This-Councilor 0x870535…058354
whale hot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.20K
Unrealized P&L
-$567
Hit rate
98.5%
Resolved
7
Trades
1,993
lifetime
Volume
$274.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$138
Open exposure
$17.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-24
last 07-22 17:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
82% 80% +$1,219
Other
17% 0% $-21
Sports
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -4,410 $-3,793 94¢ $-4145 $-353 06-01 19:15
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +4,485 $3,401 74¢ $3.3K $-60 07-22 23:19
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +4,108 $3,154 72¢ $2.9K $-217 07-18 07:19
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -2,132 $-1,328 67¢ $-1428 $-101 07-22 22:10
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1,200 $1,074 90¢ $1.1K +$0 07-17 17:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $585 64¢ $645 +$60 07-11 12:20
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -600 $-529 86¢ $-519 +$10 07-06 07:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +977 $540 50¢ $493 $-46 07-17 00:54
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No -695 $-417 60¢ $-413 +$3 07-22 14:36
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No +300 $281 98¢ $294 +$13 06-23 00:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +200 $184 99¢ $198 +$14 07-11 10:25
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $187 89¢ $177 $-10 07-16 09:46
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +200 $172 88¢ $175 +$3 07-08 00:22
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +200 $171 83¢ $166 $-5 07-10 15:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +200 $148 78¢ $157 +$9 07-07 20:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +152 $120 84¢ $128 +$8 07-14 12:14
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +100 $73 96¢ $96 +$23 07-05 10:27
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? No +100 $85 96¢ $95 +$10 06-27 17:54
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? No -100 $-85 92¢ $-92 $-7 06-18 22:29
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No +300 $90 30¢ $90 +$0 07-09 15:27
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +101 $90 86¢ $87 $-3 07-16 09:01
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No +100 $7 74¢ $74 +$67 07-02 13:47
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +100 $88 74¢ $74 $-14 07-14 19:31
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $58 52¢ $52 $-5 07-11 02:57
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +66 $49 79¢ $52 +$3 07-16 11:21
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +240 $39 22¢ $52 +$13 07-22 17:40
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? No +49 $38 89¢ $44 +$6 07-03 09:44
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +50 $37 86¢ $43 +$6 06-26 13:07
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +42 $38 91¢ $38 +$1 07-12 22:24
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? No +35 $32 97¢ $34 +$3 07-03 20:11