Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$221

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

23.6%

Resolved

Trades

38,249

lifetime

Volume

$550.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 07-02 16:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

37% 20% $-336

Other

31% 0% $-0

Crypto

25% — —

Sports

6% 40% +$115

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 859 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	182	$75.5K	54,429	54,442	-14	open	—	03-12 14:38
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	72	$30.6K	1,152	49,258	-48,106	open	—	03-30 04:55
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	9	$24.8K	15,407	15,407	+0	open	—	03-09 02:46
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	5	$10.6K	11,349	2,169	+9,180	open	—	03-08 19:25
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	13	$10.0K	6,758	6,753	+4	open	—	03-09 23:20
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	512	$9.9K	9,806	10,463	-657	open	—	03-31 22:25
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	140	$8.2K	13,458	8,277	+5,182	open	—	03-31 01:37
bitcoin up or down march 8 1pm et	703	$7.3K	11,327	3,653	+7,675	open	—	03-08 17:56
ethereum up or down march 8 1pm et	682	$7.0K	10,404	3,709	+6,695	open	—	03-08 17:59
bitcoin up or down march 8 12pm et	672	$6.7K	9,432	4,044	+5,388	open	—	03-08 16:45
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	40	$6.0K	3,286	3,653	-367	open	—	03-30 02:57
netanyahu out by march 31 854	42	$6.0K	5,962	2,160	+3,802	open	—	03-30 03:44
ethereum up or down march 8 12pm et	505	$5.2K	7,826	2,730	+5,096	open	—	03-08 16:52
will the us invade iran by march 31	275	$5.2K	3,841	3,330	+510	open	—	04-01 04:00
bitcoin up or down march 8 10am et	461	$4.7K	7,197	2,277	+4,920	open	—	03-08 14:58
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	567	$4.5K	2,645	2,790	-145	open	—	04-28 10:30
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	547	$4.3K	5,165	5,911	-746	open	—	04-08 00:14
bitcoin up or down march 8 11am et	440	$4.3K	6,951	2,158	+4,793	open	—	03-08 15:52
nba gsw uta 2026 03 09	92	$4.2K	8,394	43	+8,351	open	—	03-10 03:23
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	345	$4.2K	2,798	2,719	+79	open	—	04-28 03:44
bitcoin up or down march 8 2pm et	395	$4.1K	6,190	2,124	+4,065	open	—	03-08 18:30
solana up or down march 8 1pm et	655	$4.0K	6,084	2,051	+4,033	open	—	03-08 17:58
ethereum up or down march 8 10am et	345	$3.8K	5,699	2,210	+3,489	open	—	03-08 14:59
ethereum up or down march 8 11am et	423	$3.6K	6,451	1,808	+4,642	open	—	03-08 15:58
lol big1 me1 2026 03 09 game2	40	$3.6K	5,372	1,778	+3,594	open	—	03-09 18:54
bitcoin up or down march 8 9am et	301	$3.5K	5,443	2,040	+3,403	open	—	03-08 13:59
will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	19	$3.4K	1,895	1,895	+0	open	—	03-29 21:37
btc updown 15m 1772984700	628	$3.3K	5,800	1,122	+4,678	open	—	03-08 16:00
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	67	$3.2K	2,609	1,546	+1,063	open	—	03-30 03:02
cs2 ast10 faze 2026 03 09 game2	29	$3.1K	4,474	0	+4,474	open	—	03-09 17:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 16:14:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	357	28¢	$100	0x4f276c…
07-02 16:10:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x75c884…
07-02 16:04:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	205	27¢	$55	0xcbdf9d…
07-02 16:04:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	165	27¢	$45	0xf91b9b…
07-02 15:54:37	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	455	91¢	$414	0x865dbf…
07-01 06:02:50	Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x110f19…
06-30 03:18:29	Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	63¢	$32	0x8fb969…
06-29 01:36:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0xcba446…
06-29 01:29:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0xb47934…
06-29 01:22:04	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x690025…
06-29 01:21:38	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x0dc315…
06-29 01:19:58	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	248	26¢	$64	0xb51a23…
06-29 01:19:35	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	126	26¢	$33	0x093a5b…
06-29 00:57:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0xd6e099…
06-29 00:54:22	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	239	68¢	$162	0xc43184…
06-29 00:50:19	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,171	24¢	$281	0x14911a…
06-28 23:24:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0x1ddb5b…
06-28 23:14:32	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	242	24¢	$58	0x586376…
06-28 19:32:46	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0xf989fe…
06-28 19:07:08	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x79143a…
06-28 16:24:28	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	No	SELL	12	78¢	$10	0x0b3085…
06-28 09:39:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0xf6a3c1…
06-28 09:33:58	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	37	68¢	$25	0xc1c181…
06-28 09:29:41	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	70	68¢	$48	0x3e762e…
06-28 07:14:29	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0x49826e…
06-28 06:57:37	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0xd73062…
06-28 06:51:22	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	459	52¢	$239	0x0fc88d…
06-27 20:27:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x3a7436…
06-27 20:15:41	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0xb71473…
06-27 20:14:44	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x66aff7…
06-27 20:12:59	Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	No	SELL	28	94¢	$27	0x9efeb7…
