Sick-Placement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5.41K

Unrealized P&L

-$13.9K

Hit rate

95.7%

Resolved

Trades

938

lifetime

Volume

$551.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$588

Open exposure

$114.7K

10 positions

First seen

2026-05-24

last 10-21 17:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

64% 90% +$4,310

Politics

35% 89% +$2,373

Tech

0% 100% +$125

Sports

0% 0% -$1,400

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+51,658	$44,301	90¢	$46.2K	+$1,933	10-14 07:16
Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?	No	+19,910	$18,713	98¢	$19.5K	+$739	10-13 02:21
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+11,118	$10,400	98¢	$10.9K	+$529	06-21 16:13
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+9,039	$8,550	98¢	$8.9K	+$330	07-02 15:51
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	+8,638	$8,246	98¢	$8.5K	+$206	10-15 00:47
NATO article 5 before 2027?	No	+8,275	$7,572	96¢	$8.0K	+$388	09-23 05:14
will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	No	+6,014	$5,542	98¢	$5.9K	+$348	07-07 20:38
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	+5,000	$4,450	94¢	$4.7K	+$275	07-01 14:44
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	+2,197	$2,074	98¢	$2.2K	+$78	10-19 13:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	+113	$18,774	10¢	$11	-$18,763	10-21 17:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	30	$72.6K	40,796	35,721	+5,075	No	+$2,208	06-26 08:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	9	$71.7K	39,477	39,477	+0	No	+$705	06-25 16:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	102	$44.3K	51,658	0	+51,658	open	—	10-14 07:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	104	$31.4K	27,876	27,763	+113	open	—	10-21 17:32
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	40	$29.0K	14,828	14,828	+0	No	+$572	08-29 08:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	33	$25.6K	13,450	13,002	+448	No	+$645	09-24 04:53
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	9	$24.5K	14,167	10,626	+3,542	No	+$311	07-31 18:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	39	$20.8K	11,239	9,834	+1,405	No	+$212	09-01 03:32
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?	53	$18.7K	19,910	0	+19,910	open	—	10-13 02:21
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	33	$18.4K	19,364	0	+19,364	Yes	+$954	06-26 12:47
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	35	$17.4K	11,789	11,789	+0	open	—	08-04 13:37
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	7	$12.6K	6,425	6,425	+0	No	+$224	06-26 12:37
nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	72	$11.6K	10,833	903	+9,930	No	+$133	09-01 09:03
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	30	$10.5K	5,366	5,366	+0	No	+$147	09-25 14:57
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$10.4K	11,118	0	+11,118	open	—	06-21 16:13
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	14	$10.3K	5,858	5,858	+0	No	+$325	06-19 00:56
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	24	$8.7K	6,083	6,062	+22	Yes	-$751	06-18 06:15
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	2	$8.6K	9,039	0	+9,039	open	—	07-02 15:51
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	43	$8.2K	8,638	0	+8,638	open	—	10-15 00:47
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	31	$8.2K	7,235	1,083	+6,153	No	+$137	08-27 22:00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	3	$8.0K	8,356	0	+8,356	No	+$376	06-19 18:40
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	3	$7.6K	5,169	2,584	+2,584	No	+$159	06-26 09:05
NATO article 5 before 2027?	23	$7.6K	8,275	0	+8,275	open	—	09-23 05:14
will donald trump publicly insult xi jinping by june 30 2026	7	$7.1K	7,270	0	+7,270	No	+$180	06-15 16:55
will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	14	$5.5K	6,014	0	+6,014	open	—	07-07 20:38
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	28	$5.5K	18,620	14,299	+4,321	No	-$554	07-02 17:11
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	4	$5.4K	3,550	1,882	+1,669	No	+$44	06-26 09:23
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	5	$4.6K	5,596	0	+5,596	No	+$976	07-07 19:13
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	1	$4.5K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	07-01 14:44
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30?	3	$4.2K	2,844	1,365	+1,479	No	+$35	06-26 09:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 17:32:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	182	11¢	$20	0x886235…
10-20 17:55:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	592	12¢	$71	0x3e5bde…
10-20 16:32:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	182	13¢	$24	0x3406c7…
10-19 17:54:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	22	14¢	$3	0xc49917…
10-19 15:29:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	182	13¢	$24	0x6055a2…
10-19 13:01:09	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	150	94¢	$141	0x08e4c3…
10-18 17:54:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	592	12¢	$71	0xf59858…
10-18 14:28:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	182	12¢	$22	0x32b92c…
10-17 17:54:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	592	11¢	$65	0x635a74…
10-17 13:27:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	182	11¢	$20	0x12c101…
10-17 10:59:42	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	144	94¢	$136	0x669931…
10-16 17:53:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	592	11¢	$65	0x69daa2…
10-16 12:27:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	182	11¢	$20	0xc64085…
10-16 09:59:18	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	142	94¢	$133	0x989931…
10-15 17:53:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	592	11¢	$65	0x1210f8…
10-15 11:26:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	182	12¢	$22	0x6d41ef…
10-15 00:47:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	202	95¢	$192	0x70eb18…
10-14 23:46:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	202	95¢	$192	0xfcba65…
10-14 22:45:45	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	202	95¢	$192	0x535a46…
10-14 21:44:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	202	95¢	$192	0xcf18f1…
10-14 20:44:18	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	202	95¢	$192	0x6d1cba…
10-14 19:43:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	202	95¢	$192	0xe4bad7…
10-14 18:42:45	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	202	95¢	$192	0x67ce91…
10-14 17:52:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	592	13¢	$77	0x75ffc7…
10-14 17:41:42	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	202	95¢	$192	0xbbafd4…
