Realized P&L
-$23.3K
Unrealized P&L
-$321
Hit rate
62.6%
Resolved
1,676
Trades
38,404
lifetime
Volume
$552.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$2.99K
17 positions
First seen
2026-02-25
last 07-02 17:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 96 days
Categories
Politics
37% 50% -$10,008
Other
31% 49% -$6,666
Crypto
25% 51% -$4,020
Sports
6% 39% -$2,677
Tech
1% 40% +$23
Pop-Culture
0% 33% +$1
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-02).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -743 -$505 86¢ $-642 -$137 06-29 00:54
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -455 -$414 94¢ $-426 -$11 07-02 15:54
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -557 -$290 69¢ $-385 -$95 06-28 06:51
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No -1,672 -$401 18¢ $-293 +$109 06-29 00:50
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -275 -$162 94¢ $-258 -$96 06-27 09:01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -293 -$258 82¢ $-239 +$19 06-26 15:39
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -239 -$141 93¢ $-222 -$81 06-27 12:51
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -200 -$122 92¢ $-184 -$62 06-27 10:43
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -167 -$115 64¢ $-108 +$8 06-27 11:26
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +275 $39 34¢ $95 +$56 06-29 01:07
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -50 -$32 79¢ $-40 -$8 06-30 03:18
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No -31 -$22 89¢ $-28 -$6 06-27 09:05
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -27 -$13 92¢ $-25 -$12 06-26 11:47
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes -16 -$12 95¢ $-15 -$4 06-27 14:40
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No -12 -$10 90¢ $-11 -$1 06-28 16:24
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -20 -$10 46¢ $-9 +$0 06-27 09:14
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -68 -$9 12¢ $-8 +$1 06-27 16:48