Daring-Mineshaft 0xc4a752…f9898a
whale 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$160
Unrealized P&L
+$26
Hit rate
99.6%
Resolved
20
Trades
3,535
lifetime
Volume
$180.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$51
Open exposure
$6.33K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-12
last 06-09 19:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
52% 100% +$5
Other
41% 100% +$183
Tech
4% — —
Crypto
2% — —
Sports
1% 38% $-28
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 173 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No +1,606 $1,580 99¢ $1.6K +$15 06-09 07:02
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +1,113 $1,094 99¢ $1.1K +$8 06-04 02:10
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +1,045 $992 95¢ $991 $-1 06-09 13:38
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? No +426 $422 99¢ $423 +$2 06-03 23:14
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +450 $422 94¢ $423 +$1 06-03 04:08
Trump out as President by June 30? No +419 $414 99¢ $416 +$2 06-04 03:53
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +310 $307 99¢ $308 +$0 06-03 13:27
Xi Jinping out by June 30? No +228 $226 99¢ $226 +$1 06-03 04:21
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? No -209 $-207 99¢ $-208 $-1 06-03 13:37
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -88 $-83 94¢ $-83 $-0 06-01 15:21
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30? No +67 $65 99¢ $66 +$0 06-08 05:12
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No +61 $60 98¢ $60 $-0 06-07 17:52
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30? No +51 $51 98¢ $50 $-0 06-09 16:03
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +55 $47 88¢ $49 +$1 06-09 19:17
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? No +42 $40 94¢ $40 $-1 06-09 15:54
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30? No -35 $-35 99¢ $-35 $-0 05-30 20:00
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No +33 $31 93¢ $31 $-0 06-04 03:45
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +29 $29 99¢ $29 +$0 06-09 15:20
Will Trump be impeached by June 30? No +26 $26 99¢ $26 +$0 06-03 10:29
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30? No +24 $23 99¢ $23 +$0 06-08 21:17
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No +21 $21 99¢ $21 +$0 06-09 18:57
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? No -20 $-20 99¢ $-20 $-0 06-04 02:12
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? No -17 $-17 100¢ $-17 $-0 06-03 05:48
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30? No +16 $15 99¢ $15 $-0 06-08 14:02
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? No -15 $-14 99¢ $-14 $-0 06-01 01:25
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +14 $13 94¢ $13 +$0 06-08 11:44
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30? No +12 $12 99¢ $12 +$0 05-29 16:05
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +12 $11 92¢ $11 $-0 06-07 18:46
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -11 $-9 86¢ $-10 $-0 06-03 23:59
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30? No +9 $9 99¢ $9 +$0 06-09 14:45