Forked-Revenge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$65

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.8%

Resolved

Trades

370

lifetime

Volume

$16.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-08 15:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

57% 50% +$118

Other

29% 20% $-14

Crypto

14% 0% $-21

Sports

0% 0% $-18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	11	$3.5K	1,800	1,800	+0	No	+$121	05-11 11:21
zelenskyy out as ukraine president by march 31 2026	23	$1.3K	10,035	12,304	-2,269	open	—	01-21 15:35
masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	23	$1.2K	2,100	2,100	+0	open	—	03-18 23:10
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1	$787	800	0	+800	open	—	05-28 11:00
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	11	$661	1,200	400	+800	open	—	05-13 16:10
will iran strike cyprus in march	17	$639	2,569	2,569	+0	open	—	03-21 13:45
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	4	$622	900	900	+0	open	—	03-03 16:51
us strikes iran by february 2 2026	3	$554	1,100	567	+533	open	—	01-31 11:05
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$552	600	600	+0	open	—	05-12 15:44
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$540	600	600	+0	open	—	02-28 06:12
netanyahu out by march 31 854	13	$452	10,777	0	+10,777	open	—	03-19 18:58
will uk strike iran by march 31	11	$446	2,700	2,700	+0	open	—	03-22 01:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$400	1,217	0	+1,217	open	—	04-30 17:55
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	3	$372	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	03-15 23:15
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$302	500	500	+0	open	—	02-28 16:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$300	526	0	+526	open	—	04-30 17:51
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	1	$270	300	0	+300	Up	+$30	05-11 11:27
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	6	$239	600	600	+0	open	—	03-01 15:55
nuclear weapon detonation by march 31	7	$232	3,000	653	+2,347	open	—	03-03 12:53
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	9	$209	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	03-09 16:43
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$195	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-12 13:57
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	31	$180	7,190	0	+7,190	open	—	04-26 14:46
btc updown 5m 1774000200	9	$155	500	0	+500	open	—	03-20 09:54
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$154	0	1,100	-1,100	open	—	01-02 00:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	18	$129	794	794	+0	open	—	05-15 13:54
Will Semtech (SMTC) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$111	120	0	+120	open	—	05-26 18:30
israel strikes iran by january 16 2026 418	2	$101	1,820	0	+1,820	open	—	01-16 09:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$100	268	0	+268	open	—	04-30 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$100	278	0	+278	open	—	05-20 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$100	357	0	+357	open	—	05-20 17:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 15:28:23	btc updown 5m 1783524300	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x514c7a…
07-02 19:27:41	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	Yes	SELL	529	4¢	$22	0x137222…
06-21 18:28:25	btc updown 5m 1782066300	Down	BUY	98	10¢	$10	0x19a130…
06-21 18:24:35	btc updown 5m 1782066000	Down	BUY	49	6¢	$3	0x97f0d6…
06-10 11:04:00	btc updown 5m 1781089200	Up	BUY	449	1¢	$5	0x59ca8e…
06-10 10:59:40	btc updown 5m 1781088900	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdef569…
06-10 10:53:25	btc updown 5m 1781088600	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x7a635c…
06-10 00:35:31	Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0xde61ee…
06-05 15:40:28	2026 FIFA World Cup: Winless Team?	No	BUY	455	1¢	$5	0xc9a3af…
06-04 18:48:45	Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?	Yes	SELL	440	7¢	$31	0xef57b1…
06-02 11:07:08	Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev	Rafael Jodar	BUY	71	21¢	$15	0xfc6e10…
06-01 09:40:38	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x17cf9b…
06-01 05:32:27	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	Yes	SELL	400	11¢	$44	0x071ddf…
05-31 05:32:58	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0x2bb514…
05-30 07:05:33	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0x3c53b6…
05-28 16:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x967921…
05-28 16:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	88	17¢	$15	0x46ec31…
05-28 16:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	155	2¢	$3	0xc2c7cf…
05-28 11:00:38	Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Jannik Sinner	BUY	800	98¢	$787	0x82aa48…
05-28 10:57:34	Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0xc2a916…
05-28 10:57:29	Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?	Yes	SELL	299	7¢	$21	0xb28497…
05-26 18:30:06	Will Semtech (SMTC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	120	93¢	$111	0xd5b258…
05-25 22:55:54	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xce5897…
05-21 10:14:27	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xb4bb22…
05-20 17:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	357	28¢	$100	0x246ee5…
05-20 17:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0xbd245e…
05-20 17:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x89f09d…
05-20 17:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xcde333…
