Realized P&L
-$12.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.42K
Hit rate
91.1%
Resolved
7,090
Trades
36,197
lifetime
Volume
$4.64M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$128
Open exposure
$116.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-14 01:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 280 days
Categories
Other
90% 96% -$11,236
Sports
5% 58% +$51
Politics
4% 69% -$128
Crypto
1% 93% -$1,125
Tech
0% 100% +$14
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 407 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +36,268 $32,611 98¢ $35.5K +$2,931 11-14 01:21
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No +15,336 $14,937 99¢ $15.2K +$230 11-12 13:14
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? No +8,583 $8,302 99¢ $8.5K +$173 11-09 20:25
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? No +7,187 $7,027 99¢ $7.1K +$89 11-07 22:50
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +5,500 $5,337 98¢ $5.4K +$50 11-13 19:41
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? No +4,889 $4,794 99¢ $4.8K +$43 11-06 10:33
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? No +3,853 $3,559 99¢ $3.8K +$244 11-08 18:06
Trump out as President before 2027? No +3,300 $3,104 98¢ $3.2K +$118 11-13 19:41
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? No +3,261 $2,881 96¢ $3.1K +$234 11-12 15:13
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? No +2,637 $2,568 98¢ $2.6K +$9 11-12 05:10
Ebola pandemic in 2026? No +2,565 $2,473 99¢ $2.5K +$59 11-09 09:58
Anthropic acquired before 2027? No +2,559 $2,516 99¢ $2.5K +$9 11-13 11:17
EU dissolves before 2027? No +2,495 $2,445 99¢ $2.5K +$15 11-13 22:38
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? No +2,280 $2,196 99¢ $2.3K +$62 11-10 16:50
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? Yes +2,983 $1,807 62¢ $1.8K +$28 11-13 03:52
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026? No +1,684 $1,638 99¢ $1.7K +$22 11-10 18:54
Obama federally charged before 2027? No +1,683 $1,641 98¢ $1.7K +$14 11-10 02:05
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? No +1,507 $1,473 98¢ $1.5K +$10 11-13 19:45
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +1,400 $1,260 92¢ $1.3K +$21 11-06 17:17
Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by November 30? No +1,218 $1,181 100¢ $1.2K +$31 11-12 11:39
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by November 30, 2026? No +1,200 $1,163 98¢ $1.2K +$10 11-11 17:37
Plague case in US by December 31? No +1,154 $1,107 98¢ $1.1K +$28 11-11 17:06
Obama arrested before 2027? No +1,094 $1,169 99¢ $1.1K -$89 11-09 17:35
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026? No +968 $863 90¢ $876 +$13 11-12 17:15
Will Jensen Huang be arrested by November 30, 2026? No +700 $690 99¢ $695 +$5 11-13 20:53
Will Jensen Huang be arrested by December 31, 2026? No +700 $671 96¢ $671 +$0 11-13 22:39
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027? No +703 $635 95¢ $668 +$33 11-06 03:24
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No +628 $593 98¢ $613 +$20 11-13 19:52
Will Finland win on 2026-11-15? Yes +633 $601 95¢ $602 +$0 11-14 01:49
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? No +600 $579 98¢ $588 +$9 11-12 03:58