Worried-Poem — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.28K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

3,636

lifetime

Volume

$1.52M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$417

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 08-11 10:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

63% 100% +$203

Other

36% 100% +$1,075

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	298	$145.8K	125,170	47,347	+77,823	open	—	02-25 02:54
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	21	$84.5K	44,788	52,200	-7,412	open	—	06-11 02:29
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$71.9K	72,000	0	+72,000	open	—	06-17 06:07
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	44	$69.6K	34,906	35,540	-634	open	—	04-28 10:17
GTA VI released before June 2026?	18	$66.5K	33,346	33,346	+0	open	—	05-28 21:59
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	9	$66.4K	63,780	3,000	+60,780	open	—	04-10 06:54
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	78	$52.9K	52,612	16,748	+35,864	open	—	01-15 00:27
will the us next strike iran on january 18 2026 et 229	77	$45.4K	21,706	23,958	-2,252	open	—	01-19 08:15
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	64	$42.5K	28,844	17,807	+11,038	open	—	05-01 21:28
will the us next strike iran on january 17 2026 et 219	179	$33.8K	16,637	17,378	-741	open	—	01-18 09:41
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	69	$31.9K	27,079	25,538	+1,541	open	—	04-30 05:53
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	11	$28.5K	14,302	14,302	+0	open	—	05-28 22:28
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	9	$27.2K	27,481	0	+27,481	open	—	05-26 07:10
will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	155	$24.2K	11,800	13,791	-1,991	open	—	01-28 07:07
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	5	$21.3K	20,424	1,000	+19,424	open	—	01-16 22:50
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	6	$20.4K	20,411	0	+20,411	open	—	06-07 21:07
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$20.2K	20,350	0	+20,350	open	—	06-03 13:02
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	31	$19.8K	10,000	9,996	+4	open	—	04-30 20:05
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	78	$19.8K	9,069	11,496	-2,427	open	—	05-01 00:37
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	42	$19.7K	19,819	0	+19,819	open	—	04-11 18:40
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	24	$18.8K	14,410	6,531	+7,880	open	—	04-12 18:18
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	9	$18.5K	18,583	0	+18,583	open	—	04-30 22:04
miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	4	$16.4K	16,428	0	+16,428	open	—	03-31 21:52
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	2	$16.1K	16,312	0	+16,312	open	—	05-11 20:09
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	12	$14.8K	8,365	11,243	-2,878	open	—	05-23 22:57
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	13	$14.5K	14,500	0	+14,500	open	—	03-31 23:51
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	19	$14.4K	13,000	2,000	+11,000	open	—	08-06 14:56
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	68	$13.4K	14,161	0	+14,161	Yes	+$766	04-25 12:44
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	17	$13.4K	6,627	7,016	-388	open	—	01-30 22:06
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	32	$12.9K	9,893	7,632	+2,261	open	—	05-28 21:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 10:06:10	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	994	96¢	$958	0x18ae63…
08-11 07:12:12	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x114e62…
08-10 23:44:46	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	124	97¢	$120	0x752cb8…
08-10 23:44:39	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	118	97¢	$114	0x1f030b…
08-10 23:35:22	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	320	97¢	$310	0x3fe22e…
08-10 22:18:43	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x46e717…
08-10 22:18:31	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	407	97¢	$394	0xbf8034…
08-10 22:04:36	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	607	97¢	$588	0x51e410…
08-10 21:22:36	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	129	97¢	$125	0xd645aa…
08-10 21:22:13	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	22	97¢	$22	0x77b38d…
08-10 21:00:55	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	792	97¢	$768	0xdfdc0f…
08-10 20:44:03	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	617	97¢	$600	0x94c3d0…
08-10 20:40:57	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	111	97¢	$108	0xaa9582…
08-10 20:40:36	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xda9e2e…
08-10 20:33:46	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	251	97¢	$245	0x7161a3…
08-07 19:36:00	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x6d3e26…
08-06 14:56:20	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	3,000	96¢	$2,874	0x804dca…
08-06 14:56:00	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1,482	96¢	$1,420	0x28b190…
08-06 14:55:33	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	830	96¢	$796	0x430ab9…
08-06 14:55:05	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	473	96¢	$454	0x7acbc4…
08-06 14:54:38	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	697	96¢	$668	0x26cf4a…
08-05 02:24:54	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	96¢	$1,922	0xf22d78…
08-04 20:46:51	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe7c6a8…
08-04 08:45:44	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x23fc94…
08-04 03:56:32	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	538	92¢	$495	0x46d18b…
08-04 02:50:23	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	96¢	$1,926	0x9a5c58…
08-03 09:41:05	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0x4de4b9…
08-01 16:06:57	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	335	96¢	$320	0x8c8647…
08-01 16:04:29	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	665	96¢	$635	0x60b36f…
08-01 07:23:32	will trump speak to yoon suk yeol in august 20260731154203519	No	BUY	270	99¢	$267	0x5cdb3a…
08-01 07:22:33	will trump speak to nicolas maduro in august 20260731154203512	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf0eddb…
08-01 07:22:33	will trump speak to nicolas maduro in august 20260731154203512	No	BUY	986	98¢	$970	0x7f6a25…
07-31 21:16:57	will trump speak to luiz inacio lula da silva in july 20260626154217439	No	BUY	83	99¢	$83	0x65e0bd…
