Ironclad-Tog — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

77.4%

Resolved

291

Trades

643

lifetime

Volume

$8.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$11

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-27 15:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Other

76% 75% -$16

Crypto

16% 90% +$0

Politics

5% 73% +$0

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Sports

1% 38% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No		+9	$9	100¢	$9	$0	10-27 15:06
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No		+2	$2	99¢	$2	$0	09-14 01:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 22°C or below on May 21?	3	$102	51	51	+0	No	+$0	05-21 07:52
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	4	$87	50	37	+13	No	+$0	06-01 06:12
ethereum above 2100 on july 17 2026	4	$86	43	43	+0	No	+$0	07-17 07:07
Will VOX (VOX) win the Andalusia regional election?	6	$66	33	33	+0	No	$0	05-17 05:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on June 27?	3	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	06-27 14:35
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 45°F or below on May 12?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-12 04:37
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on July 11?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-10 12:13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 14?	5	$59	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-13 13:37
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 75°F or below on June 26?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	06-26 15:57
Will claude-opus-4-6 be the best AI model on July 11, 2026?	3	$59	38	21	+18	No	+$0	07-11 16:00
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 106-107°F on July 4?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-04 05:00
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 29?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	06-28 16:44
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on July 11?	5	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-10 06:21
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 3?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-03 09:54
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on June 26?	6	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	06-25 22:36
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 21?	6	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-20 20:36
israel closes its airspace by july 7	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-06 18:50
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 24?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-24 01:13
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 32°C on June 27?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	06-27 00:07
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on July 6?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-06 03:04
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	06-30 00:59
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 19?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-19 14:56
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 48°C on May 15?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-14 14:51
ethereum above 1400 on july 2 2026	3	$54	27	27	+0	Yes	$0	07-02 04:18
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 22?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-21 22:03
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on July 16?	2	$53	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-16 19:43
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C or higher on July 3?	4	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-03 01:49
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 74°F or higher on July 18?	3	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-17 17:13
Will "Billie Jean - Michael Jackson" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	4	$52	26	26	+0	No	$0	05-22 05:46
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C or below on May 27?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-27 13:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 15:06:11	Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xebc3fa…
10-19 13:02:12	Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9efd46…
10-11 03:57:08	Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xf71078…
10-11 03:56:15	Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc89ecc…
10-11 03:55:20	Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0x9ea586…
10-05 20:19:08	Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf55368…
09-21 09:54:26	Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x3bffbd…
09-14 01:12:27	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x69f87a…
08-28 18:26:54	Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$4	0xa26bd3…
08-27 02:37:28	Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x601acb…
08-09 18:58:36	Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4c3120…
07-22 12:03:42	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 22?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x189d0f…
07-22 11:23:31	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 22?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb222fe…
07-22 05:16:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 22?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x1c3129…
07-22 04:28:57	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on July 22?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xfdf618…
07-22 03:38:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 22?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x70935a…
07-22 02:32:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 22?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc6fa5c…
07-22 00:20:34	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on July 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1cefa8…
07-21 22:43:51	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 84°F or higher on July 22?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xa448e6…
07-21 22:18:01	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 21?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x200585…
07-21 22:03:01	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 22?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x1ec5eb…
07-21 21:29:48	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 84°F or higher on July 22?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x77f3a2…
07-21 18:52:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 22?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xd3b3b6…
07-21 18:26:42	Will "White Chicks" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1a75db…
07-21 18:23:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 22?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x909458…
07-21 17:09:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 22?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xee0125…
07-21 13:13:27	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on July 22?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xd6ef06…
07-21 13:07:04	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on July 22?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x8d65cd…
07-21 11:50:06	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on July 21?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$21	0x1e497e…
07-21 11:00:55	Will "White Chicks" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x416d62…
07-21 09:59:04	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on July 22?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xd0c85c…
07-21 05:43:36	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8c42b7…
07-21 03:06:27	xrp above 1pt3 on july 21 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb6fe23…
07-21 03:05:36	xrp above 1pt3 on july 21 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x014002…
07-21 01:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on July 21?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0xeacddc…
07-21 00:11:55	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on July 21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcc2426…
