Failing-Patina — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.4%

Resolved

Trades

184

lifetime

Volume

$2.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-11 14:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 50% $-0

Other

19% — —

Politics

5% — —

Sports

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 115 by august 3 2026	4	$63	32	32	+0	open	—	08-07 10:57
ethereum above 2000 on july 12 2026	2	$59	30	30	+0	open	—	07-11 22:58
ethereum above 2100 on august 10 2026	2	$57	29	29	+0	open	—	08-10 02:59
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 28?	2	$55	27	27	+0	open	—	05-28 12:28
will bitcoin reach 67k on august 3	2	$54	27	27	+0	open	—	08-03 20:07
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?	2	$54	27	27	+0	open	—	08-01 03:35
bitcoin above 62k on july 26 2026	2	$54	27	27	+0	open	—	07-26 15:29
will bitcoin dip to 58k july 20 26 2026	2	$54	27	27	+0	open	—	07-26 08:22
bitcoin above 62k on august 11 2026	2	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	08-11 14:19
bitcoin above 58k on july 11 2026	5	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	07-10 17:49
will ethereum reach 2050 on july 16	2	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	07-16 20:23
ethereum above 1700 on august 4 2026	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	08-04 12:16
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 29?	2	$49	25	25	+0	open	—	05-29 05:56
bitcoin above 56k on july 3 2026	2	$49	24	24	+0	open	—	07-02 18:10
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10?	2	$49	24	24	+0	No	+$0	05-10 17:40
bitcoin above 62k on july 23 2026	2	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	07-23 10:32
will bitcoin dip to 58k july 13 19 2026	2	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	07-19 07:36
will bitcoin reach 66k on july 25	2	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	07-26 01:35
xrp above 1pt2 on july 29 2026	2	$44	44	0	+44	open	—	07-29 15:13
will mrbeast hit 512 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858516	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	07-30 21:50
will bitcoin dip to 60k july 13 19 2026	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	07-20 02:21
xrp above 1pt2 on july 25 2026	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	07-25 06:14
will bitcoin reach 69k on july 21	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	07-22 01:14
will databricks valuation hit high 200 by july 31 20260629184745122	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	08-01 17:16
will bytedances valuation hit high 650b by july 31 20260630205251338	2	$41	20	20	+0	open	—	08-01 17:18
ethereum above 2000 on july 20 2026	3	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	07-20 13:59
ethereum above 1700 on august 11 2026	2	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	08-11 13:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 14?	2	$37	18	18	+0	open	—	05-14 09:21
will spider man brand new day score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026311	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	08-02 18:45
bitcoin above 60k on july 17 2026	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	07-17 14:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 19:11:25	xrp above 1pt2 on august 12 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x833ba9…
08-11 14:19:19	bitcoin above 62k on august 11 2026	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x02e992…
08-11 13:41:22	ethereum above 1700 on august 11 2026	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x0a5d5f…
08-11 12:32:37	bitcoin above 62k on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x8bff1f…
08-11 11:44:13	ethereum above 1700 on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x4a018f…
08-10 11:50:07	will one night only score at least 55 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805173842486	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xcc5fbf…
08-10 02:59:30	ethereum above 2100 on august 10 2026	No	SELL	29	100¢	$28	0x563062…
08-09 21:56:33	ethereum above 2100 on august 10 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$28	0xbdc9cd…
08-08 23:07:03	will solana dip to 50 august 3 9 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xc3f516…
08-08 17:30:55	will solana dip to 50 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1c4e46…
08-07 22:03:24	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xe4a73a…
08-07 11:17:57	ethereum above 2100 on august 7 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x9af097…
08-07 10:57:10	will wti reach 115 by august 3 2026	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x0d6161…
08-07 04:32:27	will wti reach 115 by august 3 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xb02dfd…
08-06 20:52:26	will wti reach 115 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x42d367…
08-06 14:56:36	will wti reach 115 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x47e862…
08-06 14:18:15	ethereum above 1700 on august 6 2026	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x7607fd…
08-06 08:09:36	ethereum above 1700 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x258b11…
08-04 12:16:29	ethereum above 1700 on august 4 2026	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x68d117…
08-04 10:26:06	ethereum above 1700 on august 4 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xb46af4…
08-03 20:10:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xbaa73a…
08-03 20:07:23	will bitcoin reach 67k on august 3	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x14ad27…
08-03 17:17:12	will bitcoin reach 67k on august 3	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x1ef643…
08-03 07:43:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x37ad40…
08-02 18:45:41	will spider man brand new day score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026311	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xe1a93a…
08-02 13:29:44	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 27 august 2 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$11	0x13bf98…
08-02 07:05:36	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x168310…
08-02 04:05:11	will spider man brand new day score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026311	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xaf3864…
08-01 17:18:27	will bytedances valuation hit high 650b by july 31 20260630205251338	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x9e633b…
08-01 17:16:47	will databricks valuation hit high 200 by july 31 20260629184745122	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xf1e362…
08-01 15:06:00	will databricks valuation hit high 200 by july 31 20260629184745122	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xc93188…
08-01 13:29:20	will bytedances valuation hit high 650b by july 31 20260630205251338	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5ae5c9…
08-01 03:35:24	Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x4d8cd5…