06-27 19:48:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	714	14¢	$100	0x7e27dc…
06-27 19:42:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	41	44¢	$18	0x495dc3…
06-27 19:40:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	187	44¢	$82	0xda6963…
06-27 19:26:02	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	No	SELL	287	99¢	$284	0x2dded8…
06-27 16:19:04	Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0x8cca97…
06-27 16:07:53	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	96	52¢	$50	0x90968f…
06-27 16:07:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0xd5f807…
06-27 16:03:35	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	196	24¢	$47	0x261b5f…
06-27 15:15:43	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x5d3a56…
06-27 15:13:22	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xae7650…
06-27 14:40:32	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	71¢	$12	0xf73df2…
06-27 13:30:02	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?	No	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x61e77e…
06-27 12:56:28	GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	580	8¢	$46	0xa72eb6…
06-27 12:52:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x6b322e…
06-27 12:51:44	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	4	59¢	$3	0xd1bd47…
06-27 12:43:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x283349…
06-27 12:43:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x583a8e…
06-27 12:41:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	39	48¢	$19	0x838eca…
06-27 12:37:34	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0xc99a28…
06-27 12:36:44	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0xe3d45c…
06-27 12:29:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0xe655ab…
06-27 12:28:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0xc64711…
06-27 12:14:20	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	30	59¢	$18	0xaf65ec…
06-27 12:13:26	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	200	59¢	$118	0x8d2ffe…
06-27 12:11:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	75	18¢	$14	0xc01ab0…
06-27 12:10:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xc123a8…
06-27 12:07:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xa88ed9…
06-27 11:49:34	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	392	68¢	$267	0x07c5ac…
06-27 11:46:23	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0x0fcf83…
06-27 11:31:31	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$2	0xec8a15…
06-27 11:26:02	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	SELL	80	69¢	$55	0x61828f…
06-27 11:14:41	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x4c601c…
06-27 11:01:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	556	18¢	$100	0xdaaf4c…
06-27 10:58:38	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$14	0xef20bb…
06-27 10:47:25	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	83	37¢	$31	0x2fc0c4…
06-27 10:46:23	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	94	37¢	$35	0x9a8805…
06-27 10:44:13	Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026?	No	SELL	11	57¢	$6	0x169f71…
06-27 10:44:01	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	93	37¢	$34	0xc52b85…
06-27 10:43:26	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	200	61¢	$122	0x70ef2a…
06-27 10:42:38	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xc57fc6…
06-27 10:16:35	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x9a996f…
06-27 10:16:35	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x1688a7…
06-27 09:20:49	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x7de5a8…
06-27 09:14:52	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0xf45256…
06-27 09:14:52	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0xcdee8d…
06-27 09:07:01	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xe0588e…
06-27 09:05:11	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	No	SELL	31	70¢	$22	0x24832e…
06-27 09:02:56	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0x3d0b4d…
06-27 09:01:19	Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	270	59¢	$159	0xd2310d…
06-27 08:32:29	Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x62ea3f…
06-27 08:18:17	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x134e64…
06-27 08:18:14	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf9f744…
06-27 08:18:14	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xde4d7b…
06-27 08:18:14	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdbfed7…
06-27 08:18:13	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xba3a65…
06-27 08:17:53	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x973c10…
06-27 08:17:53	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9363e6…
06-27 08:17:52	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7aca1e…
06-27 08:17:52	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2d504f…
06-27 08:16:02	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x59d040…
06-27 07:54:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	39	49¢	$19	0xed9fe3…
06-27 07:37:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	165	49¢	$81	0x9737e2…
06-27 07:33:23	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x93a6d3…
06-27 07:33:20	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xbadf13…
06-27 07:31:26	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	SELL	87	69¢	$60	0xe3ab89…
06-27 06:59:41	Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x656657…
06-27 06:56:40	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	51	24¢	$12	0x232dd1…
06-27 00:44:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x36b410…
06-27 00:41:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x726f37…