Nifty-Rhubarb — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$100

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.5%

Resolved

Trades

2,661

lifetime

Volume

$54.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 07-01 13:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

51% — —

Politics

39% 50% +$103

Crypto

9% 60% $-2

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	6	$3.1K	1,777	1,777	+0	open	—	05-22 21:57
highest temperature in nyc on march 16 2026 54 55f	31	$2.8K	1,724	1,459	+264	open	—	03-17 02:52
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	42	$2.8K	2,116	1,979	+137	open	—	06-26 20:37
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	34	$2.7K	2,141	2,141	+0	open	—	07-01 13:43
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	23	$1.6K	1,541	1,541	+0	open	—	04-22 14:29
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	31	$1.4K	1,064	1,064	+0	open	—	04-21 23:17
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	15	$1.1K	729	729	+0	open	—	06-16 21:41
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	7	$964	600	600	+0	open	—	06-17 10:41
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	16	$942	692	692	+0	open	—	05-15 04:03
btc updown 5m 1776070500	16	$813	471	463	+8	open	—	04-13 08:59
btc updown 5m 1776069900	14	$775	488	381	+107	open	—	04-13 08:50
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	15	$701	518	518	+0	open	—	05-15 03:46
btc updown 5m 1776069300	14	$691	430	402	+28	open	—	04-13 08:40
Will Gabriela Saporito be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?	5	$689	350	350	+0	open	—	04-22 03:32
btc updown 5m 1776068700	13	$682	460	452	+9	open	—	04-13 08:31
highest temperature in seattle on march 16 2026 54 55f	6	$666	467	467	+0	open	—	03-17 02:00
highest temperature in atlanta on march 18 2026 54 55f	20	$651	753	2	+751	open	—	03-18 22:44
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	13	$638	426	426	+0	open	—	05-15 03:45
highest temperature in nyc on march 17 2026 50forhigher	8	$635	338	338	+0	open	—	03-17 04:09
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	12	$620	400	400	+0	open	—	05-15 03:44
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	34	$598	613	613	+0	open	—	06-03 22:50
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	4	$596	630	0	+630	open	—	06-16 23:32
btc updown 5m 1776068400	9	$485	270	267	+4	open	—	04-13 08:24
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	16	$478	354	441	-87	open	—	05-27 13:11
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	8	$457	348	348	+0	open	—	05-15 03:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	15	$413	357	422	-65	open	—	06-15 03:58
highest temperature in nyc on march 16 2026 60 61f	8	$409	229	229	+0	open	—	03-16 22:16
highest temperature in dallas on march 16 2026 44 45f	2	$408	209	209	+0	open	—	03-16 21:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	10	$356	568	568	+0	Yes	+$94	05-08 18:58
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	14	$355	326	326	+0	open	—	06-19 10:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 13:43:31	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	906	88¢	$797	0xf35d31…
06-30 14:11:19	will joo cancelo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x901329…
06-30 14:10:28	will joko gvardiol score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	15	88¢	$13	0xca8457…
06-30 14:09:47	will luka modri score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	20	82¢	$17	0xab60c1…
06-30 00:54:35	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	371	78¢	$289	0xf7602f…
06-30 00:34:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	57	85¢	$49	0xf80821…
06-29 22:55:55	will joo cancelo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xb2ada2…
06-29 07:09:29	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	65	70¢	$46	0x2e3206…
06-29 04:48:07	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	196	74¢	$145	0xc1d4eb…
06-29 04:38:58	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xc449e9…
06-28 14:56:43	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	60	77¢	$46	0x8663ac…
06-27 22:18:38	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	80	74¢	$59	0x633a79…
06-26 20:47:02	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xacb67e…
06-26 20:40:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	57	70¢	$40	0xd32aa7…
06-26 20:37:20	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1,188	95¢	$1,128	0xb0a1fb…
06-26 20:37:01	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	90	47¢	$42	0x2472d3…
06-25 16:30:25	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	353	51¢	$180	0xc22c44…
06-25 13:49:04	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	440	51¢	$224	0x105efe…
06-25 07:14:07	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	37	30¢	$11	0x807e02…
06-25 06:42:37	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0xf1518e…
06-25 06:12:11	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x666ab3…
06-25 06:11:52	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8af88f…
06-25 06:11:31	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xa18fad…
06-25 06:07:14	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0xfd5ffa…
06-25 05:00:35	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	60	30¢	$18	0x8a220a…
06-25 04:58:01	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	177	67¢	$118	0x804a01…
06-25 04:57:19	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	79	68¢	$54	0x8c612d…
06-25 04:56:23	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	500	84¢	$420	0x9407de…
06-25 04:35:59	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	27	83¢	$22	0x6e3144…
06-25 04:27:46	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	24	81¢	$20	0x7c2f99…
06-25 04:22:59	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	159	72¢	$114	0xef3077…
