Realized P&L
-$12.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.06K
Hit rate
91.1%
Resolved
7,056
Trades
35,723
lifetime
Volume
$4.59M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$128
Open exposure
$102.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-10 06:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 276 days
Categories
Other
90% 96% -$11,188
Sports
5% 55% +$28
Politics
4% 71% -$111
Crypto
1% 93% -$1,125
Tech
0% 100% +$14
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 407 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +28,142 $24,649 98¢ $27.5K +$2,888 11-10 06:42
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No +15,136 $14,740 98¢ $14.9K +$169 11-09 07:16
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? No +8,583 $8,302 99¢ $8.5K +$165 11-09 20:25
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? No +7,187 $7,027 99¢ $7.1K +$96 11-07 22:50
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +5,800 $5,632 98¢ $5.7K +$38 11-09 20:26
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? No +4,889 $4,794 99¢ $4.8K +$46 11-06 10:33
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? No +4,280 $4,174 99¢ $4.2K +$46 11-07 03:12
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? No +3,853 $3,559 98¢ $3.8K +$233 11-08 18:06
Ebola pandemic in 2026? No +2,565 $2,473 99¢ $2.5K +$55 11-09 09:58
EU dissolves before 2027? No +2,346 $2,299 99¢ $2.3K +$16 11-07 23:10
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? No +2,240 $2,181 97¢ $2.2K -$2 11-10 01:47
Trump out as President before 2027? No +2,200 $2,032 98¢ $2.2K +$118 11-09 21:28
Anthropic acquired before 2027? No +1,912 $1,879 99¢ $1.9K +$4 11-09 10:02
Obama federally charged before 2027? No +1,683 $1,641 96¢ $1.6K -$28 11-10 02:05
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026? No +1,523 $1,480 99¢ $1.5K +$25 11-09 04:18
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +1,400 $1,260 92¢ $1.3K +$21 11-06 17:17
Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by November 30? No +1,177 $1,140 100¢ $1.2K +$31 11-09 10:03
Obama arrested before 2027? No +1,094 $1,169 99¢ $1.1K -$88 11-09 17:35
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by November 30, 2026? No +1,100 $1,065 98¢ $1.1K +$9 11-09 10:09
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? No +1,153 $891 93¢ $1.1K +$179 11-09 06:04
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No +832 $792 97¢ $811 +$19 11-09 09:53
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? No +814 $797 99¢ $803 +$6 11-03 19:04
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026? No +758 $672 90¢ $686 +$14 11-09 20:36
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? No +691 $673 99¢ $682 +$9 11-09 04:03
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027? No +703 $635 95¢ $668 +$33 11-06 03:24
Plague case in US by December 31? No +682 $645 97¢ $664 +$19 11-06 08:39
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? No +903 $486 49¢ $442 -$44 11-09 07:24
Will Belarus win on 2026-11-12? Yes +400 $348 86¢ $346 -$2 11-09 18:38
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027? No +300 $323 99¢ $296 -$27 11-07 23:11
Plague pandemic in 2026? No +292 $279 99¢ $287 +$8 11-04 02:33