Worried-Poem — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.28K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.01K

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

3,401

lifetime

Volume

$1.31M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$384

Open exposure

$48.9K

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 06-09 15:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

64% 100% +$203

Other

34% 100% +$1,075

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	+44,788	$38,070	86¢	$38.7K	+$672	05-29 00:15
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?	No	-6,896	$-6,884	100¢	$-6869	+$16	06-09 15:04
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?	No	+1,889	$1,867	100¢	$1.9K	+$17	05-31 07:32
Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30?	No	+862	$849	100¢	$857	+$9	05-27 20:26
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	+3,650	$238	15¢	$529	+$291	06-08 13:41
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?	No	+1	$1	98¢	$1	+$0	06-02 04:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	298	$145.8K	125,170	47,347	+77,823	open	—	02-25 02:54
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	44	$69.6K	34,906	35,540	-634	open	—	04-28 10:17
GTA VI released before June 2026?	18	$66.5K	33,346	33,346	+0	open	—	05-28 21:59
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	9	$66.4K	63,780	3,000	+60,780	open	—	04-10 06:54
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	78	$52.9K	52,612	16,748	+35,864	open	—	01-15 00:27
will the us next strike iran on january 18 2026 et 229	77	$45.4K	21,706	23,958	-2,252	open	—	01-19 08:15
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	64	$42.5K	28,844	17,807	+11,038	open	—	05-01 21:28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	20	$38.1K	44,788	0	+44,788	open	—	05-29 00:15
will the us next strike iran on january 17 2026 et 219	179	$33.8K	16,637	17,378	-741	open	—	01-18 09:41
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	69	$31.9K	27,079	25,538	+1,541	open	—	04-30 05:53
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	11	$28.5K	14,302	14,302	+0	open	—	05-28 22:28
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	9	$27.2K	27,481	0	+27,481	open	—	05-26 07:10
will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	155	$24.2K	11,800	13,791	-1,991	open	—	01-28 07:07
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	5	$21.3K	20,424	1,000	+19,424	open	—	01-16 22:50
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	6	$20.4K	20,411	0	+20,411	open	—	06-07 21:07
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$20.2K	20,350	0	+20,350	open	—	06-03 13:02
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	31	$19.8K	10,000	9,996	+4	open	—	04-30 20:05
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	78	$19.8K	9,069	11,496	-2,427	open	—	05-01 00:37
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	42	$19.7K	19,819	0	+19,819	open	—	04-11 18:40
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	24	$18.8K	14,410	6,531	+7,880	open	—	04-12 18:18
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	9	$18.5K	18,583	0	+18,583	open	—	04-30 22:04
miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	4	$16.4K	16,428	0	+16,428	open	—	03-31 21:52
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	2	$16.1K	16,312	0	+16,312	open	—	05-11 20:09
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	12	$14.8K	8,365	11,243	-2,878	open	—	05-23 22:57
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	13	$14.5K	14,500	0	+14,500	open	—	03-31 23:51
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	68	$13.4K	14,161	0	+14,161	Yes	+$766	04-25 12:44
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	17	$13.4K	6,627	7,016	-388	open	—	01-30 22:06
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	32	$12.9K	9,893	7,632	+2,261	open	—	05-28 21:54
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	50	$12.8K	19,310	18,467	+844	open	—	01-16 11:14
will the us next strike iran on january 21 2026 et 774	39	$12.0K	4,698	7,357	-2,659	open	—	01-22 05:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 15:04:01	Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	7,055	100¢	$7,041	0x24ec31…
06-09 14:46:25	starmer out by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$2	0xe230b2…
06-09 14:46:10	starmer out by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$4	0xe20faf…
06-08 19:59:10	starmer out by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	533	1¢	$3	0xab36c6…
06-08 18:38:48	starmer out by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$4	0x9319a0…
06-08 13:41:33	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	269	12¢	$32	0xa9dd56…
06-08 13:02:00	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xb0d888…
06-08 12:57:40	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	157	12¢	$19	0x0e8ab2…
06-08 12:56:30	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x96aadf…
06-08 12:51:07	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xc75478…
06-08 12:45:01	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x7fc5a7…
06-08 12:39:48	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xb3ffab…
06-08 12:34:12	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xadf6c3…
06-08 12:28:36	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x26aa3f…
06-08 12:23:18	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x272516…
06-08 12:17:34	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xf55ded…
06-08 12:11:13	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x9c4f1e…
06-08 12:04:34	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x423e57…
06-08 11:59:07	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x851b45…
06-08 11:56:37	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7,953	12¢	$954	0xd1f74a…
06-08 11:53:18	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x556235…
06-08 11:46:16	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xc05994…
06-08 11:40:18	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xa91c9c…
06-08 11:33:55	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x371c17…
06-08 11:33:18	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	12¢	$7	0x188522…
06-08 11:33:16	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	12¢	$36	0x56d12f…
06-08 11:32:36	starmer out by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	250	1¢	$3	0x6160b6…
