Dull-Dollar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$81

Unrealized P&L

+$262

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

384

lifetime

Volume

$183.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$478

Open exposure

$9.49K

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 07-22 01:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

57% 100% +$59

Other

30% 100% +$22

Crypto

13% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 220 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	+7,480	$7,106	95¢	$7.1K	$-0	07-22 01:09
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	+2,000	$1,660	96¢	$1.9K	+$250	06-14 21:58
Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?	No	+500	$465	96¢	$478	+$12	06-10 00:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	220	$29.0K	29,041	0	+29,041	open	—	06-05 08:13
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	5	$24.5K	24,606	0	+24,606	open	—	04-30 20:14
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	4	$24.1K	12,000	14,000	-2,000	open	—	05-10 19:47
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$23.9K	24,032	0	+24,032	open	—	06-03 13:44
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	5	$21.0K	21,207	0	+21,207	open	—	06-14 20:21
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	14	$7.1K	7,480	0	+7,480	open	—	07-22 01:09
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	2	$6.4K	6,392	0	+6,392	open	—	05-23 12:36
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	3	$6.3K	6,332	0	+6,332	open	—	04-30 18:42
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?	3	$6.0K	6,008	0	+6,008	open	—	06-25 18:41
US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31?	4	$5.0K	5,024	0	+5,024	open	—	05-30 15:11
GTA VI released before June 2026?	9	$4.0K	4,023	0	+4,023	open	—	05-26 11:04
James Comey arrested by April 30?	1	$3.6K	3,612	0	+3,612	open	—	04-29 17:40
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	4	$3.3K	1,738	1,738	-0	open	—	05-02 12:43
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?	8	$1.9K	1,961	0	+1,961	open	—	05-28 22:56
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	3	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-28 19:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	13	$1.7K	874	874	+0	open	—	04-30 20:13
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	3	$1.7K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	06-14 21:58
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?	14	$1.6K	1,666	0	+1,666	open	—	06-12 11:21
will trump speak to yoon suk yeol in june	14	$1.6K	1,615	0	+1,615	open	—	06-19 12:48
Trump posts himself as Jesus again in April?	2	$1.5K	1,462	0	+1,462	open	—	04-29 20:15
will trump speak to nicols maduro in june	5	$1.1K	1,072	0	+1,072	open	—	06-18 22:44
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in April?	2	$937	940	0	+940	open	—	04-30 18:40
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	7	$687	695	0	+695	No	+$8	05-08 06:04
Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	5	$632	638	0	+638	No	+$6	05-07 16:24
will trump meet with kim jong un in june 2026	1	$600	606	0	+606	open	—	06-04 18:50
Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in May?	2	$597	600	0	+600	open	—	05-28 20:56
Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in May?	1	$491	492	0	+492	open	—	06-02 11:11
Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?	1	$465	500	0	+500	open	—	06-10 00:35
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	13	$441	500	0	+500	Yes	+$59	05-04 18:36
Will Trump talk to Kim Jong Un in April?	1	$360	361	0	+361	open	—	04-30 18:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 01:09:39	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x7241e2…
07-21 23:52:45	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	124	95¢	$118	0x0f04a9…
07-21 20:47:58	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe5a4e9…
07-21 20:14:45	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	160	95¢	$152	0x14fc67…
07-21 14:36:49	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	95¢	$29	0x9f5ded…
07-21 14:36:45	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	43	95¢	$41	0x056261…
07-21 11:22:39	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x6e2f96…
07-21 09:30:22	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x64ac83…
07-21 09:30:01	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6bf99a…
07-21 09:29:57	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe0d61a…
07-21 09:29:57	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc49319…
07-21 09:29:22	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2cee9c…
07-21 08:52:22	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x2a522a…
07-20 20:47:40	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6,761	95¢	$6,423	0xaf46a2…
06-25 18:41:47	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?	No	BUY	1,919	100¢	$1,912	0x1b66f8…
06-19 12:48:02	will trump speak to yoon suk yeol in june	No	BUY	166	99¢	$164	0x02fde1…
06-18 22:44:11	will trump speak to nicols maduro in june	No	BUY	182	99¢	$180	0xa0492b…
06-16 02:38:43	will trump speak to nicols maduro in june	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x712e37…
06-15 08:47:55	will trump speak to yoon suk yeol in june	No	BUY	131	99¢	$130	0x1457f0…
06-14 21:58:10	Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	147	82¢	$120	0x5bbd56…
06-14 21:56:45	Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	853	82¢	$700	0x57ace3…
06-14 20:21:28	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$990	0x863372…
06-14 10:50:12	will trump speak to yoon suk yeol in june	No	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0x02f12b…
06-14 10:25:42	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	207	100¢	$206	0xe0e580…
06-14 09:49:54	will trump speak to yoon suk yeol in june	No	BUY	124	99¢	$123	0xe2948b…
06-14 09:49:37	will trump speak to yoon suk yeol in june	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x77fa79…
06-14 09:46:24	will trump speak to nicols maduro in june	No	BUY	142	100¢	$141	0x46a471…
