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0x1330a4…
06-10 19:29:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0xeb8b66…
06-10 19:18:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	260	86¢	$224	0x226ab9…
06-10 18:30:51	will bitcoin reach 65k on june 10	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe02025…
06-10 17:49:46	will bitcoin reach 65k on june 10	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x4111da…
06-10 17:41:43	will bitcoin reach 64k on june 10	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xd842cb…
06-10 13:40:36	will bitcoin reach 64k on june 10	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x7c830a…
06-10 12:30:24	will bitcoin reach 65k on june 10	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x7b61e7…
06-10 02:23:15	will bitcoin reach 64k on june 9	No	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0x2e2965…
06-10 02:17:10	will bitcoin reach 64k on june 9	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x258539…
06-10 01:56:21	will bitcoin reach 64k on june 9	No	SELL	193	100¢	$192	0x9b0911…
06-09 21:02:21	will bitcoin reach 65k on june 9	No	SELL	44	99¢	$43	0xa91829…
06-09 17:32:24	will bitcoin reach 64k on june 9	No	BUY	93	95¢	$88	0x053338…
06-09 16:23:25	will bitcoin reach 64k on june 9	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xdc20cc…
06-09 16:21:55	will bitcoin reach 64k on june 9	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xd6456a…
06-09 12:21:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0xafe350…
06-09 11:35:37	will bitcoin reach 65k on june 9	No	BUY	44	95¢	$42	0xcae418…
06-08 21:27:55	Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xe01aa3…
06-08 18:29:57	will bitcoin reach 65k on june 8	No	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0xeaac07…
06-08 18:28:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x213dad…