10-14 16:40:48	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	202	95¢	$192	0x92e33f…
10-14 15:39:57	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	202	95¢	$192	0x38f806…
10-14 14:39:03	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	202	95¢	$192	0x3edc9d…
10-14 13:38:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	202	95¢	$192	0xcb6c5f…
10-14 12:37:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	202	95¢	$192	0x6b1506…
10-14 11:35:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	202	95¢	$192	0x03cba4…
10-14 10:35:35	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	202	95¢	$192	0x30c19c…
10-14 10:26:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	182	13¢	$24	0xbe024b…
10-14 09:34:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	202	95¢	$192	0x93149f…
10-14 08:33:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	202	95¢	$192	0x4ffeef…
10-14 07:58:07	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	136	94¢	$128	0xb261c0…
10-14 07:32:29	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	202	95¢	$192	0x7f6960…
10-14 07:16:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	305	83¢	$253	0x85fa2c…
10-14 06:31:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	202	95¢	$192	0x6a49e0…
10-14 05:30:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	202	95¢	$192	0x17c4f4…
10-14 04:29:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	201	96¢	$192	0x9f7b98…
10-14 03:28:35	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	201	96¢	$192	0x409800…
10-14 02:31:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	180	83¢	$149	0xa5873e…
10-14 02:27:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	201	96¢	$192	0xc70b3f…
10-14 01:26:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	201	96¢	$192	0xbf02d3…
10-14 00:25:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	201	96¢	$192	0xe2f53f…
10-13 23:24:48	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	201	96¢	$192	0x5324c9…
10-13 22:23:54	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	201	96¢	$192	0x0f801f…
10-13 21:22:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x48d625…
10-13 20:22:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x477f41…
10-13 19:21:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	201	96¢	$192	0x471a8b…
10-13 18:20:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	201	96¢	$192	0x87323d…
10-13 17:52:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	592	15¢	$89	0xda2e74…
10-13 17:19:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	201	96¢	$192	0x079d0e…
10-13 16:19:33	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	195	96¢	$188	0x8c2986…
10-13 15:19:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	195	96¢	$188	0xddb022…
10-13 14:18:05	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	195	96¢	$188	0x414b3d…
10-13 13:17:08	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	195	96¢	$188	0x271fa3…
10-13 11:15:17	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x73782a…
10-13 10:14:44	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	203	94¢	$192	0xcc61f6…
10-13 09:26:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	182	14¢	$25	0xbed539…
10-13 09:13:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	204	94¢	$192	0xe6d454…
10-13 08:16:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	296	84¢	$249	0x19c01c…
10-13 08:12:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	204	94¢	$192	0x4a24c6…
10-13 07:12:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	204	94¢	$192	0x56e735…
10-13 06:57:56	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	132	95¢	$126	0xf55cd6…
10-13 06:11:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	204	94¢	$192	0x3f3488…
10-13 05:10:41	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	201	95¢	$192	0xfa103f…
10-13 02:21:18	Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?	No	BUY	626	96¢	$603	0x48a5e0…
10-12 17:51:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	592	14¢	$83	0x3f7acf…
10-12 09:15:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	293	83¢	$243	0x448ee9…
10-12 08:24:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	182	14¢	$25	0x04cbf8…
10-12 05:57:26	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	131	94¢	$123	0x8ef10d…
10-12 02:21:02	Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?	No	BUY	1,042	96¢	$1,000	0xf6aa0f…
10-11 17:50:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	592	15¢	$89	0x4224f3…
10-11 12:30:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	178	84¢	$150	0x951ff5…
10-11 10:14:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	284	84¢	$239	0xc9437b…
10-11 07:23:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	182	16¢	$29	0xb1505c…
10-11 04:57:06	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	127	95¢	$121	0x11f7f7…
10-10 17:50:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	592	17¢	$101	0xd25417…
10-10 11:13:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	276	85¢	$234	0x0438f7…
10-10 06:23:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	182	17¢	$31	0xe87f43…
10-10 03:56:15	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	125	95¢	$118	0x52855b…
10-09 17:49:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	592	17¢	$101	0x0d3afb…
10-09 12:12:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	270	85¢	$230	0xcce96f…
10-09 02:55:41	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	122	95¢	$116	0x7a1a0e…
10-08 22:29:35	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	176	85¢	$150	0xd2ef39…
10-08 17:49:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	592	19¢	$112	0xd94183…
10-08 13:12:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	265	85¢	$225	0x806d57…
10-08 04:22:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	182	18¢	$33	0x495c5c…
10-08 02:18:43	Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?	No	BUY	516	96¢	$497	0xaadfe1…
10-08 01:55:17	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0x7a7e91…
10-07 17:48:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	592	17¢	$101	0xaf4d9e…
10-07 14:12:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	260	85¢	$221	0x2a6a87…
10-07 03:22:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	182	17¢	$31	0x3dc911…
10-07 00:55:06	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	117	95¢	$112	0xf2cdd3…
10-06 17:47:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	592	18¢	$106	0x445c5b…
10-06 15:11:35	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	252	86¢	$216	0x3736c1…
10-06 08:29:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	174	86¢	$150	0xe8812c…
10-05 01:12:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	182	19¢	$35	0x600709…