Realized P&L
-$442
Unrealized P&L
+$99
Hit rate
91.6%
Resolved
6
Trades
5,310
lifetime
Volume
$1.37M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$259
Open exposure
$10.2K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 06-09 18:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
55% 50% +$394
Politics
42% 50% $-836
Crypto
2%
Pop-Culture
1%
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 153 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No -2,000 $-1,960 98¢ $-1960 +$0 06-01 08:06
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? No +1,686 $1,643 99¢ $1.7K +$23 06-08 11:49
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No +1,056 $1,009 96¢ $1.0K +$2 06-07 16:48
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30? No +1,000 $989 98¢ $983 $-6 06-09 22:18
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +1,000 $945 95¢ $946 +$0 06-09 00:57
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? No +785 $755 98¢ $767 +$12 06-09 20:02
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +697 $598 86¢ $596 $-2 06-09 22:03
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Yes +500 $488 98¢ $492 +$3 06-08 01:56
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +500 $325 63¢ $315 $-10 06-07 18:44
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +300 $231 81¢ $243 +$11 06-07 19:18
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +393 $176 50¢ $199 +$22 06-09 21:33
Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30? No -198 $-192 98¢ $-193 $-1 06-01 16:05
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? No +200 $178 90¢ $179 +$1 06-09 07:05
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? No -158 $-153 98¢ $-155 $-2 06-03 05:47
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $95 24¢ $120 +$25 06-06 11:41
Will Tunisia recognize Israel by June 30? No +100 $90 99¢ $99 +$9 05-29 14:41
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026? No +100 $97 98¢ $98 +$1 06-08 07:17
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No +100 $79 90¢ $90 +$10 06-06 16:11
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? No +38 $36 98¢ $37 +$1 06-07 05:25
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? No +18 $17 98¢ $17 +$0 06-09 20:31