Dull-Dollar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.39K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.82K

Hit rate

87.4%

Resolved

Trades

537

lifetime

Volume

$314.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$586

Open exposure

$38.4K

5 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 10-14 19:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

50% 86% +$458

Politics

43% 100% +$759

Crypto

8% 100% +$168

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	+23,552	$21,818	98¢	$23.1K	+$1,251	08-05 14:45
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	+8,869	$8,412	97¢	$8.6K	+$200	08-02 21:11
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	+4,872	$4,663	98¢	$4.8K	+$95	07-31 21:08
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	+2,000	$1,660	97¢	$1.9K	+$276	06-14 21:58
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	+12	$11	96¢	$11	+$0	10-14 19:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	27	$67.5K	47,615	24,063	+23,552	open	—	08-05 14:45
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	223	$31.5K	31,598	0	+31,598	Yes	+$63	06-05 08:13
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	7	$30.6K	26,207	5,000	+21,207	No	+$221	06-14 20:21
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	35	$24.8K	25,000	0	+25,000	No	+$175	07-26 12:45
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	5	$24.5K	24,606	0	+24,606	No	+$94	04-30 20:14
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	4	$24.1K	12,000	14,000	-2,000	No	-$70	05-10 19:47
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$23.9K	24,032	0	+24,032	No	+$168	06-03 13:44
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	19	$8.4K	8,869	0	+8,869	open	—	08-02 21:11
Will Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro in May?	33	$7.1K	7,202	0	+7,202	No	+$143	05-25 02:54
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	2	$6.4K	6,392	0	+6,392	No	+$28	05-23 12:36
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	3	$6.3K	6,332	0	+6,332	No	+$50	04-30 18:42
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?	4	$6.0K	6,008	0	+6,008	No	+$54	06-25 18:41
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?	12	$5.7K	5,845	0	+5,845	No	+$97	05-28 22:56
US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31?	4	$5.0K	5,024	0	+5,024	No	+$15	05-30 15:11
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	1	$4.7K	4,872	0	+4,872	open	—	07-31 21:08
Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in May?	14	$4.4K	4,413	0	+4,413	No	+$37	05-28 20:56
GTA VI released before June 2026?	9	$4.0K	4,023	0	+4,023	No	+$38	05-26 11:04
James Comey arrested by April 30?	1	$3.6K	3,612	0	+3,612	Yes	+$36	04-29 17:40
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	4	$3.3K	1,738	1,738	-0	No	$0	05-02 12:43
will trump speak to yoon suk yeol in june	21	$3.1K	3,167	0	+3,167	No	+$27	06-19 12:48
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?	16	$2.5K	2,563	0	+2,563	No	+$42	06-13 06:24
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	6	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$32	05-16 22:13
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	3	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$35	04-28 19:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	13	$1.7K	874	874	+0	No	+$3	04-30 20:13
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	3	$1.7K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	06-14 21:58
Trump posts himself as Jesus again in April?	2	$1.5K	1,462	0	+1,462	No	+$5	04-29 20:15
will trump speak to nicols maduro in june	5	$1.1K	1,072	0	+1,072	No	+$11	06-18 22:44
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in April?	2	$937	940	0	+940	No	+$2	04-30 18:40
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	7	$687	695	0	+695	No	+$8	05-08 06:04
Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	5	$632	638	0	+638	No	+$6	05-07 16:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 19:48:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x3799b2…
09-05 13:57:24	Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xeb582d…
08-05 14:45:59	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	96¢	$4,800	0x328370…
08-05 02:24:54	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	2,004	96¢	$1,926	0xf22d78…
08-04 02:50:23	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	96¢	$1,926	0x9a5c58…
08-02 21:11:21	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x1d07b3…
08-02 20:46:23	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0xf8ebf7…
08-02 12:31:35	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xffaf36…
08-01 23:13:41	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,325	94¢	$1,245	0x85101b…
07-31 21:08:02	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	4,872	96¢	$4,663	0x3fee2b…
07-26 12:45:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6,039	99¢	$5,997	0x039d5a…
07-26 12:45:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0xf4a0b9…
07-26 12:45:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x89a8b7…
07-26 12:45:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x739bd0…
07-26 12:45:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x430053…
07-26 12:32:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0xf20fdc…
07-26 12:32:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x9c7f65…
07-26 12:32:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x567a08…
07-26 12:32:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x480d81…
07-26 12:20:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0xf47b8a…
07-26 12:20:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0xc3f2a2…
07-26 12:20:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x638197…
07-26 12:20:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x162e9c…
07-26 12:12:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15,000	99¢	$14,895	0x9461f3…
07-26 12:09:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0xe8812f…
07-26 12:09:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0xa209c7…
07-26 12:09:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x319110…
07-26 12:09:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0xcbab52…
07-26 11:58:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0xec779c…
07-26 11:58:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x8fd3f2…
07-26 11:58:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x7499f3…
