Realized P&L
-$44
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
38.1%
Resolved
17
Trades
1,257
lifetime
Volume
$6.97K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$325
21 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 07-23 06:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
42% 100% +$0
Other
35%
Crypto
10%
Tech
7%
Sports
7% 38% $-44
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +67 $63 92¢ $62 $-1 07-21 02:56
Trump out as President before 2027? No +66 $61 94¢ $61 +$0 07-20 05:56
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes +96 $48 50¢ $48 +$0 07-11 08:55
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +44 $41 96¢ $42 +$1 06-07 01:51
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +25 $24 96¢ $24 +$0 07-20 13:52
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +13 $12 96¢ $13 +$0 06-16 23:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +23 $12 50¢ $11 $-1 07-19 16:40
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +11 $11 97¢ $11 +$0 07-12 00:09
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -11 $-11 94¢ $-10 +$0 06-11 02:29
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +9 $8 93¢ $8 +$0 06-14 16:07
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +7 $6 95¢ $6 +$0 07-10 14:52
Trump out as President before GTA VI? No +11 $5 50¢ $6 +$0 07-19 18:52
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 90¢ $5 $-0 07-10 03:34
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 07-11 19:31
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +3 $3 97¢ $3 +$0 06-05 18:47
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 93¢ $3 $-0 06-25 05:38
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 06-07 01:55
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 93¢ $1 +$0 06-23 00:38
Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 07-13 05:56
Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 $-0 07-10 02:04
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $-0 07-20 18:30