Wobbly-Tooth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$31.6K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.56K

Hit rate

93.1%

Resolved

1,041

Trades

8,552

lifetime

Volume

$2.03M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$237

Open exposure

$31.1K

15 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-27 03:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 221 days

Categories

Other

58% 93% +$15,581

Politics

39% 89% +$15,769

Crypto

2% 100% +$250

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$235

Sports

0% 100% +$86

Tech

0% 67% -$338

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions (15) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	+8,939	$8,519	98¢	$8.7K	+$210	10-26 22:12
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	+7,871	$5,980	97¢	$7.7K	+$1,679	10-09 17:06
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	+5,000	$4,578	97¢	$4.8K	+$265	09-24 10:34
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?	No	+4,000	$3,680	96¢	$3.8K	+$140	09-03 05:09
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,574	$999	92¢	$1.4K	+$450	10-26 21:24
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	+1,400	$1,260	94¢	$1.3K	+$63	09-18 17:05
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,066	$962	94¢	$997	+$35	10-26 05:00
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	-1,000	-$800	95¢	$-950	-$150	05-07 01:13
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	+713	$595	96¢	$682	+$88	09-21 17:39
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+4,729	$1,781	6¢	$260	-$1,521	08-30 20:40
european country agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	No	+262	$223	92¢	$241	+$18	08-25 23:16
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-1,444	-$246	7¢	$-103	+$144	06-20 00:00
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-100	-$128	12¢	$-12	+$115	05-06 19:47
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	-20	-$11	8¢	$-2	+$9	04-29 07:58
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	No	+0	-$19	88¢	$0	+$19	05-12 11:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	6	$45.6K	45,616	0	+45,616	Yes	+$47	10-27 01:50
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	94	$41.6K	26,492	18,620	+7,871	open	—	10-09 17:06
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	8	$40.3K	31,000	11,000	+20,000	No	+$220	06-03 21:04
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	58	$40.3K	39,269	1,982	+37,288	Yes	+$623	04-25 00:30
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	21	$33.7K	33,577	518	+33,059	Yes	+$363	09-22 22:49
will iran strike israel on march 4	9	$31.0K	32,545	0	+32,545	Yes	+$1,532	03-06 19:28
highest temperature in london on january 17 9c	1	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	No	+$31	01-17 11:50
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	43	$28.5K	14,000	14,752	-752	No	+$56	05-22 10:49
will iran strike israel on march 10	15	$25.0K	15,571	10,372	+5,199	Yes	+$305	03-14 07:26
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	80	$23.8K	19,920	4,689	+15,231	Yes	+$404	04-21 22:14
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?	8	$22.6K	22,639	0	+22,639	Yes	+$31	10-25 09:20
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$21.4K	20,000	1,500	+18,500	Yes	+$57	02-03 22:19
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	63	$18.8K	18,798	1,068	+17,729	Yes	+$882	04-25 21:04
russia strike on kyiv municipality by january 24 2026	16	$18.4K	18,503	0	+18,503	Yes	+$141	01-20 05:01
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	31	$17.7K	12,230	7,230	+5,000	open	—	09-24 10:34
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	27	$17.7K	18,952	1,000	+17,952	Yes	+$335	02-03 21:55
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	12	$16.9K	10,000	7,000	+3,000	No	+$30	03-10 07:40
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	50	$16.4K	16,058	795	+15,263	Yes	+$391	04-25 21:01
Will the US strike Iran next?	10	$16.0K	16,000	0	+16,000	No	+$33	02-11 21:24
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	90	$15.9K	10,087	6,096	+3,991	No	+$136	06-30 23:00
Will the US strike Somalia next?	37	$15.9K	16,007	0	+16,007	Yes	+$157	01-13 23:34
will iran strike israel on march 6	22	$15.7K	16,051	0	+16,051	No	+$341	03-11 00:09
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	299	$15.6K	12,652	3,713	+8,939	open	—	10-26 22:12
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	15	$14.8K	7,500	7,500	+0	Yes	+$35	04-07 02:21
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	25	$14.2K	9,315	5,315	+4,000	Yes	+$118	05-27 13:40
will russia capture rodynske by march 31	37	$13.9K	14,090	0	+14,090	Yes	+$238	03-22 19:31
Will the US strike Somalia next?	8	$13.8K	7,000	7,000	+0	Yes	-$120	02-04 18:39
Will the US strike Iran next?	21	$13.7K	13,715	0	+13,715	No	+$62	02-04 21:44
Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?	30	$13.4K	13,978	0	+13,978	Yes	+$546	05-06 22:12
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 21, 2026?	9	$13.1K	13,081	0	+13,081	Yes	+$24	10-21 06:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 03:48:44	Will Keanin Loomis win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0x18d388…
10-27 01:50:02	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25,000	100¢	$24,975	0x37b5f7…
10-27 01:41:02	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0xc4554e…
10-27 01:34:45	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0xe99c86…
10-27 01:33:38	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xae8014…
10-27 01:31:45	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0xb3feaf…
10-27 01:31:39	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xa627dc…
10-26 23:21:54	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0xfbde29…
10-26 22:44:41	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3d357c…
10-26 22:38:29	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0x5e66b8…
10-26 22:12:24	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	1,302	98¢	$1,271	0xd90dc1…
10-26 21:24:18	Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	35	93¢	$33	0xa7e747…
10-26 20:53:47	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0xc7914c…
10-26 19:51:17	Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	469	96¢	$452	0x205e16…
10-26 17:23:59	Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$8	0x570bfc…
10-26 15:47:41	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 25, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x02228b…
10-26 14:27:42	Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	32	93¢	$30	0xd29992…
10-26 14:26:39	Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	64	93¢	$60	0x0ccd74…
10-26 14:24:50	Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	108	93¢	$100	0x14f95d…
10-26 14:24:44	Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	108	93¢	$100	0xb4ba69…
10-26 14:23:15	Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	108	93¢	$100	0x4070f8…
