This-Councilor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.20K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.5%

Resolved

Trades

2,418

lifetime

Volume

$314.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$130

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 08-11 19:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

81% 80% +$1,219

Other

18% 0% $-21

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 107 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	160	$67.1K	45,427	45,427	+0	open	—	04-07 23:25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	51	$17.2K	18,212	18,212	+0	open	—	04-26 07:41
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	7	$14.7K	15,930	3,430	+12,500	open	—	04-07 23:35
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	3	$14.4K	10,000	4,375	+5,625	open	—	04-09 20:22
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	35	$10.3K	9,265	9,265	+0	No	+$1,172	05-07 18:41
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	39	$10.0K	10,130	422	+9,708	open	—	04-30 20:12
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	4	$9.4K	5,787	3,616	+2,171	open	—	04-23 17:38
Iran leadership change by December 31?	27	$8.3K	5,966	4,474	+1,491	open	—	08-04 05:38
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	17	$7.1K	4,818	4,308	+510	open	—	08-11 14:58
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	28	$7.1K	12,820	13,020	-200	open	—	04-23 01:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	31	$6.2K	5,216	1,374	+3,842	open	—	04-10 11:29
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	32	$6.1K	3,553	4,823	-1,270	open	—	05-09 02:16
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	27	$5.7K	2,574	3,300	-726	open	—	04-30 18:15
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	18	$4.3K	2,305	2,305	+0	open	—	04-30 00:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	15	$3.8K	2,077	2,067	+10	Yes	+$46	05-07 15:56
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	12	$3.8K	0	4,410	-4,410	open	—	06-01 19:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	13	$3.5K	2,713	1,473	+1,240	open	—	05-08 00:29
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	34	$2.9K	4,560	3,970	+590	open	—	08-07 20:19
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	39	$2.8K	1,894	2,600	-706	open	—	06-20 03:40
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	20	$2.8K	2,202	2,202	+0	open	—	05-16 03:11
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	52	$2.4K	8,865	9,565	-700	open	—	04-26 22:05
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	8	$2.4K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	07-02 13:43
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	5	$2.2K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	08-04 00:53
Trump out as President by April 30?	13	$2.2K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	04-06 21:58
iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163	6	$2.0K	2,210	0	+2,210	open	—	07-31 21:10
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	39	$1.9K	2,000	1,800	+200	open	—	08-08 14:05
russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	7	$1.8K	1,215	807	+407	open	—	08-03 07:30
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	17	$1.8K	1,250	1,050	+200	open	—	07-11 09:56
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	10	$1.7K	1,060	1,060	+0	open	—	07-25 07:50
Iran leadership change by May 31?	7	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-01 01:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 19:09:04	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	300	98¢	$296	0x62adfb…
08-11 14:58:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	500	82¢	$410	0x83552f…
08-11 03:55:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	140	87¢	$122	0xcc754a…
08-10 17:10:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	87¢	$19	0x3d9f56…
08-10 14:19:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	38	87¢	$33	0xad2fc3…
08-09 14:53:49	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	SELL	527	41¢	$216	0x182675…
08-09 13:03:25	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	300	8¢	$24	0x2cb5b0…
08-09 03:31:06	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	Yes	BUY	250	35¢	$88	0x4108bd…
08-09 02:11:43	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	BUY	300	97¢	$291	0x4aa748…
08-09 00:35:54	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by october 31	Yes	BUY	42	13¢	$5	0x45a0ad…
08-08 19:31:46	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	No	BUY	400	96¢	$382	0xc40269…
08-08 19:29:45	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	No	BUY	600	96¢	$575	0xecdd6f…
08-08 16:57:00	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by october 31	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x66ae76…
08-08 16:56:54	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by october 31	Yes	BUY	70	13¢	$9	0xc550b1…
08-08 14:05:57	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x111488…
08-08 13:47:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	400	90¢	$360	0xd362a9…
08-07 21:15:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	417	4¢	$19	0x778b65…
08-07 20:19:06	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	21¢	$42	0xe87f98…
08-07 19:04:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x348ff3…
08-07 18:48:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0x7f421d…
08-07 18:39:57	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	SELL	1	40¢	$1	0xc30293…
08-07 17:24:24	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0x7e553d…
08-07 17:15:01	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0xbae8c1…
08-07 16:53:06	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	SELL	11	40¢	$4	0xd3e191…
08-07 16:43:45	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0x85a37d…
08-07 16:23:00	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	SELL	11	40¢	$4	0x3119d1…
08-07 16:14:22	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0x4c45bc…
08-07 15:52:57	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	SELL	14	40¢	$6	0xf187d2…
08-07 15:43:51	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0xe02160…
