Early-Kielbasa 0x8cb384…25b8ed
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$45
Unrealized P&L
+$32
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
12
Trades
4,026
lifetime
Volume
$281.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$70
Open exposure
$6.44K
14 positions
First seen
2026-02-27
last 06-08 18:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
61% 100% +$12
Politics
21% 100% +$33
Crypto
15% 100% +$0
Tech
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 448 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No +1,694 $1,674 99¢ $1.7K +$8 06-08 07:50
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +1,398 $1,360 99¢ $1.4K +$20 06-08 12:33
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +886 $864 97¢ $861 $-3 06-08 05:39
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +622 $613 98¢ $611 $-2 06-01 20:29
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +501 $495 98¢ $492 $-4 06-02 09:42
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +462 $451 99¢ $458 +$6 06-04 19:23
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +282 $275 99¢ $279 +$5 06-08 13:22
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? No +176 $176 100¢ $176 $-0 06-08 03:16
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? No -128 $-128 100¢ $-128 $-0 06-04 01:14
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? No -126 $-124 99¢ $-124 +$0 06-01 16:26
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? No -119 $-118 99¢ $-119 $-1 06-04 11:20
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No -109 $-108 99¢ $-107 +$1 06-04 19:20
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No +25 $23 98¢ $24 +$1 06-08 13:39
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -3 $-4 99¢ $-3 +$0 06-07 22:11