Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$499
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
206
lifetime
Volume
$324.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.58K
Open exposure
$100.1K
19 positions
First seen
2026-05-29
last 06-30 11:10
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
61%
Politics
39%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +27,876 $25,100 82¢ $23.0K $-2,103 06-19 08:28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +21,034 $18,300 86¢ $18.0K $-316 06-23 06:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +13,450 $12,700 96¢ $12.9K +$205 06-24 18:58
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +11,118 $10,400 95¢ $10.5K +$123 06-21 16:13
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +8,356 $7,980 100¢ $8.3K +$355 06-19 18:40
NATO article 5 before 2027? No +5,421 $4,900 92¢ $5.0K +$87 06-16 18:46
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +4,596 $3,700 90¢ $4.1K +$414 06-19 03:10
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +14,299 $927 19¢ $2.7K +$1,725 06-30 11:10
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +2,584 $2,426 100¢ $2.6K +$156 06-26 09:05
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -2,297 $-2,406 100¢ $-2295 +$111 06-26 12:37
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30? No +2,134 $2,100 100¢ $2.1K +$30 06-04 09:46
Trump out as President by June 30? No +1,922 $1,900 100¢ $1.9K +$20 06-12 21:13
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? No +1,669 $1,625 100¢ $1.7K +$40 06-26 09:23
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30? No +1,479 $1,444 100¢ $1.5K +$31 06-26 09:23
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? No +1,009 $1,000 100¢ $1.0K +$5 06-15 16:59
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +864 $840 100¢ $863 +$23 06-26 09:01
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30? No +813 $800 100¢ $812 +$12 06-01 07:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +1,773 $1,000 32¢ $576 $-424 06-17 06:21
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026? No +304 $300 100¢ $304 +$4 06-09 09:32