Multicolored-Lute — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

73.7%

Resolved

334

Trades

697

lifetime

Volume

$8.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$11

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-27 13:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 103 days

Categories

Other

74% 77% -$5

Crypto

21% 81% +$1

Politics

3% 78% $0

Sports

2% 56% $0

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No		+11	$11	100¢	$11	$0	10-27 13:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will "Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 US song this week?	10	$114	57	57	+0	No	$0	08-07 13:30
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	4	$88	44	44	+0	No	$0	08-07 02:58
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on July 25?	4	$87	43	43	+0	No	+$0	07-25 11:03
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on September 7?	4	$83	42	42	+0	Yes	+$0	09-07 04:44
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 16?	4	$82	41	41	+0	No	+$0	07-16 15:24
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on August 30?	3	$73	37	37	+0	No	+$0	08-30 01:57
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 74°F or higher on July 17?	4	$68	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-17 10:01
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on May 28?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-28 05:14
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on September 14?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	09-14 15:12
bitcoin above 68k on july 24 2026	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-24 11:46
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 19?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-19 05:11
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 98-99°F on July 17?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-17 19:40
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 8?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-08 11:30
Will Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?	2	$58	29	29	+0	Yes	$0	08-10 06:18
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on July 20?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-20 09:32
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 20?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-20 05:19
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 24?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	08-23 21:49
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 22?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-22 00:30
will bitcoin reach 69k on july 21	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-22 01:14
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 9?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	08-09 05:35
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 22, 2026?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-23 11:03
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on May 25?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-25 10:49
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 26?	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-26 01:32
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on August 30?	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	$0	08-30 01:59
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on September 4?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	09-04 09:16
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$54	20	34	-14	No	$0	01-22 03:40
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C or below on July 29?	4	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-28 11:18
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 23?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-23 04:18
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 15?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	08-14 07:44
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C or higher on September 13?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	09-13 22:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:13:42	Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6a6c95…
09-22 03:22:08	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xaa5f3f…
09-21 17:06:49	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 22?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x35cb25…
09-21 13:44:39	Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x0e078b…
09-21 11:42:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 22?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x7f146a…
09-21 06:32:56	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 43°C on September 21?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xc26f94…
09-20 20:56:22	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 September 14-20?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x82d5f6…
09-20 18:28:34	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 September 14-20?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x455b0e…
09-20 13:14:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 20?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb5da62…
09-20 01:50:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd44340…
09-20 00:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or below on September 20?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x04a812…
09-19 10:30:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3f9322…
09-18 20:11:51	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 19?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x4bc0e9…
09-18 05:06:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 18?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb3f79b…
09-17 22:22:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xda6f23…
09-17 11:36:07	Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #1 US song this week?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x27f08a…
09-17 07:00:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x5e490f…
09-17 06:15:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C or higher on September 17?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x54178a…
09-14 15:19:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 14?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x10aab0…
09-14 15:12:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on September 14?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x4e82e0…
09-14 08:57:52	Will Netflix win the most Emmys?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xa0aa02…
09-14 08:02:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 14?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x0cb1f6…
09-14 01:09:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on September 14?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa989b4…
09-14 00:25:10	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xce5bea…
09-13 22:29:04	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C or higher on September 13?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x1a0211…
09-13 12:31:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 13?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x224f63…
09-13 08:24:09	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on September 13?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x890c34…
09-13 04:13:12	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C or higher on September 13?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xc17855…
09-13 02:08:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 13?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x02a92e…
09-12 03:59:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 12?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x65ca2e…
09-07 18:50:33	will bitcoin dip to 75k on september 7 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd42f64…
09-07 17:54:25	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x1f62e9…
09-07 04:44:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on September 7?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x1c5619…
09-07 02:21:22	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 32°C on September 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3365b0…
09-06 19:09:42	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 6°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x566ad1…
09-06 17:55:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 7?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xca510a…
09-06 16:58:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on September 7?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x91f97d…
09-06 16:43:58	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 7?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x21eb0f…
09-06 09:21:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on September 7?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x6f536b…
09-06 07:32:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on September 7?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x297141…
09-06 04:06:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 6?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$29	0xa9d1ac…
09-05 23:56:43	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x24adba…
09-05 07:15:48	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 5?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x14cd2c…
09-05 06:58:27	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 5?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x1f3a78…
09-05 06:43:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on September 5?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x6cffe2…
09-05 04:57:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf8eaaf…
09-04 09:16:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on September 4?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x74fdc0…
09-04 07:17:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on September 4?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x55af10…
09-03 22:44:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on September 4?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x98a82a…
09-03 12:43:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on September 4?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xfe5e7f…
09-03 07:05:58	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on September 3?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x56c1e1…
09-02 20:03:27	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on September 2?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x1c7283…
09-02 11:54:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 2?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x45b18d…
09-02 06:11:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 2?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0x8f0c64…
09-02 01:23:51	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on September 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x450304…
09-01 20:22:24	Will Julian Alvarez join Chelsea?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf37b5f…
09-01 10:52:22	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x76e300…
09-01 05:12:12	Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x217ca3…
09-01 04:00:03	Will Tarsier Pharma's market cap be greater than $450M at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x0f922b…
09-01 01:54:36	Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x01f09a…
09-01 01:38:49	Will Tarsier Pharma's market cap be greater than $450M at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x7ee155…
08-31 21:55:55	Will XRP reach $1.80 in August?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9eee93…
08-31 20:38:33	Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x6e1c32…
08-31 12:38:25	Will XRP reach $1.80 in August?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0d1e7b…
08-31 11:05:50	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on August 31?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xa06572…
08-31 05:52:31	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on August 31?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdec95b…
08-31 03:02:13	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C on August 31?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x67fc90…
08-31 02:31:03	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 28?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x754729…
08-30 23:52:25	Will Tarsier Pharma's market cap be greater than $450M at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x598817…
08-30 20:28:28	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C on August 31?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x666b50…
08-30 19:35:57	Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x775d95…
08-30 01:59:57	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on August 30?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xbe4742…
08-30 01:57:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on August 30?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$36	0x3f526d…
08-29 23:35:33	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on August 30?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x946ee4…
08-29 22:09:16	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on August 30?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x8122e0…
08-29 17:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on August 30?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2b54ab…
08-29 09:14:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 29?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x3f37df…
08-29 09:12:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on August 29?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x2d7f00…
08-29 08:23:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on August 29?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x6269db…
08-28 18:39:49	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 29?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x00c3b3…
08-28 16:02:21	Will "Earrings - Malcolm Todd" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x289159…
08-28 10:46:27	Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x9798b3…
08-28 08:47:00	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x124691…
08-28 07:43:54	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 28?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xee70fe…
08-28 04:15:22	Will "Earrings - Malcolm Todd" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x04a1eb…
08-28 03:06:07	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 28?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd4585a…
08-27 22:11:10	Will "Earrings - Malcolm Todd" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xda906d…
08-27 21:47:12	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C or below on August 28?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x7d2ea2…
08-27 19:57:48	Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xb2850a…
08-27 15:04:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 28?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5b9834…
08-27 11:43:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 28?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf5fa9d…
08-27 08:36:15	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C or below on August 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x3743e2…
08-27 04:56:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x58350c…
08-25 18:10:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on August 25?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x4c1cac…
08-25 15:18:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd5b10d…
08-25 12:14:57	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on August 25?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x70ffd7…
08-25 11:56:09	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x698bc4…
08-25 08:20:24	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on August 25?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x3e12ff…
08-25 07:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdb4f57…
08-25 07:05:16	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xbf8821…