07-26 11:58:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x548309…
07-26 11:58:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0xddd78d…
07-26 11:58:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0xd49a70…
07-26 11:58:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x4f2a1e…
07-26 11:58:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x459285…
07-26 11:47:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0xb5797a…
07-26 11:47:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x51c979…
07-26 11:36:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc73e9e…
07-26 11:36:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$20	0xb78b09…
07-26 11:36:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$29	0x9759aa…
07-26 11:36:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x17fedb…
07-26 11:36:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x76c2ee…
07-26 11:36:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x4d71a5…
07-26 11:36:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	109	99¢	$109	0x933a9d…
07-22 01:09:39	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x7241e2…
07-21 23:52:45	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	124	95¢	$118	0x0f04a9…
07-21 20:47:58	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe5a4e9…
07-21 20:14:45	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	160	95¢	$152	0x14fc67…
07-21 14:36:49	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	95¢	$29	0x9f5ded…
07-21 14:36:45	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	43	95¢	$41	0x056261…
07-21 11:22:39	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x6e2f96…
07-21 09:30:22	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x64ac83…
07-21 09:30:01	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6bf99a…
07-21 09:29:57	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe0d61a…
07-21 09:29:57	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc49319…
07-21 09:29:22	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2cee9c…
07-21 08:52:22	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x2a522a…
07-21 07:09:36	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x98f070…
07-20 20:47:40	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6,761	95¢	$6,423	0xaf46a2…
06-25 18:41:47	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?	No	BUY	1,919	100¢	$1,912	0x1b66f8…
06-19 12:48:02	will trump speak to yoon suk yeol in june	No	BUY	166	99¢	$164	0x02fde1…
06-18 22:44:11	will trump speak to nicols maduro in june	No	BUY	182	99¢	$180	0xa0492b…
06-16 02:38:43	will trump speak to nicols maduro in june	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x712e37…
06-15 08:47:55	will trump speak to yoon suk yeol in june	No	BUY	131	99¢	$130	0x1457f0…
06-14 21:58:10	Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	147	82¢	$120	0x5bbd56…
06-14 21:56:45	Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	853	82¢	$700	0x57ace3…
06-14 20:21:28	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$990	0x863372…
06-14 10:50:12	will trump speak to yoon suk yeol in june	No	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0x02f12b…
06-14 10:25:42	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	207	100¢	$206	0xe0e580…
06-14 10:18:06	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaa9a70…
06-14 09:49:54	will trump speak to yoon suk yeol in june	No	BUY	124	99¢	$123	0xe2948b…
06-14 09:49:37	will trump speak to yoon suk yeol in june	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x77fa79…
06-14 09:48:13	Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in June?	No	BUY	124	99¢	$123	0x29730a…
06-14 09:48:13	Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in June?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x0a8fe7…
06-14 09:47:36	Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in June?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xb8e75c…
06-14 09:47:36	Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in June?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x50ded4…
06-14 09:47:34	Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in June?	No	BUY	1,396	99¢	$1,388	0x52e085…
06-14 09:47:34	Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in June?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x492246…
06-14 09:47:28	Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in June?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1ec7d5…
06-14 09:46:24	will trump speak to nicols maduro in june	No	BUY	142	100¢	$141	0x46a471…
06-13 23:21:49	will trump speak to nicols maduro in june	No	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0x35df65…
06-13 22:18:48	will trump speak to yoon suk yeol in june	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xddde60…
06-13 06:24:12	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	597	98¢	$589	0x33e02f…
06-12 22:53:42	will trump speak to yoon suk yeol in june	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x02fd46…
06-12 18:29:45	will trump speak to yoon suk yeol in june	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x2794f4…
06-12 11:21:46	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x052374…
06-12 11:12:49	will trump speak to yoon suk yeol in june	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x75a0d0…
06-12 02:42:00	will trump speak to yoon suk yeol in june	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x64381d…
06-11 19:40:49	Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	84¢	$840	0x93db86…
06-11 19:09:51	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x2fd879…
06-11 17:27:43	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8456d4…
06-11 14:58:27	will trump speak to yoon suk yeol in june	No	BUY	281	99¢	$278	0xc8720e…
06-10 19:01:25	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xbc5cac…
06-10 15:10:00	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	300	98¢	$295	0xeb54fd…
06-10 13:41:07	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x72c52b…
06-10 00:35:31	Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?	No	BUY	500	93¢	$465	0xde61ee…
06-09 15:33:07	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	2,421	99¢	$2,401	0x4c233d…
06-09 15:20:16	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	138	99¢	$136	0xf064f9…
06-09 15:20:16	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	17,442	99¢	$17,302	0xa86b51…