Realized P&L
-$221
Unrealized P&L
-$1.07K
Hit rate
23.6%
Resolved
11
Trades
38,249
lifetime
Volume
$550.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$3.82K
20 positions
First seen
2026-02-25
last 07-02 16:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
37% 20% $-336
Other
31% 0% $-0
Crypto
25%
Sports
6% 40% +$115
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 859 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +4,945 $2,139 24¢ $1.2K $-977 07-02 16:14
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -743 $-505 68¢ $-509 $-4 06-29 00:54
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -455 $-414 94¢ $-426 $-11 07-02 15:54
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No -1,672 $-401 23¢ $-385 +$17 06-29 00:50
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -557 $-290 52¢ $-287 +$3 06-28 06:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -293 $-258 88¢ $-257 +$1 06-26 15:39
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -275 $-162 71¢ $-195 $-33 06-27 09:01
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -239 $-141 73¢ $-174 $-32 06-27 12:51
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -200 $-122 70¢ $-140 $-18 06-27 10:43
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -167 $-115 76¢ $-127 $-12 06-27 11:26
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -50 $-32 75¢ $-38 $-6 06-30 03:18
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -580 $-46 $-29 +$17 06-27 12:56
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No -31 $-22 72¢ $-23 $-1 06-27 09:05
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -27 $-13 60¢ $-16 $-4 06-26 11:47
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -20 $-10 76¢ $-15 $-6 06-27 09:14
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes -16 $-12 87¢ $-14 $-2 06-27 14:40
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No -12 $-10 78¢ $-10 $-0 06-28 16:24
Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026? No -11 $-6 64¢ $-7 $-1 06-27 10:44
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027? No -6 $-5 92¢ $-5 $-0 06-27 13:30
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? Yes -8 $-2 34¢ $-3 $-1 06-27 16:19