Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
open
Total volume
$75,331
$2,455 in 24h
Trades
834
Unique wallets
205
Liquidity
$14,675
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-29
last 06-14 14:36
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $5.9K
vs crowd: 1% YES on $53.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 25 | $14 | $30.2K | $30.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 32 | $105 | $13.7K | $13.6K |
| 🐟 Fish | 24 | $186 | $4.5K | $4.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 124 | $306 | $4.1K | $3.8K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $3 | $5.9K | $5.9K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 12 | $80 | $7.5K | $7.4K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 16 | $15 | $2.2K | $2.2K |
| Median | 30 | $4 | $1.2K | $1.2K |
| Below median | 27 | $39 | $327 | $288 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 8 | $93 | $512 | $420 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $41 | $4.5K | $4.4K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 9 | $58 | $21.6K | $21.5K |
| unranked | 88 | $277 | $8.7K | $8.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | +8,984 | $8,880 | $8,880 | 12 | 06-14 08:53 |
| Smallpeepee 0x333e…369b | No | +6,322 | $6,290 | $6,290 | 1 | 06-14 10:42 |
| Plush-Tick 0xe38f…d33e | Yes | +5,277 | $109 | $109 | 2 | 06-08 11:49 |
| Chubby-Decade 0x7ee7…17b0 | Yes | +4,219 | $53 | $53 | 3 | 06-10 16:39 |
| Attached-Example-Anesthesiologist 0x3eae…e2ed | No | +3,800 | $3,741 | $3,741 | 2 | 06-02 12:51 |
| Sophisticated-Farmer-Watercress 0x07e1…27af | No | +3,541 | $3,500 | $3,500 | 7 | 06-03 06:07 |
| satator 0xd9e6…4bfe | Yes | +3,341 | $59 | $59 | 8 | 06-04 21:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x1d1f…6f8d | Yes | +2,865 | $35 | $35 | 2 | 06-10 22:22 |
| Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | +2,424 | $2,402 | $8,308 | 40 | 06-12 04:56 |
| Offbeat-Tshirt 0x4b51…da79 | Yes | +2,375 | $27 | $90 | 62 | 06-14 14:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xd08d…f80e | Yes | +2,281 | $32 | $32 | 2 | 06-10 11:26 |
| Wobbly-Tooth 0x0b65…293e | No | +1,686 | $1,643 | $3,297 | 12 | 06-08 11:49 |
| Quick-Cardboard 0xf92a…a517 | No | +1,590 | $1,566 | $1,566 | 2 | 06-08 06:00 |
| Next-Talk 0x6ca7…8cff | Yes | +1,351 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-12 02:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x7732…b5f2 | Yes | +1,329 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 06-11 10:11 |
| Unnatural-Plough 0x4153…c423 | Yes | +1,320 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-12 21:01 |
| Double-Daffodil 0x1bbe…1559 | Yes | +1,167 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-09 19:35 |
| Shrill-Racer 0x798f…d7d3 | Yes | +1,053 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-07 03:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xd806…8c97 | No | +1,012 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 06-07 09:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xac88…33f6 | Yes | +1,000 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-09 13:04 |
| Miserly-Hugger 0xfde6…7ed6 | Yes | +998 | $5 | $5 | 8 | 06-14 10:42 |
| Scared-Administrator 0xb8ad…ff58 | No | +953 | $936 | $1,623 | 13 | 06-10 11:26 |
| Unaware-Jackal 0x8964…0bec | No | +910 | $902 | $902 | 9 | 06-12 02:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xdda5…c82a | No | +596 | $591 | $591 | 5 | 06-13 06:56 |
| Complete-Monocle 0xe85c…ed6b | Yes | +577 | $2 | $14 | 3 | 06-11 16:44 |
| Busy-Rheumatism 0x3e27…d383 | Yes | +543 | $6 | $6 | 5 | 06-12 04:56 |
| Elastic-Spending 0x0ed5…b784 | Yes | +500 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-10 06:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x84cf…3d9b | No | +428 | $424 | $424 | 2 | 06-14 08:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xc629…b41d | No | +406 | $400 | $400 | 1 | 05-31 13:18 |
| Fat-Embellishment 0x2dca…4bc5 | No | +386 | $381 | $381 | 1 | 06-01 10:37 |
| Flat-Badger 0x2a01…6397 | No | +346 | $336 | $336 | 1 | 05-30 13:44 |
| Average-Isogloss 0xe23a…8518 | No | +333 | $327 | $327 | 2 | 06-02 19:45 |
| Punctual-Freak 0x1e66…41e7 | Yes | +304 | $2 | $8 | 6 | 06-11 10:11 |
| Warmhearted-Major 0xe08e…838f | No | +303 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 06-10 19:45 |
