Failing-Patina — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.4%

Resolved

Trades

119

lifetime

Volume

$1.41K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-22 01:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 50% $-0

Other

13% — —

Politics

5% — —

Sports

5% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 2000 on july 12 2026	2	$59	30	30	+0	open	—	07-11 22:58
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 28?	2	$55	27	27	+0	open	—	05-28 12:28
bitcoin above 58k on july 11 2026	5	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	07-10 17:49
will ethereum reach 2050 on july 16	2	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	07-16 20:23
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 29?	2	$49	25	25	+0	open	—	05-29 05:56
bitcoin above 56k on july 3 2026	2	$49	24	24	+0	open	—	07-02 18:10
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10?	2	$49	24	24	+0	No	+$0	05-10 17:40
will bitcoin dip to 58k july 13 19 2026	2	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	07-19 07:36
will bitcoin dip to 60k july 13 19 2026	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	07-20 02:21
will bitcoin reach 69k on july 21	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	07-22 01:14
ethereum above 2000 on july 20 2026	3	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	07-20 13:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 14?	2	$37	18	18	+0	open	—	05-14 09:21
bitcoin above 60k on july 17 2026	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	07-17 14:01
ethereum above 2000 on july 14 2026	2	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	07-13 14:18
bitcoin above 70k on july 17 2026	2	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	07-16 08:56
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on May 10?	3	$35	17	17	+0	No	$-0	05-09 15:22
will the match not air 20260625200259146	3	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	06-27 06:17
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 15?	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	05-15 19:22
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of May 18 2026?	3	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	05-22 17:18
Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?	2	$29	14	14	+0	open	—	07-01 06:05
bitcoin above 58k on july 10 2026	2	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	07-10 03:06
ethereum above 1600 on july 10 2026	2	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	07-10 03:07
bitcoin above 58k on july 20 2026	2	$26	13	13	+0	open	—	07-19 23:20
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	2	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	06-01 17:47
Iran leadership change by June 30?	2	$23	11	11	+0	open	—	06-30 06:17
will xrp dip to 1 june 29 july 5 2026	3	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	07-04 20:03
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-31 20:43
ethereum above 1900 on june 29 2026	2	$21	10	10	+0	open	—	06-28 15:20
Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$21	10	10	+0	open	—	05-20 03:15
Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-28 07:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 01:14:55	will bitcoin reach 69k on july 21	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xe4f0ac…
07-21 23:48:21	will bitcoin reach 69k on july 21	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x3504e1…
07-20 13:59:10	ethereum above 2000 on july 20 2026	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x73cbb5…
07-20 10:55:27	ethereum above 2000 on july 20 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x20f9bd…
07-20 09:30:04	ethereum above 2000 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x6216dd…
07-20 02:21:24	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xc04084…
07-20 00:03:25	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x0c59fd…
07-19 23:20:01	bitcoin above 58k on july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xc9fde6…
07-19 22:07:03	bitcoin above 58k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4e3ba1…
07-19 07:36:09	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xc65ecf…
07-19 04:05:16	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x65a2c0…
07-17 23:52:06	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 17	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x22528a…
07-17 21:44:57	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 17	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd0241f…
07-17 18:17:27	will nflx reach 82 50 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x88a8c2…
07-17 17:08:39	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xdc0def…
07-17 14:01:03	bitcoin above 60k on july 17 2026	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x3f3835…
07-17 13:36:24	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe068fd…
07-17 11:56:10	will wti dip to 45 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xb427ae…
07-17 06:30:54	will wti dip to 45 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa772af…
07-16 20:23:37	will ethereum reach 2050 on july 16	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x7a04bd…
07-16 19:33:31	will ethereum reach 2050 on july 16	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x685c38…
07-16 18:13:05	bitcoin above 60k on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x0b2cf2…
07-16 08:56:56	bitcoin above 70k on july 17 2026	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x1e8a54…
07-16 05:46:08	bitcoin above 70k on july 17 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x85ceb3…
07-13 14:18:08	ethereum above 2000 on july 14 2026	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x222537…
07-13 10:30:17	ethereum above 2000 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xabf236…
07-11 22:58:31	ethereum above 2000 on july 12 2026	No	SELL	30	100¢	$29	0x4edb67…
07-11 18:50:53	ethereum above 2000 on july 12 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$29	0xd71b46…
07-11 08:31:07	bitcoin above 58k on july 12 2026	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe1c848…
07-11 06:08:35	bitcoin above 58k on july 12 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x525b89…
07-10 17:49:52	bitcoin above 58k on july 11 2026	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x0dfac4…
07-10 16:44:52	bitcoin above 58k on july 11 2026	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x6f2db4…
07-10 15:46:44	bitcoin above 58k on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x44718a…
