Realized P&L
-$2.89K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.65K
Hit rate
91.9%
Resolved
346
Trades
2,834
lifetime
Volume
$588.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$208
Open exposure
$107.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 01:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 117 days
Categories
Other
53% 81% +$3,554
Politics
28% 78% -$2,918
Crypto
16% 84% -$1,123
Sports
2% 80% -$2,725
Tech
1% 67% -$62
Pop-Culture
1% 67% +$387
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -13,379 -$12,792 97¢ $-13037 -$245 10-24 21:26
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +11,013 $9,529 98¢ $10.8K +$1,297 10-29 19:47
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +11,006 $10,194 97¢ $10.7K +$510 09-21 12:19
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +10,265 $8,843 94¢ $9.7K +$857 07-08 04:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -8,208 -$8,036 98¢ $-8015 +$21 10-09 14:19
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +12,628 $8,575 56¢ $7.1K -$1,440 10-30 02:50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -5,500 -$5,326 97¢ $-5343 -$17 09-21 06:32
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? No +5,494 $4,877 95¢ $5.2K +$367 09-23 19:28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +6,080 $4,897 84¢ $5.1K +$180 09-01 04:33
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +4,813 $4,348 98¢ $4.7K +$366 10-05 08:37
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? No +4,258 $3,885 97¢ $4.1K +$231 10-17 05:51
will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026 No +3,039 $2,847 97¢ $2.9K +$102 09-01 19:38
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +3,000 $2,220 88¢ $2.6K +$405 08-04 10:03
will gold gc hit high 5000 by end of december 2026 No +2,702 $1,991 85¢ $2.3K +$306 10-06 06:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? No -2,229 -$2,095 99¢ $-2212 -$117 05-04 10:38
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +2,040 $1,812 96¢ $2.0K +$146 10-01 12:51
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +1,963 $1,910 99¢ $2.0K +$42 10-20 20:52
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +1,622 $1,346 92¢ $1.5K +$138 10-22 14:27
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV? Yes +1,398 $1,198 96¢ $1.3K +$138 10-01 14:52
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +1,248 $1,169 97¢ $1.2K +$37 09-16 04:37
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +846 $795 96¢ $808 +$13 10-24 10:13
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? No -1,400 -$1,384 47¢ $-664 +$720 07-01 18:15
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? No +654 $627 98¢ $641 +$14 10-31 07:33
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? No +1,940 $1,188 28¢ $542 -$646 10-21 18:24
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? No -500 -$473 98¢ $-491 -$17 05-20 06:35
Trump out as President before 2027? No +500 $435 97¢ $485 +$50 05-05 04:15
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? No +497 $422 94¢ $465 +$42 10-01 06:40
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No +420 $332 86¢ $363 +$31 07-24 15:17
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -321 -$312 96¢ $-306 +$6 09-18 22:31
will ansem flip pump by december 31 2026 20260702152126830 No +300 $170 95¢ $285 +$115 07-04 05:57