05-20 17:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	103	10¢	$10	0x0817e3…
05-20 17:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0x54ded3…
05-20 16:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0xb14189…
05-19 16:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	66	15¢	$10	0x205e16…
05-16 16:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x9f9af3…
05-16 16:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x367195…
05-16 16:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x767c0b…
05-16 15:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0x70e731…
05-16 15:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	75	13¢	$10	0x6032e7…
05-16 15:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xf5d04b…
05-16 15:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x3effc8…
05-15 22:40:54	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x44da95…
05-15 22:40:50	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	90	10¢	$9	0x9ce69f…
05-15 18:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x17a3f1…
05-15 17:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1,100	1¢	$11	0x11a032…
05-15 17:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	47	6¢	$3	0xe7c8b9…
05-15 17:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xffb7c8…
05-15 17:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x471db4…
05-15 17:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0xaa31d0…
05-15 17:19:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x966ab2…
05-15 17:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xc878d6…
05-15 17:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xf3353e…
05-15 16:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0xd3c9ea…
05-15 16:29:52	Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during Bret Baier interview?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xfd7822…
05-15 16:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xe6bba5…
05-15 14:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	43	16¢	$7	0xc3ee5c…
05-15 14:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	58	3¢	$2	0x0a5327…
05-15 14:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0x00d784…
05-15 14:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb6434a…
05-15 14:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	86	12¢	$10	0xfcaa23…
05-15 14:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	134	7¢	$10	0xdb37d7…
05-15 13:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0x2d5b14…
05-15 13:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xf7332f…
05-15 13:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	78	15¢	$12	0xea95e5…
05-15 13:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	201	15¢	$30	0x3a08fd…
05-15 13:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xcdd344…
05-15 13:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	17	15¢	$2	0xcc2220…
05-15 13:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xbf241b…
05-15 13:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0xb97b26…
05-15 13:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xaa560f…
05-15 13:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	30	15¢	$4	0x68cce3…
05-15 13:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	70	15¢	$10	0x675a1c…
05-15 13:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	265	15¢	$40	0x5a5cfc…
05-15 13:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	27	15¢	$4	0x4df67c…
05-15 13:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x2eec40…
05-15 13:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	14	15¢	$2	0x1bfff2…
05-15 13:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	13	15¢	$2	0x192dc6…
05-15 13:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x0cb3ee…
05-15 13:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	23	15¢	$3	0x0240de…
05-15 13:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	794	1¢	$10	0xbf1f85…
05-15 13:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	37	19¢	$7	0xef5861…
05-15 13:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xc1134c…
05-15 13:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x548b6b…
05-15 13:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe31725…
05-15 13:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xc4d840…
05-15 13:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xe4518c…
05-15 13:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	33	18¢	$6	0x3edb67…
05-15 13:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	85	13¢	$11	0xe74c01…
05-15 13:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	79	9¢	$7	0x8a638b…
05-15 13:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x193978…
05-15 13:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x783284…
05-15 13:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x86c18b…
05-15 13:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x2d6d1a…
05-15 12:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xe5bb14…
05-15 12:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x7f9bfa…
05-15 12:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	64	63¢	$40	0x4cc11f…
05-15 12:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	64	11¢	$7	0xbc7cc8…
05-15 12:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	64	11¢	$7	0x6c6262…
05-15 12:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	78	9¢	$7	0xa88a4d…
05-15 12:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x396986…
05-15 12:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x5e0dc8…
05-15 12:18:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xd63719…