| Charming-Connotation 0xff1f…a6bf | Yes | +294 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-02 14:56 |
| Stable-Patch 0x3a30…99ec | Yes | +200 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 06-14 10:42 |
| Frivolous-Reset 0x1f9f…825b | Yes | +192 | $3 | $6 | 2 | 06-08 11:49 |
| Klutzy-Ethernet 0x1d5c…55df | Yes | +177 | $16 | $35 | 15 | 06-11 09:41 |
| andy29 0xa75c…895e | Yes | +140 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-30 02:08 |
| Striped-Alien 0x89c2…7ce4 | Yes | +134 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-10 19:45 |
| Ringed-Ideal 0xfa2a…c1fa | No | +129 | $128 | $128 | 7 | 06-13 17:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x710d…6f1c | Yes | +125 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-13 16:51 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +117 | $4 | $24 | 3 | 05-30 21:59 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +105 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 06-11 09:54 |
| Wry-Lumberman 0x0359…a079 | No | +102 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-07 00:33 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +100 | $98 | $1,080 | 14 | 06-08 21:41 |
| Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | +100 | $1 | $10 | 10 | 06-12 02:05 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +100 | $1 | $20 | 16 | 06-14 10:42 |
| Kind-Senator 0x4b91…982d | Yes | +100 | $1 | $8 | 9 | 06-12 02:05 |
| Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | +100 | $1 | $10 | 9 | 06-12 02:05 |
| Multicolored-Billing 0x69af…0a19 | No | +100 | $98 | $688 | 7 | 06-11 07:23 |
| Dimpled-Cacao 0xd5be…0e42 | No | +86 | $85 | $85 | 1 | 05-30 13:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x0bcc…5e0a | No | +84 | $83 | $83 | 2 | 06-11 10:11 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +71 | $70 | $70 | 4 | 06-13 20:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xe7fa…5633 | No | +55 | $54 | $54 | 2 | 06-10 09:33 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +50 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 06-10 22:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xecf2…c477 | No | +47 | $46 | $46 | 2 | 06-08 09:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x6cc1…6375 | No | +47 | $46 | $46 | 3 | 06-08 11:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-14 14:36:54 | Offbeat-Tshirt 0x4b51…da79 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9a429e… |
| 06-14 14:36:54 | (anonymous) 0x3317…76b4 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x9a429e… |
| 06-14 13:56:13 | Offbeat-Tshirt 0x4b51…da79 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2a4cf2… |
| 06-14 13:56:13 | (anonymous) 0xa158…1c1b | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x2a4cf2… |
| 06-14 13:06:30 | (anonymous) 0xa158…1c1b | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x6dcd65… |
| 06-14 13:06:30 | Offbeat-Tshirt 0x4b51…da79 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6dcd65… |
| 06-14 12:34:22 | (anonymous) 0x3317…76b4 | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xd73ad8… |
| 06-14 12:34:22 | Offbeat-Tshirt 0x4b51…da79 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd73ad8… |
| 06-14 12:28:28 | Considerate-Freight 0x413d…d704 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x7baf76… |
| 06-14 12:28:28 | Offbeat-Tshirt 0x4b51…da79 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7baf76… |
| 06-14 11:51:45 | Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2425d4… |
| 06-14 11:51:45 | (anonymous) 0xa158…1c1b | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x2425d4… |
| 06-14 11:20:54 | (anonymous) 0x3317…76b4 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x8ef4f4… |
| 06-14 11:20:54 | Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8ef4f4… |
| 06-14 10:42:19 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe6566c… |
| 06-14 10:42:19 | Smallpeepee 0x333e…369b | No | BUY | 6,322 | 100¢ | $6,290 | 0xe6566c… |
| 06-14 10:42:19 | Offbeat-Tshirt 0x4b51…da79 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $2 | 0xe6566c… |
| 06-14 10:42:19 | Miserly-Hugger 0xfde6…7ed6 | Yes | BUY | 922 | 0¢ | $5 | 0xe6566c… |
| 06-14 10:42:19 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe6566c… |