07-10 09:33:17	bitcoin above 58k on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd9554b…
07-10 09:02:05	bitcoin above 58k on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdfaee7…
07-10 03:07:44	ethereum above 1600 on july 10 2026	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xa7a705…
07-10 03:06:29	bitcoin above 58k on july 10 2026	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xd47ff2…
07-09 23:30:43	ethereum above 1600 on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x160d23…
07-09 22:33:23	bitcoin above 58k on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8f3b13…
07-08 16:25:05	ethereum above 2000 on july 9 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xdde601…
07-04 20:03:25	will xrp dip to 1 june 29 july 5 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x95d669…
07-04 19:44:49	will xrp dip to 1 june 29 july 5 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xfa600e…
07-04 15:13:02	will xrp dip to 1 june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9e536a…
07-03 10:41:55	bitcoin above 58k on july 3 2026	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x577509…
07-03 10:40:34	bitcoin above 56k on july 4 2026	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x5acacf…
07-03 08:29:40	bitcoin above 58k on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb09af8…
07-03 07:32:56	bitcoin above 56k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xea9a6e…
07-03 03:02:35	xrp above 1pt2 on july 3 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x502c3f…
07-02 18:10:28	bitcoin above 56k on july 3 2026	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xd5370c…
07-02 17:40:04	xrp above 1pt2 on july 3 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xaaad6d…
07-02 17:02:02	bitcoin above 56k on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x26fcf3…
07-01 06:05:52	Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x75926d…
06-30 20:13:19	will the announcers say erling or haaland 30 times during the ivory coast vs norway fifa world cup match 20260629195140019	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb29db2…
06-30 08:45:46	Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xbec21c…
06-30 07:33:08	bitcoin above 64k on june 30 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe3bd0c…
06-30 06:17:37	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xe6a00a…
06-29 14:27:46	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe1cdba…
06-29 10:35:13	Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x253696…
06-28 15:37:28	Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xda7c1a…
06-28 15:20:35	ethereum above 1900 on june 29 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9552a0…
06-28 15:13:34	xrp above 1pt2 on june 28 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x090db8…
06-28 11:11:31	ethereum above 1900 on june 29 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x862487…
06-28 06:03:14	xrp above 1pt2 on june 28 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc20833…
06-27 06:17:50	will the match not air 20260625200259146	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xd1478c…
06-27 06:09:53	will the match not air 20260625200259146	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xd51fc0…
06-27 01:51:16	will the match not air 20260625200259146	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd7ecff…
06-18 07:47:08	bitcoin above 60k on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x84b7c8…
06-03 05:46:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 4?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb971e3…
06-03 05:21:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 4?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x976222…
06-03 04:10:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 4?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xad8b7b…
06-01 17:47:13	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xb44990…
05-31 21:53:08	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x04c143…
05-31 21:45:10	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x8376ab…
05-31 20:43:36	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xe3f33f…
05-31 13:36:17	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd69d2d…
05-31 12:39:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x8589a1…
05-30 23:24:40	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 21, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc2d8f2…
05-30 23:22:52	Netanyahu out by May 31?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xaad634…
05-30 23:16:02	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xb6ff49…
05-30 12:35:57	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 21, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x28246d…
05-30 11:07:29	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x73a568…
05-30 04:43:36	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb08c9e…
05-30 04:06:33	Netanyahu out by May 31?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb6eab3…
05-30 02:27:09	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1eb35f…
05-30 00:29:26	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x200592…
05-29 05:56:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 29?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$24	0x85886b…
05-28 14:29:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 29?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0xdb7a04…
05-28 12:28:01	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 28?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x105666…
05-28 08:00:45	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 28?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x65e2e2…
05-22 17:18:54	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x001037…
05-22 16:50:57	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x2ac6d6…
05-21 15:27:24	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc11654…
05-20 13:13:24	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4770d8…
05-20 09:12:13	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfef6d8…
05-20 03:15:11	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7993d7…
05-19 11:48:25	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe2fb5a…
05-17 09:44:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x821528…
05-17 08:47:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xdb52b5…
05-16 20:48:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x73ee4d…
05-15 19:22:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 15?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x2a2c84…