06-25 04:10:20	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	55	80¢	$44	0x4f04c5…
06-25 04:08:55	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	80	27¢	$22	0x89bcc5…
06-25 03:56:14	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	27	74¢	$20	0x2c3403…
06-25 03:50:17	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0xa5e683…
06-25 03:49:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	54	69¢	$37	0x34b318…
06-25 03:47:32	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	346	20¢	$69	0xfbdcb4…
06-25 03:45:32	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	550	80¢	$440	0xd84882…
06-25 03:44:50	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	400	28¢	$112	0x257eb1…
06-25 03:35:16	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	83	81¢	$67	0xf9432e…
06-25 03:34:44	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0x363631…
06-25 03:33:49	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	SELL	50	87¢	$43	0x6163d6…
06-25 03:33:37	will trump praise allah again by june 30 20260610152457610	No	SELL	63	88¢	$55	0x4f504f…
06-24 20:33:59	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0x2daf76…
06-24 17:47:26	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0x1d7cfb…
06-24 17:44:11	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x3fc206…
06-24 14:00:41	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xbe2073…
06-24 13:55:49	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0x64b2c3…
06-24 13:14:31	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	47	97¢	$46	0x55a09e…
06-24 13:07:43	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	60	32¢	$19	0x1e09e2…
06-24 02:57:04	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0xe4b2b0…
06-24 02:51:40	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xfb6033…
06-24 02:50:50	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	9	48¢	$5	0x27610c…
06-24 01:22:11	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x953a71…
06-24 01:20:41	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x66cc88…
06-24 00:10:01	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0xa06e64…
06-24 00:00:13	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xcb9f74…
06-23 17:25:19	Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	29	89¢	$26	0xf220f0…
06-23 16:13:43	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x489049…
06-23 13:53:14	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	65	49¢	$32	0x2b03de…
06-23 13:48:58	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x5cdda9…
06-23 13:48:23	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	23	47¢	$11	0xa4bc0c…
06-23 13:35:40	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0x4b3617…
06-23 13:30:13	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	55	57¢	$31	0x8c11df…
06-23 13:24:08	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	68	62¢	$42	0x55a509…
06-23 13:24:05	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x14b791…
06-23 13:22:14	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	80	65¢	$52	0xb711b3…
06-23 13:20:32	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	215	39¢	$83	0xcf832c…
06-23 01:18:22	will kenan yldz score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	31	82¢	$26	0xd7a4a5…
06-22 21:24:10	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x1717bb…
06-22 21:24:08	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x795d03…
06-22 21:23:31	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0xe1320d…
06-22 20:48:07	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x57fbbd…
06-22 16:07:43	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x538831…
06-22 16:01:52	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	29	65¢	$19	0xf3268a…
06-22 14:16:59	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0xc8e875…
06-22 14:12:04	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x4ee9c9…
06-22 14:05:16	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	70	73¢	$51	0xc061f0…
06-22 14:00:52	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	80	40¢	$32	0xc21d2d…
06-22 14:00:52	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	150	59¢	$88	0xc21d2d…
06-22 13:32:47	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	47	77¢	$36	0xfe3520…
06-22 13:22:41	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	154	6¢	$9	0x79a104…
06-22 13:22:20	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0xd89a19…
06-22 13:22:20	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x0fcca3…
06-22 09:13:56	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xd0650b…
06-22 08:55:34	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xd5ee78…
06-22 06:36:04	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	18	7¢	$1	0xbecb18…
06-22 06:26:44	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	28	52¢	$15	0xfb2cd1…
06-22 06:11:26	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x55a557…
06-22 05:45:10	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x5601d2…
06-22 05:31:35	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	85	8¢	$7	0x6b332d…
06-22 05:24:56	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	115	82¢	$94	0x534a43…
06-22 05:08:10	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x8f0d07…
06-22 05:04:47	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	13	82¢	$11	0xcf6557…
06-22 04:52:01	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	18	4¢	$1	0x26d566…
06-22 04:51:01	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0xb7a368…
06-22 04:50:59	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	52	82¢	$43	0x2e1615…
06-22 04:50:56	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x9a1983…
06-22 04:39:32	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x522962…
06-22 04:38:25	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	169	8¢	$13	0x6f30fe…