06-13 23:21:49	will trump speak to nicols maduro in june	No	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0x35df65…
06-13 22:18:48	will trump speak to yoon suk yeol in june	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xddde60…
06-12 22:53:42	will trump speak to yoon suk yeol in june	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x02fd46…
06-12 18:29:45	will trump speak to yoon suk yeol in june	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x2794f4…
06-12 11:21:46	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x052374…
06-12 11:12:49	will trump speak to yoon suk yeol in june	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x75a0d0…
06-12 02:42:00	will trump speak to yoon suk yeol in june	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x64381d…
06-11 19:40:49	Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	84¢	$840	0x93db86…
06-11 19:09:51	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x2fd879…
06-11 17:27:43	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8456d4…
06-11 14:58:27	will trump speak to yoon suk yeol in june	No	BUY	281	99¢	$278	0xc8720e…
06-10 19:01:25	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xbc5cac…
06-10 13:41:07	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x72c52b…
06-10 00:35:31	Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?	No	BUY	500	93¢	$465	0xde61ee…
06-09 15:33:07	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	2,421	99¢	$2,401	0x4c233d…
06-09 15:20:16	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	138	99¢	$136	0xf064f9…
06-09 15:20:16	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	17,442	99¢	$17,302	0xa86b51…
06-08 19:04:57	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x21f331…
06-08 19:03:07	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x9b405a…
06-08 19:03:07	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x6603a9…
06-08 19:03:03	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x28bec9…
06-08 19:00:27	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0xc62857…
06-08 18:59:00	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x990151…
06-08 18:57:42	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0xdfca77…
06-08 18:55:00	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x8123df…
06-08 18:50:37	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,014	98¢	$997	0xb6f064…
06-05 08:13:51	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	7,499	100¢	$7,484	0x4236fa…
06-05 08:13:33	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xd82379…
06-05 08:13:30	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xb7d669…
06-05 08:13:28	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,990	0x9de4d2…
06-05 08:13:25	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xeb4c98…
06-05 08:13:19	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x13cd48…
06-05 08:13:15	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xe40a0d…
06-05 08:13:04	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x2c13aa…
06-05 08:13:01	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xc8307d…
06-05 08:12:39	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x571ac9…
06-05 08:12:34	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x5db5ee…
06-05 08:12:28	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf96bb1…
06-05 08:12:16	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xbb81d4…
06-05 08:12:13	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xe484fd…
06-05 08:12:10	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xfcb8d4…
06-05 08:12:09	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xed8535…
06-05 08:11:40	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x33db77…
06-05 08:11:22	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xae8c73…
06-05 08:11:19	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa53a02…
06-05 08:11:15	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x59b586…
06-05 08:10:25	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x3f2f2a…
06-05 08:10:22	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x8b4bd4…
06-05 08:10:18	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf39f48…
06-05 08:10:09	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xdc0b44…
06-05 08:09:28	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x7af13c…
06-05 08:09:28	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x6af9f0…
06-05 08:09:25	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x6d64a6…
06-05 08:09:10	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x6d747b…
06-05 08:08:34	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa90288…
06-05 08:08:34	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x351e84…
06-05 08:08:30	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x5494c7…
06-05 08:08:16	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x55363a…
06-05 08:07:40	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x651d0f…
06-05 08:07:34	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x30a54f…
06-05 08:07:31	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x45dd21…
06-05 08:07:19	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd0d7f5…
06-05 08:06:40	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x540b88…
06-05 08:06:31	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x83757f…
06-05 08:06:30	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xc61807…
06-05 08:06:18	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x4fb11e…
06-05 08:05:40	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x1685eb…
06-05 08:05:31	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xdc8d44…
06-05 08:05:21	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x626347…
06-05 08:05:19	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8891c8…
06-05 08:04:33	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x3305b5…
06-05 08:04:30	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x58f2b5…
06-05 08:04:27	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x3e9830…