Questionable-Extinction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$171

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.9%

Resolved

278

Trades

557

lifetime

Volume

$139.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$251

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 09-15 22:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Other

94% 59% +$62

Crypto

3% 50% +$9

Politics

2% 100% +$4

Sports

1% 80% +$89

Tech

0% 100% +$6

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	62	$18.5K	12,061	6,555	+5,506	No	+$90	06-01 20:35
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	21	$18.0K	9,037	9,037	+0	No	+$33	07-15 17:47
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	24	$17.1K	9,238	7,953	+1,285	No	+$87	06-19 05:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	24	$13.5K	8,295	5,295	+3,000	No	+$55	05-14 19:07
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	4	$11.2K	8,106	3,106	+5,000	No	+$18	08-14 05:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	4	$6.0K	6,061	0	+6,061	No	+$36	07-25 17:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	3	$6.0K	3,009	3,009	+0	No	+$6	09-15 22:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	6	$4.9K	4,743	234	+4,509	No	+$27	07-04 04:26
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	6	$4.0K	4,024	15	+4,009	No	+$14	06-03 23:43
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?	1	$4.0K	4,004	0	+4,004	No	+$4	05-21 02:11
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	5	$3.8K	1,902	1,902	+0	No	$0	06-02 13:32
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?	4	$3.6K	3,602	0	+3,602	No	+$11	05-21 03:34
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	9	$3.5K	3,518	0	+3,518	No	+$7	06-02 13:32
will 100 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655084 912 671	3	$2.4K	2,421	0	+2,421	No	+$6	07-30 00:52
will russia capture pokrovka by december 31	9	$1.9K	1,880	0	+1,880	Yes	+$2	07-15 19:03
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 51 million views on day 3?	2	$1.4K	1,412	0	+1,412	Yes	+$1	05-19 16:04
Will MrBeast hit 124 billion views by June 30?	4	$1.3K	1,316	0	+1,316	Yes	+$4	05-16 04:00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$1.3K	1,304	0	+1,304	No	+$4	06-22 00:16
Will MrBeast hit 123 billion views by May 31?	7	$1.2K	1,192	0	+1,192	Yes	+$14	05-16 03:59
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	2	$1.0K	581	581	+0	open	—	07-29 06:21
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	3	$1.0K	1,031	0	+1,031	Yes	+$8	06-05 08:30
Will Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$984	503	503	+0	No	-$12	06-22 00:05
will russia capture pokrovka by july 31	3	$710	711	0	+711	Yes	+$1	07-15 19:57
Will VOX (VOX) win the Andalusia regional election?	4	$700	701	0	+701	No	+$1	05-16 04:06
Will MrBeast get married by December 31?	1	$613	613	0	+613	Yes	+$1	07-21 17:06
Will MrBeast's next video get between 24 and 25 million views on day 3?	2	$539	540	0	+540	No	+$1	07-27 22:45
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	1	$500	502	0	+502	No	+$2	06-26 13:31
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?	3	$483	484	0	+484	No	+$2	07-25 17:50
Will MrBeast hit 122.5 billion views by May 31?	5	$416	418	0	+418	Yes	+$1	05-16 03:58
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	3	$407	225	225	+0	open	—	06-23 19:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-15 22:24:10	Will MrBeast hit 526 million subscribers by September 30?	No	SELL	39	82¢	$32	0xa168aa…
09-15 22:23:27	Will MrBeast hit 523 million subscribers by September 30?	No	SELL	54	55¢	$30	0x58cb25…
09-15 22:21:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	No	SELL	3,009	100¢	$3,006	0xdf3264…
09-10 18:09:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	No	BUY	1,003	100¢	$1,000	0xbcab07…
09-10 18:08:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	No	BUY	2,006	100¢	$2,000	0xd6abb9…
09-10 18:05:55	Will MrBeast hit 523 million subscribers by September 30?	No	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0xbf9be5…
09-10 18:05:43	Will MrBeast hit 526 million subscribers by September 30?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$38	0x1214c5…
09-10 18:05:16	Will MrBeast hit 140 billion views by September 30?	Yes	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xd313d5…
08-23 02:02:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x3e7172…
08-23 02:02:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	11¢	$3	0x57355e…
08-23 02:02:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	28¢	$15	0x5473a6…
08-23 02:02:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	115	17¢	$20	0xb778f4…
08-14 05:21:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	3,106	100¢	$3,103	0x4c1088…
08-10 07:34:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,985	0x29dcf1…
08-10 06:56:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x3d3c14…
08-10 03:14:00	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0x43e58b…
08-10 03:11:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5c4c7b…
08-10 03:08:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	3,006	100¢	$3,000	0xd54526…
08-10 03:06:57	Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	304	99¢	$300	0xbe66e1…
08-01 02:14:26	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x100c40…
08-01 01:20:56	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x9e1485…
07-31 17:06:27	Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xdfc663…
07-30 00:52:03	will 100 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655084 912 671	No	BUY	2,301	100¢	$2,297	0x32e06f…
07-29 06:21:33	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	581	91¢	$529	0xdd2376…
07-29 02:51:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x452f21…
07-27 22:45:39	Will MrBeast's next video get between 24 and 25 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	280	100¢	$279	0x59b07a…
07-27 22:45:28	Will MrBeast's next video get between 24 and 25 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	260	100¢	$260	0x6cf13f…
07-27 22:21:45	will 100 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655084 912 671	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x549928…
07-27 16:31:52	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396 786	No	BUY	80	98¢	$79	0xad1957…
07-25 18:02:21	Will MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 1?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xa85585…
07-25 17:50:13	Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	267	100¢	$266	0x88260a…
