Worried-Poem 0x12b8e7…c4479c
whale hot 17W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$25.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.64K
Hit rate
93.6%
Resolved
227
Trades
6,251
lifetime
Volume
$1.91M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$305
Open exposure
$124.8K
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 10-28 05:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 89 days
Categories
Politics
55% 85% +$14,107
Other
43% 89% +$13,365
Crypto
1% 100% +$141
Sports
0% 70% -$2,305
Tech
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 253 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +31,771 $30,419 98¢ $31.2K +$828 10-27 18:28
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +20,500 $20,334 100¢ $20.4K +$94 10-27 21:57
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -16,376 -$15,707 96¢ $-15729 -$22 06-11 02:29
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +8,943 $8,333 94¢ $8.4K +$91 10-27 21:56
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? No +5,674 $4,674 96¢ $5.5K +$802 05-20 18:33
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +5,540 $5,402 99¢ $5.5K +$68 10-11 12:18
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +5,318 $5,089 96¢ $5.1K +$17 10-27 21:15
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +5,091 $4,884 98¢ $5.0K +$97 10-28 05:44
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +4,000 $3,757 97¢ $3.9K +$117 09-19 07:42
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +4,608 $2,880 81¢ $3.7K +$852 10-22 15:55
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +3,729 $3,562 96¢ $3.6K +$25 10-19 11:37
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +2,828 $2,649 95¢ $2.7K +$38 10-27 20:50
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No +2,696 $2,296 97¢ $2.6K +$320 10-27 20:28
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No +2,000 $1,868 99¢ $2.0K +$109 10-05 08:30
Plague pandemic in 2026? No +1,878 $1,792 98¢ $1.8K +$49 10-21 20:16
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +1,721 $1,650 98¢ $1.7K +$36 10-27 19:17
macron out by december 31 2026 20260728190614227 No +1,500 $1,380 96¢ $1.4K +$66 10-28 03:46
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No +1,160 $783 92¢ $1.1K +$284 05-13 22:28
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? No +1,049 $1,014 98¢ $1.0K +$15 10-27 20:55
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +1,008 $931 96¢ $973 +$41 10-11 11:13
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No +672 $639 98¢ $662 +$23 07-31 03:23
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +306,604 $427 0¢ $460 +$33 10-24 15:26
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +127 $121 97¢ $124 +$3 08-12 00:41
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +3,000 $60 4¢ $107 +$47 08-23 09:29
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,999 $26 2¢ $49 +$23 08-23 07:17
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 $0 10-25 14:23
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,200 $44 0¢ $4 -$40 06-02 01:10
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +0 $380 4¢ $0 -$380 10-24 21:47