| 06-14 10:42:19 | Stable-Patch 0x3a30…99ec | Yes | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xe6566c… |
| 06-14 10:42:19 | Major-Click 0xdc4b…dbca | No | SELL | 4,500 | 100¢ | $4,477 | 0xe6566c… |
| 06-14 08:56:07 | (anonymous) 0x84cf…3d9b | No | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xaa0a42… |
| 06-14 08:56:07 | (anonymous) 0x3317…76b4 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xaa0a42… |
| 06-14 08:53:00 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | BUY | 946 | 99¢ | $938 | 0xee987d… |
| 06-14 08:53:00 | (anonymous) 0x84cf…3d9b | No | BUY | 428 | 99¢ | $424 | 0xee987d… |
| 06-14 08:53:00 | Offbeat-Tshirt 0x4b51…da79 | Yes | SELL | 476 | 1¢ | $3 | 0xee987d… |
| 06-14 08:53:00 | Gleaming-Orient 0x5eec…f4e2 | No | SELL | 2,000 | 99¢ | $1,984 | 0xee987d… |
| 06-14 08:53:00 | Gracious-Locust 0xc8b8…c770 | Yes | SELL | 150 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xee987d… |
| 06-14 07:43:57 | Offbeat-Tshirt 0x4b51…da79 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x623443… |
| 06-14 07:43:57 | Experienced-Commercial 0x0ac9…bdcc | No | SELL | 21 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x623443… |
| 06-14 06:36:13 | (anonymous) 0xa996…34b5 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x4a638a… |
| 06-14 06:36:13 | Offbeat-Tshirt 0x4b51…da79 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4a638a… |
| 06-14 06:36:09 | (anonymous) 0xa996…34b5 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xbce275… |
| 06-14 06:36:09 | Offbeat-Tshirt 0x4b51…da79 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbce275… |
| 06-14 06:36:00 | (anonymous) 0xa996…34b5 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xb007f9… |
| 06-14 06:36:00 | Offbeat-Tshirt 0x4b51…da79 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb007f9… |
| 06-14 04:48:52 | (anonymous) 0xa996…34b5 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x5acee4… |
| 06-14 04:48:52 | Miserly-Hugger 0xfde6…7ed6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5acee4… |
| 06-13 20:56:39 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x17eb12… |
| 06-13 20:56:39 | Miserly-Hugger 0xfde6…7ed6 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x17eb12… |
| 06-13 17:28:06 | (anonymous) 0x3317…76b4 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xd98b45… |
| 06-13 17:28:06 | Ringed-Ideal 0xfa2a…c1fa | No | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xd98b45… |
| 06-13 16:51:36 | Ringed-Ideal 0xfa2a…c1fa | No | BUY | 125 | 99¢ | $124 | 0xd02e55… |
| 06-13 16:51:36 | (anonymous) 0x710d…6f1c | Yes | BUY | 125 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xd02e55… |
| 06-13 15:52:52 | Ringed-Ideal 0xfa2a…c1fa | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x72fe70… |
| 06-13 15:52:52 | (anonymous) 0x3317…76b4 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x72fe70… |
| 06-13 14:23:55 | Miserly-Hugger 0xfde6…7ed6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5e634e… |
| 06-13 14:23:55 | (anonymous) 0x3317…76b4 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x5e634e… |
| 06-13 13:48:48 | (anonymous) 0x7449…c05e | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xfac907… |
| 06-13 13:48:48 | Ringed-Ideal 0xfa2a…c1fa | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xfac907… |
| 06-13 12:32:33 | Miserly-Hugger 0xfde6…7ed6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8fbaae… |
| 06-13 12:32:33 | (anonymous) 0x7449…c05e | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x8fbaae… |
| 06-13 12:31:18 | (anonymous) 0x7449…c05e | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x853358… |
| 06-13 12:31:18 | Ringed-Ideal 0xfa2a…c1fa | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x853358… |
| 06-13 12:06:49 | Ringed-Ideal 0xfa2a…c1fa | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xbe581d… |
| 06-13 12:06:49 | (anonymous) 0x7449…c05e | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xbe581d… |
| 06-13 12:05:40 | Ringed-Ideal 0xfa2a…c1fa | No | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x126940… |
| 06-13 12:05:40 | (anonymous) 0x7449…c05e | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x126940… |
| 06-13 11:32:55 | (anonymous) 0x7449…c05e | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xd7c75b… |
| 06-13 11:32:55 | Miserly-Hugger 0xfde6…7ed6 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd7c75b… |
