First-Vintage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

34.1%

Resolved

Trades

133

lifetime

Volume

$1.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-01-20

last 07-01 06:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

64% — —

Other

20% 100% +$0

Politics

9% — —

Sports

7% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?	No		+10	$10	100¢	$10	$-0	06-29 20:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will solana dip to 50 june 22 28 2026	5	$136	68	68	+0	open	—	06-28 20:39
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?	12	$65	32	32	+0	open	—	06-30 10:55
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	06-30 00:29
bitcoin above 66k on june 28 2026	2	$57	29	29	+0	open	—	06-27 17:24
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 19?	3	$57	28	28	+0	open	—	05-20 00:11
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?	3	$57	28	28	+0	open	—	06-29 11:39
xrp above 1pt2 on june 26 2026	2	$56	28	28	+0	open	—	06-26 10:17
ethereum above 1400 on june 28 2026	2	$56	28	28	+0	open	—	06-28 12:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 4?	2	$54	27	27	+0	open	—	06-03 10:34
Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	2	$52	26	26	+0	open	—	05-30 00:42
bitcoin above 54k on june 27 2026	2	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	06-27 00:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	05-15 09:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 19?	3	$49	33	17	+16	open	—	05-18 21:07
will ink launch a token by june 30 2026	2	$45	23	23	+0	open	—	07-01 06:22
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 11-17?	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	05-18 00:47
will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in june 2026	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	06-30 02:12
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 15?	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	05-15 16:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	4	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	05-20 04:23
Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	03-08 19:25
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	06-29 22:51
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 31?	2	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	05-31 03:00
will wti dip to 45 by june 22 2026	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	06-26 11:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3?	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	06-03 13:37
Will Burnley win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	01-26 13:01
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	2	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	06-29 22:53
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 29?	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	05-28 18:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 30?	2	$27	13	13	+0	open	—	05-30 14:29
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20?	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	05-20 05:27
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	$-0	03-26 10:01
ethereum above 1400 on june 25 2026	2	$25	13	13	+0	open	—	06-25 05:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 06:22:34	will ink launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x77a01a…
07-01 04:02:07	will donald trump publicly insult melania trump by june 30 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x336bc7…
07-01 02:24:43	will openais valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x543fef…
06-30 22:50:34	will ink launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xabf9e3…
06-30 20:46:04	will openais valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcaafd9…
06-30 19:42:38	amzn above 330 on june 30 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x42eb34…
06-30 18:30:34	will bitcoin reach 63k on june 30	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x928f2d…
06-30 18:23:46	Will Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xfc67ef…
06-30 13:01:55	will bitcoin reach 63k on june 30	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1a4e6c…
06-30 10:55:46	Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xb84f34…
06-30 10:55:46	Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x804684…
06-30 10:55:46	Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x054bc0…
06-30 10:55:44	Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x496afa…
06-30 10:55:43	Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xd72772…
06-30 10:55:41	Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x377b8d…
06-30 10:55:37	Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x4f1bbd…
06-30 10:55:35	Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8510aa…
06-30 10:55:35	Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x46f55d…
06-30 10:55:35	Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x2f0194…
06-30 08:58:34	Will Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfb9a5e…
06-30 02:12:29	will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in june 2026	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x12cee1…
06-30 01:31:59	Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$25	0x1a31c5…
06-30 00:29:19	U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x0e4102…
06-29 22:53:17	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x8f2f7f…
06-29 22:51:59	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x51f83f…
06-29 22:36:01	will donald trump publicly insult melania trump by june 30 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4feea2…
06-29 21:43:43	amzn above 330 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4940f9…
06-29 20:37:28	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfb5cef…
06-29 15:49:23	will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in june 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xc20cc3…
06-29 11:39:11	Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xbcae2b…
06-29 05:37:59	Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x99ce36…
06-29 05:17:40	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7edeba…
06-28 23:53:35	Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xae71dd…
06-28 23:14:35	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xdcbde8…
06-28 21:21:55	U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x85cbf7…
06-28 20:39:46	will solana dip to 50 june 22 28 2026	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x89f33b…
