Daring-Mineshaft 0xc4a752…f9898a
whale 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$160
Unrealized P&L
+$92
Hit rate
99.6%
Resolved
20
Trades
4,113
lifetime
Volume
$196.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$48
Open exposure
$7.64K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-12
last 06-30 17:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
50% 100% +$5
Other
44% 100% +$183
Tech
3% — —
Crypto
2% — —
Sports
1% 38% $-28
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 148 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +1,145 $1,135 100¢ $1.1K +$9 06-25 16:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +1,113 $1,094 100¢ $1.1K +$18 06-04 02:10
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +1,045 $992 94¢ $985 $-7 06-09 13:38
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No +656 $634 100¢ $656 +$22 06-22 14:31
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? No +426 $422 100¢ $426 +$4 06-03 23:14
Trump out as President by June 30? No +419 $414 100¢ $418 +$5 06-04 03:53
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +360 $359 100¢ $360 +$1 06-21 14:55
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +332 $330 100¢ $332 +$2 06-26 01:06
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +310 $307 100¢ $309 +$2 06-03 13:27
Xi Jinping out by June 30? No +228 $226 100¢ $228 +$2 06-03 04:21
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No +224 $223 100¢ $224 +$1 06-22 14:37
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? No -209 $-207 100¢ $-209 $-2 06-03 13:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +156 $140 100¢ $156 +$16 06-30 12:04
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +143 $137 100¢ $143 +$5 06-22 19:30
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? No +113 $113 100¢ $113 +$0 06-25 23:50
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +108 $107 100¢ $108 +$0 06-26 16:10
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +106 $105 100¢ $106 +$1 06-29 07:46
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -88 $-83 94¢ $-83 $-0 06-01 15:21
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +82 $78 100¢ $82 +$4 06-27 14:40
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30? No +58 $57 100¢ $58 +$1 06-20 18:19
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +55 $55 100¢ $55 +$0 06-28 17:34
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +55 $47 90¢ $50 +$2 06-09 19:17
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30? No +45 $45 100¢ $45 +$0 06-10 17:35
Kash Patel out by June 30? No +45 $43 99¢ $45 +$2 06-26 07:00
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30? No -35 $-35 100¢ $-35 $-0 05-30 20:00
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +38 $34 91¢ $34 +$0 06-20 20:44
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +36 $31 94¢ $34 +$3 06-30 19:03
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30? No +31 $31 99¢ $31 +$0 06-27 00:13
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No +33 $31 94¢ $31 +$0 06-04 03:45
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No +27 $26 100¢ $27 +$1 06-18 00:14