Realized P&L
+$11
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
98.5%
Resolved
12
Trades
21,315
lifetime
Volume
$1.43M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$67
Open exposure
$1.30K
13 positions
First seen
2026-02-05
last 06-09 18:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
64% 100% +$11
Politics
19% 80% +$0
Crypto
14% 100% +$0
Tech
3%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 664 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +266 $262 98¢ $261 $-0 06-08 17:06
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +238 $234 96¢ $229 $-5 06-09 16:53
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +185 $181 98¢ $181 +$0 06-09 21:41
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +159 $155 99¢ $157 +$2 06-04 19:23
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +145 $143 98¢ $142 $-0 06-01 20:29
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +105 $104 98¢ $103 $-1 06-02 09:13
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? No +98 $97 100¢ $97 +$1 06-04 01:14
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -26 $-26 99¢ $-26 $-0 06-01 10:55
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? No -26 $-26 99¢ $-26 $-0 06-02 07:45
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026? No -26 $-26 99¢ $-26 $-0 05-28 20:26
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No -26 $-26 99¢ $-26 +$0 06-04 15:38
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No +26 $26 99¢ $26 +$0 06-08 21:08
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No +1 $0 98¢ $1 +$0 06-05 11:06