Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?
open
Total volume
$3,425
Trades
86
Unique wallets
52
Liquidity
$6,084
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-21 07:24
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.2¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $990
vs crowd: 1% YES on $2.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $1 | $1.8K | $1.8K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $2 | $811 | $808 |
| 🐟 Fish | 12 | $23 | $11 | +$12 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 27 | $7 | $168 | $160 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $990 | $990 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $1 | $302 | $301 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| Median | 12 | $3 | $21 | $18 |
| Below median | 6 | — | $7 | $7 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $1 | $8 | $7 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $60 | $60 |
| unranked | 19 | $24 | $1.4K | $1.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | +2,463 | $20 | $20 | 9 | 06-21 07:24 |
| Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | +1,000 | $990 | $990 | 2 | 06-09 14:45 |
| Sick-Placement 0x0cba…92d3 | No | +813 | $800 | $800 | 1 | 06-01 07:17 |
| Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | +294 | $292 | $292 | 1 | 06-21 07:24 |
| Boiling-Feel 0x28b2…eb4f | No | +283 | $275 | $663 | 2 | 06-09 14:45 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +195 | $2 | $3 | 3 | 06-21 07:24 |
| Mundane-League 0xd07d…e09d | Yes | +141 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-29 06:57 |
| Frivolous-Reset 0x1f9f…825b | Yes | +137 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-29 06:57 |
| Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 20:39 |
| Kind-Senator 0x4b91…982d | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 20:39 |
| Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 20:39 |
| Delightful-Burden-Cream 0xce7e…02db | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-17 16:24 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | +60 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 06-20 04:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x633d…f7db | No | +54 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 06-17 16:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +42 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-01 07:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x9f2a…1756 | No | +41 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 06-17 16:24 |
| Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | Yes | +26 | $0 | $0 | 7 | 06-07 10:36 |
| Expert-Remark 0xfb89…323d | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-18 12:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x2f5c…7b6a | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-10 12:54 |
| Daring-Mineshaft 0xc4a7…898a | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 06-18 14:31 |
| Tender-Tradition 0xef4a…5eeb | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-05 20:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xea6b…988d | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-05 20:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x5f0e…2c88 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-05 20:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-09 14:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x475b…8594 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-09 14:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x8193…fc06 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 20:39 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-21 07:24:17 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 194 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x3a5ff2… |
| 06-21 07:24:17 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | BUY | 294 | 99¢ | $292 | 0x3a5ff2… |
| 06-21 07:24:17 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3a5ff2… |
| 06-21 04:36:52 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 160 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x6f6cda… |
| 06-21 04:36:52 | Nifty-Rhubarb 0x8ef3…ac46 | Yes | SELL | 160 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x6f6cda… |
| 06-20 04:28:13 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0x071a12… |
| 06-20 04:28:13 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x071a12… |
| 06-18 14:31:58 | Rotating-Markup 0x9102…8b85 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xeb6d0c… |
| 06-18 14:31:58 | Daring-Mineshaft 0xc4a7…898a | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xeb6d0c… |
| 06-18 12:41:50 | Expert-Remark 0xfb89…323d | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x296e03… |
| 06-18 12:41:50 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x296e03… |
| 06-18 03:38:01 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 71 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb9fa38… |
| 06-18 03:38:01 | Tricky-Battery 0x2547…7804 | Yes | SELL | 71 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb9fa38… |
| 06-17 16:24:41 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x45c7ca… |
| 06-17 16:24:41 | (anonymous) 0x633d…f7db | No | BUY | 54 | 99¢ | $53 | 0x45c7ca… |
| 06-17 16:24:41 | (anonymous) 0x9f2a…1756 | No | BUY | 41 | 99¢ | $41 | 0x45c7ca… |
| 06-17 16:24:41 | Delightful-Burden-Cream 0xce7e…02db | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x45c7ca… |
| 06-12 11:18:39 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfad53b… |
| 06-12 11:18:39 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfad53b… |
| 06-11 22:15:25 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa411fc… |
| 06-11 22:15:25 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xa411fc… |
| 06-11 17:29:48 | (anonymous) 0x9acc…92c0 | No | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x9de52e… |
| 06-11 17:29:48 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9de52e… |
