Realized P&L
-$21.5K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.67K
Hit rate
42.6%
Resolved
76
Trades
726
lifetime
Volume
$163.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$226
Open exposure
$4.74K
6 positions
First seen
2026-03-05
last 09-18 23:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 38 days
Categories
Politics
81% 34% -$16,222
Other
19% 40% -$5,153
Tech
0% 25% -$45
Crypto
0% 0% -$50
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -4,341 -$2,601 96¢ $-4165 -$1,565 05-06 09:00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -1,000 -$210 18¢ $-185 +$25 06-11 19:41
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -7,604 -$803 2¢ $-148 +$655 06-24 16:27
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes +2,432 $288 4¢ $97 -$190 05-08 16:06
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +5,000 $700 2¢ $82 -$618 06-23 08:48
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -1,000 -$90 6¢ $-65 +$25 06-23 09:56