Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
5
Trades
153
lifetime
Volume
$852
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$197
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-03
last 06-07 17:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
35% 100% +$0
Other
35% 100% +$1
Sports
11%
Tech
9%
Crypto
9%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No -26 $-26 99¢ $-26 $-0 06-03 13:27
Will Trump be impeached by June 30? No -21 $-21 99¢ $-21 $-0 06-03 13:46
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No -15 $-15 96¢ $-15 +$0 06-01 13:32
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +6 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-07 16:20
Will Dreamcash launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 06-02 06:30
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-01 19:41
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No -5 $-5 99¢ $-5 $-0 06-03 21:43
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 06-03 21:46
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +5 $5 93¢ $5 +$0 06-05 18:47
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 06-06 22:25
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 06-01 12:53
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-01 17:18
Trump out as President by June 30? No -5 $-5 99¢ $-5 $-0 06-03 21:43
Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by June 30? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-05 20:40
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 06-04 16:27
Will Nvidia have a #1 AI model by June 30? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 06-05 20:41
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 06-06 02:45
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 06-05 20:41
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-05 21:03
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 06-06 22:53
Chirayu Rana divorced? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 $-0 06-05 18:52
Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by June 30? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 $-0 06-05 20:40
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 $-0 06-05 20:39
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 $-0 06-07 15:39
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 $-0 06-05 20:40
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 $-0 06-05 20:49
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 $-0 06-07 17:21
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 $-0 06-07 01:55
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 $-0 06-05 18:59
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 $-0 06-07 05:53