Realized P&L
+$1.20K
Unrealized P&L
-$78
Hit rate
98.5%
Resolved
7
Trades
1,557
lifetime
Volume
$243.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$156
Open exposure
$6.25K
18 positions
First seen
2026-03-24
last 07-01 07:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
84% 80% +$1,219
Other
15% 0% $-21
Crypto
0%
Tech
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -4,410 $-3,793 90¢ $-3991 $-198 06-01 19:15
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -900 $-509 58¢ $-526 $-18 06-24 15:08
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +400 $343 88¢ $350 +$7 06-30 19:00
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No +300 $281 94¢ $282 +$1 06-23 00:00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +888 $213 30¢ $262 +$49 06-22 17:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +200 $155 100¢ $199 +$44 06-18 00:08
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No +200 $82 67¢ $134 +$52 06-04 14:24
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +100 $95 100¢ $100 +$5 06-21 23:54
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? No +97 $96 100¢ $97 +$1 06-29 08:07
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? No +100 $85 91¢ $91 +$6 06-27 17:54
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? No -100 $-85 89¢ $-89 $-4 06-18 22:29
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +50 $37 90¢ $45 +$8 06-26 13:07
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? No +47 $36 81¢ $38 +$2 06-17 06:02
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? No +35 $28 89¢ $31 +$3 05-29 01:52
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +315 $96 $9 $-87 06-29 03:45
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30? No +7 $-20 99¢ $7 +$27 06-16 12:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +10 $19 30¢ $3 $-16 06-30 16:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -5 $-40 $-0 +$39 06-15 07:32