07-20 21:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on July 21?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd669c7…
07-20 20:36:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 21?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xa48bc1…
07-20 20:36:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 21?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x98e8ad…
07-20 20:22:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 21?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xcfe983…
07-20 20:22:09	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 21?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xdb8c3a…
07-20 20:21:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 21?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe01c47…
07-20 20:20:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on July 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x90b8c3…
07-20 19:04:42	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or higher on July 21?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x71b5af…
07-20 18:23:00	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 21?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa07cac…
07-20 16:08:57	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or higher on July 21?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xc91bc3…
07-20 09:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 21?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x57da21…
07-20 08:27:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 21?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xf1083b…
07-20 08:11:16	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 20?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xbbaf58…
07-20 06:57:45	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 20?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9a4fbc…
07-20 04:27:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 21?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xde171f…
07-20 00:09:49	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 96-97°F on July 20?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6da8bd…
07-19 18:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 96-97°F on July 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe1cd7d…
07-19 14:56:57	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 19?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x7631d2…
07-19 13:42:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 19?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xb6ae42…
07-19 10:57:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xfab92c…
07-19 07:03:54	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 19?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xbc9be7…
07-19 05:59:01	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on July 19?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xee03ec…
07-19 02:04:57	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on July 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x507443…
07-19 00:14:13	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x3e157e…
07-18 21:55:37	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xf1acaa…
07-18 00:24:54	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 17	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x074fd9…
07-17 21:54:36	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 100°F or higher on July 18?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1d6d32…
07-17 21:41:51	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 100°F or higher on July 18?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$10	0xc9bbe8…
07-17 21:24:15	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 100°F or higher on July 18?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x7efdac…
07-17 21:17:48	will the jensen jacket jensen huangs tom ford leather jacket sell for at least 90k at auction 20260713233758306	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x6370bd…
07-17 21:07:48	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 17	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf8d459…
07-17 19:41:16	will the jensen jacket jensen huangs tom ford leather jacket sell for at least 90k at auction 20260713233758306	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf391da…
07-17 18:09:58	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 100°F or higher on July 18?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x80d5a6…
07-17 17:13:13	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 74°F or higher on July 18?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xb14a0a…
07-17 16:08:07	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 74°F or higher on July 18?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x778aa1…
07-17 16:05:43	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 83°F or below on July 18?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x7215af…
07-17 14:48:51	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 83°F or below on July 18?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xfddc51…
07-17 12:13:28	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 74°F or higher on July 18?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xff6d41…
07-17 11:15:18	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x6a2131…
07-17 11:13:48	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on July 17?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xcea802…
07-17 09:38:43	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0xf2019f…
07-17 07:11:12	ethereum above 1700 on july 17 2026	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2c941d…
07-17 07:07:48	ethereum above 2100 on july 17 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x25b287…
07-17 07:05:07	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 17?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x0a5953…
07-17 07:03:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on July 18?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x2b5fc7…
07-17 06:22:28	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 17?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa29b20…
07-17 04:45:57	ethereum above 1700 on july 17 2026	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa72c8f…
07-17 04:43:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on July 18?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xdc0e86…
07-17 02:37:27	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on July 17?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe79977…
07-16 23:37:41	ethereum above 2100 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x23380b…
07-16 22:26:26	ethereum above 2100 on july 17 2026	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xd7f15f…
07-16 21:05:34	ethereum above 2100 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x958e0a…
07-16 20:12:16	ethereum above 1700 on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xcc1367…
07-16 19:43:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on July 16?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x38e41e…
07-16 15:39:58	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on July 16?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x3d6c59…
07-16 14:12:37	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x045f93…
07-16 14:11:05	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C or higher on July 17?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x8d1df8…
07-16 11:10:23	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on July 16?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x92eb04…
07-16 11:02:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xecc173…
07-16 10:32:38	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 16?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xeebaf0…
07-16 07:55:49	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6bb397…
07-16 06:41:50	solana above 90 on july 16 2026	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x324f63…
07-16 03:47:04	solana above 90 on july 16 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe689f9…
07-16 00:28:01	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 16?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x3d710f…