Early-Kielbasa 0x8cb384…25b8ed
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$45
Unrealized P&L
+$105
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
12
Trades
4,251
lifetime
Volume
$291.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$69
Open exposure
$5.80K
15 positions
First seen
2026-02-27
last 06-29 23:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
62% 100% +$12
Politics
21% 100% +$33
Crypto
15% 100% +$0
Tech
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 448 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +1,437 $1,399 100¢ $1.4K +$37 06-27 15:42
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No +1,196 $1,178 100¢ $1.2K +$17 06-18 13:01
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +1,004 $981 100¢ $1.0K +$22 06-18 06:31
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +546 $532 100¢ $545 +$13 06-29 23:52
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +502 $490 100¢ $501 +$11 06-18 17:08
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +282 $275 100¢ $281 +$7 06-08 13:22
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? No +176 $176 100¢ $176 +$0 06-08 03:16
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? No -128 $-128 100¢ $-128 $-0 06-23 21:20
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? No -126 $-124 100¢ $-126 $-1 06-29 11:34
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? No -119 $-118 100¢ $-119 $-1 06-04 11:20
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? No -119 $-118 100¢ $-119 $-0 06-17 17:04
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No -109 $-108 100¢ $-108 $-0 06-04 19:20
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +40 $39 98¢ $39 $-0 06-25 00:01
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No +25 $23 100¢ $25 +$2 06-08 13:39
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -3 $-4 100¢ $-3 +$0 06-20 03:37