Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 45°F or below on May 12?
open
Total volume
$421
$1,161 in 24h
Trades
22
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$9,695
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-12 00:03
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $7 | $7 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $1 | $394 | $393 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $0 | $12 | $11 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $150 | $150 |
| Median | 9 | — | $55 | $55 |
| Below median | 3 | — | $55 | $55 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $40 | $40 |
| unranked | 4 | $1 | $89 | $88 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x9345…b1b1 | Yes | +278 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 00:03 |
| Mindless-Figure 0x1ec5…20e0 | No | +150 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 05-11 05:04 |
| Torn-Conversation 0xcd51…0976 | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-11 02:20 |
| Insidious-Maelstrom 0x63bd…aff2 | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-11 05:38 |
| Deadly-Accord 0x67b4…f829 | No | +35 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-11 02:44 |
| Mean-Cigarette 0xb73a…f107 | No | +28 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-11 02:41 |
| Frank-Currant 0x8903…e247 | No | +26 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-11 01:25 |
| Legal-Savage 0x831d…ad8b | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-11 04:17 |
| Our-Snowflake 0x3f2a…5272 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 00:20 |
| Canine-Futon 0x5cef…2c1d | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 02:31 |
| Fake-Blackbird 0xfb74…2970 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-10 23:37 |
| Alarming-Cleaner 0x672f…6a1b | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-11 18:38 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-11 14:35 |
| Unhappy-Barbeque 0x8df3…6fab | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-11 03:49 |
| Unfortunate-Placebo 0xef9d…0adf | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 03:52 |
| Shabby-Ginger 0x4d36…cbfa | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 19:14 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 04:22 |
| Slim-Might-Season 0x2230…084e | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 04:16 |
| Cheerful-Validate-Lord 0x2bcf…9ef1 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 04:36 |
| Tragic-Footstep 0xcdd5…0213 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 05:17 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 00:03:48 | (anonymous) 0x9345…b1b1 | Yes | BUY | 278 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x1e7f26… |
| 05-11 19:14:14 | Shabby-Ginger 0x4d36…cbfa | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x2008f1… |
| 05-11 18:38:50 | Alarming-Cleaner 0x672f…6a1b | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x8e6b23… |
| 05-11 14:35:14 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfd81cc… |
| 05-11 14:35:02 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xce8325… |
| 05-11 05:38:22 | Insidious-Maelstrom 0x63bd…aff2 | No | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x480959… |
| 05-11 05:17:29 | Tragic-Footstep 0xcdd5…0213 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x6854db… |
| 05-11 05:04:09 | Mindless-Figure 0x1ec5…20e0 | No | BUY | 150 | 100¢ | $150 | 0x7fd853… |
| 05-11 04:17:22 | Legal-Savage 0x831d…ad8b | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x256664… |
| 05-11 03:52:24 | Unfortunate-Placebo 0xef9d…0adf | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x7ad418… |
| 05-11 03:49:22 | Unhappy-Barbeque 0x8df3…6fab | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xbef9d7… |
| 05-11 03:48:50 | Giving-Ozone 0xe56e…411c | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x9b3bfe… |
| 05-11 02:44:54 | Deadly-Accord 0x67b4…f829 | No | BUY | 35 | 100¢ | $35 | 0xe1318a… |
| 05-11 02:41:12 | Mean-Cigarette 0xb73a…f107 | No | BUY | 28 | 100¢ | $28 | 0x06bc54… |
| 05-11 02:31:05 | Canine-Futon 0x5cef…2c1d | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xe169ea… |
| 05-11 02:20:51 | Torn-Conversation 0xcd51…0976 | No | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x54728d… |
| 05-11 01:25:08 | Frank-Currant 0x8903…e247 | No | BUY | 26 | 100¢ | $26 | 0xb4cc69… |
| 05-11 00:20:21 | Our-Snowflake 0x3f2a…5272 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x8ca7e9… |
| 05-10 23:37:06 | Fake-Blackbird 0xfb74…2970 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x83b4f1… |
| 05-10 04:36:03 | Cheerful-Validate-Lord 0x2bcf…9ef1 | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xa411b4… |
| 05-10 04:22:45 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x971b50… |
| 05-10 04:16:23 | Slim-Might-Season 0x2230…084e | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x21bc7d… |