07-31 15:24:47	ethereum above 2200 on august 1 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xda47f1…
07-31 14:56:03	ethereum above 2200 on august 1 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x26af1f…
07-31 14:18:21	ethereum above 2200 on august 1 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8b75ee…
07-31 06:17:30	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x8f844e…
07-31 03:29:41	ethereum above 2100 on july 31 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xc17031…
07-31 03:27:32	ethereum above 2100 on july 31 2026	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc35e9e…
07-30 21:50:14	will mrbeast hit 512 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858516	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xe7e9ac…
07-30 21:02:14	ethereum above 2100 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe49aeb…
07-30 20:12:27	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2facb1…
07-30 11:38:27	will mrbeast hit 512 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858516	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x996110…
07-30 06:04:39	Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xa7388a…
07-29 23:36:26	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 29	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x71cf57…
07-29 15:13:02	xrp above 1pt2 on july 29 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x36f9ce…
07-29 14:47:51	ethereum above 1700 on july 29 2026	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xd01b81…
07-29 09:26:41	xrp above 1pt2 on july 29 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xaff1f2…
07-27 08:11:15	ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x0d85c0…
07-26 15:37:46	bitcoin above 66k on july 26 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x5016c1…
07-26 15:29:48	bitcoin above 62k on july 26 2026	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x54029a…
07-26 14:34:51	bitcoin above 66k on july 26 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x48f99c…
07-26 10:27:43	bitcoin above 62k on july 26 2026	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x3b3e3e…
07-26 08:22:36	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 20 26 2026	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x6ebed0…
07-26 06:58:51	ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x025014…
07-26 01:35:00	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 25	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xf2a977…
07-26 01:26:04	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xe3c133…
07-25 20:38:34	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 25	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x04fb97…
07-25 06:14:10	xrp above 1pt2 on july 25 2026	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x2f3765…
07-25 05:54:49	xrp above 1pt2 on july 25 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x66d852…
07-24 11:46:51	bitcoin above 68k on july 24 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x90f9f5…
07-24 06:12:57	bitcoin above 68k on july 24 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9a618a…
07-23 16:32:12	bitcoin above 70k on july 24 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$9	0xde4482…
07-23 13:31:24	bitcoin above 70k on july 24 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xa2710f…
07-23 10:32:06	bitcoin above 62k on july 23 2026	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xe90fe7…
07-23 03:38:52	bitcoin above 62k on july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xa2fcc1…
07-22 01:14:55	will bitcoin reach 69k on july 21	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xe4f0ac…
07-21 23:48:21	will bitcoin reach 69k on july 21	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x3504e1…
07-20 13:59:10	ethereum above 2000 on july 20 2026	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x73cbb5…
07-20 10:55:27	ethereum above 2000 on july 20 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x20f9bd…
07-20 09:30:04	ethereum above 2000 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x6216dd…
07-20 02:21:24	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xc04084…
07-20 00:03:25	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x0c59fd…
07-19 23:20:01	bitcoin above 58k on july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xc9fde6…
07-19 22:07:03	bitcoin above 58k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4e3ba1…
07-19 07:36:09	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xc65ecf…
07-19 04:05:16	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x65a2c0…
07-17 23:52:06	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 17	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x22528a…
07-17 21:44:57	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 17	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd0241f…
07-17 18:17:27	will nflx reach 82 50 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x88a8c2…
07-17 17:08:39	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xdc0def…
07-17 14:01:03	bitcoin above 60k on july 17 2026	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x3f3835…
07-17 13:36:24	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe068fd…
07-17 11:56:10	will wti dip to 45 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xb427ae…
07-17 06:30:54	will wti dip to 45 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa772af…
07-16 20:23:37	will ethereum reach 2050 on july 16	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x7a04bd…
07-16 19:33:31	will ethereum reach 2050 on july 16	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x685c38…
07-16 18:13:05	bitcoin above 60k on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x0b2cf2…
07-16 08:56:56	bitcoin above 70k on july 17 2026	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x1e8a54…
07-16 05:46:08	bitcoin above 70k on july 17 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x85ceb3…
07-13 14:18:08	ethereum above 2000 on july 14 2026	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x222537…
07-13 10:30:17	ethereum above 2000 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xabf236…
07-11 22:58:31	ethereum above 2000 on july 12 2026	No	SELL	30	100¢	$29	0x4edb67…
07-11 18:50:53	ethereum above 2000 on july 12 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$29	0xd71b46…
07-11 08:31:07	bitcoin above 58k on july 12 2026	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe1c848…
07-11 06:08:35	bitcoin above 58k on july 12 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x525b89…
07-10 17:49:52	bitcoin above 58k on july 11 2026	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x0dfac4…
07-10 16:44:52	bitcoin above 58k on july 11 2026	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x6f2db4…
07-10 15:46:44	bitcoin above 58k on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x44718a…
07-10 09:33:17	bitcoin above 58k on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd9554b…