07-25 17:49:39	Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xed30f8…
07-25 17:49:34	Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	157	100¢	$157	0xce1f02…
07-25 17:21:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$992	0x741c33…
07-25 15:19:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$993	0x708587…
07-25 11:50:07	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x707a04…
07-25 11:48:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	4,020	100¢	$4,000	0xafeea2…
07-21 17:06:28	Will MrBeast get married by December 31?	Yes	BUY	613	100¢	$613	0xa64dc8…
07-19 01:10:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xa75274…
07-18 19:02:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x4fd4b6…
07-18 14:42:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0xe6cfba…
07-18 13:57:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x45ee73…
07-17 17:17:40	will 100 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655084 912 671	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x2a9f29…
07-17 02:29:54	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x3ecee8…
07-15 22:08:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x07e367…
07-15 22:07:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x2b5025…
07-15 22:05:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x5fad79…
07-15 22:05:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xe71031…
07-15 21:39:23	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0xbadbed…
07-15 21:08:11	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x6c50f8…
07-15 19:57:07	will russia capture pokrovka by july 31	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x145f2f…
07-15 19:55:50	will russia capture pokrovka by july 31	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x8f261c…
07-15 19:03:25	will russia capture pokrovka by december 31	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa4acda…
07-15 19:02:10	will russia capture pokrovka by december 31	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x761773…
07-15 19:02:05	will russia capture pokrovka by december 31	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb5dfc7…
07-15 19:02:02	will russia capture pokrovka by december 31	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xba1dea…
07-15 19:02:02	will russia capture pokrovka by december 31	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x809c14…
07-15 19:02:02	will russia capture pokrovka by december 31	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x2834ed…
07-15 19:02:02	will russia capture pokrovka by december 31	Yes	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x1efa50…
07-15 19:02:01	will russia capture pokrovka by december 31	Yes	BUY	1,753	100¢	$1,751	0x14b8a9…
07-15 18:51:16	will russia capture pokrovka by july 31	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xad8e29…
07-15 18:47:43	will russia capture pokrovka by december 31	Yes	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x404b35…
07-15 17:47:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	7,822	100¢	$7,814	0x4b8060…
07-15 17:13:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe73151…
07-15 16:00:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1,214	100¢	$1,212	0xf36836…
07-14 18:32:56	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xc8d2bd…
07-14 18:28:14	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396 786	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0xb96cd2…
07-14 18:28:02	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	19	63¢	$12	0xf19948…
07-13 01:10:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x1626fa…
07-12 02:11:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	143	100¢	$142	0x972a24…
07-12 02:10:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xe92f4f…
07-12 02:10:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xb18bb2…
07-12 02:10:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xa92614…
07-12 02:10:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x9e0941…
07-12 02:10:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x82a532…
07-12 02:10:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x81ad13…
07-12 02:10:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x6dec35…
07-12 02:10:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x16e588…
07-12 02:10:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf18dd1…
07-12 02:10:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xc51bff…
07-12 02:10:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xa557b9…
07-12 02:10:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb27923…
07-12 02:10:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	4,611	100¢	$4,588	0xa87771…
07-12 01:35:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	2,008	100¢	$2,000	0x23898f…
07-12 01:26:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	2,008	100¢	$2,000	0x834df2…
07-04 04:26:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0xdaea54…
07-04 04:23:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x983a18…
07-04 04:23:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x242ede…
07-04 04:23:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	4,008	100¢	$4,000	0x1fa4ab…
07-04 04:19:56	wta samsono bouzkov 2026 07 03	Liudmila Samsonova	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x398c02…
07-04 04:19:49	wta paolini sakkari 2026 07 04	Maria Sakkari	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x500319…
07-04 04:19:43	atp bergs fery 2026 07 03	Zizou Bergs	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xb5deb3…
07-04 04:19:37	wta cirstea noskova 2026 07 04	Sorana Cirstea	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0xbf22d9…
07-04 04:19:29	wta anisimo keys 2026 07 04	Amanda Anisimova	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x0e30c6…
07-04 04:19:22	atp dimitro berrett 2026 07 04	Matteo Berrettini	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x649e7d…
06-30 09:48:59	wta paolini montgom 2026 06 29	Jasmine Paolini	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x5e5d43…
06-30 09:48:50	atp grieksp duckwor 2026 06 29	Tallon Griekspoor	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x3ffdbb…
06-30 09:48:40	wta shymano golubic 2026 06 29	Viktorija Golubic	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xd4f432…
06-30 09:48:32	wta valento pliskov 2026 06 29	Karolina Pliskova	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x375c4d…
06-30 09:48:22	atp majchrz tabilo 2026 06 29	Kamil Majchrzak	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x77d3e7…