Worried-Poem 0x12b8e7…c4479c
whale hot 17W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$25.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.14K
Hit rate
93.6%
Resolved
227
Trades
6,230
lifetime
Volume
$1.86M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$299
Open exposure
$89.0K
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 10-26 21:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 89 days
Categories
Politics
56% 85% +$14,107
Other
42% 89% +$13,365
Crypto
1% 100% +$141
Sports
1% 70% -$2,305
Tech
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 371 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +31,299 $29,956 98¢ $30.7K +$702 08-12 00:05
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -16,376 -$15,707 96¢ $-15729 -$22 06-11 02:29
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? No +5,674 $4,674 96¢ $5.5K +$802 05-20 18:33
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +5,540 $5,402 99¢ $5.5K +$63 10-11 12:18
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +5,025 $4,820 98¢ $4.9K +$92 10-19 22:42
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +4,000 $3,757 97¢ $3.9K +$117 09-19 07:42
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +3,729 $3,562 96¢ $3.6K +$31 10-19 11:37
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +4,608 $2,880 77¢ $3.5K +$668 10-22 15:55
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No +2,600 $2,202 97¢ $2.5K +$314 10-24 15:31
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No +2,000 $1,868 99¢ $2.0K +$107 10-05 08:30
Plague pandemic in 2026? No +1,878 $1,792 98¢ $1.8K +$49 10-21 20:16
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +1,902 $1,759 96¢ $1.8K +$57 08-12 07:39
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +1,640 $1,571 98¢ $1.6K +$31 09-26 08:03
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No +1,160 $783 92¢ $1.1K +$284 05-13 22:28
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +1,136 $1,045 92¢ $1.0K +$3 09-23 05:25
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +1,008 $931 97¢ $974 +$42 10-11 11:13
macron out by december 31 2026 20260728190614227 No +1,000 $899 96¢ $962 +$63 08-19 01:06
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No +672 $639 98¢ $661 +$22 07-31 03:23
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +306,604 $427 0¢ $460 +$33 10-24 15:26
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +279 $251 94¢ $264 +$13 09-27 15:08
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +300 $220 72¢ $218 -$2 10-25 22:32
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +127 $121 97¢ $124 +$3 08-12 00:41
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +3,000 $60 4¢ $108 +$48 08-23 09:29
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,999 $26 3¢ $60 +$34 08-23 07:17
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? No +10 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 10-25 14:23
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,200 $44 0¢ $4 -$40 06-02 01:10
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +0 $380 8¢ $0 -$380 10-24 21:47