06-08 11:27:31	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x393195…
06-08 11:21:03	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x679e36…
06-08 11:20:30	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x295f16…
06-08 11:14:39	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x8c1507…
06-08 11:08:22	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xcd2626…
06-08 11:02:00	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x2ac16e…
06-08 10:55:19	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xde19cb…
06-08 10:49:06	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xb10817…
06-08 10:46:27	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	12¢	$3	0xd25c7c…
06-08 10:46:12	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	134	12¢	$16	0x2ab86e…
06-08 10:46:06	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	147	12¢	$18	0xc328df…
06-08 10:42:03	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x69899b…
06-08 10:39:16	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xbbaee8…
06-08 10:36:06	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xb80001…
06-08 10:29:58	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xd0b95f…
06-08 10:23:43	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xd3ad1e…
06-08 10:20:04	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0x55e302…
06-08 10:17:39	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xca90a6…
06-08 10:17:15	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xdd3276…
06-08 10:16:12	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	12¢	$4	0x799b7b…
06-08 10:15:15	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	12¢	$4	0x382b6f…
06-08 10:14:00	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xeb3d0a…
06-08 10:10:54	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x58ef8a…
06-08 10:05:03	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xbccd97…
06-08 09:59:09	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xa0a501…
06-08 09:54:03	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x9a387a…
06-08 09:48:54	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x3eb19e…
06-08 09:42:22	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x3d3c7f…
06-08 09:36:45	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xa7e212…
06-08 09:30:25	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x7772f5…
06-08 09:25:12	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xe7187e…
06-08 09:24:22	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x03dcd4…
06-08 09:18:07	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xbd4873…
06-08 09:13:33	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	12¢	$2	0xc00abc…
06-08 09:12:07	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xc00358…
06-08 09:06:06	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xee0160…
06-08 09:00:21	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x69ca95…
06-08 08:54:54	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xae25cd…
06-08 08:49:01	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x038f6d…
06-08 08:49:00	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x579f72…
06-08 08:42:18	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x29bc1c…
06-08 08:36:33	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xdf3548…
06-08 08:31:00	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xaa2acc…
06-08 08:27:34	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0x15c7b0…
06-08 08:25:43	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xb6eadf…
06-08 08:20:24	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x6c65e6…
06-08 08:14:45	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xbae6fe…
06-08 08:09:25	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x3394ab…
06-08 08:03:48	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xf496fb…
06-08 07:58:22	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xda447d…
06-08 07:53:03	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x94e30b…
06-08 07:46:51	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x232723…
06-08 07:41:28	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x86e134…
06-08 07:36:31	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x226f7c…
06-08 07:31:28	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xcfcdec…
06-08 07:26:18	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xdc0cdc…
06-08 07:20:52	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x4077cd…
06-08 07:15:43	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x157008…
06-08 07:10:39	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x2385fb…
06-08 07:06:07	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	12¢	$2	0x6feb17…
06-08 07:05:30	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x32d246…
06-08 07:00:21	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x5aa0c2…
06-08 06:54:15	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xd99e32…
06-08 06:51:28	starmer out by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	400	1¢	$4	0x07bdc4…
06-08 06:49:12	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x8d433d…
06-08 06:48:46	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xe00e0a…
06-08 06:47:33	starmer out by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	150	1¢	$1	0x87e17c…
06-08 06:47:04	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	12¢	$2	0x4e541f…
06-08 06:46:37	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	223	12¢	$27	0x190849…
06-08 00:32:18	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,000	12¢	$600	0xcdf2a1…
06-07 23:39:58	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0xb83b8d…
06-07 23:35:39	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xfbd419…
06-07 23:25:37	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0x960929…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	119	$21.2M	30,688	06-09 14:06
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	118	$169.2K	1,363	06-08 20:26
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	117	$928.9K	18,083	06-09 19:42
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	115	$433.5K	34,437	06-01 05:34
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	114	$21.4K	4,745	06-07 07:08
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	113	$71.8K	6,005	06-03 21:51
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	108	$10.4K	7,090	06-01 13:52
Naive-Waterwheel 0x10b2…4ceb	102	$21.8K	1,748	06-04 00:41