10-26 14:23:06	Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	108	93¢	$100	0x20336c…
10-26 14:22:39	Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	108	93¢	$100	0x86f693…
10-26 14:21:35	Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	108	93¢	$100	0x73a471…
10-26 10:44:48	Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	108	93¢	$100	0xa5af1e…
10-26 10:44:39	Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$18	0x0b16d8…
10-26 09:59:27	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 25, 2026?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xcd9b08…
10-26 08:21:38	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	656	98¢	$641	0xa05a10…
10-26 05:00:32	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x4d305b…
10-25 23:40:51	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xc133ce…
10-25 23:31:23	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 25, 2026?	No	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xdc7dfe…
10-25 23:26:53	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 25, 2026?	No	BUY	54	95¢	$51	0x5599fa…
10-25 22:29:44	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?	Yes	BUY	16	93¢	$14	0xe2c37f…
10-25 22:29:42	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?	Yes	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xcb5354…
10-25 22:04:15	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	51	92¢	$47	0xd0e579…
10-25 21:07:39	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x91628b…
10-25 14:37:11	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x46c8b2…
10-25 12:59:15	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xcd28c2…
10-25 09:20:20	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x7fc5ea…
10-25 09:19:51	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0x7c673f…
10-25 08:31:15	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0xad1a5d…
10-25 07:35:05	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0xc183c6…
10-25 07:22:12	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x1e5f1a…
10-25 07:21:26	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8c2de9…
10-25 07:21:12	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	258	100¢	$258	0x94d373…
10-25 06:52:14	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	51	95¢	$48	0x406449…
10-25 06:42:05	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	281	97¢	$272	0x17a0b4…
10-25 02:06:27	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8253b3…
10-25 01:55:48	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x99e00c…
10-25 01:45:23	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x549e13…
10-25 01:42:08	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x5c5879…
10-25 01:41:39	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xa2146c…
10-25 01:14:26	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	33	94¢	$31	0x96f7c1…
10-24 22:54:03	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	85	90¢	$76	0x860748…
10-24 22:04:39	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xcdbe7e…
10-24 21:51:20	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x051d08…
10-24 21:29:57	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xae29d9…
10-24 21:29:56	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0xc0594b…
10-24 19:54:56	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x578ad7…
10-24 19:54:56	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x433f31…
10-24 18:36:50	Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$4	0x1684ce…
10-24 18:06:41	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x50f0cb…
10-24 10:03:59	Will Teariki Heather be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x753d69…
10-24 09:55:48	Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x303654…
10-24 05:54:26	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	100¢	$2,997	0xe63c34…
10-24 05:42:20	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x255701…
10-24 05:35:11	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xf7bbee…
10-24 03:05:14	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$11	0x2110b9…
10-24 00:50:51	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	66¢	$23	0x384866…
10-24 00:44:02	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x24197d…
10-24 00:35:24	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	167	94¢	$157	0x2f72e9…
10-23 22:10:00	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	969	100¢	$965	0xd23b09…
10-23 21:54:05	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0xd2c971…
10-23 19:56:59	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0x583de1…
10-23 17:25:21	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	163	50¢	$81	0x6d7019…
10-23 10:19:53	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 19, 2026?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x73ad8e…
10-23 09:23:26	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x51de0e…
10-23 09:06:59	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x96669f…
10-23 08:55:41	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 19, 2026?	No	SELL	217	99¢	$215	0xcbda2e…
10-23 08:54:32	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	82¢	$42	0x92e6b1…
10-23 08:37:57	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	82¢	$36	0x6e7573…
10-23 08:26:02	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	90¢	$17	0x63cf25…
10-23 08:25:33	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 19, 2026?	No	SELL	56	99¢	$55	0xdba67e…
10-23 08:25:15	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	90¢	$75	0xf1ab5b…
10-23 08:21:06	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x8d3a66…
10-23 08:20:42	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	153	90¢	$137	0x06a95d…
10-23 08:20:23	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	88¢	$50	0xbccb6a…
10-23 08:20:23	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	149	90¢	$134	0x24d673…
10-23 07:37:17	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0x1bfd6a…
10-23 06:00:09	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	No	SELL	149	83¢	$123	0x41e993…
10-23 01:02:48	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	49	93¢	$46	0xdca646…
10-23 00:32:44	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0xebdf30…
10-23 00:09:30	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x4764a2…
10-22 21:36:33	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x49f9c4…
10-22 12:11:27	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	No	SELL	331	65¢	$215	0x68d86b…
10-22 08:17:15	Will Teariki Heather be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0xab8a78…
10-22 08:08:59	Will Teariki Heather be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x79e206…
10-22 08:04:30	Will Teariki Heather be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x8f60b8…
10-22 08:01:44	Will Teariki Heather be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0xaa51f0…
10-22 05:54:47	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	127	90¢	$114	0x8b1e5a…