Ironclad-Tog — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$828

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-01 11:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

38% 100% +$0

Other

32% 0% $-0

Politics

13% — —

Sports

10% — —

Tech

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	4	$87	50	37	+13	open	—	06-01 06:12
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	2	$54	27	27	+0	open	—	06-30 00:59
ethereum above 1400 on june 25 2026	2	$47	24	24	+0	open	—	06-25 12:51
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	06-28 21:02
amzn above 330 on june 30 2026	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	06-30 20:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?	2	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	05-28 13:54
will openais valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	3	$32	19	13	+5	open	—	06-30 16:06
Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	2	$27	14	14	+0	Yes	$-0	05-11 02:41
Will Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$26	0	26	-26	open	—	01-05 12:11
will wti dip to 45 by june 22 2026	2	$26	13	13	+0	open	—	06-26 14:50
solana above 50 on june 9 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	06-08 18:28
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	2	$25	13	13	+0	open	—	05-31 10:05
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 15?	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	05-15 09:22
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 17?	2	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	05-17 07:21
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	2	$23	11	11	+0	open	—	06-30 11:36
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	2	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	06-29 20:20
Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	02-03 12:06
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 9?	1	$21	21	0	+21	Yes	+$0	05-09 00:03
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 2?	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	06-01 21:16
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 3?	2	$17	9	9	+0	open	—	06-03 13:50
xrp above 1pt2 on june 24 2026	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	06-24 09:31
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 29?	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	05-28 16:18
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$16	0	16	-16	open	—	01-05 12:17
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 3?	2	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	06-03 12:06
Will Waymo launch in Washington DC by June 30 2026?	2	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	06-30 23:46
Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on May 14?	1	$13	14	0	+14	open	—	05-14 18:06
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-28 10:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-18 20:56
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	07-01 06:40
will canvas valuation hit high 60b by june 30	2	$11	5	5	+0	open	—	07-01 11:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 11:36:10	will canvas valuation hit high 60b by june 30	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x796fe2…
07-01 06:40:35	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2671b5…
06-30 23:46:13	Will Waymo launch in Washington DC by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x9e21c6…
06-30 20:42:22	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa6c094…
06-30 20:28:07	amzn above 330 on june 30 2026	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xb4c604…
06-30 16:06:41	will openais valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0b4a63…
06-30 15:44:05	amzn above 330 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xb19614…
06-30 15:26:47	will openais valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x08ed2e…
06-30 13:06:44	will openais valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x1990a5…
06-30 11:36:05	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x302597…
06-30 07:32:40	will canvas valuation hit high 60b by june 30	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbc9d7b…
06-30 04:05:56	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xdf929b…
06-30 00:59:19	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xbbbd7d…
06-29 20:20:29	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x327c14…
06-29 13:25:32	Will Waymo launch in Washington DC by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe3c9a1…
06-29 12:24:05	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf5e1a9…
06-29 07:23:40	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xef41ba…
06-29 05:53:11	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xc87c9f…
06-28 21:02:43	Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x0c93c9…
06-28 17:45:29	Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x65ec27…
06-26 14:50:49	will wti dip to 45 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x236521…
06-26 13:30:55	will wti dip to 45 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x336add…
06-25 12:51:29	ethereum above 1400 on june 25 2026	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x0995f2…
06-24 10:41:07	ethereum above 1400 on june 25 2026	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xab9d38…
06-24 09:31:14	xrp above 1pt2 on june 24 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xef5280…
06-08 18:28:52	solana above 50 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf7cc56…
06-03 13:50:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 3?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xef727c…
06-03 12:06:23	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 3?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x0e9c81…
06-02 20:00:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb57999…
06-02 13:42:25	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x747fc5…
06-01 21:16:05	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 2?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x19d0b9…
06-01 06:12:49	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0xe9260e…
05-31 10:05:54	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xbf8c75…
05-30 22:21:58	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x42e560…
05-29 22:37:56	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x711765…
05-29 19:53:15	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$28	0x741c10…
05-29 18:15:03	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f8c98…
05-28 16:18:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 29?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xcede7e…
05-28 13:54:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x603805…
05-28 12:33:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1d006b…
05-28 10:55:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x354a97…
05-28 10:36:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6f53e6…
05-18 20:56:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x82b90a…
05-18 11:41:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x83e4f7…
05-18 10:45:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcb2840…
05-17 07:21:50	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 17?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x9d67ee…
05-16 20:57:10	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x35c41a…
05-15 09:22:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x86db42…
05-14 18:06:11	Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0xbaa263…
05-11 02:41:03	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xaeb307…
05-10 17:07:54	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x0ea226…
05-09 00:03:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xc21bae…
04-23 18:52:44	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x16083f…
04-20 13:38:50	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x78d701…
03-24 06:30:33	Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb2a8c0…
03-24 06:29:57	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf986f0…
03-24 06:29:19	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xdd2184…
03-24 06:28:39	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xdec94c…
03-12 13:29:53	Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xadaf4b…
03-06 00:20:47	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc5a20e…
03-01 16:10:23	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe4240f…
02-23 08:24:18	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x60a72a…
02-18 04:34:30	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xafce98…
02-03 12:06:56	Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x218637…
02-03 03:35:06	Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x023ea7…
01-05 12:17:21	Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x88068c…
01-05 12:11:55	Will Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xf081d9…