07-31 11:42:17	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5e746a…
07-31 03:23:21	Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	672	95¢	$639	0x1d5da4…
07-29 20:13:23	will warsh say good afternoon during july press conference 20260720204109060 622	No	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0x8b0686…
07-29 19:51:30	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	62	92¢	$57	0xa7220b…
07-28 18:42:14	will trump say afghanistan during tribute to lindsey graham 20260728013158837	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf70443…
07-28 18:39:44	will trump say save america act during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556651	No	BUY	1,212	99¢	$1,200	0x8ca32e…
07-28 17:43:25	will netanyahu wear a yarmulke at next meeting with trump 20260724180650962	No	BUY	2,745	97¢	$2,663	0xdb6524…
07-28 13:58:28	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	120	99¢	$120	0xe30bc3…
07-28 13:54:04	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	880	99¢	$873	0xa0391f…
07-28 08:25:33	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	154	99¢	$153	0x4f1cb2…
07-28 08:10:46	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd9ead4…
07-28 08:10:03	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	163	99¢	$162	0xefd57c…
07-28 06:20:48	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xab689e…
07-28 06:19:55	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2,262	100¢	$2,253	0x266acc…
07-28 06:18:46	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 28 2026	Yes	BUY	698	99¢	$694	0x281f88…
07-27 19:19:00	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	2,308	95¢	$2,202	0xbcc83f…
07-27 18:41:39	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	192	95¢	$183	0x6cdec1…
07-27 17:21:46	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	116	95¢	$110	0xbfac92…
07-27 17:18:54	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	884	95¢	$840	0xc2439a…
07-27 17:06:16	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	1,000	96¢	$955	0xfb5a64…
07-26 14:45:00	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	BUY	4,719	96¢	$4,544	0xfe1231…
07-26 08:45:21	will trump speak to yoon suk yeol in july 20260626154217429	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0x1f3e90…
07-22 12:34:42	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	67	92¢	$61	0x3c5704…
07-20 22:19:45	will trump speak to andy burnham in july 20260720151658724	Yes	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x9eddad…
07-20 21:02:49	will trump speak to andy burnham in july 20260720151658724	Yes	BUY	700	99¢	$693	0xb65076…
07-20 20:33:40	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	905	93¢	$842	0x68107b…
07-19 23:31:49	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	2,000	31¢	$620	0x9e6b9e…
07-13 15:25:43	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	432	21¢	$91	0xb9e37a…
07-13 15:18:59	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	67	21¢	$14	0x4d0367…
07-13 14:53:07	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	501	21¢	$105	0xbeae69…
07-13 14:47:32	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	2,000	20¢	$400	0xe6598f…
07-13 11:36:05	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	283	19¢	$54	0x5acc37…
07-13 11:18:35	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	1,717	19¢	$326	0x68610a…
07-12 16:51:50	iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	No	SELL	114	100¢	$114	0x23b92c…
07-12 09:18:41	iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	No	BUY	114	97¢	$111	0x8e77d4…
07-12 00:19:34	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	890	17¢	$151	0xc94f90…
07-12 00:19:17	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	110	17¢	$19	0x2ea640…
07-12 00:18:40	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	1,000	15¢	$150	0xa1f7af…
07-09 11:11:16	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	3,000	24¢	$720	0x203b9e…
07-09 11:02:44	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	229	23¢	$53	0xe11582…
07-09 11:02:31	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	2,771	23¢	$637	0x09ec1c…
07-09 10:55:17	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	963	22¢	$212	0x9722fa…
07-09 09:48:13	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	25	22¢	$5	0x24348b…
07-09 09:48:11	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0xcf5195…
07-09 09:23:19	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	71	22¢	$16	0xd3c86c…
07-09 08:00:25	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	455	22¢	$100	0x633aa4…
07-09 07:58:22	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x1860b9…
07-09 07:46:22	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	37	22¢	$8	0x048571…
07-09 07:46:17	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	48	22¢	$11	0x3d93bd…
07-09 07:41:05	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	100	22¢	$22	0x6bbe14…
07-09 07:23:25	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	45	22¢	$10	0xe6143b…
07-09 07:21:49	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	45	22¢	$10	0xaf217b…
07-09 07:21:49	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	26	22¢	$6	0x85b17a…
07-09 07:01:31	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	175	22¢	$39	0xbf1721…
07-09 00:19:19	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	1,000	19¢	$190	0x8d9ad9…
07-08 20:10:14	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	260	21¢	$55	0x9200ec…
07-08 20:09:13	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x1dd252…
07-08 18:21:52	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	2	21¢	$1	0x7e2bb9…
07-08 18:16:14	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xba4da8…
07-08 18:10:07	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	101	21¢	$21	0x294aeb…
07-08 18:09:05	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x91750a…
07-08 17:59:50	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	201	21¢	$42	0xf3ae6c…
07-08 17:29:04	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	400	21¢	$84	0xe4c0f1…
07-08 10:44:31	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	532	9¢	$48	0x692193…
07-08 10:21:41	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	1,000	21¢	$210	0x1ed9db…
07-08 10:09:07	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x0ab31c…
07-08 09:56:19	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	2,920	9¢	$263	0x4a4c74…