(anonymous) 0x5f0e97…522c88
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Realized P&L
-$44
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
38.1%
Resolved
17
Trades
927
lifetime
Volume
$5.42K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$302
15 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 07-02 05:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
44% 100% +$0
Other
32% — —
Crypto
11% — —
Tech
9% — —
Sports
4% 38% $-44
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 +$0 07-01 14:13
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +102 $100 97¢ $98 $-2 07-01 15:27
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +44 $41 95¢ $42 +$1 06-07 01:51
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +14 $13 95¢ $13 +$0 06-13 12:36
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +13 $12 96¢ $13 +$0 06-16 23:26
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -11 $-11 94¢ $-10 +$0 06-11 02:29
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +9 $8 92¢ $8 +$0 06-14 16:07
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-13 04:04
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +3 $3 95¢ $3 +$0 06-05 18:47
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 93¢ $3 $-0 06-25 05:38
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 06-07 01:55
Trump out as President before 2027? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 06-27 10:33
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 06-23 00:38
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 $-0 06-25 07:32
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 $-0 06-21 08:29