Early-Kielbasa — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$45

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

4,251

lifetime

Volume

$291.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$69

Open exposure

$39

1 position

First seen

2026-02-27

last 06-29 23:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

62% 100% +$12

Politics

21% 100% +$33

Crypto

15% 100% +$0

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 448 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		+40	$39	98¢	$39	$-0	06-25 00:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	341	$14.7K	7,914	7,058	+857	open	—	06-27 15:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	133	$12.3K	6,925	5,519	+1,406	open	—	05-31 10:07
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	155	$12.1K	6,898	5,402	+1,496	open	—	05-29 04:55
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	172	$11.8K	7,331	4,595	+2,736	open	—	05-30 17:58
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	130	$10.2K	5,724	4,623	+1,101	open	—	05-29 17:12
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	146	$10.0K	5,929	4,146	+1,783	open	—	05-30 22:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	102	$7.4K	4,273	3,305	+967	open	—	05-14 11:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	75	$5.9K	3,473	2,509	+964	open	—	04-30 18:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	108	$5.9K	3,799	2,165	+1,634	open	—	04-30 01:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	106	$5.8K	3,462	2,470	+993	open	—	05-30 23:29
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	62	$5.3K	3,094	2,257	+837	open	—	06-18 13:01
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	63	$5.2K	3,189	2,076	+1,112	open	—	05-12 15:08
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	72	$5.1K	2,776	2,359	+417	open	—	04-28 10:22
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	58	$5.0K	2,905	2,218	+687	No	+$15	05-09 01:42
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	48	$4.9K	2,703	2,240	+462	open	—	06-18 17:08
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	71	$4.7K	2,968	1,803	+1,165	open	—	04-30 23:17
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	58	$4.5K	2,655	1,854	+801	open	—	05-19 14:35
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	47	$4.2K	2,529	1,735	+794	open	—	04-30 21:30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	47	$4.0K	2,190	1,795	+394	open	—	04-30 04:09
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	57	$3.8K	2,033	1,887	+147	open	—	03-05 21:48
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	49	$3.8K	2,025	1,787	+238	open	—	05-12 00:08
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	43	$3.7K	2,020	1,768	+253	open	—	05-14 11:51
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	93	$3.7K	1,873	1,873	+0	open	—	06-29 23:52
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	275	$3.7K	1,821	1,915	-95	open	—	06-08 13:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	64	$3.6K	2,143	1,519	+624	open	—	05-09 00:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	42	$3.5K	1,977	1,636	+340	open	—	04-30 11:14
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	34	$3.5K	1,888	1,651	+237	open	—	04-30 14:28
will paradex launch a token on march 5	40	$3.4K	1,796	1,667	+128	open	—	03-05 18:04
Iran leadership change by April 30?	33	$3.2K	2,074	1,195	+879	open	—	04-30 00:39
will us or israel strike iran on march 6 2026	33	$3.1K	1,634	1,472	+162	open	—	03-05 21:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 23:52:28	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	79	99¢	$78	0x582802…
06-29 23:42:23	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	79	99¢	$78	0x2bd92a…
06-29 23:29:46	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0xdb0f2c…
06-29 23:28:46	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0xb75dc2…
06-29 23:25:43	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0x1f7247…
06-29 23:25:38	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0xd41a29…
06-29 16:59:41	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0xbde9e8…
06-29 16:26:43	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0x58e299…
06-29 15:58:34	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	118	99¢	$117	0x78e618…
06-29 15:32:04	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0xff4a5b…
06-29 15:29:26	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0xb739b4…
06-29 15:28:38	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0xe5a214…
06-29 15:16:52	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	79	99¢	$78	0x5adc0a…
06-29 15:13:31	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0x102700…
06-29 15:12:02	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x2d42c0…
06-29 15:10:23	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0xc88d10…
06-29 15:10:01	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x560269…
06-29 15:09:59	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xfd79e2…
06-29 15:09:55	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	99¢	$39	0xee93ab…
06-29 14:53:11	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x169953…
06-29 14:41:50	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x1c8952…
06-29 14:39:37	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xf3e060…
06-29 14:39:08	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	99¢	$39	0xff1abf…
06-29 14:33:22	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x787cd7…
06-29 14:32:07	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	99¢	$39	0x3063d0…
06-29 14:26:58	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x932c1d…
06-29 14:25:44	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	99¢	$104	0x84f591…
