Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$52
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
42
lifetime
Volume
$50.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.20K
Open exposure
$36.6K
15 positions
First seen
2026-05-29
last 06-10 00:07
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
69%
Politics
31%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +5,169 $5,000 98¢ $5.0K +$42 06-08 11:40
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +5,360 $5,000 93¢ $5.0K $-34 06-08 18:48
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +4,128 $4,000 97¢ $4.0K +$2 06-08 11:40
NATO article 5 before 2027? No +4,280 $3,850 92¢ $3.9K +$66 06-09 09:31
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? No +3,550 $3,500 98¢ $3.5K $-5 06-08 11:41
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +3,301 $3,000 88¢ $2.9K $-99 06-09 00:29
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30? No +2,844 $2,800 98¢ $2.8K $-0 06-08 08:58
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30? No +2,134 $2,100 99¢ $2.1K +$17 06-04 09:46
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +1,728 $1,700 99¢ $1.7K +$11 06-02 04:48
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +1,738 $1,600 94¢ $1.6K +$42 06-02 04:46
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +2,093 $1,500 72¢ $1.5K $-3 06-09 04:32
Trump out as President by June 30? No +1,216 $1,200 99¢ $1.2K +$8 06-03 16:19
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30? No +813 $800 99¢ $806 +$6 06-01 07:17
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026? No +304 $300 98¢ $299 $-1 06-09 09:32
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by June 30? No +152 $150 99¢ $150 +$0 06-08 08:57