Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?
open
Total volume
$1,684
Trades
26
Unique wallets
15
Liquidity
$12,225
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-22 07:52
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $11 | $332 | $322 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $14 | $465 | $451 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $42 | — | +$42 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | — | — | +— |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $1 | $762 | $761 |
| Median | 3 | — | $12 | $12 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $42 | — | +$42 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $14 | $23 | $9 |
| unranked | 1 | — | — | +— |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giddy-Draft 0x3b5b…26fa | Yes | +600 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 06-10 00:35 |
| Dull-Dollar 0x9d54…c43d | No | +500 | $465 | $465 | 1 | 06-10 00:35 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +200 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 05-28 10:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +100 | $5 | $15 | 3 | 07-12 19:11 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +19 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 07-11 07:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 07-22 07:52 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-11 07:32 |
| Glossy-Cashier 0x7bff…7cd6 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-03 20:55 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 07:52:21 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 12 | 95¢ | $12 | 0xfdb768… |
| 07-22 07:52:21 | Misty-Story 0x3f52…43de | No | SELL | 12 | 95¢ | $12 | 0xfdb768… |
| 07-12 19:11:13 | Gleaming-Orient 0x5eec…f4e2 | No | BUY | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0xfd625b… |
| 07-12 19:11:13 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0xfd625b… |
| 07-11 07:32:02 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x872cbc… |
| 07-11 07:32:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x872cbc… |
| 07-03 20:55:23 | Glossy-Cashier 0x7bff…7cd6 | No | BUY | 6 | 91¢ | $6 | 0x6a9a22… |
| 07-03 20:55:23 | (anonymous) 0xb68c…2add | No | SELL | 6 | 91¢ | $6 | 0x6a9a22… |
| 06-25 17:31:16 | (anonymous) 0xb68c…2add | No | SELL | 215 | 94¢ | $202 | 0x56f5f9… |
| 06-25 17:31:16 | Gleaming-Orient 0x5eec…f4e2 | No | BUY | 215 | 94¢ | $202 | 0x56f5f9… |
| 06-10 00:35:31 | Giddy-Draft 0x3b5b…26fa | Yes | BUY | 600 | 7¢ | $42 | 0xde61ee… |
| 06-10 00:35:31 | Forked-Revenge 0xe4ac…ad7f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xde61ee… |
| 06-10 00:35:31 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 72 | 7¢ | $5 | 0xde61ee… |
| 06-10 00:35:31 | Dull-Dollar 0x9d54…c43d | No | BUY | 500 | 93¢ | $465 | 0xde61ee… |
| 06-10 00:35:31 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 27 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xde61ee… |
| 06-04 18:48:45 | Gleaming-Orient 0x5eec…f4e2 | No | SELL | 440 | 93¢ | $409 | 0xef57b1… |
| 06-04 18:48:45 | Forked-Revenge 0xe4ac…ad7f | Yes | SELL | 440 | 7¢ | $31 | 0xef57b1… |
| 06-02 21:30:50 | (anonymous) 0xb68c…2add | No | SELL | 9 | 94¢ | $8 | 0xc8c173… |
| 06-02 21:30:50 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 9 | 94¢ | $8 | 0xc8c173… |
| 05-28 10:57:34 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0xc2a916… |
| 05-28 10:57:34 | Forked-Revenge 0xe4ac…ad7f | Yes | SELL | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0xc2a916… |
| 05-28 10:57:29 | Forked-Revenge 0xe4ac…ad7f | Yes | SELL | 299 | 7¢ | $21 | 0xb28497… |
| 05-28 10:57:29 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0xb28497… |
| 05-28 10:57:29 | Required-Rocker 0xc468…009d | No | SELL | 100 | 93¢ | $93 | 0xb28497… |
| 05-28 10:57:29 | Humiliating-Bonding 0xc449…037c | No | SELL | 27 | 93¢ | $25 | 0xb28497… |
| 05-28 10:57:29 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 72 | 7¢ | $5 | 0xb28497… |