Failing-Patina — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

73.6%

Resolved

404

Trades

882

lifetime

Volume

$11.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-25 08:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 96 days

Categories

Other

71% 77% +$1

Crypto

24% 77% +$0

Politics

4% 64% +$0

Sports

1% 57% +$0

Tech

0% 50% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Leeds United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No		+6	$6	100¢	$6	$0	10-25 08:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	4	$112	56	56	+0	No	+$0	07-17 21:54
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on August 27?	4	$106	53	53	+0	No	$0	08-26 23:40
will wti reach 115 by august 3 2026	4	$63	32	32	+0	No	+$0	08-07 10:57
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-22 15:53
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or below on July 25?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-25 12:17
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on July 4?	3	$59	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-04 07:00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 6?	5	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-05 23:46
ethereum above 2000 on july 12 2026	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-11 22:58
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 26?	2	$58	29	29	+0	Yes	$0	08-26 13:01
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 41°C or higher on June 26?	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	06-26 08:45
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in August?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-31 17:47
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	2	$57	29	29	+0	Yes	+$0	07-19 23:30
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 29?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-28 18:36
ethereum above 2100 on august 10 2026	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-10 02:59
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on July 16?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-16 03:54
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on July 30?	4	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-29 08:41
will ng dip to 2 10 by august 10 2026	3	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	08-13 18:54
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C or higher on July 12?	3	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-11 18:30
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on July 20?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-20 15:52
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 11?	5	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	08-10 22:47
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on August 2?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	08-02 06:26
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C or higher on July 16?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-16 05:32
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 106-107°F on August 11?	4	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	08-11 15:45
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C or below on August 11?	3	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	08-10 08:12
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on July 18?	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-17 17:25
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 28?	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-28 12:28
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or higher on July 28?	4	$55	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-27 18:48
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 9?	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	$0	08-08 23:05
will bitcoin reach 67k on august 3	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	08-03 20:07
will bitcoin dip to 74k on august 31 2026	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	08-31 21:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 08:00:39	Will Leeds United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xdb0419…
09-01 11:35:46	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x20773f…
09-01 01:41:57	Another NATO Article 4 invocation by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x311352…
09-01 01:23:51	Will Trump say "Red Card" in August?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x7ce5cb…
08-31 21:58:31	will bitcoin dip to 74k on august 31 2026	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x799c71…
08-31 21:11:22	will bitcoin dip to 74k on august 31 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x10499c…
08-31 20:25:51	Will Trump say "Red Card" in August?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xdbc185…
08-31 18:47:27	bitcoin above 86k on september 1 2026	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x0433f0…
08-31 17:50:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on August 31?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xdf24f8…
08-31 17:47:36	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in August?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x1bbb73…
08-31 16:00:01	Will Google have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x8bc2e6…
08-31 14:50:33	bitcoin above 86k on september 1 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x48db3a…
08-31 11:27:14	Will Google have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xcd6963…
08-31 05:10:37	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in August?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x72b1ae…
08-31 03:18:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on August 31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x29394c…
08-31 02:00:43	will bitcoin dip to 72k august 24 30 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x4daf26…
08-31 01:19:27	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x1c729e…
08-31 00:25:43	Will Google have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe1dcd9…
08-30 20:47:49	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x36f527…
08-30 17:47:49	will bitcoin dip to 72k august 24 30 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x762865…
08-30 13:31:06	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on August 30?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0x650ab1…
08-30 02:19:27	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on August 30?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xf5596a…
08-30 02:16:45	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 37°C on August 30?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x1bc52c…
08-29 20:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x519c70…
08-29 17:22:43	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 37°C on August 30?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x3549b9…
08-29 13:52:51	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on August 29?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x53001b…
08-29 09:13:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on August 29?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5df44b…
08-28 15:34:58	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x087207…
08-28 11:42:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 28?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xe5162d…
08-28 11:19:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 28?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x21adb7…
08-28 10:26:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x829021…
08-28 04:58:40	Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on August 28?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa9e078…
08-28 00:56:34	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x19f6bf…
08-28 00:55:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xfbc3ff…
08-27 19:49:40	Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on August 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x493571…
08-27 16:46:55	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on August 28?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xe12507…
08-27 15:34:07	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xb754db…
08-27 05:01:27	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xe0bfec…
08-27 00:03:19	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 27?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x697c3b…
08-27 00:02:28	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 27?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x5aca84…
08-27 00:02:27	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 27?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x968e5c…
08-26 23:48:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 27?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x38f54e…
08-26 23:40:01	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on August 27?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x9c6bd2…
08-26 23:39:12	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on August 27?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x5f94fc…
08-26 22:07:49	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on August 27?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x544c81…
08-26 18:46:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 27?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xeac9ea…
08-26 17:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on August 27?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa00204…
08-26 15:30:48	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on August 26?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x007620…
08-26 15:08:30	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on August 26?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x648694…
08-26 13:01:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 26?	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xa88f0a…
08-26 11:28:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 26?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x23e0d7…
08-26 11:16:31	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on August 26?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2d611f…
08-26 10:52:45	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 26?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x5cca09…
08-26 10:32:07	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 26?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xdc497e…
08-26 09:20:12	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on August 26?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xeb09cf…
08-26 03:01:18	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 26?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x9271a3…
08-25 14:36:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x384f95…
08-25 11:54:24	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 25?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xbf48a6…
08-25 11:54:24	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 25?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x8d63ec…
08-25 11:25:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x811378…
08-25 05:38:42	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 25?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x8322ef…
08-25 02:39:43	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x4a7451…
08-25 01:05:48	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x16e681…
08-24 16:18:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 25?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd1b9ee…
08-24 16:15:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 25?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xce7b04…
08-24 14:52:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2a0d16…
08-24 04:46:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xea99f1…
08-24 03:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 24?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x31f71f…
08-24 03:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 24?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x25f029…
08-23 20:15:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 24?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x9153a1…
08-23 14:20:42	Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" score at least 35 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x021b31…
08-23 12:05:21	Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" score at least 35 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xea7515…
08-17 13:51:36	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x62bf16…
08-14 17:54:30	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 15?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x925838…
08-14 17:22:55	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 14?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x005a29…
08-14 16:52:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 15?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x6d5833…
08-14 11:52:25	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on August 14?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x2d4118…
08-14 10:23:58	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 14?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe569b2…
08-14 07:58:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on August 14?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1c76d8…
08-14 01:05:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on August 14?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x254b8d…
08-14 00:16:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on August 14?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7781fd…
08-14 00:16:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on August 14?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xbd1d09…
08-14 00:12:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C or higher on August 14?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xdc8750…
08-13 23:06:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C or higher on August 14?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xff0d81…
08-13 20:22:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on August 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x702398…
08-13 18:54:15	will ng dip to 2 10 by august 10 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xec2312…
08-13 17:31:52	will ng dip to 2 10 by august 10 2026	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x3bd2a9…
08-13 16:15:10	will ng dip to 2 10 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x477dfc…
08-13 09:32:16	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on August 13?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xc2635f…
08-13 09:16:10	bitcoin above 66k on august 13 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2f2675…
08-13 07:04:33	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on August 13?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9da609…
08-13 06:28:12	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 13?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x522e8a…
08-13 06:11:49	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 13?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xada946…
08-13 04:28:22	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 13?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xa8dfc7…
08-13 03:07:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 13?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x84c8c1…
08-13 01:54:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 13?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5ccb39…
08-13 00:00:19	ethereum above 1700 on august 13 2026	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xc68eb5…
08-12 23:24:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 13?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xb9ea43…
08-12 23:21:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc74e52…
08-12 23:21:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x85cc09…