Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$15.7K
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
319
lifetime
Volume
$396.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.24K
Open exposure
$90.0K
9 positions
First seen
2026-05-29
last 07-12 14:24
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
60%
Politics
40%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +37,425 $32,246 72¢ $27.1K $-5,113 07-12 14:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +27,876 $25,100 55¢ $15.2K $-9,908 06-19 08:28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +13,450 $12,700 98¢ $13.1K +$434 06-24 18:58
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +11,118 $10,400 96¢ $10.7K +$257 06-21 16:13
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +9,039 $8,550 95¢ $8.6K +$41 07-02 15:51
NATO article 5 before 2027? No +7,203 $6,562 92¢ $6.7K +$101 07-08 15:21
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +5,000 $4,450 90¢ $4.5K +$75 07-01 14:44
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +5,596 $4,620 72¢ $4.1K $-563 07-07 19:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +1,773 $1,000 $22 $-978 06-17 06:21