Failing-Patina — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$546

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-03 05:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 50% $-0

Other

21% — —

Sports

11% — —

Politics

2% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 28?	2	$55	27	27	+0	open	—	05-28 12:28
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 29?	2	$49	25	25	+0	open	—	05-29 05:56
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10?	2	$49	24	24	+0	No	+$0	05-10 17:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 14?	2	$37	18	18	+0	open	—	05-14 09:21
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on May 10?	3	$35	17	17	+0	No	$-0	05-09 15:22
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 15?	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	05-15 19:22
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of May 18 2026?	3	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	05-22 17:18
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	2	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	06-01 17:47
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-31 20:43
Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$21	10	10	+0	open	—	05-20 03:15
Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-28 07:03
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	2	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	05-30 23:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	1	$17	0	17	-17	open	—	05-31 12:39
Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?	3	$16	1	15	-13	open	—	03-08 03:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	2	$13	6	6	+0	open	—	05-17 09:44
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	05-20 13:13
Will PSV win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	01-23 19:42
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	05-31 21:45
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 17?	1	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	05-17 08:47
Netanyahu out by May 31?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-30 23:22
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 21, 2026?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-30 23:24
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	2	$11	5	5	+0	open	—	05-30 11:07
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 4?	3	$11	5	5	+0	open	—	06-03 05:46
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-26 19:13
Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$7	8	0	+8	open	—	01-27 18:32
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$3	1	1	+0	open	—	03-08 03:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 05:46:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 4?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb971e3…
06-03 05:21:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 4?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x976222…
06-03 04:10:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 4?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xad8b7b…
06-01 17:47:13	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xb44990…
05-31 21:53:08	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x04c143…
05-31 21:45:10	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x8376ab…
05-31 20:43:36	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xe3f33f…
05-31 13:36:17	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd69d2d…
05-31 12:39:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x8589a1…
05-30 23:24:40	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 21, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc2d8f2…
05-30 23:22:52	Netanyahu out by May 31?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xaad634…
05-30 23:16:02	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xb6ff49…
05-30 12:35:57	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 21, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x28246d…
05-30 11:07:29	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x73a568…
05-30 04:43:36	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb08c9e…
05-30 04:06:33	Netanyahu out by May 31?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb6eab3…
05-30 02:27:09	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1eb35f…
05-30 00:29:26	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x200592…
05-29 05:56:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 29?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$24	0x85886b…
05-28 14:29:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 29?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0xdb7a04…
05-28 12:28:01	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 28?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x105666…
05-28 08:00:45	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 28?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x65e2e2…
05-22 17:18:54	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x001037…
05-22 16:50:57	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x2ac6d6…
05-21 15:27:24	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc11654…
05-20 13:13:24	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4770d8…
05-20 09:12:13	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfef6d8…
05-20 03:15:11	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7993d7…
05-19 11:48:25	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe2fb5a…
05-17 09:44:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x821528…
05-17 08:47:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xdb52b5…
05-16 20:48:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x73ee4d…
05-15 19:22:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 15?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x2a2c84…
05-15 04:12:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 15?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf1fa06…
05-14 09:21:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xa72ca3…
05-13 19:49:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc0ae0f…
05-10 17:40:45	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x7cfc98…
05-10 05:01:29	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xf0b5dd…
05-09 15:22:11	Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on May 10?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xd842db…
05-09 15:16:30	Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on May 10?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xbdefcf…
05-09 08:45:14	Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on May 10?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe682f0…
04-26 19:13:04	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xcafc1e…
04-19 01:32:20	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa60a7d…
03-28 07:03:13	Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x71392c…
03-20 06:50:41	Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x95f4a4…
03-08 03:58:15	Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc1df26…
03-08 03:57:41	Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfa2ebb…
02-18 02:40:49	Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf9492e…
02-15 20:51:49	Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2e86e3…
01-27 18:32:37	Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x2448b3…
01-23 19:42:00	Will PSV win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3bd425…
01-02 19:33:09	Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x4ad09e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	18	$813	231	06-03 03:12
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	16	$27.8K	593	06-03 02:06
Fine-Flanker 0x0e7f…2015	10	$1.50K	32	06-02 15:23
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	9	$4.74K	119	05-30 20:33
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	9	$869	145	05-31 14:44
Blushing-Cotton 0xa33c…0ff2	9	$860	377	06-01 03:28
Dirty-Porpoise-Commission 0xb42c…c27b	9	$833	394	06-01 03:28
Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f	8	$13.8K	187	05-18 05:13