Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?
open
Total volume
$1,817
Trades
51
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$12,225
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-09 00:34
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $11 | $359 | $348 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $16 | $470 | $454 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $42 | $5 | +$37 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $1 | $19 | $19 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $1 | $762 | $761 |
| Median | 7 | $0 | $40 | $40 |
| Below median | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $42 | — | +$42 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $14 | $50 | $36 |
| unranked | 5 | $1 | — | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giddy-Draft 0x3b5b…26fa | Yes | +600 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 06-10 00:35 |
| Dull-Dollar 0x9d54…c43d | No | +500 | $465 | $465 | 1 | 06-10 00:35 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +200 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 05-28 10:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +70 | $4 | $16 | 5 | 08-06 07:29 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +47 | $44 | $44 | 3 | 07-30 22:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | +22 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 07-30 22:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x1dd9…21cc | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 08-05 11:46 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 08-05 09:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 07-22 07:52 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 08-05 09:29 |
| Glossy-Cashier 0x7bff…7cd6 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-03 20:55 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 00:34:43 | Untried-Budget 0xdd28…374a | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xbb3892… |
| 08-09 00:34:43 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xbb3892… |
| 08-06 07:29:53 | Gleeful-Philosopher-Elbow 0xf6ce…1eb4 | No | SELL | 11 | 96¢ | $11 | 0x6cc560… |
| 08-06 07:29:53 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x6cc560… |
| 08-05 11:46:00 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 19 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x8b2895… |
| 08-05 11:46:00 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x8b2895… |
| 08-05 11:46:00 | Untried-Budget 0xdd28…374a | No | SELL | 54 | 96¢ | $52 | 0x8b2895… |
| 08-05 11:46:00 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x8b2895… |
| 08-05 11:46:00 | (anonymous) 0x1dd9…21cc | No | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x8b2895… |
| 08-05 09:29:48 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa75621… |
| 08-05 09:29:48 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa75621… |
| 08-05 09:29:26 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x49353d… |
| 08-05 09:29:26 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x49353d… |
| 08-05 09:29:02 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xeba4d7… |
| 08-05 09:29:02 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xeba4d7… |
| 08-05 09:29:02 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xeba4d7… |
| 08-05 09:29:02 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xeba4d7… |
| 07-30 22:48:12 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | BUY | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb572ac… |
| 07-30 22:48:12 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb572ac… |
| 07-30 22:48:11 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | BUY | 14 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x7de5dc… |
| 07-30 22:48:11 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 14 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x7de5dc… |
| 07-30 22:47:57 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 17 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x267890… |
| 07-30 22:47:57 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x267890… |
| 07-30 22:47:57 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x267890… |
| 07-30 22:47:57 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 27 | 96¢ | $26 | 0x267890… |
| 07-22 07:52:21 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 12 | 95¢ | $12 | 0xfdb768… |
| 07-22 07:52:21 | Misty-Story 0x3f52…43de | No | SELL | 12 | 95¢ | $12 | 0xfdb768… |
| 07-12 19:11:13 | Gleaming-Orient 0x5eec…f4e2 | No | BUY | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0xfd625b… |
| 07-12 19:11:13 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0xfd625b… |
| 07-11 07:32:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x872cbc… |
| 07-11 07:32:02 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x872cbc… |
| 07-03 20:55:23 | Glossy-Cashier 0x7bff…7cd6 | No | BUY | 6 | 91¢ | $6 | 0x6a9a22… |
| 07-03 20:55:23 | (anonymous) 0xb68c…2add | No | SELL | 6 | 91¢ | $6 | 0x6a9a22… |
| 06-25 17:31:16 | (anonymous) 0xb68c…2add | No | SELL | 215 | 94¢ | $202 | 0x56f5f9… |
| 06-25 17:31:16 | Gleaming-Orient 0x5eec…f4e2 | No | BUY | 215 | 94¢ | $202 | 0x56f5f9… |
| 06-10 00:35:31 | Dull-Dollar 0x9d54…c43d | No | BUY | 500 | 93¢ | $465 | 0xde61ee… |
| 06-10 00:35:31 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 72 | 7¢ | $5 | 0xde61ee… |
| 06-10 00:35:31 | Forked-Revenge 0xe4ac…ad7f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xde61ee… |
| 06-10 00:35:31 | Giddy-Draft 0x3b5b…26fa | Yes | BUY | 600 | 7¢ | $42 | 0xde61ee… |
| 06-10 00:35:31 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 27 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xde61ee… |
| 06-04 18:48:45 | Forked-Revenge 0xe4ac…ad7f | Yes | SELL | 440 | 7¢ | $31 | 0xef57b1… |
| 06-04 18:48:45 | Gleaming-Orient 0x5eec…f4e2 | No | SELL | 440 | 93¢ | $409 | 0xef57b1… |
| 06-02 21:30:50 | (anonymous) 0xb68c…2add | No | SELL | 9 | 94¢ | $8 | 0xc8c173… |
| 06-02 21:30:50 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 9 | 94¢ | $8 | 0xc8c173… |
| 05-28 10:57:34 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0xc2a916… |
| 05-28 10:57:34 | Forked-Revenge 0xe4ac…ad7f | Yes | SELL | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0xc2a916… |
| 05-28 10:57:29 | Required-Rocker 0xc468…009d | No | SELL | 100 | 93¢ | $93 | 0xb28497… |
| 05-28 10:57:29 | Forked-Revenge 0xe4ac…ad7f | Yes | SELL | 299 | 7¢ | $21 | 0xb28497… |
| 05-28 10:57:29 | Humiliating-Bonding 0xc449…037c | No | SELL | 27 | 93¢ | $25 | 0xb28497… |
| 05-28 10:57:29 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0xb28497… |
| 05-28 10:57:29 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 72 | 7¢ | $5 | 0xb28497… |