Hoarse-Boulder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.2%

Resolved

367

Trades

801

lifetime

Volume

$9.73K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 10-23 11:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 95 days

Categories

Other

76% 73% +$0

Crypto

17% 82% +$0

Politics

4% 79% +$0

Sports

1% 40% $0

Tech

1% 33% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on August 8?	5	$116	58	58	+0	No	$0	08-08 17:03
xrp above 1pt3 on july 25 2026	6	$92	46	46	+0	No	+$0	07-24 14:55
ethereum above 2100 on july 23 2026	3	$86	43	43	+0	No	+$0	07-23 04:19
will bitcoin dip to 60k july 6 12 2026	6	$77	39	39	+0	No	+$0	07-13 03:37
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	6	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-30 17:13
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C or higher on August 10?	3	$63	31	31	+0	No	+$0	08-10 09:06
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on July 26?	4	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-26 13:28
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 41°C or higher on July 11?	5	$59	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-11 05:03
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on August 11?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	08-11 03:16
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 83°F or below on July 18?	4	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-17 16:05
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C or below on August 10?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	$0	08-09 20:58
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on July 20?	5	$59	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-19 06:33
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C or higher on August 1?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-01 10:54
bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	2	$58	29	29	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 10:01
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-27 20:17
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 28?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	06-27 15:08
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-17 20:53
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 2?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	08-02 04:00
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on August 29?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	08-28 21:36
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C or below on August 11?	5	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	08-10 14:33
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or below on August 10?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	08-09 10:08
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 85°F or below on July 21?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-21 20:09
Will "Hannibal: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?	4	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	08-04 18:57
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 1?	3	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	08-31 10:57
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	$0	08-27 15:59
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 10?	6	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	08-09 16:32
xrp above 1pt3 on july 17 2026	3	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-17 01:14
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	08-01 03:35
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on August 24?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	08-24 04:00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C or below on July 28?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-28 10:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 11:58:15	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x65318f…
09-01 07:44:52	Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x02c531…
09-01 07:01:28	Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x85704c…
09-01 02:27:36	Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in August 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xfbccbb…
08-31 22:33:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xafcb43…
08-31 21:32:28	Will XRP reach $1.80 in August?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x0765e9…
08-31 21:26:16	Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in August 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf74ebb…
08-31 18:11:40	Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc09f45…
08-31 16:15:39	Will XRP reach $1.80 in August?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xce6e52…
08-31 16:00:01	Will Microsoft be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x7b5915…
08-31 10:57:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 1?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xe2c5d9…
08-31 10:57:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 1?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x62e71b…
08-31 05:26:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x0324d5…
08-31 02:53:37	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 1?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xdb9ff6…
08-30 18:41:36	Will Microsoft be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x18f961…
08-30 13:23:30	bitcoin above 82k on august 30 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xec5460…
08-30 05:35:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 30?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xcc66ad…
08-30 05:34:07	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 30?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xb47ae3…
08-30 03:18:10	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 30?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xc5f090…
08-29 21:28:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 30?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0xc41f6f…
08-29 15:51:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 29?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xc4eb6c…
08-29 10:07:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 29?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xd93c31…
08-28 21:36:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on August 29?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x5dcd64…
08-28 21:16:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on August 29?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa05745…
08-28 11:38:49	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6028b8…
08-28 04:35:15	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C or below on August 28?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x0f1fef…
08-28 04:24:00	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C or below on August 28?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x9c1581…
08-27 18:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C or below on August 28?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xc8e38b…
08-27 15:59:30	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x08aaec…
08-27 12:42:54	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x7fbfc1…
08-27 12:33:48	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on August 27?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x4602c5…
08-27 09:29:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 27?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xf543db…
08-27 04:50:58	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on August 27?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8db2d3…
08-27 03:52:37	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on August 27?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x669a87…
08-27 00:52:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x6b24b7…
08-26 20:21:03	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on August 27?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xbe815a…
08-25 15:01:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 25?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x204bbb…
08-25 15:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 25?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf5ba49…
08-25 15:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 25?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe6309e…
08-25 10:22:00	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 25?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x2173cd…
08-25 09:51:51	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 25?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x8cd91d…
08-25 09:15:06	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 25?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x68ee14…
08-24 16:19:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 25?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x3524d6…
08-24 08:58:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x66ad2d…
08-24 06:35:03	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x41d31f…
08-24 04:57:04	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xa81ee7…
08-24 04:01:58	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 24?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xe818bb…
08-24 04:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on August 24?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xcb6a63…
08-23 22:43:48	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 24?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x578c8f…
08-23 17:06:39	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on August 24?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xc6ffc5…
08-23 12:18:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 24?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x99216c…
08-23 11:33:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x85bc6f…
08-14 13:45:07	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd9c213…
08-14 10:26:31	ethereum above 2000 on august 14 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x76aed1…
08-14 09:59:04	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 14?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xc6ae04…
08-14 07:14:39	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x683e30…
08-14 07:08:37	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb3219a…
08-14 06:50:15	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x77e792…
08-14 06:44:21	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 59°F or below on August 14?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0x4eff3c…
08-14 05:16:21	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x4474fa…
08-14 04:41:22	will taylor brown be evicted in big brother season 28 week 5 20260806195432958	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xab66be…
08-14 02:48:18	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x976d87…
08-14 02:44:49	iran leadership change by august 15	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x658717…
08-14 02:35:31	iran leadership change by august 15	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa8be03…
08-14 00:27:52	ethereum above 2100 on august 14 2026	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xe529e6…
08-14 00:08:09	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xbcc4eb…
08-13 22:37:39	will taylor brown be evicted in big brother season 28 week 5 20260806195432958	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xb77271…
08-13 20:02:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 14?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x8a0b86…
08-13 07:24:52	Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on August 13?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xde243d…
08-13 07:00:58	Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on August 13?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xfe2f7a…
08-13 06:44:52	Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on August 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x569997…
08-13 06:35:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on August 13?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x6e52ea…
08-13 02:12:57	Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on August 13?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x116d13…
08-13 00:31:31	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on August 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbd4dfc…
08-12 23:40:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C or below on August 13?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xaf03bb…
08-12 23:35:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C or below on August 13?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x0c8040…
08-12 23:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C or below on August 13?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbd25de…
08-12 18:35:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 13?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x80f23d…
08-12 18:05:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C or below on August 13?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x0abbdb…
08-12 10:55:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 13?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x22c55d…
08-12 10:01:33	bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x2a2477…
08-12 02:03:27	bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x804aec…
08-11 21:44:22	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3b9a02…
08-11 21:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 11?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x03289b…
08-11 21:26:00	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 11?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x82f863…
08-11 21:26:00	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 11?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x33a9b7…
08-11 21:26:00	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 11?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x16681e…
08-11 21:25:33	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 11?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb21d2e…
08-11 19:17:16	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x028e29…
08-11 15:09:27	ethereum above 1800 on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8db37a…
08-11 12:25:39	bitcoin above 62k on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x6dc371…
08-11 09:05:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 11?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x5f0e06…
08-11 04:29:13	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 11?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x66ea27…
08-11 03:20:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 11?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb2597b…
08-11 03:17:57	will bitcoin dip to 62k on august 10	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xc9343f…
08-11 03:16:42	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on August 11?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x3da5b2…
08-11 01:07:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcb2574…
08-10 23:11:43	will bitcoin dip to 62k on august 10	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x586b69…
08-10 20:39:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on August 11?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$29	0xd102bd…
08-10 19:48:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 11?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x237780…