Realized P&L
-$442
Unrealized P&L
+$379
Hit rate
91.6%
Resolved
6
Trades
6,477
lifetime
Volume
$1.53M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$237
Open exposure
$6.98K
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 07-20 01:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
55% 50% +$394
Politics
42% 50% $-836
Crypto
2%
Pop-Culture
1%
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 153 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +2,441 $2,329 96¢ $2.3K +$7 07-08 10:57
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,500 $2,185 87¢ $2.2K $-11 06-23 18:50
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,145 $520 59¢ $676 +$156 07-14 21:13
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $514 52¢ $520 +$6 07-12 05:09
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -2,515 $-639 17¢ $-428 +$211 06-20 00:00
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +500 $436 85¢ $424 $-11 07-08 17:03
Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30? No +200 $186 100¢ $200 +$14 06-21 08:51
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +200 $176 92¢ $183 +$7 06-11 15:13
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -42 $-39 94¢ $-39 $-0 06-16 22:21