Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?
open
Total volume
$1,551
Trades
20
Unique wallets
12
Liquidity
$12,225
Latest YES mid
5¢
Latest NO mid
95¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-03 20:55
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $5 | $216 | $211 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $14 | $465 | $451 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $42 | — | +$42 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | — | — | +— |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $667 | $667 |
| Median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $42 | — | +$42 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $14 | $14 | +$0 |
| unranked | 1 | — | — | +— |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giddy-Draft 0x3b5b…26fa | Yes | +600 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 06-10 00:35 |
| Dull-Dollar 0x9d54…c43d | No | +500 | $465 | $465 | 1 | 06-10 00:35 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +200 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 05-28 10:57 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-02 21:30 |
| Glossy-Cashier 0x7bff…7cd6 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-03 20:55 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 20:55:23 | Glossy-Cashier 0x7bff…7cd6 | No | BUY | 6 | 91¢ | $6 | 0x6a9a22… |
| 07-03 20:55:23 | (anonymous) 0xb68c…2add | No | SELL | 6 | 91¢ | $6 | 0x6a9a22… |
| 06-25 17:31:16 | (anonymous) 0xb68c…2add | No | SELL | 215 | 94¢ | $202 | 0x56f5f9… |
| 06-25 17:31:16 | Gleaming-Orient 0x5eec…f4e2 | No | BUY | 215 | 94¢ | $202 | 0x56f5f9… |
| 06-10 00:35:31 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 72 | 7¢ | $5 | 0xde61ee… |
| 06-10 00:35:31 | Giddy-Draft 0x3b5b…26fa | Yes | BUY | 600 | 7¢ | $42 | 0xde61ee… |
| 06-10 00:35:31 | Forked-Revenge 0xe4ac…ad7f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xde61ee… |
| 06-10 00:35:31 | Dull-Dollar 0x9d54…c43d | No | BUY | 500 | 93¢ | $465 | 0xde61ee… |
| 06-10 00:35:31 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 27 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xde61ee… |
| 06-04 18:48:45 | Gleaming-Orient 0x5eec…f4e2 | No | SELL | 440 | 93¢ | $409 | 0xef57b1… |
| 06-04 18:48:45 | Forked-Revenge 0xe4ac…ad7f | Yes | SELL | 440 | 7¢ | $31 | 0xef57b1… |
| 06-02 21:30:50 | (anonymous) 0xb68c…2add | No | SELL | 9 | 94¢ | $8 | 0xc8c173… |
| 06-02 21:30:50 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 9 | 94¢ | $8 | 0xc8c173… |
| 05-28 10:57:34 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0xc2a916… |
| 05-28 10:57:34 | Forked-Revenge 0xe4ac…ad7f | Yes | SELL | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0xc2a916… |
| 05-28 10:57:29 | Forked-Revenge 0xe4ac…ad7f | Yes | SELL | 299 | 7¢ | $21 | 0xb28497… |
| 05-28 10:57:29 | Required-Rocker 0xc468…009d | No | SELL | 100 | 93¢ | $93 | 0xb28497… |
| 05-28 10:57:29 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0xb28497… |
| 05-28 10:57:29 | Humiliating-Bonding 0xc449…037c | No | SELL | 27 | 93¢ | $25 | 0xb28497… |
| 05-28 10:57:29 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 72 | 7¢ | $5 | 0xb28497… |