06-28 15:31:46	will solana dip to 50 june 22 28 2026	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x2e5d7f…
06-28 14:17:46	Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xecbd4a…
06-28 12:57:43	ethereum above 1400 on june 28 2026	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xe4205a…
06-28 09:33:40	will solana dip to 50 june 22 28 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x0cd805…
06-28 07:17:50	ethereum above 1400 on june 28 2026	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x664b1a…
06-28 02:13:46	will solana dip to 50 june 22 28 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x4a87b7…
06-27 23:22:59	will solana dip to 50 june 22 28 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xcbbc9c…
06-27 17:24:11	bitcoin above 66k on june 28 2026	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x4733b4…
06-27 13:52:50	bitcoin above 66k on june 28 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xca39de…
06-27 00:18:31	bitcoin above 54k on june 27 2026	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xa2081d…
06-26 21:58:32	Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1a0d76…
06-26 19:07:02	bitcoin above 54k on june 27 2026	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x409e8b…
06-26 11:07:41	will wti dip to 45 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x9e48e4…
06-26 10:17:11	xrp above 1pt2 on june 26 2026	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xd66bc4…
06-26 08:05:08	xrp above 1pt2 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x11ca4c…
06-25 23:28:08	will wti dip to 45 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa8a489…
06-25 12:44:53	bitcoin above 56k on june 25 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0x89064d…
06-25 06:58:52	xrp above 1pt2 on june 25 2026	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb81321…
06-25 06:15:16	xrp above 1pt2 on june 25 2026	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xf65d0e…
06-25 05:14:01	ethereum above 1400 on june 25 2026	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x01734f…
06-25 02:18:31	xrp above 1pt2 on june 25 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa308d1…
06-25 01:05:41	ethereum above 1400 on june 25 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xfcf4f4…
06-03 15:06:27	Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf1743f…
06-03 13:37:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xe2b8aa…
06-03 10:34:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 4?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xedc094…
06-03 07:37:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 4?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xaa9547…
06-01 04:00:12	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 40 by May 31?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xcc1dcb…
06-01 03:14:33	Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x144bcf…
05-31 23:44:33	Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xcbaf25…
05-31 23:05:12	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 40 by May 31?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc80e3a…
05-31 21:07:52	Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb30f09…
05-31 21:00:52	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x249178…
05-31 16:19:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x944d78…
05-31 16:11:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 31?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x070dd5…
05-31 11:51:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x606d34…
05-31 10:05:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x301fca…
05-31 08:37:44	Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in May 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x0be2d4…
05-31 07:49:05	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc6a8c2…
05-31 04:34:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 31?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xb20fee…
05-31 04:17:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x5ffca1…
05-31 03:08:25	Netanyahu out by May 31?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xddec8b…
05-31 03:00:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 31?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x85deed…
05-31 01:15:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x3234dd…
05-30 21:37:34	Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in May 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfd547a…
05-30 15:44:06	Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x04f8f0…
05-30 14:29:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 30?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x4402b4…
05-30 00:42:06	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xd15a10…
05-29 21:53:53	Netanyahu out by May 31?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x51851f…
05-29 16:37:49	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe1db62…
05-29 15:02:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x993521…
05-28 18:53:46	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 29?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x743b33…
05-28 16:17:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x2c6399…
05-28 15:03:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 28?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x7ca747…
05-28 10:00:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x25a08c…
05-28 06:42:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 28?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x481b9a…
05-27 22:52:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf3d818…
05-25 23:37:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 26?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xca8b3a…
05-25 20:45:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4bae3d…
05-20 05:27:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe0855b…
05-20 04:23:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf42552…
05-20 02:55:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xb819fb…
05-20 00:56:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbc5160…
05-20 00:11:10	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 19?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x6a20dc…
05-20 00:10:00	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 20?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4ed9c7…