Our-Snowflake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.6%

Resolved

429

Trades

822

lifetime

Volume

$11.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 10-19 17:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 126 days

Categories

Other

77% 77% +$2

Crypto

17% 90% +$1

Politics

3% 77% +$0

Sports

1% 67% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

1% 67% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 76°F or higher on July 19?	5	$117	59	59	+0	No	$0	07-19 15:19
ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	4	$96	48	48	+0	Yes	+$0	07-27 05:46
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 96-97°F on July 20?	5	$77	38	38	+0	No	+$0	07-20 04:38
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on July 30?	4	$75	37	37	+0	No	$0	07-29 17:31
ethereum above 1700 on july 25 2026	3	$70	42	28	+14	Yes	+$0	07-25 10:43
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C or below on July 28?	4	$70	35	35	+0	No	$0	07-27 11:35
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on July 27?	2	$69	35	35	+0	No	$0	07-27 05:43
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 19, 2026?	4	$69	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-20 04:00
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on July 23?	3	$68	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-23 00:19
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 10?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	10-11 10:03
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 21?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-21 18:46
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 31?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-31 07:52
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on July 30?	2	$65	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-30 00:05
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C or higher on July 23?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-23 14:37
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on July 26?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-26 09:16
will ethereum reach 2200 in july 2026	4	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-31 00:35
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 23?	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-23 00:15
bitcoin above 70k on july 21 2026	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-21 02:09
bitcoin above 66k on june 27 2026	3	$63	47	16	+30	No	+$0	06-26 18:40
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 29?	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-29 01:23
highest temperature in atlanta on april 23 2026 92forhigher	3	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	04-24 00:14
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C or below on September 11?	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$0	09-11 19:56
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on July 28?	4	$61	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-28 01:19
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 26?	5	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-26 03:38
will russia capture all of drobysheve by july 31	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-29 18:20
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	4	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	06-01 01:46
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C or below on July 25?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-24 13:50
will xauusd dip to 3700 in july 2026	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-30 17:35
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on July 21?	3	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-21 07:47
Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-31 15:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 17:42:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x13c439…
10-18 18:43:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x27eb2b…
10-16 11:21:28	Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the #1 US song this week?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x61a1ee…
10-13 16:15:19	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.5% in September?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x186535…
10-12 16:27:48	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xc489f5…
10-12 09:52:19	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd68523…
10-12 08:28:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 12?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x1932bb…
10-12 08:26:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x1b2550…
10-12 08:00:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 12?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x426fbb…
10-12 06:32:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x130221…
10-11 10:03:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 10?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xc62736…
10-10 09:11:27	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C or higher on October 10?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xedd5bd…
10-10 02:39:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 10?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x86438e…
10-05 09:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 5?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf50ce1…
10-02 01:30:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 2?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xf3cd22…
10-01 21:30:35	Will "Pink Clouding - Taylor Swift" be the #2 US song this week?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x23fe08…
10-01 05:40:47	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 37°C or higher on October 2?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2e0d5e…
09-28 04:29:57	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0x7ea822…
09-27 18:55:35	bitcoin above 78k on september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x8001a9…
09-23 21:06:35	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 24?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xd3ac7c…
09-23 18:43:31	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 89°F or below on September 24?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x848673…
09-22 17:01:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6ea92c…
09-22 15:06:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1b5b36…
09-22 14:30:57	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on September 23?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xfd1b9f…
09-21 20:46:51	Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xd6acad…
09-18 23:04:34	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 18?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xcb3eb9…
09-18 00:24:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 18?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x030ea1…
09-17 13:16:36	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xeb2237…
09-13 05:15:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 13?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x52feac…
09-11 19:56:13	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C or below on September 11?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x8fcbca…
09-11 02:34:24	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x5e9c1b…
09-10 20:31:51	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on September 11?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$29	0x396444…
09-07 16:55:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or higher on September 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x674e98…
09-06 21:15:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 7?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xa5feb8…
09-06 06:26:18	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on September 6?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x365e52…
09-05 22:44:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C or higher on September 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd87ffa…
09-05 07:34:58	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on September 5?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x279695…
09-05 02:48:52	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on September 5?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$25	0x2a1595…
09-04 20:34:00	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x26b644…
09-04 13:58:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xdca3bd…
09-04 10:59:04	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x4ba6d3…
09-04 10:06:25	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on September 4?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x060ff6…
09-03 21:24:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 4?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x40d786…
09-03 10:35:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 3?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$33	0x6360e7…
09-02 23:50:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 3?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xb50d1d…
09-02 18:47:21	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on September 2?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa34b32…
09-02 12:26:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on September 2?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xc9a594…
09-02 08:30:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x8d0975…
09-01 03:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on September 1?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x2ce7d3…
08-31 06:15:40	Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x9b1c69…
08-31 00:19:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on August 31?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf3a1ef…
08-30 17:12:49	Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $4.00 on August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xffd0d0…
08-30 14:35:37	bitcoin above 82k on august 30 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x731592…
08-30 12:49:19	bitcoin above 82k on august 30 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x673639…
08-29 17:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on August 30?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xcfd2a2…
08-28 17:57:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C or higher on August 29?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$33	0x312248…
08-28 16:35:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 29?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0xc88446…
08-28 14:17:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 28?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3b893a…
08-27 10:09:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on August 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x606d22…
08-26 23:13:42	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on August 27?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x28ae5c…
08-26 19:12:40	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on August 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1e7a07…
08-26 12:39:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xe12d84…
08-26 09:28:40	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on August 26?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa58c59…
08-25 12:21:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa6abd5…
08-25 04:34:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0xe3762f…
08-24 20:40:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x26a4c5…
08-24 15:01:49	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3a6a19…
08-24 07:09:37	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0xb074b7…
08-23 22:14:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x26f190…
08-23 18:23:04	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x440c41…
08-14 18:31:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa06d03…
08-14 07:26:21	Will "Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy" be the #1 song this week?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd367d3…
08-13 18:23:22	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0x2adda7…
08-13 14:56:34	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x2ffeba…
08-13 08:03:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 13?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x54074c…
08-12 23:42:18	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x27891b…
08-12 22:36:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0ed2fa…
08-12 08:31:18	bitcoin above 58k on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xd37268…
08-12 04:49:18	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 12?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x5a83d5…
08-11 23:51:43	ethereum above 1700 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0xc5be92…
08-11 20:37:04	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 12?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x9338aa…
08-11 13:48:16	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 11?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf402e2…
08-10 21:52:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on August 11?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x3bc380…
08-10 19:48:46	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 40°C on August 11?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xc473c5…
08-10 15:22:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or below on August 11?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa9d387…
08-10 10:56:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb89993…
08-09 14:06:27	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xb27c4d…
08-09 10:04:16	will ethereum dip to 1600 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0x70dff0…
08-09 04:31:39	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xc1a7fa…
08-09 02:06:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or below on August 10?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x0e74ae…
08-08 19:37:43	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C or higher on August 9?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa08f79…
08-08 07:03:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe627f9…
08-08 02:40:33	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x13a11c…
08-07 19:55:09	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x7b03a3…
08-07 15:23:49	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on August 8?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x8c63b4…
08-07 10:41:34	will open reach 5 50 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x64119e…
08-07 10:12:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on August 8?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x49c124…
08-06 16:29:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C or below on August 7?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x57e421…
08-06 03:06:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 41°C or higher on August 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x415da5…
08-05 23:02:18	ethereum above 1700 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x534bef…