Realized P&L
+$11
Unrealized P&L
+$36
Hit rate
98.5%
Resolved
12
Trades
21,838
lifetime
Volume
$1.44M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$66
Open exposure
$2.37K
17 positions
First seen
2026-02-05
last 06-30 09:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
64% 100% +$11
Politics
19% 80% +$0
Crypto
14% 100% +$0
Tech
3%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 444 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +514 $501 100¢ $514 +$13 06-30 00:18
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +401 $395 100¢ $401 +$5 06-26 20:06
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +300 $294 100¢ $299 +$5 06-20 00:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +264 $259 100¢ $263 +$4 06-18 17:39
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +218 $215 100¢ $217 +$3 06-16 04:35
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +214 $210 100¢ $214 +$4 06-10 03:45
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026? No +131 $130 100¢ $131 +$1 06-17 17:34
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? No +98 $96 100¢ $97 +$1 06-23 21:20
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? No +54 $54 100¢ $54 +$0 06-15 20:28
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? No +45 $45 100¢ $45 +$0 06-17 22:21
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? No -27 $-26 100¢ $-27 $-0 06-30 09:15
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No -26 $-26 100¢ $-26 $-0 06-04 15:38
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026? No -26 $-26 100¢ $-26 $-0 05-28 20:26
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? No -26 $-26 100¢ $-26 $-0 06-02 07:45
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No +26 $25 100¢ $26 +$1 06-22 14:31
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -0 $-0 100¢ $-0 $-0 06-21 14:05
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? No +0 $-0 100¢ $0 +$0 06-25 16:42