| 06-11 04:05:00 | (anonymous) 0x130f…836b | No | SELL | 58 | 99¢ | $58 | 0xa24ccd… |
| 06-11 04:05:00 | (anonymous) 0x728b…fd3e | Yes | SELL | 1,015 | 1¢ | $5 | 0xa24ccd… |
| 06-11 04:05:00 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 957 | 0¢ | $5 | 0xa24ccd… |
| 06-10 12:54:51 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x63d644… |
| 06-10 12:54:51 | (anonymous) 0x2f5c…7b6a | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x63d644… |
| 06-09 14:45:27 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x875240… |
| 06-09 14:45:27 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x875240… |
| 06-09 14:45:09 | (anonymous) 0x475b…8594 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x657ec2… |
| 06-09 14:45:09 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x657ec2… |
| 06-09 14:45:04 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe6162b… |
| 06-09 14:45:04 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 141 | 99¢ | $139 | 0xe6162b… |
| 06-09 14:45:04 | Daring-Mineshaft 0xc4a7…898a | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xe6162b… |
| 06-09 14:45:04 | Boiling-Feel 0x28b2…eb4f | No | SELL | 196 | 99¢ | $194 | 0xe6162b… |
| 06-07 10:36:45 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x622d17… |
| 06-07 10:36:45 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x622d17… |
| 06-07 10:36:06 | Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x12afef… |
| 06-07 10:36:06 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x12afef… |
| 06-07 02:35:03 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xeaf6cd… |
| 06-07 02:35:03 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xeaf6cd… |
| 06-06 20:52:19 | Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1d071b… |
| 06-06 20:52:19 | Aware-Carbohydrate 0x5f95…46c4 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1d071b… |
| 06-05 20:42:49 | Tender-Tradition 0xef4a…5eeb | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x2a021f… |
| 06-05 20:42:49 | Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2a021f… |
| 06-05 20:39:42 | Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x99e0af… |
| 06-05 20:39:42 | Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2f013f… |
| 06-05 20:39:42 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x99e0af… |
| 06-05 20:39:42 | (anonymous) 0xea6b…988d | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x2f013f… |
| 06-05 20:39:37 | (anonymous) 0x5f0e…2c88 | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x434d0c… |
| 06-05 20:39:37 | Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | Yes | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x434d0c… |
| 06-05 20:39:36 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 860 | 99¢ | $851 | 0xaf2a5a… |
| 06-05 20:39:36 | (anonymous) 0x8193…fc06 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x0a8264… |
| 06-05 20:39:36 | Kind-Senator 0x4b91…982d | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xaf2a5a… |
| 06-05 20:39:36 | Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xaf2a5a… |
| 06-05 20:39:36 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 49 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xaf2a5a… |
| 06-05 20:39:36 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xaf2a5a… |
| 06-05 20:39:36 | (anonymous) 0xa48a…acae | No | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xaf2a5a… |
| 06-05 20:39:36 | Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0a8264… |
| 06-05 20:39:36 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 1¢ | $5 | 0xaf2a5a… |
| 06-03 13:21:33 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x2cccb1… |
| 06-03 13:21:33 | Unknown-Crew 0xe753…7f1a | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x2cccb1… |
| 06-01 14:28:25 | Superior-Format 0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6e256f… |
| 06-01 14:28:25 | Sparse-Apartment 0xaa46…4a23 | No | SELL | 22 | 98¢ | $22 | 0x6e256f… |
| 06-01 07:17:27 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 2¢ | $7 | 0xba2982… |
| 06-01 07:17:27 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 21 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xba2982… |
| 06-01 07:17:27 | Sick-Placement 0x0cba…92d3 | No | BUY | 813 | 98¢ | $800 | 0xba2982… |
| 06-01 04:39:45 | (anonymous) 0xc041…3bec | No | BUY | 0 | 98¢ | $0 | 0x869e35… |
| 06-01 04:39:45 | Orderly-Guess 0x9833…0b32 | No | SELL | 0 | 98¢ | $0 | 0x869e35… |
| 06-01 01:27:52 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 21 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf9614b… |
| 06-01 01:27:52 | (anonymous) 0x10ea…02ed | Yes | SELL | 74 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xf9614b… |
| 06-01 01:27:52 | (anonymous) 0x5ae7…848b | No | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xf9614b… |
| 06-01 01:27:52 | (anonymous) 0x7527…d880 | No | SELL | 51 | 98¢ | $50 | 0xf9614b… |
| 05-30 15:01:08 | (anonymous) 0x5f41…b62a | No | SELL | 51 | 98¢ | $50 | 0x38b5d6… |
| 05-30 15:01:08 | Weak-Bureau 0x6602…089f | Yes | SELL | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x38b5d6… |
| 05-30 15:01:08 | (anonymous) 0x5ae7…848b | No | SELL | 49 | 98¢ | $48 | 0x38b5d6… |
| 05-29 06:57:36 | Frivolous-Reset 0x1f9f…825b | Yes | BUY | 137 | 2¢ | $3 | 0xba8320… |
| 05-29 06:57:36 | Boiling-Feel 0x28b2…eb4f | No | BUY | 479 | 98¢ | $469 | 0xba8320… |
| 05-29 06:57:36 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xba8320… |
| 05-29 06:57:36 | (anonymous) 0x3d1c…27be | No | SELL | 51 | 98¢ | $50 | 0xba8320… |
| 05-29 06:57:36 | Hideous-Register 0x458c…c504 | No | SELL | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xba8320… |
| 05-29 06:57:36 | Mundane-League 0xd07d…e09d | Yes | BUY | 141 | 2¢ | $3 | 0xba8320… |
| 05-27 22:50:25 | Rewarding-Alto 0xd3ba…33b9 | No | SELL | 37 | 98¢ | $36 | 0x6d8dc2… |
| 05-27 22:50:25 | (anonymous) 0x5f41…b62a | No | BUY | 26 | 98¢ | $26 | 0x6d8dc2… |
| 05-27 22:50:25 | (anonymous) 0xa48a…acae | No | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0x6d8dc2… |