Ironclad-Tog — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.9%

Resolved

Trades

112

lifetime

Volume

$1.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-21 03:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 100% +$0

Other

21% 0% $-0

Politics

12% — —

Sports

6% — —

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	4	$87	50	37	+13	open	—	06-01 06:12
ethereum above 2100 on july 17 2026	4	$86	43	43	+0	open	—	07-17 07:07
israel closes its airspace by july 7	2	$55	28	28	+0	open	—	07-06 18:50
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	2	$54	27	27	+0	open	—	06-30 00:59
ethereum above 1400 on july 2 2026	3	$54	27	27	+0	open	—	07-02 04:18
ethereum above 1400 on june 25 2026	2	$47	24	24	+0	open	—	06-25 12:51
will xrp dip to 1 june 29 july 5 2026	3	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	07-06 03:23
will bitcoin dip to 58k july 13 19 2026	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	07-19 00:14
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	06-28 21:02
will the jensen jacket jensen huangs tom ford leather jacket sell for at least 90k at auction 20260713233758306	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	07-17 21:17
amzn above 330 on june 30 2026	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	06-30 20:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?	2	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	05-28 13:54
solana above 90 on july 14 2026	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	07-14 12:27
bitcoin above 66k on july 2 2026	2	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	07-02 13:01
ethereum above 1600 on july 8 2026	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	07-08 07:24
will openais valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	3	$32	19	13	+5	open	—	06-30 16:06
bitcoin above 58k on july 14 2026	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	07-14 12:29
bitcoin above 58k on july 13 2026	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	07-12 15:52
ethereum above 1700 on july 17 2026	3	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	07-17 07:11
solana above 90 on july 16 2026	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	07-16 06:41
Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	2	$27	14	14	+0	Yes	$-0	05-11 02:41
ethereum above 2000 on july 12 2026	2	$27	13	13	+0	open	—	07-11 23:12
Will Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$26	0	26	-26	open	—	01-05 12:11
will wti dip to 45 by june 22 2026	2	$26	13	13	+0	open	—	06-26 14:50
solana above 50 on june 9 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	06-08 18:28
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	2	$25	13	13	+0	open	—	05-31 10:05
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 15?	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	05-15 09:22
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 17?	2	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	05-17 07:21
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	2	$23	11	11	+0	open	—	06-30 11:36
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	2	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	06-29 20:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 03:06:27	xrp above 1pt3 on july 21 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb6fe23…
07-21 03:05:36	xrp above 1pt3 on july 21 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x014002…
07-19 00:14:13	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x3e157e…
07-18 21:55:37	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xf1acaa…
07-18 00:24:54	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 17	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x074fd9…
07-17 21:17:48	will the jensen jacket jensen huangs tom ford leather jacket sell for at least 90k at auction 20260713233758306	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x6370bd…
07-17 21:07:48	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 17	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf8d459…
07-17 19:41:16	will the jensen jacket jensen huangs tom ford leather jacket sell for at least 90k at auction 20260713233758306	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf391da…
07-17 07:11:12	ethereum above 1700 on july 17 2026	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2c941d…
07-17 07:07:48	ethereum above 2100 on july 17 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x25b287…
07-17 04:45:57	ethereum above 1700 on july 17 2026	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa72c8f…
07-16 23:37:41	ethereum above 2100 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x23380b…
07-16 22:26:26	ethereum above 2100 on july 17 2026	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xd7f15f…
07-16 21:05:34	ethereum above 2100 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x958e0a…
07-16 20:12:16	ethereum above 1700 on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xcc1367…
07-16 06:41:50	solana above 90 on july 16 2026	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x324f63…
07-16 03:47:04	solana above 90 on july 16 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe689f9…
07-14 12:29:01	bitcoin above 58k on july 14 2026	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x9537b0…
07-14 12:27:31	solana above 90 on july 14 2026	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x9a05ee…
07-14 05:45:46	bitcoin above 58k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x06246a…
07-13 16:37:22	solana above 90 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x89bb37…
07-12 15:52:26	bitcoin above 58k on july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$15	0xd831cb…
07-12 12:28:10	bitcoin above 58k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0xb922af…
07-11 23:12:47	ethereum above 2000 on july 12 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xac1a94…
07-11 11:18:58	ethereum above 2000 on july 12 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x951797…
07-10 21:57:59	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 10	No	SELL	7	100¢	$6	0x54e894…
07-10 17:53:56	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 10	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0xcfe2c0…
07-10 02:22:16	will ethereum dip to 1700 on july 9	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0x948f92…
07-08 07:24:37	ethereum above 1600 on july 8 2026	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xf36e19…
07-08 07:09:34	bitcoin above 68k on july 8 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x8d8910…