06-29 13:53:04	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0x7f5228…
06-29 13:52:14	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0xfd70d3…
06-29 13:51:43	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xf74f31…
06-29 13:28:26	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	99¢	$13	0x92ad3c…
06-29 13:18:29	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	79	99¢	$78	0xd88b73…
06-29 13:17:29	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$13	0xcea6e4…
06-29 13:10:28	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x6a7c0e…
06-29 13:10:26	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	99¢	$28	0x857101…
06-29 13:09:32	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x358d24…
06-29 13:02:04	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	99¢	$39	0x45ccf1…
06-29 12:45:14	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0xe4ecef…
06-29 12:27:29	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	96¢	$39	0x91b680…
06-29 12:20:17	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc1c992…
06-29 12:19:11	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x54ebbd…
06-29 12:17:41	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x8dab83…
06-29 12:17:20	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x220cfd…
06-29 11:45:07	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	96¢	$39	0xc64065…
06-29 11:34:53	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xf62963…
06-29 11:33:46	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x4cff4c…
06-29 11:26:20	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	95¢	$39	0xcf7cbb…
06-29 11:13:13	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x1ce52b…
06-29 09:50:35	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	97¢	$39	0x9d7d46…
06-29 09:45:59	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0x848de2…
06-29 09:27:35	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0xcc4b6d…
06-29 08:21:50	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xae3274…
06-29 08:18:50	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	98¢	$23	0x519a6e…
06-29 08:12:35	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xeff9f0…
06-29 08:02:17	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x3720f1…
06-29 08:01:38	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xfbd073…
06-29 08:01:01	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x89fadb…
06-29 08:00:59	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x6b9c1f…
06-29 07:56:19	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xd01ef1…
06-29 07:48:53	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x44befd…
06-29 07:47:23	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0xb0d51c…
06-29 07:47:22	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0xc6603f…
06-29 07:47:22	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x25cab3…
06-29 07:42:52	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x34bdab…
06-29 07:37:17	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xed0f63…
06-29 07:32:55	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xc3bcbe…
06-29 04:39:47	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x439d92…
06-29 04:01:58	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0xf08fda…
06-29 04:01:58	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	99¢	$39	0x8b3b00…
06-29 03:50:17	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xcb3760…
06-29 03:28:59	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x027be4…
06-29 00:23:11	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0x6f1610…
06-29 00:18:41	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0x4644c8…
06-29 00:18:07	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x0d0fb2…
06-29 00:17:17	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xd5218e…
06-29 00:17:02	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x1bf287…
06-29 00:15:22	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xd9f679…
06-28 18:19:59	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0xf92e72…
06-28 18:08:50	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x46296f…
06-28 14:47:26	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0xd9dbf2…
06-28 12:30:13	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x252905…
06-28 12:22:02	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x7aa7c4…
06-28 12:16:46	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xe469da…
06-28 12:13:49	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xc3ef87…
06-28 08:59:31	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x8dadf5…
06-28 08:15:32	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x23b3f1…
06-27 15:42:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x267092…
06-26 20:06:59	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x9267cb…
06-25 00:01:55	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x8b1ec4…
06-23 21:20:23	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x3c4407…
06-23 12:04:05	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xbce259…
06-22 11:33:55	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	501	99¢	$496	0xf5af61…
06-22 08:34:20	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	147	99¢	$146	0x7c7405…
06-22 08:34:17	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9a5419…
06-22 08:34:04	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xed1513…
06-22 08:32:28	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0x5d1c3c…
06-22 08:31:37	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0x1fc390…
06-22 08:31:01	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xc9b525…
06-22 08:30:14	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x66d018…
06-22 08:29:07	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x5e19b2…