08-07 15:23:07	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0x889e07…
08-07 15:22:51	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xa748d6…
08-07 15:14:16	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0x74996e…
08-07 14:53:04	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	SELL	14	40¢	$6	0x99e64c…
08-07 14:51:34	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0xed1b48…
08-07 14:37:43	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	SELL	16	40¢	$6	0x0d51f9…
08-07 14:14:31	israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x614f9a…
08-07 13:35:55	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	SELL	14	40¢	$6	0x01a5de…
08-07 12:31:34	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x3b22d1…
08-07 12:31:13	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x90be64…
08-07 11:39:27	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	SELL	62	40¢	$25	0x99de03…
08-07 11:35:48	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x5f4a97…
08-07 11:35:37	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0xbb01b4…
08-07 11:35:37	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0x9b57ef…
08-07 11:35:36	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0xe1076f…
08-07 11:35:34	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	SELL	63	40¢	$25	0xc46cb4…
08-07 08:36:42	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0x97d6f0…
08-07 08:34:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0x3cb99b…
08-07 08:26:16	will dana white attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630258	No	BUY	174	96¢	$167	0xc917e9…
08-07 04:35:16	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	69	98¢	$68	0xe84ff8…
08-07 03:40:40	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0x0d8182…
08-07 02:48:18	will dana white attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630258	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xfd9554…
08-06 19:14:08	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	500	97¢	$487	0x676d3d…
08-06 18:51:53	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	177	98¢	$173	0xcf8b64…
08-06 18:51:11	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	200	98¢	$195	0x66a171…
08-06 18:51:03	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	123	98¢	$120	0xe14a24…
08-06 14:53:50	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	106	98¢	$104	0x3e0e34…
08-06 13:51:09	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xac7d77…
08-06 11:53:02	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0x96470e…
08-06 11:52:59	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x57a2f6…
08-06 11:04:42	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x9faa64…
08-06 09:24:35	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0xf8f3f5…
08-06 07:57:56	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	190	99¢	$188	0xb4423a…
08-06 07:57:56	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2b707c…
08-06 07:52:23	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	SELL	19	40¢	$8	0xd62e39…
08-06 06:56:50	Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xfb6b74…
08-06 06:56:50	Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x7d0a18…
08-06 06:56:48	Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x7f22ec…
08-06 06:56:48	Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x089657…
08-06 06:56:47	Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x4c02f8…
08-06 05:14:33	grok 4pt6 released by august 7 2026 20260804192931962	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x6625be…
08-06 03:52:30	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	SELL	18	40¢	$7	0xd85d84…
08-06 01:27:44	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x80e4b7…
08-06 00:32:44	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	SELL	307	34¢	$104	0x0a1317…
08-06 00:30:53	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	281	36¢	$100	0x777104…
08-06 00:29:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	54	36¢	$19	0x2ce1aa…
08-06 00:27:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x508974…
08-06 00:26:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	74	36¢	$26	0x900aa5…
08-06 00:26:47	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x046325…
08-06 00:26:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	122	36¢	$43	0x68b83c…
08-06 00:26:41	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	246	36¢	$88	0x1730a3…
08-06 00:26:35	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	277	36¢	$100	0x051919…
08-06 00:20:14	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	SELL	135	23¢	$31	0x37b92a…
08-06 00:13:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	220	16¢	$35	0x8aeecd…
08-05 21:04:26	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	SELL	61	40¢	$24	0xf6e6d8…
08-05 21:04:26	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	SELL	51	40¢	$20	0x4514a5…
08-05 16:51:59	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	No	SELL	273	94¢	$256	0x2b9972…
08-05 16:51:09	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	No	SELL	95	94¢	$89	0xfe206e…
08-05 12:11:20	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	No	SELL	302	93¢	$282	0x897402…
08-05 11:25:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	300	38¢	$114	0xc8f910…
08-05 11:23:38	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	385	53¢	$204	0xf2a8da…
08-05 11:23:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xe5e8a6…
08-05 11:22:42	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	No	SELL	180	94¢	$168	0x72f424…
08-04 13:25:47	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x9d4bc2…
08-04 12:57:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x8308e0…
08-04 12:54:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x11a1c7…
08-04 11:49:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0xcc2d2c…
08-04 07:16:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	46	66¢	$30	0x031124…
08-04 05:38:09	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	2,237	85¢	$1,902	0x1f07e8…
08-04 04:08:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	77	66¢	$51	0xc476ff…
08-04 03:49:05	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	148	85¢	$126	0x092468…