Daring-Mineshaft 0xc4a752…f9898a
whale 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$160
Unrealized P&L
+$9
Hit rate
99.6%
Resolved
20
Trades
4,739
lifetime
Volume
$230.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$49
Open exposure
$4.75K
27 positions
First seen
2026-03-12
last 07-20 21:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
51% 100% +$5
Other
43% 100% +$183
Tech
3% — —
Crypto
2% — —
Sports
1% 38% $-28
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 148 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? No +1,598 $1,487 92¢ $1.5K $-9 07-20 21:32
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +1,074 $1,038 98¢ $1.0K +$11 07-18 14:43
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +818 $768 92¢ $756 $-12 07-21 02:56
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +337 $319 97¢ $327 +$8 07-18 06:37
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +290 $276 95¢ $276 +$0 07-06 16:08
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No -179 $-177 98¢ $-175 +$1 07-17 19:11
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -160 $-146 94¢ $-151 $-5 07-01 09:51
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +115 $109 95¢ $109 +$0 07-20 17:57
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +87 $76 90¢ $79 +$3 07-10 17:07
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -57 $-54 96¢ $-54 $-0 07-20 20:47
Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +43 $39 89¢ $39 $-1 07-14 09:02
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +39 $33 96¢ $37 +$4 07-19 08:45
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +38 $34 88¢ $33 $-1 07-20 10:59
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +30 $28 96¢ $28 +$0 07-14 03:28
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +26 $23 92¢ $24 +$1 07-15 12:08
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No +25 $24 97¢ $24 +$0 07-10 09:30
Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +20 $18 95¢ $19 +$1 07-13 17:28
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +14 $13 95¢ $13 +$0 07-18 14:27
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? No +13 $12 99¢ $13 +$1 07-13 13:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +21 $11 56¢ $12 +$1 07-20 05:48
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +12 $12 94¢ $12 $-0 07-03 20:17
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +78 $10 15¢ $11 +$1 07-04 00:46
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 07-14 18:11
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +10 $8 96¢ $9 +$1 07-10 23:59
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No -6 $-5 89¢ $-5 $-0 07-10 15:24
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No +4 $4 94¢ $4 +$0 07-05 03:46
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +9 $3 41¢ $4 +$1 07-19 14:03