Daring-Mineshaft 0xc4a752…f9898a
whale 8W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$839
Unrealized P&L
+$207
Hit rate
94.8%
Resolved
372
Trades
6,900
lifetime
Volume
$349.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$51
Open exposure
$8.26K
29 positions
First seen
2026-03-12
last 08-23 05:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 80 days
Categories
Other
50% 94% +$207
Politics
43% 94% +$308
Tech
3% 100% +$76
Sports
2% 65% +$230
Crypto
1% 100% +$17
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? No +1,460 $1,377 96¢ $1.4K +$26 07-26 09:56
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +1,288 $1,231 99¢ $1.3K +$47 08-18 04:36
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +1,188 $1,134 95¢ $1.1K -$5 07-29 04:33
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +1,033 $958 96¢ $993 +$36 08-14 19:08
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +561 $525 95¢ $535 +$10 08-12 00:39
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? No +420 $391 98¢ $410 +$19 08-17 17:11
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -370 -$314 96¢ $-356 -$42 07-01 09:51
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +325 $212 96¢ $310 +$98 08-20 15:35
situational awareness announces fund wind down by december 31 2026 20260730183020992 No +313 $297 93¢ $291 -$6 08-18 21:54
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +206 $193 98¢ $201 +$8 08-18 08:16
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Yes +198 $179 95¢ $188 +$9 08-11 00:48
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No +188 $171 97¢ $182 +$12 08-07 20:14
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +203 $171 86¢ $175 +$3 08-17 14:48
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +176 $167 96¢ $170 +$3 08-07 15:13
jd vance out as vp by december 31 No +175 $163 96¢ $168 +$5 07-09 23:13
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No +127 $119 96¢ $122 +$4 08-05 02:07
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +93 $81 92¢ $86 +$5 08-18 00:16
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +62 $57 97¢ $60 +$2 08-04 14:43
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31 2026? No +58 $54 96¢ $56 +$2 08-01 17:30
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No +40 $38 95¢ $38 $0 08-18 07:29
will anthropics valuation hit low 700b by december 31 928 No +36 $34 97¢ $35 +$1 08-06 08:15
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +18 $17 96¢ $18 +$1 08-12 04:09
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +17 $15 96¢ $17 +$1 08-17 20:52
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +14 $13 97¢ $14 +$1 07-18 14:27
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +10 $9 97¢ $9 +$0 08-04 20:02
will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743 No +9 $7 95¢ $8 +$1 07-22 11:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +73 $40 11¢ $8 -$32 08-23 05:40
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? No +4 $4 96¢ $4 +$0 07-29 22:07
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 07-30 20:50