| 06-13 06:56:21 | (anonymous) 0x227b…76f9 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x155ceb… |
| 06-13 06:56:21 | (anonymous) 0xdda5…c82a | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x155ceb… |
| 06-13 04:06:42 | (anonymous) 0x6a07…2952 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x786375… |
| 06-13 04:06:42 | (anonymous) 0xdda5…c82a | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x786375… |
| 06-13 01:49:00 | (anonymous) 0xdda5…c82a | No | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x2b383b… |
| 06-13 01:49:00 | (anonymous) 0x8db8…c3f0 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x2b383b… |
| 06-13 01:28:28 | (anonymous) 0x6a07…2952 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xabef59… |
| 06-13 01:28:28 | Miserly-Hugger 0xfde6…7ed6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xabef59… |
| 06-12 23:46:43 | (anonymous) 0xdda5…c82a | No | BUY | 89 | 99¢ | $88 | 0x687ea9… |
| 06-12 23:46:43 | Offbeat-Tshirt 0x4b51…da79 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x687ea9… |
| 06-12 23:46:43 | Icy-Disk 0xa994…19a6 | Yes | BUY | 76 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x687ea9… |
| 06-12 23:38:34 | Offbeat-Tshirt 0x4b51…da79 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfdf1f9… |
| 06-12 23:38:34 | (anonymous) 0x227b…76f9 | No | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xfdf1f9… |
| 06-12 23:38:07 | (anonymous) 0x227b…76f9 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x65bb83… |
| 06-12 23:38:07 | Offbeat-Tshirt 0x4b51…da79 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x65bb83… |
| 06-12 23:34:15 | (anonymous) 0x8db8…c3f0 | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x0fa2b4… |
| 06-12 23:34:15 | Offbeat-Tshirt 0x4b51…da79 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0fa2b4… |
| 06-12 23:29:24 | (anonymous) 0x38ab…ab66 | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xc24d91… |
| 06-12 23:29:24 | Offbeat-Tshirt 0x4b51…da79 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc24d91… |
| 06-12 23:28:33 | Offbeat-Tshirt 0x4b51…da79 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2038a4… |
| 06-12 23:28:33 | (anonymous) 0x38ab…ab66 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x2038a4… |
| 06-12 22:52:16 | (anonymous) 0x8db8…c3f0 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xc749f8… |
| 06-12 22:52:16 | Offbeat-Tshirt 0x4b51…da79 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc749f8… |
| 06-12 21:51:09 | (anonymous) 0x227b…76f9 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x212315… |
| 06-12 21:51:09 | Offbeat-Tshirt 0x4b51…da79 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x212315… |
| 06-12 21:32:58 | (anonymous) 0x1e63…7267 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x6fb0a8… |
| 06-12 21:32:58 | Offbeat-Tshirt 0x4b51…da79 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6fb0a8… |
| 06-12 21:02:37 | Offbeat-Tshirt 0x4b51…da79 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xe2d144… |
| 06-12 21:02:37 | Pleased-Chaplain 0xc2ff…ce1c | No | SELL | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xe2d144… |
| 06-12 21:01:39 | Nonstop-Erosion 0xf1a2…f1b6 | No | SELL | 44 | 99¢ | $43 | 0x11f62f… |
| 06-12 21:01:39 | Offbeat-Tshirt 0x4b51…da79 | Yes | SELL | 44 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x11f62f… |
| 06-12 21:01:27 | Pleased-Chaplain 0xc2ff…ce1c | No | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xa53bda… |
| 06-12 21:01:27 | Unnatural-Plough 0x4153…c423 | Yes | BUY | 1,320 | 1¢ | $11 | 0xa53bda… |
| 06-12 21:01:27 | Offbeat-Tshirt 0x4b51…da79 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xa53bda… |
| 06-12 21:01:27 | Nonstop-Erosion 0xf1a2…f1b6 | No | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $39 | 0xa53bda… |
| 06-12 21:01:27 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | BUY | 980 | 99¢ | $972 | 0xa53bda… |
| 06-12 18:29:12 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xbc4fcd… |
| 06-12 18:29:12 | (anonymous) 0x1e63…7267 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xbc4fcd… |
| 06-12 18:03:37 | (anonymous) 0x9b4b…591c | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xa1651b… |
| 06-12 18:03:37 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xa1651b… |