Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
5
Trades
211
lifetime
Volume
$1.14K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$86
16 positions
First seen
2026-04-03
last 07-24 09:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
37% 100% +$0
Other
37% 100% +$1
Sports
10%
Tech
8%
Crypto
7%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No -11 $-11 98¢ $-11 $-0 07-04 08:46
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 06-05 18:47
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 06-01 19:41
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 07-08 10:41
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 06-07 01:55
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 06-05 18:59
Trump out as President before GTA VI? No +10 $5 50¢ $5 +$0 07-19 01:56
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 07-08 14:23
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 07-09 01:17
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes +10 $5 50¢ $5 +$0 07-05 13:47
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +5 $5 93¢ $5 +$0 06-07 15:44
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 $-0 07-23 20:08
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 $-0 07-02 20:26
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31 2026? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 $-0 07-20 18:21
Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 $-0 07-24 09:39
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down +5 $5 93¢ $5 $-0 04-09 00:52