Expert-Remark — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

44.6%

Resolved

Trades

204

lifetime

Volume

$3.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$40

1 position

First seen

2026-03-12

last 09-18 06:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Other

65% 31% -$5

Crypto

16% 64% +$14

Politics

9% 60% +$1

Tech

8% 67% +$0

Sports

2% 25% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		-40	-$38	99¢	$-40	-$1	05-11 03:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	6	$133	68	68	-0	open	—	07-20 07:35
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	4	$109	55	55	+0	Yes	+$0	04-17 23:54
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	6	$90	45	45	+0	open	—	06-24 00:39
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	6	$85	24	64	-40	open	—	05-11 03:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	2	$77	39	39	+0	No	$0	04-16 01:44
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	2	$77	39	39	+0	No	$0	04-24 09:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?	2	$77	38	38	+0	No	$0	04-16 01:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?	2	$77	38	38	+0	No	$0	04-16 01:45
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	3	$76	39	39	+0	No	+$0	04-07 08:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 04:10 UTC	3	$74	77	43	+33	Up	+$4	03-16 04:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 10:10 UTC	2	$67	67	66	+1	Down	+$11	03-27 10:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 04:20 UTC	2	$65	61	60	+1	Up	+$2	03-16 04:23
will bitcoin dip to 35k in march 2026	2	$65	32	32	+0	No	+$0	03-22 10:17
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in April 2026?	2	$65	32	32	+0	No	+$0	03-24 11:29
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	3	$64	33	33	+0	Yes	$0	03-24 11:45
will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	$0	03-13 12:51
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	4	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	07-17 10:47
aapl above 210 on march 31 2026	2	$58	29	29	+0	Yes	$0	03-27 10:10
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$54	28	28	+0	No	+$0	03-16 04:12
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	4	$52	26	26	-0	No	$0	05-26 07:26
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	3	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	07-01 00:45
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	$0	06-18 12:41
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$50	26	26	+0	No	$0	06-06 15:16
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	4	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	09-06 01:46
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$1	06-06 06:09
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	2	$48	24	24	+0	No	+$0	07-12 08:12
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	2	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	07-06 08:38
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$48	24	24	+0	No	$0	04-30 08:32
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$46	23	23	+0	No	+$0	04-13 13:29
highest temperature in atlanta on march 20 2026 64 65f	2	$45	22	22	+0	No	$0	03-20 04:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-18 06:26:55	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x0a1d96…
09-06 01:46:54	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xf26be9…
09-06 01:46:36	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xfe9a91…
09-06 01:46:31	2026 Balance of Power: Other	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6f93ee…
08-23 07:54:39	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd33da5…
08-23 07:54:31	2026 Balance of Power: Other	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf711dd…
08-23 07:54:15	Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0xaac618…
08-21 06:05:45	Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x1f45f9…
08-21 06:05:30	will solana reach 160 in august 2026	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x62588b…
08-21 06:05:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x5b1138…
08-21 01:36:55	will solana reach 160 in august 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2e0d51…
08-21 01:36:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfd77cc…
08-21 01:36:21	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x81601d…
08-20 14:50:07	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6cab9b…
08-20 14:49:46	will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x844f8b…
08-20 04:55:13	will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x7362dc…
08-14 03:54:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x0268ab…
08-14 03:54:13	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x7ecd65…
08-03 07:53:05	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x35e530…
08-03 07:52:48	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xf5e61a…
07-30 03:37:42	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x191d08…
07-30 03:36:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x2dde40…
07-30 03:36:03	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xa4d1c4…
07-26 02:12:37	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0x0a04a9…
07-26 02:12:19	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xa1812b…
07-26 02:12:13	Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0xa4a2ea…
07-21 08:43:46	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0x224e6f…
07-21 08:43:31	Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xfc947a…
07-21 08:42:15	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	22	93¢	$20	0xf3a4c0…
07-21 01:03:31	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x0eecdd…
07-21 01:03:13	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	SELL	7	76¢	$6	0x67bd42…
07-21 01:03:06	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?	No	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0x54365e…
07-20 12:24:31	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x1c01e5…
07-20 12:23:54	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xac9a31…
07-20 12:23:21	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x48bee4…
07-20 12:23:06	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6c386f…
07-20 09:06:03	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x1699c3…
07-20 09:05:49	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x687d16…
07-20 09:05:33	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xf357d0…
07-20 07:35:36	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x136476…
07-20 07:35:19	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0x69128a…
07-19 12:42:34	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$20	0xf16cea…
07-19 12:42:10	will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	No	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0x4718f0…
07-18 03:55:49	will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x7bc140…
07-18 03:55:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xc92594…
07-18 03:55:16	Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x55edad…
07-18 03:55:06	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x693067…
07-17 10:48:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x95702e…
07-17 10:47:52	Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb4db79…
07-17 10:47:37	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd1bf18…
07-17 10:47:21	Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xcf2124…
07-15 12:41:56	Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa54816…
07-15 12:41:34	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x7aa289…
07-15 12:41:07	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x410597…
07-15 12:40:59	Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xf1e442…
07-14 02:44:44	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x21e0bf…
07-14 02:44:26	Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xadd05c…
07-14 02:44:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x5e561c…
07-12 08:12:49	iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	No	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x75922d…
07-12 08:12:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa0bd07…
07-12 08:12:08	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x0a402b…
07-08 06:17:08	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x74591a…
07-08 06:16:49	Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x548c6e…
07-08 06:16:43	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xc36b7e…
07-06 08:39:17	Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5880ef…
07-06 08:38:58	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xdd97a5…
07-06 08:38:43	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xd19b73…
07-06 04:38:38	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x570b53…
07-06 04:38:22	Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xaa6714…
07-06 04:38:11	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x02ff16…
07-01 00:45:46	Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x78ce8a…
07-01 00:45:32	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa6c026…
07-01 00:45:14	Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xbc743b…
06-24 00:40:08	Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5c9278…
06-24 00:39:56	Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd45614…
06-24 00:39:38	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0721dc…
06-24 00:39:22	Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x708713…
06-18 12:42:08	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1f43d9…
06-18 12:41:50	Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x296e03…
06-18 12:41:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x5c568b…
06-15 05:42:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xd63561…
06-15 05:41:48	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x7750c8…
06-15 05:41:37	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?	No	SELL	14	96¢	$14	0x5c6efc…
06-12 00:25:34	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xfe645a…
06-12 00:25:21	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x7565e4…
06-12 00:24:18	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	27	98¢	$26	0x06d55d…
06-10 10:50:19	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0xa9b1a2…
06-10 10:50:00	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1ac511…
06-10 10:49:49	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0x68718d…
06-06 15:17:25	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$4	0x7edc30…
06-06 15:17:12	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0x404a50…
06-06 15:16:54	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	26	97¢	$25	0x6c168c…
06-06 08:58:46	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xb0e9d6…
06-06 08:58:27	Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf88d50…
06-06 08:58:21	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xbcbae8…
06-06 06:10:36	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x637f43…
06-06 06:10:21	Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7b9725…
06-06 06:09:13	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xbbadce…
05-30 14:15:37	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xab99f8…
05-30 14:14:39	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$11	0xf9fa2f…