07-08 04:50:16	ethereum above 1600 on july 8 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x49df5d…
07-07 22:41:01	bitcoin above 68k on july 8 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb9e4ae…
07-06 21:19:07	will mojtaba khamenei attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204736	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x81a30c…
07-06 18:50:19	israel closes its airspace by july 7	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x56b071…
07-06 13:05:59	will mojtaba khamenei attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204736	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb0863a…
07-06 09:52:29	israel closes its airspace by july 7	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x4c7990…
07-06 03:23:53	will xrp dip to 1 june 29 july 5 2026	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xc9942a…
07-05 15:40:52	will xrp dip to 1 june 29 july 5 2026	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x619377…
07-04 20:06:23	will xrp dip to 1 june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x5a75a7…
07-03 20:27:47	will the match not air 20260702193236647	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x666289…
07-02 13:01:49	bitcoin above 66k on july 2 2026	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xa19ce7…
07-02 11:59:43	bitcoin above 66k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x983b48…
07-02 04:18:17	ethereum above 1400 on july 2 2026	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xe75e38…
07-02 04:18:01	ethereum above 1400 on july 2 2026	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe6db62…
07-01 22:09:05	ethereum above 1400 on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x233a0b…
07-01 11:36:10	will canvas valuation hit high 60b by june 30	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x796fe2…
07-01 06:40:35	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2671b5…
06-30 23:46:13	Will Waymo launch in Washington DC by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x9e21c6…
06-30 20:42:22	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa6c094…
06-30 20:28:07	amzn above 330 on june 30 2026	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xb4c604…
06-30 16:06:41	will openais valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0b4a63…
06-30 15:44:05	amzn above 330 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xb19614…
06-30 15:26:47	will openais valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x08ed2e…
06-30 13:06:44	will openais valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x1990a5…
06-30 11:36:05	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x302597…
06-30 07:32:40	will canvas valuation hit high 60b by june 30	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbc9d7b…
06-30 04:05:56	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xdf929b…
06-30 00:59:19	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xbbbd7d…
06-29 20:20:29	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x327c14…
06-29 13:25:32	Will Waymo launch in Washington DC by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe3c9a1…
06-29 12:24:05	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf5e1a9…
06-29 07:23:40	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xef41ba…
06-29 05:53:11	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xc87c9f…
06-28 21:02:43	Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x0c93c9…
06-28 17:45:29	Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x65ec27…
06-26 14:50:49	will wti dip to 45 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x236521…
06-26 13:30:55	will wti dip to 45 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x336add…
06-25 12:51:29	ethereum above 1400 on june 25 2026	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x0995f2…
06-24 10:41:07	ethereum above 1400 on june 25 2026	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xab9d38…
06-24 09:31:14	xrp above 1pt2 on june 24 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xef5280…
06-08 18:28:52	solana above 50 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf7cc56…
06-03 13:50:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 3?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xef727c…
06-03 12:06:23	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 3?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x0e9c81…
06-02 20:00:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb57999…
06-02 13:42:25	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x747fc5…
06-01 21:16:05	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 2?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x19d0b9…
06-01 06:12:49	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0xe9260e…
05-31 10:05:54	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xbf8c75…
05-30 22:21:58	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x42e560…
05-29 22:37:56	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x711765…
05-29 19:53:15	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$28	0x741c10…
05-29 18:15:03	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f8c98…
05-28 16:18:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 29?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xcede7e…
05-28 13:54:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x603805…
05-28 12:33:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1d006b…
05-28 10:55:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x354a97…
05-28 10:36:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6f53e6…
05-18 20:56:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x82b90a…
05-18 11:41:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x83e4f7…
05-18 10:45:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcb2840…
05-17 07:21:50	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 17?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x9d67ee…
05-16 20:57:10	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x35c41a…
05-15 09:22:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x86db42…
05-14 18:06:11	Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0xbaa263…
05-11 02:41:03	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xaeb307…
05-10 17:07:54	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x0ea226…
05-09 00:03:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xc21bae…
04-23 18:52:44	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x16083f…
04-20 13:38:50	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x78d701…
03-24 06:30:33	Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb2a8c0…